Dead-Award — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.9%

Resolved

157

Trades

435

lifetime

Volume

$1.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-02 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

42% 40% -$26

Politics

26% 44% -$17

Tech

17% 54% $0

Sports

15% 43% -$38

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 720 739	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	01-23 05:02
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$260	131	131	+0	Yes	$0	01-26 07:32
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	2	$240	124	124	+0	No	$0	02-24 05:34
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	38	$61	73	73	+0	No	-$1	06-04 08:45
nba okc tor 2026 02 24	1	$33	65	0	+65	Thunder	+$32	02-24 05:33
nhl lak cbj 2026 01 26	1	$30	57	0	+57	Kings	-$30	01-26 07:31
nba mil was 2026 01 29	1	$25	45	0	+45	Wizards	-$25	01-29 09:55
lol t1a hle 2026 01 23	1	$25	35	0	+35	T1 Academy	+$10	01-23 04:58
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	7	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	06-21 00:50
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$16	25	25	+0	open	—	06-10 01:53
nba cle cha 2026 01 21	1	$15	26	0	+26	Cavaliers	+$11	01-21 06:01
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	4	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	06-28 17:37
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	7	$14	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	06-04 08:22
will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	6	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$1	06-07 08:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$13	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-02 16:08
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	4	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$2	06-30 03:13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-16 10:36
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	06-20 16:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$1	06-30 03:13
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	3	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 05:13
Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2026?	3	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-02 05:13
nhl cal cbj 2026 01 13	1	$12	28	0	+28	Blue Jackets	-$12	01-13 06:22
nba sas mia 2026 03 23	1	$12	36	0	+36	Spurs	-$12	03-23 01:13
Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-04 08:56
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$1	06-30 03:13
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-30 03:13
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	4	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 08:22
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	4	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	07-02 08:28
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	4	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 02:09
will nvda reach 256 in june 2026	3	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$2	06-30 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:28:29	will neymar score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108554	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x99daf3…
07-02 08:28:28	Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xbb215e…
07-02 08:28:26	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xe3d57f…
07-02 08:28:26	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x43930c…
07-02 08:28:25	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xfda451…
06-30 03:14:41	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e5833…
06-30 03:14:40	Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf6c6ba…
06-30 03:14:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54d0aa…
06-30 03:14:38	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x330972…
06-30 03:14:37	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd3ac32…
06-30 03:14:35	will meta reach 700 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x36d8be…
06-30 03:14:34	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x23442a…
06-30 03:14:34	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x10028c…
06-30 03:14:32	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x771634…
06-30 03:14:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc91d63…
06-30 03:14:31	will xauusd reach 5000 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6219f6…
06-30 03:14:29	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3fca3e…
06-30 03:14:28	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc3aff5…
06-30 03:14:28	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x77d54c…
06-30 03:14:26	will russia capture mala tokmachka by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x22b15a…
06-30 03:14:26	will turkey be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522912	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x03159e…
06-30 03:14:22	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeaa910…
06-30 03:14:22	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe339b5…
06-30 03:14:20	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x41030d…
06-30 03:14:19	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x0df652…
06-30 03:14:16	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9483c5…
06-30 03:14:16	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x4c0ad9…
06-30 03:14:14	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf842ab…
06-30 03:14:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x88fdf7…
06-30 03:14:11	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x02e8d5…
06-30 03:14:10	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xf06bc4…
06-30 03:14:07	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x415968…
06-30 03:14:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x18d63a…
06-30 03:14:05	will sui reach 1pt80 before 2027	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xe82c14…
06-30 03:14:04	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xd4bd41…
06-30 03:14:04	will hyperliquid reach 84 in june	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x29fd88…
06-30 03:14:01	will nvda reach 256 in june 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x77ed26…
06-30 03:13:56	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xb5bc60…
06-30 03:13:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x1a6f5d…
06-30 03:13:53	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x5fc7de…
06-30 03:13:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x55a93a…
06-29 01:21:08	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x7788f3…
06-28 23:04:44	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x3f6824…
06-28 20:21:11	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6a0371…
06-28 20:20:46	iran successfully targets shipping on july 4 20260625225210245	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x749adb…
06-28 17:37:17	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xe2251c…
06-28 06:29:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x85dfb2…
06-28 06:29:29	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa8685d…
06-28 01:01:19	will grard larcher be reelected as president of the french senate	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x4427a5…
06-27 22:14:14	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xe13ac4…
06-27 19:34:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x051b43…
06-27 18:04:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xc2690b…
06-27 16:49:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x58cd7c…
06-27 14:02:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6ca1af…
06-25 01:43:14	will turkey be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522912	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2fe5ae…
06-24 20:53:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3fb0f8…
06-24 20:24:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x1cb2c5…
06-24 17:45:16	will openais valuation hit low 600b by june 30	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3360c1…
06-24 15:17:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x9cbd37…
06-24 01:49:41	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x70b725…
06-21 14:17:28	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xc3aec0…
06-21 11:17:07	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa01d84…
06-21 11:17:01	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xee9744…
06-21 08:41:41	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc2e944…
06-21 00:50:37	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	Yes	BUY	183	1¢	$1	0x905c1d…
06-21 00:50:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc85a9f…
06-21 00:50:31	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x47f851…
06-21 00:50:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xafa4ef…
06-21 00:50:26	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf31b5e…
06-20 23:14:52	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x6136ec…
06-20 22:38:58	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfb8353…
06-20 22:38:52	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x8a6092…
06-20 22:38:49	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xfeee4c…
06-20 20:04:23	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x5160b0…
06-20 16:16:01	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x79cadd…
06-20 12:17:17	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x5f24d3…
06-20 07:06:58	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x48d0b2…
06-20 07:06:49	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8ca1fb…
06-20 07:06:47	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb4285a…
06-20 07:06:43	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xefca4a…
06-20 07:06:40	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x21bbcb…
06-20 04:31:34	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd85885…
06-20 04:31:25	will neymar score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108554	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb7dd3d…
06-20 04:31:14	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd87c2e…
06-20 03:01:52	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7e186a…
06-20 03:01:50	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x51f155…
06-20 02:49:26	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b9b2e…
06-20 02:49:26	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x681cca…
06-20 02:49:25	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x8b469a…
06-20 02:49:23	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x7fdf12…
06-20 02:49:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa20057…
06-20 02:49:22	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x571075…
06-20 02:49:20	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xb52e09…
06-19 17:02:40	starmer out by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x429265…
06-19 14:23:35	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x133f7a…
06-19 13:41:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb0c0f9…
06-19 13:19:35	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xaa1987…
06-19 13:08:29	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xed4f38…
06-19 09:12:31	starmer out by august 31 2026	No	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xa80ac8…
06-17 14:40:04	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x697880…