Realized P&L
-$10.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.22K
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
776
Trades
1,754
lifetime
Volume
$276.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$158
Open exposure
$30.2K
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 11-15 13:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Other
74% 70% -$9,291
Politics
21% 91% +$175
Tech
3% 89% +$319
Sports
2% 59% -$1,555
Crypto
0% 67% -$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14,927 $11,164 94¢ $14.0K +$2,793 11-14 00:53
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +6,787 $6,024 96¢ $6.5K +$512 11-09 21:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +4,915 $3,807 92¢ $4.5K +$690 10-11 12:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,532 -$1,656 98¢ $-1509 +$148 07-27 19:05
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -1,286 -$1,240 97¢ $-1243 -$4 07-27 18:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? No +1,386 $1,150 86¢ $1.2K +$35 11-09 21:16
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31? No +920 $830 98¢ $902 +$72 11-04 13:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +178 $170 96¢ $171 +$1 11-11 01:26
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +84 $54 70¢ $59 +$5 09-06 09:36
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? Yes +55 $53 99¢ $54 +$1 10-24 14:28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21? Yes +75 $51 70¢ $52 +$1 11-14 12:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +78 $47 28¢ $22 -$25 11-09 17:49
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027? Yes +33 $10 39¢ $13 +$3 11-14 14:17
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? Yes +26 $20 45¢ $12 -$8 09-01 16:40
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 08-05 16:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by November 30? No +11 $10 89¢ $10 $0 11-05 15:50
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +15 $10 51¢ $8 -$2 11-07 14:29
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +13 $10 54¢ $7 -$3 09-19 04:33
Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 $0 11-15 13:03