Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
open
Total volume
$8,710
$155 in 24h
Trades
366
Unique wallets
105
Liquidity
$5,159
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-12 11:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.7¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $973
vs crowd: 32% YES on $4.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $673 | $1.8K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 33 | $380 | $802 | $422 |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $374 | $566 | $192 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $143 | $167 | $24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $156 | $817 | $661 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $55 | $33 | +$22 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $112 | $38 | +$74 |
| Median | 5 | $27 | $61 | $34 |
| Below median | 15 | $101 | $384 | $283 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $55 | $245 | $191 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $97 | $329 | $232 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $529 | $1.0K | $475 |
| unranked | 38 | $439 | $468 | $30 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +822 | $222 | $222 | 2 | 06-30 20:13 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | +657 | $137 | $137 | 4 | 06-30 20:09 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +657 | $444 | $1,190 | 3 | 07-02 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x8152…bfda | Yes | +550 | $98 | $98 | 6 | 07-07 12:34 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +409 | $89 | $97 | 2 | 07-06 13:08 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +350 | $268 | $268 | 4 | 07-02 02:46 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | +320 | $69 | $69 | 4 | 06-26 06:32 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +144 | $39 | $105 | 3 | 07-06 18:29 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +144 | $108 | $529 | 6 | 07-03 14:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +114 | $93 | $93 | 4 | 07-09 03:16 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +109 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-26 00:14 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +109 | $91 | $152 | 5 | 06-30 20:13 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +108 | $21 | $25 | 4 | 06-30 20:13 |
| Impressionable-Havoc 0x90ee…801b | Yes | +100 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 07-02 02:51 |
| Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | +83 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-02 19:21 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +65 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-02 02:46 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | +65 | $60 | $289 | 4 | 07-02 02:46 |
| Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | +50 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-06 13:08 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-06 18:29 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-06 13:08 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +50 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 07-06 13:08 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-06 13:08 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-12 11:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-02 03:05 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-06 13:08 |
| Mysterious-Jury 0xc8b2…7c84 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 02:46 |
| Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f…424e | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-13 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 02:46 |
| Mysterious-Jury 0xc8b2…7c84 | No | +20 | $15 | $48 | 3 | 07-02 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-02 02:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $36 | 6 | 07-06 13:08 |
| Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-01 05:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-04 22:58 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 09:10 |
| Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 15:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c8…d1fa | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c49…af6a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 11:04 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +4 | $-2 | $75 | 7 | 07-06 09:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x926d…a15b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-02 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x065b…714f | No | +1 | $-2 | $124 | 4 | 07-06 13:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 11:26:13 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x33413d… |
| 07-12 11:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x33413d… |
| 07-12 11:19:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xdd04fe… |
| 07-12 11:19:28 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xdd04fe… |
| 07-09 15:10:11 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x4ade90… |
| 07-09 15:10:11 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x4ade90… |
| 07-09 03:16:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x1d7284… |
| 07-09 03:16:13 | (anonymous) 0x608f…9065 | No | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x1d7284… |
| 07-09 02:46:23 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x883a0c… |
| 07-09 02:46:23 | (anonymous) 0x608f…9065 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x883a0c… |
| 07-09 02:46:19 | (anonymous) 0x608f…9065 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xdca39b… |
| 07-09 02:46:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xdca39b… |
| 07-09 02:46:19 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xdca39b… |
| 07-09 02:46:19 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0xdca39b… |
| 07-09 02:44:22 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x9b4bb8… |
| 07-09 02:44:22 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x9b4bb8… |
| 07-09 02:44:22 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 80 | 82¢ | $66 | 0x9b4bb8… |
| 07-09 02:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x765f…1508 | No | SELL | 87 | 82¢ | $71 | 0xc09a34… |
| 07-09 02:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc09a34… |
| 07-09 02:44:20 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | BUY | 80 | 82¢ | $66 | 0xc09a34… |
| 07-07 12:34:41 | (anonymous) 0x8152…bfda | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x3020ef… |
| 07-07 12:34:41 | (anonymous) 0x9c90…17ef | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x3020ef… |
| 07-07 06:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | SELL | 190 | 18¢ | $34 | 0x258abf… |
| 07-07 06:18:17 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 190 | 82¢ | $156 | 0x258abf… |
