Realized P&L
-$6.23K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.23K
Hit rate
7.4%
Resolved
2,926
Trades
25,631
lifetime
Volume
$355.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$31.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 10-26 21:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 147 days
Categories
Other
64% 18% -$3,906
Politics
25% 5% -$1,580
Tech
5% 2% -$209
Sports
4% 11% -$159
Crypto
3% 52% -$352
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 2158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +3,030 $2,621 84¢ $2.5K -$91 10-22 07:05
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +1,913 $1,517 81¢ $1.5K +$33 10-22 20:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,084 $1,795 70¢ $1.4K -$347 10-21 20:02
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +2,691 $1,374 54¢ $1.4K +$65 10-25 17:09
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1,714 $1,440 84¢ $1.4K -$9 10-26 19:47
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,548 $1,380 86¢ $1.3K -$41 10-18 23:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +1,514 $1,272 84¢ $1.3K +$8 10-04 17:30
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +2,691 $1,339 46¢ $1.3K -$88 10-25 17:09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,515 $1,204 81¢ $1.2K +$20 10-05 18:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,447 $1,121 84¢ $1.2K +$102 10-19 11:57
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,317 $1,163 88¢ $1.2K +$3 10-23 23:51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,258 $913 88¢ $1.1K +$187 10-18 23:16
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +1,308 $1,029 84¢ $1.1K +$63 10-21 23:24
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,069 $432 99¢ $1.1K +$625 10-12 03:27
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +1,094 $854 96¢ $1.1K +$200 10-17 23:11
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1,474 $872 70¢ $1.0K +$167 07-02 04:19
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,009 $754 99¢ $1.0K +$246 07-01 09:46
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1,025 $863 84¢ $866 +$3 10-24 15:37
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +1,052 $823 80¢ $836 +$13 10-25 19:07
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +1,218 $784 64¢ $786 +$2 10-21 11:23
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +908 $703 84¢ $763 +$60 10-23 16:25
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +922 $768 80¢ $742 -$26 10-25 14:34
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +744 $578 99¢ $735 +$157 10-02 13:14
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +906 $751 80¢ $729 -$21 10-26 06:28
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? No +971 $663 75¢ $728 +$66 07-14 12:23
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +741 $198 98¢ $728 +$530 09-18 11:01
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +778 $703 92¢ $719 +$16 10-11 05:25
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +980 $760 70¢ $681 -$79 10-18 08:28
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +698 $624 96¢ $672 +$48 08-14 18:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,083 $315 30¢ $635 +$320 10-21 20:02