Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
672
lifetime
Volume
$548
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$41
26 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-23 11:05
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52%
Sports
23%
Politics
22%
Crypto
4%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +4 $4 86¢ $4 $-1 07-17 23:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $4 20¢ $4 $-1 07-03 09:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +28 $4 14¢ $4 $-1 06-11 06:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11 $1 30¢ $3 +$2 06-14 22:11
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +6 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +11 $2 23¢ $3 +$0 07-16 22:05
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 07-21 18:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +6 $3 36¢ $2 $-1 07-11 18:49
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +7 $1 21¢ $2 +$0 07-15 23:40
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +8 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 07-15 23:39
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 07-16 02:56
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-04 06:05
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:17
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +21 $2 $1 $-2 06-04 06:07
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-14 11:00
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 18:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +6 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-1 07-21 19:07
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $1 $-1 06-24 06:24