Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,827
$5 in 24h
Trades
130
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$12,763
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-08
last 07-28 03:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $97
vs crowd: 3% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $5 | $914 | $908 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $5 | $245 | $240 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $36 | $25 | +$11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $12 | $631 | $619 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $97 | $97 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 4 | — | $864 | $864 |
| Below median | 6 | $2 | $27 | $25 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | $194 | $189 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $57 | $57 |
| unranked | 31 | $42 | $576 | $534 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +783 | $760 | $760 | 1 | 07-27 08:19 |
| Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | +780 | $27 | $34 | 3 | 07-13 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +156 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-27 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +129 | $4 | $6 | 2 | 07-27 08:19 |
| Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | +101 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-16 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x347b…8b8d | No | +67 | $64 | $64 | 3 | 06-30 03:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +65 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-28 03:40 |
| Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-24 17:49 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-27 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c01…0b7a | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-13 06:45 |
| Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-08 14:54 |
| Silver-Skywalk 0x3378…3e20 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-27 15:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 03:40:31 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x46f59c… |
| 07-28 03:40:31 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x46f59c… |
| 07-27 15:23:57 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb6921b… |
| 07-27 15:23:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb6921b… |
| 07-27 15:23:57 | Silver-Skywalk 0x3378…3e20 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb6921b… |
| 07-27 15:23:57 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb6921b… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x9640…b3b0 | No | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x6cdd…814d | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xd56f…a1eb | No | SELL | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xfdd6…ca6f | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x7404…c062 | No | SELL | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 167 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x783f…631b | No | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x98c0…72cb | No | SELL | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x3e31…e6d3 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 783 | 97¢ | $760 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x9a98…3984 | No | SELL | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-27 08:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 156 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x24b89f… |
| 07-24 17:49:19 | (anonymous) 0xa1af…42ba | No | SELL | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xe7ffa5… |
| 07-24 17:49:19 | Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xe7ffa5… |
| 07-13 06:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x4c01…0b7a | No | BUY | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0xdef5c9… |
| 07-13 06:45:35 | Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdef5c9… |
| 07-05 10:29:52 | Cuddly-Ozone 0x36da…8218 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xff9159… |
| 07-05 10:29:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xff9159… |
| 07-05 10:29:52 | (anonymous) 0xfdd6…ca6f | No | SELL | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0xff9159… |
| 07-05 10:29:52 | (anonymous) 0xb50a…a2b8 | No | SELL | 54 | 97¢ | $52 | 0xff9159… |
| 07-03 19:36:55 | Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xa905e6… |
| 07-03 19:36:55 | Cuddly-Ozone 0x36da…8218 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xa905e6… |
| 07-02 08:29:31 | Vigilant-Cornflakes 0x145b…8f5c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdb9f14… |
| 07-02 08:29:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdb9f14… |
| 07-02 08:29:17 | Troubled-Anesthesiologist 0xc94e…55dc | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0aa4ae… |
| 07-02 08:29:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0aa4ae… |
| 07-02 08:28:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x82de07… |
| 07-02 08:28:56 | Every-Variety 0x560e…85f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x82de07… |
| 07-02 08:28:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9d867e… |
| 07-02 08:28:22 | Impossible-Mate 0xbbff…ca93 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9d867e… |
| 07-02 08:28:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xab369e… |
| 07-02 08:28:10 | Ashamed-Dishwasher 0x28fc…4e92 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xab369e… |
| 07-01 14:58:31 | Frightening-Stencil 0xd663…c21b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0c97b8… |
| 07-01 14:58:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0c97b8… |
