Realized P&L
+$73
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
237
Trades
873
lifetime
Volume
$738
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-26 09:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
51% 65% +$75
Politics
25% 54% +$6
Sports
21% 67% -$8
Crypto
3% 38% +$0
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $4 16¢ $3 -$1 07-03 09:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11 $1 18¢ $2 +$1 06-14 22:11
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +28 $4 6¢ $2 -$3 06-11 06:32
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 07-15 23:40
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +6 $3 18¢ $1 -$2 07-11 18:49
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 63¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +6 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +26 $4 3¢ $1 -$4 07-25 03:02
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $0 07-14 11:00
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +8 $1 8¢ $1 -$1 07-15 23:39
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +2 $1 21¢ $1 -$1 07-22 04:51
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +4 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:17
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-16 02:56
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-29 02:21