(anonymous) 0xf8855d…dc5274
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$46
Unrealized P&L
-$169
Hit rate
99.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,125
lifetime
Volume
$30.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$434
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 06-09 16:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
90% 75% +$46
Other
7% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -233 $-165 84¢ $-197 $-31 05-31 20:52
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +188 $118 60¢ $113 $-5 05-28 04:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +55 $43 88¢ $48 +$5 06-01 08:09
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 $-0 06-04 06:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +113 $29 16¢ $18 $-12 06-03 22:14
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -692 $-30 2¢ $-11 +$19 05-29 11:32
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No -12 $-11 91¢ $-11 +$0 06-01 06:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -6 $-6 98¢ $-6 $-0 06-08 11:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +5 $-8 90¢ $5 +$13 06-05 14:22
Will Ken Calvert advance from the CA-40 primary election? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 $-0 06-03 07:08
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-02 21:39
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +41 $11 4¢ $1 $-10 05-31 17:14
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +308 $99 0¢ $0 $-98 06-05 01:57
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +112 $49 0¢ $0 $-49 06-06 12:22