Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,484
Trades
70
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,339
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-17 09:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $20 | $18 | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $31 | $1.0K | $980 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $64 | $9 | +$55 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $2 | $20 | $18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| Median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 5 | $39 | $64 | $25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $13 | $970 | $957 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | $18 | $8 |
| unranked | 4 | $40 | $5 | +$35 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +772 | $710 | $1,101 | 9 | 07-17 07:11 |
| Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | +300 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-17 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +156 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-07 10:08 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +124 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 10:07 |
| Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | +84 | $11 | $41 | 13 | 07-17 09:30 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 7 | 07-08 19:38 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +80 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 07-07 10:09 |
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | +50 | $8 | $32 | 6 | 07-17 09:30 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-11 09:26 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 10:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-11 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | No | +13 | $12 | $25 | 3 | 07-06 12:20 |
| Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-02 08:16 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 04:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 09:30:24 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x76deeb… |
| 07-17 09:30:24 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x76deeb… |
| 07-17 07:11:46 | Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 6¢ | $18 | 0x3504a8… |
| 07-17 07:11:46 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x3504a8… |
| 07-17 07:11:46 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3504a8… |
| 07-17 07:11:46 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 184 | 94¢ | $173 | 0x3504a8… |
| 07-15 14:59:04 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x4c576c… |
| 07-15 14:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x4c576c… |
| 07-14 12:21:01 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 74 | 95¢ | $70 | 0xa30768… |
| 07-14 12:21:01 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xa30768… |
| 07-14 04:42:46 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb7bc13… |
| 07-14 04:42:46 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xb7bc13… |
| 07-12 09:19:02 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 31 | 95¢ | $30 | 0xbeeea2… |
| 07-12 09:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xbeeea2… |
| 07-08 19:38:43 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 84 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x1ba1ae… |
| 07-08 19:38:43 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1ba1ae… |
| 07-08 19:38:43 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 53 | 95¢ | $51 | 0x1ba1ae… |
| 07-07 10:09:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xea5380… |
| 07-07 10:09:02 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xea5380… |
| 07-07 10:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x51a05f… |
| 07-07 10:08:34 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x51a05f… |
| 07-07 10:08:34 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 151 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x51a05f… |
| 07-07 10:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x51a05f… |
| 07-07 10:08:34 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x51a05f… |
| 07-07 10:08:16 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 151 | 7¢ | $11 | 0x132b6f… |
| 07-07 10:08:16 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 171 | 93¢ | $159 | 0x132b6f… |
| 07-07 10:08:16 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x132b6f… |
| 07-07 10:08:11 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xd71c91… |
| 07-07 10:08:11 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd71c91… |
| 07-07 10:08:11 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd71c91… |
| 07-07 10:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xd71c91… |
| 07-07 10:07:53 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x9403ec… |
| 07-07 10:07:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x9403ec… |
| 07-07 10:07:53 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x9403ec… |
| 07-07 10:07:53 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x9403ec… |
| 07-07 10:07:53 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x9403ec… |
| 07-07 10:07:53 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 603 | 92¢ | $555 | 0x9403ec… |
| 07-07 10:07:53 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x9403ec… |
| 07-07 10:07:53 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x9403ec… |
| 07-07 10:07:53 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9403ec… |
| 07-06 12:20:34 | (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x21fd49… |
| 07-06 12:20:34 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x21fd49… |
| 07-06 12:19:29 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb4f44c… |
| 07-06 12:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xb4f44c… |
| 07-05 08:31:10 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9691c2… |
| 07-05 08:31:10 | (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x9691c2… |
| 07-05 08:31:10 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9691c2… |
| 06-17 04:09:14 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x49bad2… |
| 06-17 04:09:14 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x49bad2… |
| 06-11 09:26:37 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x37a114… |
| 06-11 09:26:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x37a114… |
| 06-11 09:26:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x37a114… |
| 06-11 09:26:37 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x37a114… |
| 06-11 08:37:39 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xbf9022… |
| 06-11 08:37:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xbf9022… |
| 06-11 08:37:18 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x828cbb… |
| 06-11 08:37:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x828cbb… |
| 06-11 08:33:01 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x7d4e42… |
| 06-11 08:33:01 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x7d4e42… |
| 06-11 08:33:01 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x7d4e42… |
| 06-02 08:17:09 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xfebb65… |
| 06-02 08:17:09 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xfebb65… |
| 06-02 08:17:02 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8f669f… |
| 06-02 08:17:02 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0x8f669f… |
| 06-02 08:17:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x8f669f… |
| 06-02 08:16:14 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x7f5605… |
| 06-02 08:16:14 | Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x7f5605… |
| 06-02 08:16:14 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0x7f5605… |
| 06-02 08:16:14 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x7f5605… |
| 06-02 08:16:14 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x7f5605… |