Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,374
Trades
235
Unique wallets
65
Liquidity
$2,339
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-10 00:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $236 | $1.2K | $1.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $55 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $124 | $83 | +$41 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $38 | $86 | $48 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $54 | $13 | +$41 |
| Median | 6 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
| Below median | 19 | $79 | $638 | $559 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $7 | $48 | $41 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $79 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $140 | $75 | +$65 |
| unranked | 22 | $90 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | +1,342 | $1,149 | $1,149 | 1 | 08-06 13:47 |
| Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | +974 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +870 | $790 | $1,245 | 17 | 08-06 10:11 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +798 | $112 | $149 | 5 | 08-07 08:13 |
| Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | +112 | $-5 | $41 | 5 | 08-06 03:04 |
| Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | +99 | $92 | $92 | 7 | 07-21 18:57 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +87 | $7 | $12 | 4 | 07-21 18:57 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +80 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 07-07 10:09 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +71 | $62 | $62 | 4 | 08-05 12:50 |
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | +67 | $14 | $65 | 17 | 08-07 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | +66 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 07-21 20:44 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +61 | $57 | $57 | 6 | 07-21 18:57 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +60 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 08-03 04:11 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +55 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-03 04:09 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +54 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-03 04:11 |
| Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | +53 | $12 | $84 | 25 | 08-10 00:39 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +52 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 07-21 23:01 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | +48 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-21 21:24 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-11 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +36 | $5 | $46 | 11 | 08-06 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-05 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 08-05 12:16 |
| Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-06 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x6364…1362 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| Rigid-Comptroller 0xd535…eff4 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x628a…6d8f | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xca6e…73e8 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x01ee…c603 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb7f…fb67 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3826…2bc7 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc030…749e | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8242…0f3c | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bcb…435c | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8444…7baa | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb69b…890c | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4e8…baac | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5217…8201 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9db…2ad3 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x020e…69c1 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-21 23:01 |
| Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-05 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | +12 | $14 | $499 | 7 | 08-06 13:47 |
| Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-02 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x738e…cc2c | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:57 |
| Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | +2 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 08-10 00:39 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 04:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 00:39:16 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xd16519… |
| 08-10 00:39:16 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xd16519… |
| 08-07 09:25:43 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa3f629… |
| 08-07 09:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x64b6…f6f6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa3f629… |
| 08-07 09:25:42 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x53862c… |
| 08-07 09:25:42 | (anonymous) 0x64b6…f6f6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x53862c… |
| 08-07 08:13:25 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x2ada53… |
| 08-07 08:13:25 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x2ada53… |
| 08-06 19:47:56 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 81 | 86¢ | $70 | 0x3ffc2e… |
| 08-06 19:47:56 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 81 | 14¢ | $11 | 0x3ffc2e… |
| 08-06 19:47:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 81 | 87¢ | $71 | 0xbeeb07… |
| 08-06 19:47:54 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 81 | 87¢ | $71 | 0xbeeb07… |
| 08-06 19:47:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x4a89aa… |
| 08-06 19:47:53 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 39 | 87¢ | $34 | 0x4a89aa… |
| 08-06 14:20:00 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xff46bb… |
| 08-06 14:20:00 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xff46bb… |
| 08-06 14:20:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xff46bb… |
| 08-06 13:47:51 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xb6aaec… |
| 08-06 13:47:51 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xb6aaec… |
| 08-06 13:47:51 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | BUY | 1,342 | 86¢ | $1,149 | 0xb6aaec… |
| 08-06 13:47:51 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xb6aaec… |
| 08-06 13:47:51 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | SELL | 138 | 85¢ | $117 | 0xb6aaec… |
| 08-06 13:47:51 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xb6aaec… |
| 08-06 13:47:51 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xb6aaec… |
| 08-06 13:47:51 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 929 | 14¢ | $130 | 0xb6aaec… |
