Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.85K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,201

lifetime

Volume

$197.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-17 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Politics

56% 68% -$28

Other

44% 56% +$2,893

Crypto

0% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	94	$31.3K	32,093	32,093	+0	No	-$66	03-24 05:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$15.2K	11,897	11,897	+0	Yes	-$157	04-03 12:20
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	50	$12.7K	9,080	9,080	+0	Louisville Cardinals	+$769	03-19 18:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$11.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$139	04-21 11:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	26	$11.2K	7,000	7,000	-0	Yes	+$0	04-05 13:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	97	$11.1K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	+$91	06-09 07:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	44	$10.3K	7,000	7,000	+0	Yes	+$110	08-14 12:32
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$5.9K	11,010	0	+11,010	Yes	-$5,935	08-17 18:29
dota2 pari sar1 2026 04 21	14	$5.2K	3,296	3,296	+0	PARIVISION	+$53	04-21 14:11
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	4	$5.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	Howard Bison	-$15	03-17 15:54
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	21	$5.0K	3,100	3,100	+0	No	+$35	01-20 03:04
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	19	$4.7K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	+$54	01-15 17:43
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$4.4K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	-$60	02-24 06:53
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	24	$3.7K	0	9,374	-9,374	Down	+$3,679	02-17 08:12
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	28	$3.6K	2,400	1,971	+429	No	+$93	01-16 16:38
spx up or down on january 30 2026	2	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$20	01-30 16:55
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	43	$3.2K	3,190	4,789	-1,599	Up	+$1,137	02-13 11:57
spx up or down on february 11 2026	44	$3.2K	5,909	5,661	+248	Down	+$1,302	02-11 17:25
spx opens up or down on february 5 2026	41	$3.1K	2,947	3,788	-841	Down	+$901	02-05 13:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$2.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$50	03-06 16:34
spx up or down on february 19 2026	21	$2.3K	3,628	1,828	+1,800	Down	-$177	02-19 17:58
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	5	$2.2K	1,357	1,357	+0	No	+$27	03-24 11:57
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	16	$2.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$23	01-15 04:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$2.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$14	01-29 18:22
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	18	$2.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$944	02-27 08:46
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	4	$2.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$16	01-20 12:36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.8K	1,505	1,505	+0	Yes	-$1	01-29 23:58
open up or down on january 22 2026	4	$1.8K	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	+$10	01-22 16:48
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	17	$1.7K	1,100	1,134	-34	No	+$8	01-18 18:35
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	25	$1.7K	2,003	0	+2,003	Yes	+$340	02-25 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 18:29:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0x4a2a9c…
08-16 07:52:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	3,744	54¢	$2,022	0x66d0e6…
08-16 07:32:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	6,256	54¢	$3,378	0x57ba7d…
08-16 07:31:16	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	225	61¢	$137	0xf94bda…
08-16 05:35:30	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	436	61¢	$266	0x2e7fc1…
08-16 05:31:39	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x7d792e…
08-16 00:57:28	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0xfd40cd…
08-16 00:57:24	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x339cdc…
08-16 00:57:24	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0ff2da…
08-15 22:53:39	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbd377b…
08-15 22:53:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb3ada7…
08-15 22:14:03	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	542	60¢	$325	0xde46e4…
08-15 22:14:03	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcbfcaa…
08-15 22:14:00	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0xcd8339…
08-14 12:32:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,000	75¢	$750	0x4a33c1…
08-14 11:15:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	298	74¢	$221	0x4b38f5…
08-14 11:14:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x7d3115…
08-14 11:13:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x4ae64a…
08-14 11:12:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xe54722…
08-14 11:11:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x930176…
08-14 11:09:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x8191a1…
08-14 11:07:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x43b4ce…
08-14 11:06:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xf9e093…
08-14 11:04:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x6826d3…
08-14 11:03:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x30b3be…
08-14 11:01:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x777683…
08-14 11:00:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xf678c0…
08-14 10:59:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x37e4ed…
08-14 10:56:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x28ea88…
08-14 10:56:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	360	74¢	$266	0xdbac0e…
08-14 10:55:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x7ae70a…
08-14 10:55:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x6347e0…
08-14 10:54:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x02f7f9…
08-14 10:52:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x52d560…
08-14 10:51:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	360	74¢	$266	0x3fb41f…
08-14 10:49:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xd76655…
08-14 10:48:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xceccd4…
08-14 10:47:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x77404c…
08-14 10:45:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x9fd774…
08-14 10:43:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x71139d…
08-14 10:43:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	37	74¢	$27	0xe01dff…
08-14 10:42:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xf6ce95…
08-14 10:39:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xd03b47…
08-14 10:37:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x245ae3…
08-14 10:36:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xd9dfa4…
08-14 10:34:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x3e1485…
08-14 10:32:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xff799a…
08-14 10:29:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,254	74¢	$928	0xac4dfb…
08-14 10:27:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x0c9e31…
08-14 10:18:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xc1aa1c…
08-14 09:48:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xb2f12b…
08-14 09:36:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	376	74¢	$278	0x95a8ac…
08-13 13:49:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	198	73¢	$145	0xd3bdae…
08-13 13:49:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	196	73¢	$143	0xb704bb…
08-13 13:49:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	127	73¢	$93	0x42c7ef…
08-13 13:46:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8c1821…
08-13 13:38:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,472	73¢	$4,724	0xf706b9…
08-13 13:03:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc49016…
08-13 08:24:16	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xef90c0…
08-13 08:20:13	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2313a0…
08-13 07:26:12	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x213764…
08-13 06:52:39	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x824fb8…
08-13 06:29:52	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd2333b…
08-13 06:04:31	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0xb4e219…
06-09 07:16:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xc81d74…
06-09 07:15:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	915	70¢	$640	0x5d6c84…
06-09 06:45:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x743b6c…
06-09 06:15:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x909750…
06-09 06:07:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	65	70¢	$46	0x5cef1e…
06-09 05:55:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	369	70¢	$258	0xa0041d…
06-09 05:55:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xbc74e5…
06-09 05:46:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x71445a…
06-09 05:38:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x7f6560…
06-09 05:18:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	37	70¢	$26	0xf8c45c…
06-09 04:52:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	70¢	$40	0xe237bb…
06-09 04:48:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xeb7991…
06-09 04:45:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xa59d0b…
06-09 04:11:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x048501…
06-09 03:59:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xca9f28…
06-09 03:59:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x9416f4…
06-09 03:15:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xc28915…
06-09 03:12:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	214	70¢	$150	0xe2ddd9…
06-09 03:00:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xf1f5ce…
06-09 02:59:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xbc8e55…
06-09 02:54:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x6bcd9a…
06-09 02:51:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xf95d44…
06-09 02:50:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x8f9ea1…
06-09 02:43:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x2a9696…
06-09 02:42:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x435e16…
06-09 02:41:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xb02c17…
06-09 02:35:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0x94ad8d…
06-09 02:32:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xb653c4…
06-09 02:26:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x2893ff…
06-09 02:25:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x81fde2…
06-09 02:12:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x0bf484…
06-09 02:11:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x365631…
06-09 02:11:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xf3512f…
06-09 02:09:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x03229a…
06-09 01:58:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x6d255e…
06-09 01:22:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x2ca9a7…