Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
7,869
lifetime
Volume
$1.19M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$19.7K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
43%
—
—
Other
36%
—
—
Tech
19%
—
—
Crypto
1%
—
—
Sports
1%
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—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk
• peak 329 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | 84 | $31.0K | 21,246 | 16,883 | +4,364 | open | — | 05-14 16:33 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 41 | $29.4K | 19,127 | 11,147 | +7,980 | open | — | 03-10 13:34 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 59 | $27.5K | 13,045 | 15,065 | -2,019 | open | — | 01-28 14:09 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 132 | $27.0K | 15,056 | 16,671 | -1,615 | open | — | 05-25 23:08 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 6 | $25.5K | 25,566 | 0 | +25,566 | open | — | 04-30 20:36 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | 133 | $22.0K | 13,292 | 14,865 | -1,573 | open | — | 04-21 20:54 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026? | 92 | $20.0K | 13,086 | 8,867 | +4,219 | open | — | 04-23 18:05 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 29 | $19.4K | 12,643 | 7,000 | +5,643 | open | — | 01-31 16:18 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 146 | $19.1K | 14,078 | 14,337 | -259 | open | — | 01-23 23:18 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 7 | $18.8K | 9,451 | 9,451 | +0 | open | — | 04-01 04:03 |
| gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595 | 81 | $18.2K | 14,096 | 6,156 | +7,940 | open | — | 04-23 18:04 |
| will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 | 86 | $17.9K | 8,277 | 10,852 | -2,575 | open | — | 01-25 02:42 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 156 | $17.3K | 15,670 | 15,242 | +428 | open | — | 05-25 21:35 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 16 | $16.7K | 11,200 | 6,000 | +5,200 | open | — | 03-31 15:21 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 23 | $16.6K | 12,614 | 4,523 | +8,092 | open | — | 02-22 14:32 |
| will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026 | 124 | $16.2K | 10,910 | 8,317 | +2,593 | open | — | 06-09 17:03 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 15 | 108 | $14.2K | 10,022 | 11,786 | -1,764 | open | — | 06-09 08:23 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 35 | $13.5K | 7,656 | 6,876 | +781 | open | — | 04-21 03:04 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026 | 39 | $13.2K | 12,891 | 1,867 | +11,024 | open | — | 04-21 20:37 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | 136 | $11.5K | 9,010 | 7,178 | +1,832 | open | — | 05-25 06:04 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 27 | $11.4K | 7,444 | 4,086 | +3,358 | open | — | 01-07 21:00 |
| will axiom be accused of insider trading | 58 | $10.6K | 5,979 | 6,429 | -450 | open | — | 02-25 17:40 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | 47 | $10.5K | 4,800 | 6,800 | -2,000 | open | — | 05-21 18:59 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | 20 | $10.3K | 5,040 | 5,640 | -600 | open | — | 05-22 23:00 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | 75 | $10.2K | 7,476 | 3,941 | +3,536 | open | — | 04-28 09:07 |
| will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026 | 104 | $10.1K | 11,533 | 11,033 | +500 | open | — | 02-20 22:17 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 9 | $9.9K | 5,070 | 5,070 | +0 | open | — | 05-22 23:00 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 59 | $9.8K | 5,614 | 6,835 | -1,221 | open | — | 01-15 14:16 |
| will anthropic be the first company to have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026 | 17 | $9.2K | 5,211 | 5,092 | +119 | open | — | 02-09 20:01 |
| will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the best ai model on april 17 2026 | 26 | $9.0K | 8,450 | 2,137 | +6,313 | open | — | 04-17 16:00 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | 352 | $174.9K | 17,020 | 06-09 19:35 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 334 | $39.1M | 61,482 | 06-09 21:46 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 311 | $1.83M | 32,996 | 06-09 21:47 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 301 | $46.3K | 10,194 | 06-09 12:31 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 300 | $283.2K | 2,393 | 06-08 23:32 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | 291 | $727.6K | 56,796 | 06-01 05:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2 | 265 | $290.0K | 26,947 | 03-30 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | 253 | $19.7K | 11,254 | 06-09 16:59 |