Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$17,180
Trades
238
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$27,408
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-06-01
last 08-03 15:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $303
vs crowd: 5% YES on $11.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $199 | $9.8K | $9.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $15 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $177 | $26 | +$151 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $243 | $197 | +$47 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $303 | $303 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $2 | $5.3K | $5.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $23 | $3.3K | $3.2K |
| Median | 7 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| Below median | 6 | $44 | $186 | $142 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $132 | $1 | +$131 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $178 | $755 | $577 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $18 | $781 | $763 |
| unranked | 36 | $233 | $713 | $480 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +5,304 | $5,014 | $5,014 | 16 | 08-03 14:17 |
| Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | +2,656 | $178 | $178 | 1 | 06-15 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | +1,360 | $64 | $64 | 10 | 07-20 08:12 |
| Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | +588 | $544 | $726 | 15 | 06-15 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x039e…b073 | Yes | +540 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 07-03 21:36 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +336 | $303 | $303 | 5 | 06-15 18:23 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +293 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 08-03 14:17 |
| Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | +280 | $12 | $58 | 13 | 08-03 14:17 |
| Creative-Diction 0xeab6…d4c6 | No | +243 | $201 | $296 | 2 | 07-04 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5b0…7219 | Yes | +222 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-15 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | +133 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-03 21:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +113 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-03 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | Yes | +106 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-03 21:36 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-30 22:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x31ff…98b4 | Yes | +89 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-15 18:22 |
| Icy-Granny 0xe0ae…cb88 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x4573…0c60 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-14 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3187…2ec4 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-04 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cda…cee7 | Yes | +37 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-02 23:35 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-03 15:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d03…9d52 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 18:20 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +28 | $-35 | $6,523 | 35 | 08-03 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4209…aa9a | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-01 21:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-15 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-27 04:18 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-15 18:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf885…5274 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8564…0306 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 15:22 |
| Whole-Battalion 0x7ac9…576c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | +20 | $18 | $83 | 3 | 07-22 21:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8b4…19fe | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6364…1362 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xc68b…b030 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b17…9701 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 14:00 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 01:16 |
| Adventurous-Source 0xa572…d206 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 18:24 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +5 | $5 | $945 | 4 | 06-21 17:59 |
| Nimble-Essay 0x81de…20d4 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 07-21 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xab7e…1a5f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-01 12:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:27:26 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdb7713… |
| 08-03 15:27:26 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdb7713… |
| 08-03 15:12:42 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 101 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf420c0… |
| 08-03 15:12:42 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | Yes | SELL | 131 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xf420c0… |
| 08-03 15:12:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf420c0… |
| 08-03 14:17:09 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 874 | 96¢ | $839 | 0x1ff3e5… |
| 08-03 14:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd97e6e… |
| 08-03 14:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xd801…2b66 | No | SELL | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x1ff3e5… |
| 08-03 14:17:09 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 282 | 96¢ | $271 | 0x1ff3e5… |
| 08-03 14:17:09 | (anonymous) 0x628a…6d8f | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd97e6e… |
| 08-03 14:17:09 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 293 | 4¢ | $12 | 0x1ff3e5… |
| 08-03 14:17:09 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x1ff3e5… |
| 08-03 14:17:09 | (anonymous) 0x1a45…6b5f | No | SELL | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0x1ff3e5… |
| 08-02 23:35:27 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x7389a2… |
| 08-02 23:35:27 | (anonymous) 0x1cda…cee7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7389a2… |
| 08-02 15:22:57 | (anonymous) 0x8564…0306 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x66b2a8… |
| 08-02 15:22:57 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x66b2a8… |
| 08-01 21:37:20 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0xaadcc7… |
| 08-01 21:37:20 | (anonymous) 0x4209…aa9a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaadcc7… |
| 08-01 12:28:56 | (anonymous) 0xab7e…1a5f | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x06ff9f… |
| 08-01 12:28:56 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x06ff9f… |
| 08-01 12:28:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 230 | 95¢ | $218 | 0x166e40… |
| 08-01 12:28:53 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 230 | 95¢ | $218 | 0x166e40… |
| 07-30 22:47:45 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xea1cf3… |
| 07-30 22:47:45 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0xea1cf3… |
| 07-30 22:47:45 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 99 | 96¢ | $95 | 0xea1cf3… |
| 07-27 16:35:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 265 | 95¢ | $252 | 0xd4b11f… |
