Realized P&L
-$263
Unrealized P&L
+$580
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
546
lifetime
Volume
$46.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$21.8K
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-16 06:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
74% 100% +$69
Politics
18% 0% $-300
Sports
5% 0% $-33
Tech
2%
Crypto
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +7,565 $6,483 88¢ $6.7K +$212 07-07 18:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,430 $4,150 96¢ $4.2K +$96 06-20 07:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,985 $-3,300 72¢ $-2849 +$451 07-09 07:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,578 $-2,320 94¢ $-2436 $-116 06-16 03:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,295 $-2,160 96¢ $-2192 $-32 06-20 07:35
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -1,906 $-1,877 99¢ $-1880 $-3 07-15 06:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -778 $-728 97¢ $-753 $-25 05-29 15:06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -310 $-279 92¢ $-285 $-6 06-17 22:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -244 $-220 90¢ $-218 +$1 06-18 03:22
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -127 $-114 92¢ $-117 $-4 06-10 15:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -128 $-112 82¢ $-105 +$6 06-17 16:07