| 08-06 10:11:42 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x877d8f… |
| 08-06 10:11:42 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x877d8f… |
| 08-06 03:04:03 | Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x5a7de3… |
| 08-06 03:04:03 | (anonymous) 0x6934…61ce | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x5a7de3… |
| 08-05 15:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x64b6…f6f6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa5e5ef… |
| 08-05 15:18:18 | Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x8b152d… |
| 08-05 15:18:18 | Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa5e5ef… |
| 08-05 15:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x64b6…f6f6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x8b152d… |
| 08-05 13:00:09 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x606fb7… |
| 08-05 13:00:09 | Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x606fb7… |
| 08-05 12:50:56 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 11 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x4c4188… |
| 08-05 12:50:56 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 11 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x4c4188… |
| 08-05 12:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | BUY | 37 | 85¢ | $32 | 0x85feb2… |
| 08-05 12:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 37 | 85¢ | $32 | 0x85feb2… |
| 08-05 12:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | BUY | 63 | 85¢ | $53 | 0x9e466d… |
| 08-05 12:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 63 | 85¢ | $53 | 0x9e466d… |
| 08-05 12:22:00 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xeb16e9… |
| 08-05 12:22:00 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0xeb16e9… |
| 08-05 12:22:00 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 63 | 85¢ | $53 | 0xeb16e9… |
| 08-05 12:16:33 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x857542… |
| 08-05 12:16:33 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x857542… |
| 08-05 12:16:33 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x630339… |
| 08-05 12:16:33 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | BUY | 150 | 86¢ | $129 | 0x630339… |
| 08-05 12:16:33 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x857542… |
| 08-05 12:16:33 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 200 | 86¢ | $172 | 0x630339… |
| 08-05 12:16:33 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x630339… |
| 08-05 12:16:33 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x857542… |
| 08-05 08:33:21 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x52efd2… |
| 08-05 08:33:21 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0x92af92… |
| 08-05 08:33:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x92af92… |
| 08-05 08:33:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x52efd2… |
| 08-05 08:23:35 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x17625d… |
| 08-05 08:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x17625d… |
| 08-05 08:23:05 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x3aa5cc… |
| 08-05 08:23:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x3aa5cc… |
| 08-05 08:23:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x3aa5cc… |
| 08-04 08:04:39 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xc23a6c… |
| 08-04 08:04:39 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xc23a6c… |
| 08-04 08:04:39 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0xc23a6c… |
| 08-03 17:26:11 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 54 | 87¢ | $47 | 0x34b47e… |
| 08-03 17:26:11 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x34b47e… |
| 08-03 17:26:08 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x8f40e4… |
| 08-03 17:26:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 44 | 87¢ | $38 | 0x8f40e4… |
| 08-03 17:20:26 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 13¢ | $7 | 0xed7115… |
| 08-03 17:20:26 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 13¢ | $7 | 0xed7115… |
| 08-03 04:11:02 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xbfb9d2… |
| 08-03 04:11:02 | (anonymous) 0xba0f…1011 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xbfb9d2… |
| 08-03 04:11:00 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | BUY | 54 | 88¢ | $48 | 0x9a24b5… |
| 08-03 04:11:00 | (anonymous) 0xba0f…1011 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9a24b5… |
| 08-03 04:11:00 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 15 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x9a24b5… |
| 08-03 04:11:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9a24b5… |
| 08-03 04:10:26 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xd59b79… |
| 08-03 04:10:26 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xd59b79… |
| 08-03 04:09:56 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xc746e1… |
| 08-03 04:09:56 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xc746e1… |
| 08-03 04:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x64b6…f6f6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc746e1… |
| 08-03 04:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xc746e1… |
| 08-03 04:09:56 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xc746e1… |
| 08-03 04:09:56 | Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | SELL | 175 | 12¢ | $21 | 0xc746e1… |
| 07-30 20:49:44 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xd7960d… |
| 07-30 20:49:44 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xd7960d… |
| 07-27 20:20:07 | (anonymous) 0x5631…3553 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xda1632… |
| 07-27 20:20:07 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xda1632… |
| 07-24 09:13:27 | (anonymous) 0x6934…61ce | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x5bf80d… |
| 07-24 09:13:27 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x5bf80d… |
| 07-22 09:24:54 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xc2537d… |
| 07-22 09:24:54 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc2537d… |
| 07-22 09:24:54 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xc2537d… |
| 07-21 23:01:45 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 13 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x2f7427… |
| 07-21 23:01:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x2f7427… |
| 07-21 21:24:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xdfcbad… |
| 07-21 21:24:34 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0xdfcbad… |
| 07-21 21:24:34 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xdfcbad… |
| 07-21 21:24:21 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 48 | 82¢ | $39 | 0xaea263… |
| 07-21 21:24:21 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xaea263… |