| 07-27 16:35:46 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 265 | 95¢ | $252 | 0xd4b11f… |
| 07-26 14:29:01 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 1,219 | 95¢ | $1,158 | 0x658b10… |
| 07-26 14:29:01 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 1,219 | 95¢ | $1,158 | 0x658b10… |
| 07-22 23:58:54 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xb1f5ea… |
| 07-22 23:58:54 | Unfinished-Precedence 0x8031…c84c | No | SELL | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xb1f5ea… |
| 07-22 21:16:37 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x3d1126… |
| 07-22 21:16:37 | (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | SELL | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x3d1126… |
| 07-21 21:08:22 | Nimble-Essay 0x81de…20d4 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf1105d… |
| 07-21 21:08:22 | (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | SELL | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0xf1105d… |
| 07-21 20:33:28 | (anonymous) 0x1cda…cee7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8a8795… |
| 07-21 20:33:28 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x8a8795… |
| 07-20 08:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | Yes | SELL | 58 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1eb29a… |
| 07-20 08:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1eb29a… |
| 07-19 15:18:25 | (anonymous) 0xd801…2b66 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x08c044… |
| 07-19 15:18:25 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x08c044… |
| 07-19 07:48:21 | (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | BUY | 525 | 4¢ | $21 | 0x3590f8… |
| 07-19 07:48:21 | Shocking-Cummerbund 0x378a…a638 | Yes | SELL | 525 | 4¢ | $21 | 0x3590f8… |
| 07-18 08:31:54 | (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x78e937… |
| 07-18 08:31:54 | (anonymous) 0x4c26…4750 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x78e937… |
| 07-16 22:16:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xcf32f5… |
| 07-16 22:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xcf32f5… |
| 07-16 07:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x7118…d193 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x35ff0f… |
| 07-16 07:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x35ff0f… |
| 07-14 13:14:55 | (anonymous) 0x4573…0c60 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x00a868… |
| 07-14 13:14:55 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x00a868… |
| 07-14 13:14:55 | (anonymous) 0xd801…2b66 | No | BUY | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0x00a868… |
| 07-14 13:14:55 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 102 | 94¢ | $96 | 0x00a868… |
| 07-14 05:36:38 | (anonymous) 0xa349…a150 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x07739d… |
| 07-14 05:36:38 | (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x07739d… |
| 07-13 06:17:01 | (anonymous) 0x67d4…0a2e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x941247… |
| 07-13 06:17:01 | (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x941247… |
| 07-12 08:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x6c802a… |
| 07-12 08:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x8bfd…fb46 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x6c802a… |
| 07-12 08:46:20 | (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x7c6916… |
| 07-12 08:46:20 | (anonymous) 0xedf0…a1d3 | Yes | SELL | 178 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x7c6916… |
| 07-12 08:46:20 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 102 | 95¢ | $97 | 0x7c6916… |
| 07-11 15:57:35 | (anonymous) 0xedf0…a1d3 | Yes | BUY | 178 | 6¢ | $11 | 0xc232d6… |
| 07-11 15:57:35 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 178 | 94¢ | $167 | 0xc232d6… |
| 07-10 19:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | Yes | BUY | 94 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xeea1de… |
| 07-10 19:30:02 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 66 | 94¢ | $62 | 0xeea1de… |
| 07-10 19:30:02 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 28 | 93¢ | $26 | 0xeea1de… |
| 07-10 19:29:40 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 36 | 94¢ | $34 | 0x01c57e… |
| 07-10 19:29:40 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | Yes | BUY | 95 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x01c57e… |
| 07-10 19:29:40 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x01c57e… |
| 07-10 19:29:40 | (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x01c57e… |
| 07-10 16:01:50 | (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xba4daa… |
| 07-10 16:01:50 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0xba4daa… |
| 07-10 14:07:44 | (anonymous) 0xb9fe…97ae | Yes | SELL | 1,029 | 4¢ | $41 | 0xa9d21f… |
| 07-10 14:07:44 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 663 | 96¢ | $636 | 0xa9d21f… |
| 07-10 07:08:53 | Close-Hatred 0x4865…0e90 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf47ca8… |
| 07-10 07:08:53 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0xf47ca8… |
| 07-08 16:46:50 | Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x2ed522… |
| 07-08 16:46:50 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2ed522… |
| 07-08 16:46:50 | (anonymous) 0x7118…d193 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x2ed522… |
| 07-08 16:46:50 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 71 | 96¢ | $68 | 0x2ed522… |
| 07-08 16:21:35 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 288 | 95¢ | $273 | 0xceae5d… |
| 07-08 16:21:35 | (anonymous) 0x82ae…2890 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xceae5d… |
| 07-08 16:21:35 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 298 | 95¢ | $283 | 0xceae5d… |
| 07-08 15:38:11 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xf6e7ac… |
| 07-08 15:38:11 | (anonymous) 0xf01b…224f | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf6e7ac… |
| 07-04 18:17:14 | Creative-Diction 0xeab6…d4c6 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x5b39ac… |
| 07-04 18:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x3187…2ec4 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x5b39ac… |
| 07-04 08:00:07 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 89 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x1b821e… |
| 07-04 08:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x8bfd…fb46 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x1b821e… |
| 07-04 07:59:04 | Irritating-Advice 0x6d9b…a7da | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x661715… |
| 07-04 07:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x82ae…2890 | No | SELL | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x661715… |
| 07-03 21:36:32 | (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xe768b0… |
| 07-03 21:36:32 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 106 | 93¢ | $99 | 0xe768b0… |
| 07-03 21:36:26 | (anonymous) 0x039e…b073 | Yes | BUY | 372 | 7¢ | $26 | 0xdac52c… |
| 07-03 21:36:26 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 372 | 93¢ | $346 | 0xdac52c… |
| 07-03 21:35:49 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 51 | 93¢ | $48 | 0xdc1b3e… |
| 07-03 21:35:49 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xdc1b3e… |
| 07-03 21:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x039e…b073 | Yes | BUY | 168 | 6¢ | $11 | 0xdc1b3e… |