NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$190,309
$2,410 in 24h
Trades
3,308
Unique wallets
599
Liquidity
$19,947
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-01 01:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.2¢
(top1%: 12% YES on $21.3K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $119.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 62 | $2.9K | $63.1K | $60.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 64 | $3.2K | $31.2K | $28.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 142 | $796 | $6.7K | $5.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 331 | $1.6K | $10.0K | $8.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 14 | $2.6K | $18.7K | $16.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 38 | $1.3K | $20.4K | $19.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 28 | $142 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| Median | 76 | $144 | $10.3K | $10.2K |
| Below median | 106 | $262 | $10.2K | $10.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 20 | $451 | $3.8K | $3.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 39 | $563 | $10.4K | $9.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 19 | $107 | $14.6K | $14.5K |
| unranked | 259 | $2.9K | $21.3K | $18.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +30,760 | $1,156 | $1,156 | 6 | 05-29 00:30 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +16,055 | $15,955 | $15,955 | 9 | 06-27 07:33 |
| Favorable-Motion 0x152f…a549 | Yes | +15,614 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-31 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x16ad…0202 | Yes | +15,254 | $238 | $238 | 5 | 06-22 00:03 |
| Likable-Laborer 0x2432…3ef5 | Yes | +11,575 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-25 22:54 |
| Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | +11,483 | $110 | $110 | 4 | 06-28 10:24 |
| Wavy-Curve 0x5c22…e4db | Yes | +8,429 | $72 | $150 | 26 | 06-23 00:37 |
| Impassioned-Prohibition 0xfaf9…f4c4 | No | +8,000 | $7,520 | $7,520 | 1 | 05-31 05:25 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | No | +6,938 | $6,665 | $6,665 | 9 | 06-27 15:55 |
| Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | +6,400 | $5,912 | $5,912 | 3 | 05-29 00:57 |
| Conventional-Sesame 0x184e…cf96 | No | +5,906 | $5,503 | $5,503 | 6 | 06-14 11:14 |
| Tame-Fatigues 0x049b…5a12 | Yes | +5,200 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-24 10:23 |
| Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | +5,158 | $1,068 | $1,828 | 26 | 06-02 23:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +5,000 | $4,985 | $4,985 | 3 | 06-25 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | +4,000 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 06-30 16:49 |
| Firm-Tailbud 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | +3,509 | $3 | $5 | 6 | 07-01 01:48 |
| Tragic-Cause 0xb142…dac9 | Yes | +3,389 | $192 | $209 | 5 | 05-30 17:06 |
| Unwritten-Quiet 0x4baf…5fdf | No | +3,051 | $2,962 | $2,962 | 3 | 06-14 11:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6332…ecf2 | Yes | +2,572 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-05 13:55 |
| Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | +2,287 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 19:37 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +1,918 | $62 | $148 | 25 | 06-12 17:56 |
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | +1,787 | $119 | $173 | 24 | 05-30 00:00 |
| Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | +1,623 | $68 | $68 | 5 | 06-12 16:55 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +1,427 | $1,400 | $1,400 | 3 | 06-12 20:37 |
| Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | Yes | +1,376 | $89 | $89 | 2 | 05-29 10:36 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +1,356 | $1,330 | $1,330 | 171 | 06-30 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x66b2…5ab6 | Yes | +1,336 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-29 00:06 |
| siick 0xf9b7…60a4 | Yes | +1,173 | $95 | $95 | 6 | 05-29 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aab…d91c | Yes | +1,115 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-29 18:49 |
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +1,030 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-01 15:35 |
| Glistening-Die 0x2db9…33f1 | No | +1,000 | $946 | $946 | 2 | 05-31 05:25 |
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +986 | $952 | $4,469 | 18 | 06-30 20:05 |
| Possible-Accelerant 0x0430…bb31 | Yes | +859 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-30 20:05 |
| Ripe-Thongs 0x950a…b380 | Yes | +840 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-02 03:23 |
| Attached-Pump 0x401e…6fc9 | No | +803 | $670 | $3,938 | 9 | 05-29 07:02 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +735 | $61 | $883 | 210 | 06-28 10:24 |
| Hot-Dash 0xc98b…c581 | Yes | +724 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-29 00:34 |
| Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | +599 | $21 | $190 | 27 | 06-14 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | +552 | $1 | $2 | 5 | 06-27 07:33 |
| True-Adaptation 0x0013…3c30 | Yes | +543 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-16 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f8a…ede7 | Yes | +502 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 09:53 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +500 | $464 | $464 | 1 | 05-29 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f54…bd74 | No | +425 | $401 | $401 | 1 | 05-30 02:36 |
| Clear-Cut-Gravel 0xb242…eb89 | Yes | +421 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-29 10:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x209a…3c5b | No | +421 | $397 | $397 | 1 | 05-30 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa91c…8151 | No | +415 | $391 | $391 | 1 | 05-30 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8f0…de7f | No | +410 | $387 | $387 | 1 | 05-30 02:36 |
| Zigzag-Rip 0xf57a…72a5 | No | +400 | $376 | $376 | 1 | 05-29 00:01 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +400 | $376 | $376 | 2 | 06-08 07:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a7e…b615 | No | +381 | $359 | $359 | 1 | 05-30 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9441…e5e3 | Yes | +362 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-12 02:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ff…eace | No | +360 | $339 | $339 | 1 | 05-30 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x7510…d70d | No | +355 | $335 | $335 | 1 | 05-30 02:36 |
| Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | +335 | $334 | $334 | 16 | 06-30 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa24…a99c | No | +333 | $314 | $314 | 1 | 05-30 01:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 01:48:25 | (anonymous) 0xddf5…90aa | No | SELL | 312 | 100¢ | $311 | 0xa7de92… |
| 07-01 01:48:25 | Firm-Tailbud 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | SELL | 312 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa7de92… |
| 06-30 23:23:23 | Firm-Tailbud 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | SELL | 179 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad37ef… |
| 06-30 23:23:23 | (anonymous) 0xf885…5274 | No | SELL | 179 | 100¢ | $179 | 0xad37ef… |
| 06-30 20:05:26 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $498 | 0x4c4b8f… |
| 06-30 20:05:26 | Possible-Accelerant 0x0430…bb31 | Yes | BUY | 859 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x4c4b8f… |
| 06-30 20:05:26 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4c4b8f… |
| 06-30 20:05:26 | Black-And-White-Basement 0x7711…2bee | Yes | SELL | 354 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x4c4b8f… |
| 06-30 19:37:02 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89c780… |
| 06-30 19:37:02 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x89c780… |
| 06-30 19:37:02 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89c780… |
| 06-30 19:37:02 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89c780… |
| 06-30 19:37:02 | Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | BUY | 2,287 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x89c780… |
| 06-30 19:37:02 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x89c780… |
| 06-30 19:37:02 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1,925 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x89c780… |
| 06-30 19:37:02 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 81 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89c780… |
| 06-30 18:19:13 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x99d273… |
| 06-30 18:19:13 | Unacceptable-Ironclad 0x6784…7565 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x99d273… |
| 06-30 16:49:56 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x61560b… |
| 06-30 16:49:56 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1,403 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x61560b… |
| 06-30 16:04:44 | Bitter-Porthole 0x335d…c9c3 | No | SELL | 903 | 100¢ | $903 | 0x83a60d… |
| 06-30 16:04:44 | Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 3,500 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x83a60d… |
| 06-30 16:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 597 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x83a60d… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Thin-Paste 0x4933…8ece | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 3,500 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 3,333 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Oval-Treaty 0xfc75…8604 | Yes | SELL | 18,088 | 0¢ | $22 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Firm-Tailbud 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Bitter-Porthole 0x335d…c9c3 | No | SELL | 3,074 | 100¢ | $3,071 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 16:00:05 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde4630… |
