Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,136
$5 in 24h
Trades
67
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$12,763
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-08
last 06-18 05:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $97
vs crowd: 4% YES on $857)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | — | $154 | $154 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $4 | $215 | $211 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $30 | $25 | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $1 | $428 | $427 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $97 | $97 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 1 | — | $47 | $47 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $27 | $27 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | $194 | $189 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $57 | $57 |
| unranked | 20 | $30 | $400 | $370 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | +852 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-08 14:52 |
| Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | +101 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-16 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd56f…a1eb | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-08 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdd6…ca6f | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-08 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x783f…631b | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-08 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9640…b3b0 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-08 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa9a4…8f85 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-08 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | +49 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 06-11 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a98…3984 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-08 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f75…d150 | No | +44 | $42 | $54 | 4 | 06-18 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7404…c062 | No | +33 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-08 14:52 |
| Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-08 14:54 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +19 | $18 | $59 | 3 | 06-16 05:57 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-16 11:09 |
| Tangible-Loss 0x243d…cd7f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 11:09 |
| Dead-Award 0x7122…c9e4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 11:06 |
| Frightening-Stencil 0xd663…c21b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 05:57 |
| Every-Variety 0x560e…85f5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 11:09 |
| Troubled-Anesthesiologist 0xc94e…55dc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 11:13 |
| Impossible-Mate 0xbbff…ca93 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 11:01 |
| Ashamed-Dishwasher 0x28fc…4e92 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 11:02 |
| Vigilant-Cornflakes 0x145b…8f5c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 11:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Queasy-Spectrum 0x1914…2465 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xf3fbf0… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x381046… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf3fbf0… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6545e5… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Pristine-Fries 0xa586…0c09 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6545e5… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Cumbersome-Peen 0x7288…03f9 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x381046… |
| 06-18 05:49:29 | Pristine-Fries 0xa586…0c09 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x355367… |
| 06-18 05:49:29 | (anonymous) 0x2f75…d150 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x355367… |
| 06-18 05:49:26 | (anonymous) 0x2f75…d150 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x080e82… |
| 06-18 05:49:26 | (anonymous) 0x2f75…d150 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4ab24e… |
| 06-18 05:49:26 | Queasy-Spectrum 0x1914…2465 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x080e82… |
| 06-18 05:49:26 | Cumbersome-Peen 0x7288…03f9 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4ab24e… |
| 06-16 11:13:36 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1246b6… |
| 06-16 11:13:36 | Troubled-Anesthesiologist 0xc94e…55dc | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1246b6… |
| 06-16 11:13:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5006d0… |
| 06-16 11:13:16 | Vigilant-Cornflakes 0x145b…8f5c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5006d0… |
| 06-16 11:09:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5d905e… |
| 06-16 11:09:37 | Tangible-Loss 0x243d…cd7f | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5d905e… |
| 06-16 11:09:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0a0381… |
| 06-16 11:09:22 | Every-Variety 0x560e…85f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0a0381… |
| 06-16 11:06:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3428bc… |
| 06-16 11:06:13 | Dead-Award 0x7122…c9e4 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3428bc… |
| 06-16 11:02:27 | Ashamed-Dishwasher 0x28fc…4e92 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0cea90… |
| 06-16 11:02:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0cea90… |
| 06-16 11:01:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4b3e8e… |
| 06-16 11:01:33 | Impossible-Mate 0xbbff…ca93 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4b3e8e… |
| 06-16 05:57:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd57fbf… |
| 06-16 05:57:55 | Frightening-Stencil 0xd663…c21b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd57fbf… |
| 06-16 05:44:31 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 101 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x37cb62… |
| 06-16 05:44:31 | Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | BUY | 101 | 96¢ | $97 | 0x37cb62… |
| 06-11 00:00:40 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x141549… |
| 06-11 00:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | BUY | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x141549… |
| 06-11 00:00:31 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x10be36… |
| 06-11 00:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x10be36… |
| 06-10 13:46:49 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x58b197… |
| 06-10 13:46:49 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x58b197… |
| 06-09 05:38:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x646240… |
| 06-09 05:38:22 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x646240… |
| 06-09 02:18:37 | Acidic-Thongs 0x2fa6…2ff3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2e612d… |
| 06-09 02:18:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x2e612d… |
| 06-09 02:18:37 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2e612d… |
| 06-08 22:45:09 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x5329eb… |
| 06-08 22:45:09 | Acidic-Thongs 0x2fa6…2ff3 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5329eb… |
| 06-08 22:45:09 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa68902… |
| 06-08 22:45:09 | Acidic-Thongs 0x2fa6…2ff3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa68902… |
| 06-08 14:54:06 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x5f467c… |
| 06-08 14:54:06 | Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x5f467c… |
| 06-08 14:52:51 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 101 | 95¢ | $96 | 0xcc9ec6… |
| 06-08 14:52:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 101 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xcc9ec6… |
| 06-08 14:52:49 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc556ef… |
| 06-08 14:52:49 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xc556ef… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | BUY | 852 | 3¢ | $30 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x7404…c062 | No | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | (anonymous) 0xd56f…a1eb | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x783f…631b | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | (anonymous) 0xa9a4…8f85 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x2f75…d150 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x9a98…3984 | No | BUY | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | (anonymous) 0xfdd6…ca6f | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x9640…b3b0 | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x8c8644… |
| 06-08 14:52:43 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 42 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8c8644… |