Realized P&L
-$10.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.02K
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
772
Trades
1,742
lifetime
Volume
$275.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$158
Open exposure
$30.9K
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 11-12 10:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
74% 70% -$9,033
Politics
21% 91% +$175
Tech
3% 89% +$319
Sports
2% 59% -$1,555
Crypto
0% 67% -$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,127 $11,346 92¢ $14.0K +$2,646 10-03 01:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +6,787 $6,024 96¢ $6.5K +$457 11-09 21:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +4,915 $3,807 92¢ $4.5K +$739 10-11 12:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,532 -$1,656 99¢ $-1511 +$145 07-27 19:05
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -1,286 -$1,240 97¢ $-1243 -$3 07-27 18:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? No +1,386 $1,150 86¢ $1.2K +$35 11-09 21:16
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31? No +920 $830 94¢ $865 +$35 11-04 13:20
US announces military base in Israel in 2026? No +543 $498 91¢ $494 -$4 10-04 18:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +178 $170 96¢ $172 +$2 11-11 01:26
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? No +166 $99 62¢ $102 +$3 11-12 10:40
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +104 $100 97¢ $101 +$1 11-05 01:43
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +84 $54 70¢ $59 +$5 09-06 09:36
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? Yes +55 $53 94¢ $52 -$1 10-24 14:28
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +78 $47 60¢ $47 $0 11-09 17:49
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? Yes +26 $20 46¢ $12 -$8 09-01 16:40
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +47 $40 24¢ $12 -$28 11-09 21:15
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 08-05 16:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by November 30? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $0 11-05 15:50
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +15 $10 51¢ $8 -$2 11-07 14:29
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +13 $10 54¢ $7 -$3 09-19 04:33