Realized P&L
-$6.33K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.65K
Hit rate
7.4%
Resolved
2,963
Trades
25,692
lifetime
Volume
$359.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$33.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 10-29 11:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
64% 18% -$3,982
Politics
24% 5% -$1,602
Tech
5% 2% -$209
Sports
4% 11% -$167
Crypto
3% 52% -$352
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +3,030 $2,621 84¢ $2.5K -$91 10-22 07:05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,084 $1,795 86¢ $1.8K +$7 10-21 20:02
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +1,913 $1,517 78¢ $1.5K -$15 10-22 20:29
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +2,691 $1,374 55¢ $1.5K +$92 10-25 17:09
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1,714 $1,440 84¢ $1.4K -$9 10-26 19:47
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,548 $1,380 91¢ $1.4K +$29 10-18 23:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +1,514 $1,272 88¢ $1.3K +$53 10-04 17:30
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +1,516 $1,205 83¢ $1.3K +$53 10-28 16:46
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,515 $1,204 82¢ $1.2K +$36 10-05 18:01
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +2,691 $1,339 46¢ $1.2K -$115 10-25 17:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,447 $1,121 84¢ $1.2K +$102 10-19 11:57
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2027 No +1,317 $1,163 88¢ $1.2K +$3 10-23 23:51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,258 $913 90¢ $1.1K +$225 10-18 23:16
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +1,094 $854 97¢ $1.1K +$205 10-17 23:11
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1,474 $872 72¢ $1.1K +$182 07-02 04:19
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,069 $432 98¢ $1.0K +$611 10-12 03:27
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +1,294 $1,017 80¢ $1.0K +$12 10-29 00:01
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,009 $754 97¢ $983 +$229 07-01 09:46
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,072 $897 84¢ $906 +$9 10-28 14:21
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1,025 $863 84¢ $856 -$7 10-24 15:37
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +1,218 $784 64¢ $786 +$2 10-21 11:23
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +908 $703 86¢ $777 +$74 10-23 16:25
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +906 $751 82¢ $747 -$3 10-26 06:28
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +744 $578 100¢ $741 +$163 10-02 13:14
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +741 $198 98¢ $730 +$532 09-18 11:01
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? No +971 $663 75¢ $728 +$66 07-14 12:23
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +980 $760 74¢ $720 -$40 10-18 08:28
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +778 $703 92¢ $719 +$16 10-11 05:25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +849 $525 84¢ $709 +$183 10-10 18:23
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +698 $624 96¢ $670 +$46 08-14 18:02