Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,312

lifetime

Volume

$667.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 14:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$967

Politics

28% 100% +$8,382

Sports

3% 0% $-118

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	32	$26.5K	28,500	0	+28,500	open	—	01-19 12:25
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	142	$25.4K	33,661	13,000	+20,661	open	—	01-30 17:28
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	17	$19.4K	20,227	0	+20,227	open	—	04-12 14:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	75	$16.2K	19,000	3,500	+15,500	open	—	05-30 22:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$13.2K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	02-12 11:14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	78	$12.7K	13,964	2,996	+10,968	open	—	02-28 22:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	21	$11.7K	18,100	12,600	+5,500	open	—	06-25 10:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	64	$10.8K	14,183	14,183	+0	open	—	06-15 18:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	17	$10.6K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	07-04 17:23
Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?	25	$10.2K	10,879	209	+10,670	open	—	01-10 11:15
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$8.6K	9,058	0	+9,058	open	—	01-15 19:05
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	12	$7.9K	9,081	0	+9,081	open	—	02-28 14:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	10	$7.4K	7,999	0	+7,999	open	—	06-03 20:14
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	14	$6.7K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	01-06 21:13
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	44	$6.7K	7,192	0	+7,192	open	—	03-30 11:14
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	26	$6.4K	9,580	0	+9,580	open	—	06-13 21:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	60	$6.3K	14,698	0	+14,698	Yes	+$8,382	02-05 23:29
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?	14	$6.2K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	01-16 21:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	28	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	07-03 15:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	17	$5.8K	6,085	0	+6,085	open	—	04-19 20:13
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	3	$5.8K	5,769	0	+5,769	open	—	01-19 23:50
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	22	$5.4K	8,500	0	+8,500	open	—	07-08 17:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	52	$5.3K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	04-19 15:37
Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?	8	$5.3K	5,781	0	+5,781	open	—	01-17 00:01
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	24	$5.3K	5,622	0	+5,622	open	—	06-10 13:59
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	61	$5.2K	6,930	0	+6,930	open	—	04-19 16:46
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	3	$5.2K	5,220	0	+5,220	open	—	01-18 23:45
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?	15	$5.2K	6,984	106	+6,879	open	—	01-10 16:34
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	7	$5.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	07-08 09:20
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	18	$4.9K	5,332	0	+5,332	open	—	03-28 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 14:35:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	182	30¢	$54	0x51d986…
08-09 14:02:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	182	30¢	$55	0xab7ceb…
08-09 13:33:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	143	30¢	$43	0x25593b…
08-09 13:06:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x5ac123…
08-09 13:06:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	293	30¢	$88	0xb8a065…
08-09 08:39:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	106	33¢	$35	0x561f6e…
08-09 08:36:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x9d319a…
08-09 05:15:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xbaf8e5…
08-09 04:31:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xa8d758…
08-09 03:15:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1d2d71…
08-09 01:49:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	342	33¢	$113	0xc83c7b…
08-09 01:42:55	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	570	65¢	$370	0x758b0b…
08-09 01:39:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$165	0xb9a52d…
08-08 22:51:30	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	138	65¢	$90	0xaed875…
08-08 21:48:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x80b965…
08-08 21:48:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x1437d8…
08-08 21:48:21	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	142	65¢	$92	0x2c51ff…
08-08 20:51:52	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	188	66¢	$124	0xfd2a32…
08-08 19:25:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	1,000	36¢	$360	0x8f0192…
08-06 16:11:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,000	76¢	$1,520	0x22ced1…
08-05 12:48:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,958	0xd615df…
08-04 18:09:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x671c88…
08-04 18:09:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1,987	95¢	$1,895	0x2a4b3d…
08-03 09:15:51	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Yes	BUY	209	31¢	$65	0xa1ff1c…
07-26 13:59:33	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	260	1¢	$3	0xc78ae1…
07-26 13:56:21	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0x94cbff…
07-24 06:25:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	137	60¢	$82	0xa6515c…
07-23 10:01:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x2c4c78…
07-23 07:24:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xeab1de…
