Realized P&L
-$263
Unrealized P&L
-$188
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
367
lifetime
Volume
$34.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$20.2K
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-01 00:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
75% 100% +$69
Politics
21% 0% $-300
Tech
2%
Crypto
2% 100% +$1
Sports
1% 0% $-33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +5,953 $5,083 86¢ $5.1K +$7 07-01 00:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,430 $4,150 95¢ $4.2K +$43 06-20 07:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,075 $-3,365 86¢ $-3525 $-159 06-15 16:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,578 $-2,320 92¢ $-2359 $-39 06-16 03:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,295 $-2,160 94¢ $-2165 $-5 06-20 07:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -1,050 $-1,033 100¢ $-1049 $-16 06-01 12:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -778 $-728 96¢ $-747 $-20 05-29 15:06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -310 $-279 90¢ $-277 +$2 06-17 22:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -244 $-220 90¢ $-221 $-1 06-18 03:22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-200 100¢ $-200 $-0 06-27 00:14
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -127 $-114 92¢ $-117 $-3 06-10 15:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -128 $-112 81¢ $-104 +$8 06-17 16:07
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -84 $-82 100¢ $-83 $-1 06-02 15:44
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -83 $-81 100¢ $-83 $-2 05-31 05:29