| 07-06 18:30:52 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x05aedd… |
| 07-06 18:30:52 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x05aedd… |
| 07-06 18:30:20 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x0ac1b3… |
| 07-06 18:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x9c90…17ef | Yes | BUY | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x0ac1b3… |
| 07-06 18:30:20 | (anonymous) 0xf18c…18c1 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x0ac1b3… |
| 07-06 18:29:23 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x126624… |
| 07-06 18:29:23 | (anonymous) 0xf18c…18c1 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x126624… |
| 07-06 18:29:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 170 | 20¢ | $33 | 0x126624… |
| 07-06 18:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x126624… |
| 07-06 18:29:23 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x126624… |
| 07-06 18:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x126624… |
| 07-06 13:09:05 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 20¢ | $19 | 0x62daf5… |
| 07-06 13:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 20¢ | $19 | 0x62daf5… |
| 07-06 13:08:53 | Sudden-Rider 0xae17…fa7b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x6236f0… |
| 07-06 13:08:53 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 20¢ | $9 | 0x6236f0… |
| 07-06 13:08:53 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6236f0… |
| 07-06 13:08:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x3840c5… |
| 07-06 13:08:35 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x3840c5… |
| 07-06 13:08:35 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x3840c5… |
| 07-06 13:08:35 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x3840c5… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xefa489… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 23¢ | $22 | 0xefa489… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 22¢ | $37 | 0xefa489… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0xefa489… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xefa489… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0xefa489… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | (anonymous) 0x065b…714f | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xefa489… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | Wet-Clam 0x3606…4e08 | Yes | SELL | 903 | 22¢ | $201 | 0xefa489… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xa6c38c… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 422 | 22¢ | $93 | 0xefa489… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0xa6c38c… |
| 07-06 13:08:32 | Sudden-Rider 0xae17…fa7b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xefa489… |
| 07-06 09:27:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbb27d2… |
| 07-06 09:27:34 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbb27d2… |
| 07-06 05:36:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xe44304… |
| 07-06 05:36:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xe44304… |
| 07-06 03:41:20 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x15fe36… |
| 07-06 03:41:20 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x15fe36… |
| 07-06 03:16:16 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 28 | 80¢ | $22 | 0x5b1e43… |
| 07-06 03:16:16 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x5b1e43… |
| 07-06 03:16:16 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 29 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x5b1e43… |
| 07-05 21:58:08 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x57b95d… |
| 07-05 21:58:08 | Smug-Respite 0x9cd5…c868 | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x57b95d… |
| 07-05 19:43:53 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x802b19… |
| 07-05 19:43:53 | Smug-Respite 0x9cd5…c868 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x802b19… |
| 07-05 01:12:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0xe2ef09… |
| 07-05 01:12:41 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | No | SELL | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0xe2ef09… |
| 07-04 22:58:07 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xa15eb4… |
| 07-04 22:58:07 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xa15eb4… |
| 07-04 22:58:07 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xa15eb4… |
| 07-04 03:04:28 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 66 | 16¢ | $11 | 0xf72137… |
| 07-04 03:04:28 | (anonymous) 0x065b…714f | No | SELL | 66 | 84¢ | $55 | 0xf72137… |
| 07-03 14:32:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 88 | 82¢ | $72 | 0xd6c1f8… |
| 07-03 14:32:16 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xd6c1f8… |
| 07-03 14:32:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 34 | 82¢ | $28 | 0xd6c1f8… |
| 07-03 14:32:16 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xd6c1f8… |
| 07-02 19:21:17 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc2a59f… |
| 07-02 19:21:17 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc2a59f… |
| 07-02 15:12:35 | Mysterious-Board 0xe468…9f4c | No | SELL | 216 | 82¢ | $177 | 0x9c8593… |
| 07-02 15:12:35 | (anonymous) 0x065b…714f | Yes | SELL | 21 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x9c8593… |
| 07-02 15:12:35 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 194 | 82¢ | $159 | 0x9c8593… |
| 07-02 15:12:26 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 130 | 83¢ | $108 | 0xd4b5b7… |
| 07-02 15:12:26 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 17¢ | $13 | 0xd4b5b7… |
| 07-02 15:12:26 | Mysterious-Board 0xe468…9f4c | Yes | SELL | 208 | 17¢ | $35 | 0xd4b5b7… |
| 07-02 15:00:40 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x59316e… |
| 07-02 15:00:40 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x59316e… |
| 07-02 15:00:37 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x84437d… |
| 07-02 15:00:37 | (anonymous) 0x065b…714f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x84437d… |
| 07-02 12:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x972c…d1a1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xc5901d… |
| 07-02 12:05:22 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xc5901d… |
| 07-02 12:05:14 | (anonymous) 0x065b…714f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xb6bdc8… |
| 07-02 12:05:14 | (anonymous) 0x972c…d1a1 | No | SELL | 14 | 82¢ | $11 | 0xb6bdc8… |
| 07-02 05:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xd4c191… |
| 07-02 05:30:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xd4c191… |
| 07-02 05:30:28 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xd4c191… |
| 07-02 04:30:17 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x447dfb… |