07-23 07:03:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	260	60¢	$156	0x542389…
07-23 03:33:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x9b48b3…
07-23 02:59:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x12d562…
07-23 02:59:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	161	60¢	$96	0x4c0001…
07-20 13:40:39	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	172	1¢	$2	0xd11b3d…
07-20 08:02:33	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,333	6¢	$80	0xe4d416…
07-20 07:41:03	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0xff3434…
07-19 22:46:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0x8e2d92…
07-19 20:50:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,038	20¢	$210	0x500db4…
07-19 20:50:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9cc6b6…
07-19 20:50:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	438	20¢	$89	0x5e6743…
07-19 20:50:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa125b0…
07-19 20:49:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x835ada…
07-19 20:43:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	222	25¢	$56	0x82df8c…
07-19 20:43:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	669	25¢	$169	0x5d83cc…
07-19 20:42:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	109	25¢	$27	0x67fdc5…
07-19 20:38:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0xb6b65f…
07-19 20:38:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	901	30¢	$272	0x4fb421…
07-19 20:38:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3,368	10¢	$345	0x5169a4…
07-19 20:37:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	621	10¢	$64	0x5dba89…
07-19 20:37:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x0a63d8…
07-19 20:34:18	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xdd032f…
07-19 20:31:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3,000	14¢	$420	0xeb783e…
07-19 20:30:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	35¢	$352	0x7589bd…
07-19 20:28:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	823	39¢	$323	0x8b6ba9…
07-19 20:28:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x5a6d0f…
07-19 20:28:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0x8f372c…
07-19 20:28:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,500	18¢	$270	0xa49855…
07-19 20:27:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	41¢	$412	0x8c73c4…
07-19 19:59:22	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	1,320	5¢	$67	0x4a2764…
07-19 19:59:12	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x586daf…
07-19 19:59:07	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	600	5¢	$31	0x3ac45c…
07-19 19:58:42	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	650	5¢	$33	0x5f871c…
07-19 19:58:42	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	1,620	5¢	$83	0x210c0a…
07-19 19:58:13	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xa19c44…
07-19 19:57:39	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x1df9d9…
07-19 19:53:31	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xbdf1c7…
07-19 19:53:07	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	163	31¢	$51	0xa7c099…
07-19 19:53:06	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	137	31¢	$42	0x220555…
07-19 19:52:39	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	262	31¢	$81	0x559136…
07-19 19:52:36	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0xa7040c…
07-19 19:51:00	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0x5834bb…
07-19 19:47:12	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	167	31¢	$52	0xa5ec0d…
07-19 19:46:06	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0x08baa6…
07-19 19:44:39	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	266	35¢	$93	0x7ba216…
07-19 19:44:33	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x970dfd…
07-19 19:44:31	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	33	35¢	$12	0xfec50a…
07-19 19:43:28	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0xa3d75f…
07-19 19:43:22	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0x93ee48…
07-19 19:42:46	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x17e20a…
07-19 19:42:36	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	192	35¢	$67	0xb8eabd…
07-19 19:42:22	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	800	35¢	$280	0xaf21a8…
07-19 19:17:10	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0xf6783f…
07-19 18:58:54	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3d6564…
07-19 18:21:28	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x4b5022…
07-19 18:03:15	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0xf71cb3…
07-19 06:10:51	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2,694	10¢	$259	0x4e4235…
07-19 05:44:10	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	306	10¢	$29	0x243a89…
07-19 04:32:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	557	1¢	$7	0xa8c478…
07-19 04:20:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,667	1¢	$20	0x2f8636…
07-19 04:11:36	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x9a9bad…
07-19 04:11:18	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xe2a038…
07-19 03:42:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xee243e…
07-19 02:58:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	478	1¢	$6	0x82bb0a…
07-19 02:57:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0xa34648…
07-19 02:24:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	152	1¢	$2	0x8f6adc…
07-19 01:17:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x870d1b…
07-19 00:53:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	4,167	1¢	$50	0x63617a…
07-19 00:53:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0xfcf1f7…
07-19 00:52:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xefd4db…
07-19 00:39:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	417	1¢	$5	0x1befa2…