| 06-30 11:31:56 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | SELL | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xae8a75… |
| 06-30 11:31:56 | (anonymous) 0xa1af…42ba | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xae8a75… |
| 06-30 05:54:49 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x4876cf… |
| 06-30 05:54:49 | (anonymous) 0xa9a4…8f85 | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x4876cf… |
| 06-30 05:54:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x4876cf… |
| 06-30 04:27:35 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4f37c3… |
| 06-30 04:27:35 | (anonymous) 0xa9a4…8f85 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x4f37c3… |
| 06-30 04:27:08 | (anonymous) 0x2f75…d150 | No | SELL | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0xba5a9c… |
| 06-30 04:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xba5a9c… |
| 06-30 04:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xa9a4…8f85 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xba5a9c… |
| 06-30 04:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xfe58…7546 | Yes | SELL | 119 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xba5a9c… |
| 06-30 04:27:08 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0xba5a9c… |
| 06-30 03:16:17 | (anonymous) 0x347b…8b8d | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6f77fa… |
| 06-30 03:16:17 | Tangible-Loss 0x243d…cd7f | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6f77fa… |
| 06-30 03:14:34 | Dead-Award 0x7122…c9e4 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x10028c… |
| 06-30 03:14:34 | (anonymous) 0x347b…8b8d | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x10028c… |
| 06-30 02:36:07 | (anonymous) 0x347b…8b8d | No | BUY | 65 | 96¢ | $62 | 0x21e253… |
| 06-30 02:36:07 | (anonymous) 0xfe58…7546 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x21e253… |
| 06-30 02:36:07 | (anonymous) 0xb50a…a2b8 | No | BUY | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0x21e253… |
| 06-25 14:54:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdde497… |
| 06-25 14:54:25 | (anonymous) 0x2f75…d150 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xdde497… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Queasy-Spectrum 0x1914…2465 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xf3fbf0… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6545e5… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Pristine-Fries 0xa586…0c09 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6545e5… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x381046… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf3fbf0… |
| 06-18 05:58:59 | Cumbersome-Peen 0x7288…03f9 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x381046… |
| 06-18 05:49:29 | (anonymous) 0x2f75…d150 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x355367… |
| 06-18 05:49:29 | Pristine-Fries 0xa586…0c09 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x355367… |
| 06-18 05:49:26 | Cumbersome-Peen 0x7288…03f9 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4ab24e… |
| 06-18 05:49:26 | (anonymous) 0x2f75…d150 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x080e82… |
| 06-18 05:49:26 | Queasy-Spectrum 0x1914…2465 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x080e82… |
| 06-18 05:49:26 | (anonymous) 0x2f75…d150 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4ab24e… |
| 06-16 11:13:36 | Troubled-Anesthesiologist 0xc94e…55dc | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1246b6… |
| 06-16 11:13:36 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1246b6… |
| 06-16 11:13:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5006d0… |
| 06-16 11:13:16 | Vigilant-Cornflakes 0x145b…8f5c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5006d0… |
| 06-16 11:09:37 | Tangible-Loss 0x243d…cd7f | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5d905e… |
| 06-16 11:09:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5d905e… |
| 06-16 11:09:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0a0381… |
| 06-16 11:09:22 | Every-Variety 0x560e…85f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0a0381… |
| 06-16 11:06:13 | Dead-Award 0x7122…c9e4 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3428bc… |
| 06-16 11:06:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3428bc… |
| 06-16 11:02:27 | Ashamed-Dishwasher 0x28fc…4e92 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0cea90… |
| 06-16 11:02:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0cea90… |
| 06-16 11:01:33 | Impossible-Mate 0xbbff…ca93 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4b3e8e… |
| 06-16 11:01:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4b3e8e… |
| 06-16 05:57:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd57fbf… |
| 06-16 05:57:55 | Frightening-Stencil 0xd663…c21b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd57fbf… |
| 06-16 05:44:31 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 101 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x37cb62… |
| 06-16 05:44:31 | Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | BUY | 101 | 96¢ | $97 | 0x37cb62… |
| 06-11 00:00:40 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x141549… |
| 06-11 00:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | BUY | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x141549… |
| 06-11 00:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x10be36… |
| 06-11 00:00:31 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x10be36… |
| 06-10 13:46:49 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x58b197… |
| 06-10 13:46:49 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x58b197… |
| 06-09 05:38:22 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x646240… |