| 06-30 15:33:43 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xd1c045… |
| 06-30 15:33:43 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd1c045… |
| 06-30 15:33:43 | Leading-Speedboat 0x05c7…4421 | No | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xd1c045… |
| 06-30 03:19:38 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa5a247… |
| 06-30 03:19:38 | Vigilant-Cornflakes 0x145b…8f5c | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xa5a247… |
| 06-30 03:18:16 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd2fc99… |
| 06-30 03:18:16 | Troubled-Anesthesiologist 0xc94e…55dc | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xd2fc99… |
| 06-30 03:17:01 | Every-Variety 0x560e…85f5 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x28d52d… |
| 06-30 03:17:01 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x28d52d… |
| 06-30 03:15:59 | Tangible-Loss 0x243d…cd7f | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x9678fc… |
| 06-30 03:15:59 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9678fc… |
| 06-30 03:15:10 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e1c92… |
| 06-30 03:15:10 | Hideous-Attacker 0xc861…e376 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x5e1c92… |
| 06-30 03:14:22 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeaa910… |
| 06-30 03:14:22 | Dead-Award 0x7122…c9e4 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xeaa910… |
| 06-30 03:13:14 | Impossible-Mate 0xbbff…ca93 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x97138a… |
| 06-30 03:13:14 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x97138a… |
| 06-30 03:13:14 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x97138a… |
| 06-30 03:12:07 | Ashamed-Dishwasher 0x28fc…4e92 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1017c9… |
| 06-30 03:12:07 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1017c9… |
| 06-30 03:12:07 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x1017c9… |
| 06-30 03:10:55 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x96a48e… |
| 06-30 03:10:55 | Granular-Carter 0x787d…cba8 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x96a48e… |
| 06-30 03:10:10 | Brief-Owl 0x461d…474d | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xad5a1d… |
| 06-30 03:10:10 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xad5a1d… |
| 06-29 21:47:41 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x9b5fbb… |
| 06-29 21:47:41 | Unacceptable-Ironclad 0x6784…7565 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9b5fbb… |
| 06-29 21:47:41 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9b5fbb… |
| 06-29 18:49:37 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…d91c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf27e4c… |
| 06-29 18:49:37 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xf27e4c… |
| 06-29 17:51:20 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…d91c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd1cec2… |
| 06-29 17:51:20 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd1cec2… |
| 06-29 17:20:59 | Thin-Paste 0x4933…8ece | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x38e107… |
| 06-29 17:20:59 | Bitter-Porthole 0x335d…c9c3 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x38e107… |
| 06-29 16:18:41 | Tense-Hood 0x1b9d…a31e | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xc1f485… |
| 06-29 16:18:41 | Bitter-Porthole 0x335d…c9c3 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xc1f485… |
| 06-29 13:48:37 | (anonymous) 0xf093…12a9 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9ec4d8… |
| 06-29 13:48:37 | Bitter-Porthole 0x335d…c9c3 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x9ec4d8… |
| 06-29 01:00:50 | Irresponsible-Barracks 0xc37e…9e64 | No | SELL | 71 | 99¢ | $71 | 0xcac3b1… |
| 06-29 01:00:50 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xcac3b1… |
| 06-29 01:00:50 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xcac3b1… |
| 06-29 01:00:50 | Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xcac3b1… |
| 06-29 01:00:50 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcac3b1… |
| 06-29 01:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcac3b1… |
| 06-28 23:41:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb03e4c… |
| 06-28 23:41:16 | Fluid-Cappuccino 0xf2fa…4a62 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb03e4c… |
| 06-28 19:07:08 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 333 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x79143a… |
| 06-28 19:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x2f45…ab6a | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x79143a… |
| 06-28 19:07:08 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79143a… |
| 06-28 19:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x0515…a166 | Yes | SELL | 371 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x79143a… |
| 06-28 10:24:50 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 72 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfd4d7c… |