Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$211
Trades
23
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$2,339
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-17 04:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $0 | $119 | $119 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $12 | $14 | $2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 3 | $12 | $46 | $34 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| unranked | 2 | $5 | $5 | $0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | +56 | $5 | $18 | 5 | 06-11 09:26 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-11 09:26 |
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | +34 | $3 | $7 | 2 | 06-11 09:26 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-11 09:26 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-02 08:16 |
| Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-02 08:16 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-17 04:09 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 04:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 04:09:14 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x49bad2… |
| 06-17 04:09:14 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x49bad2… |
| 06-11 09:26:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x37a114… |
| 06-11 09:26:37 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x37a114… |
| 06-11 09:26:37 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x37a114… |
| 06-11 09:26:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x37a114… |
| 06-11 08:37:39 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xbf9022… |
| 06-11 08:37:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xbf9022… |
| 06-11 08:37:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x828cbb… |
| 06-11 08:37:18 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x828cbb… |
| 06-11 08:33:01 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x7d4e42… |
| 06-11 08:33:01 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x7d4e42… |
| 06-11 08:33:01 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x7d4e42… |
| 06-02 08:17:09 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xfebb65… |
| 06-02 08:17:09 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xfebb65… |
| 06-02 08:17:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x8f669f… |
| 06-02 08:17:02 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8f669f… |
| 06-02 08:17:02 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0x8f669f… |
| 06-02 08:16:14 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x7f5605… |
| 06-02 08:16:14 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x7f5605… |
| 06-02 08:16:14 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0x7f5605… |
| 06-02 08:16:14 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x7f5605… |
| 06-02 08:16:14 | Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x7f5605… |