Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
open
Total volume
$188
$1,014 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$9,523
Latest YES mid
42¢
Latest NO mid
57¢
End date
2026-12-09
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-08 18:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1 | $42 | $41 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $35 | $4 | +$31 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $35 | $38 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $35 | $26 | +$9 |
| Median | 2 | — | $37 | $37 |
| Below median | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 3 | $25 | $1 | +$24 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | +108 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 06-08 11:24 |
| Content-Repository 0x24e7…1785 | Yes | +50 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-08 18:41 |
| Hurtful-Wagon 0x0a38…f931 | No | +50 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-08 18:41 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | +31 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-08 08:35 |
| Pointed-Tussle 0xf91b…79a8 | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 08:59 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +18 | $12 | $32 | 3 | 06-06 14:23 |
| Artistic-Stomach 0x8110…fd53 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 17:30 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 08:07 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 03:16 |
| Hopeful-Hellcat 0x1c44…5c97 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 03:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 18:41:18 | Hurtful-Wagon 0x0a38…f931 | No | BUY | 50 | 55¢ | $27 | 0x9764ed… |
| 06-08 18:41:18 | Content-Repository 0x24e7…1785 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 45¢ | $11 | 0x9764ed… |
| 06-08 17:30:45 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0xd6fc6e… |
| 06-08 17:30:45 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0xd6fc6e… |
| 06-08 11:26:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xcc68aa… |
| 06-08 11:26:30 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xcc68aa… |
| 06-08 11:24:15 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x7d6b72… |
| 06-08 11:24:15 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x7d6b72… |
| 06-08 08:35:55 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x43d0fc… |
| 06-08 08:35:55 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x43d0fc… |
| 06-08 03:16:57 | Hopeful-Hellcat 0x1c44…5c97 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xa32015… |
| 06-08 03:16:57 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xa32015… |
| 06-06 14:23:28 | Artistic-Stomach 0x8110…fd53 | No | BUY | 14 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x1fc76e… |
| 06-06 14:23:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 14 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x1fc76e… |
| 06-06 08:59:16 | Pointed-Tussle 0xf91b…79a8 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 36¢ | $10 | 0x90cd90… |
| 06-06 08:59:16 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 28 | 64¢ | $18 | 0x90cd90… |
| 06-05 13:42:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 32¢ | $20 | 0x511875… |
| 06-05 13:42:42 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 68 | 32¢ | $22 | 0x511875… |
| 06-05 13:42:42 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x511875… |
| 06-05 13:00:30 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0xf9f2f1… |
| 06-05 13:00:30 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xf9f2f1… |
| 06-02 11:11:46 | Handmade-Science 0x84e5…5071 | No | SELL | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xf5ac14… |
| 06-02 11:11:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xf5ac14… |
| 05-28 08:07:37 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x338e65… |
| 05-28 08:07:37 | (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x338e65… |