Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
open
Total volume
$13,951
$155 in 24h
Trades
594
Unique wallets
155
Liquidity
$5,159
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-05 08:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.9¢
(top1%: 36% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 31% YES on $8.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $1.0K | $2.2K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 44 | $734 | $1.8K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 57 | $535 | $1.3K | $739 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $233 | $219 | +$14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $463 | $817 | $353 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $90 | $362 | $272 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $142 | $59 | +$83 |
| Median | 9 | $37 | $114 | $77 |
| Below median | 22 | $260 | $722 | $461 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $73 | $293 | $220 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 15 | $148 | $456 | $308 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $569 | $1.1K | $508 |
| unranked | 65 | $725 | $1.6K | $872 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purple-Fruit 0x97ea…3363 | Yes | +1,307 | $281 | $281 | 1 | 07-24 17:09 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +822 | $222 | $222 | 2 | 06-30 20:13 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | +657 | $137 | $137 | 4 | 06-30 20:09 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +657 | $444 | $1,190 | 3 | 07-02 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x8152…bfda | Yes | +570 | $100 | $100 | 7 | 08-05 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | +421 | $315 | $315 | 2 | 07-27 07:00 |
| Reflecting-Pantology 0x4c4e…297b | No | +321 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 07-28 00:48 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | +320 | $69 | $69 | 4 | 06-26 06:32 |
| Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | +285 | $231 | $231 | 1 | 08-01 07:37 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | No | +256 | $175 | $175 | 2 | 07-24 20:40 |
| Taut-Cottage 0x1771…6796 | Yes | +250 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 08-05 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +201 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 08-05 08:49 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | +200 | $32 | $32 | 5 | 08-05 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f03…2634 | Yes | +156 | $44 | $60 | 3 | 07-28 14:54 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +146 | $40 | $225 | 6 | 07-26 22:14 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +144 | $39 | $105 | 3 | 07-06 18:29 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +144 | $108 | $529 | 6 | 07-03 14:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +114 | $93 | $93 | 4 | 07-09 03:16 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +109 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-26 00:14 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +109 | $91 | $152 | 5 | 06-30 20:13 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +108 | $21 | $25 | 4 | 06-30 20:13 |
| Impressionable-Havoc 0x90ee…801b | Yes | +100 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 07-02 02:51 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +100 | $14 | $56 | 4 | 08-05 01:08 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +90 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 08-05 01:08 |
| Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | +83 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-02 19:21 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | +75 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-27 07:12 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +65 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-02 02:46 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | +65 | $67 | $378 | 6 | 07-24 19:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +64 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 07-24 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | +54 | $26 | $255 | 14 | 08-05 08:49 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-06 13:08 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +50 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 07-06 13:08 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +42 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 08-01 07:37 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +31 | $5 | $20 | 5 | 07-28 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf057…ab54 | Yes | +26 | $9 | $24 | 2 | 07-25 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf057…ab54 | No | +26 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-24 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-02 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | +20 | $17 | $110 | 6 | 07-26 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 02:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-05 06:03 |
| Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f…424e | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-13 10:51 |
| Mysterious-Jury 0xc8b2…7c84 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 08-05 06:03 |
| Mysterious-Jury 0xc8b2…7c84 | No | +20 | $15 | $48 | 3 | 07-02 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd322…8503 | Yes | +14 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-24 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-04 22:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb6b…9c50 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-26 05:00 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +6 | $-18 | $554 | 12 | 08-05 01:08 |
| Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-25 05:12 |
| Steel-Digging 0x1073…d8ba | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-24 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | +1 | $-4 | $119 | 13 | 07-28 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | No | +1 | $1 | $13 | 2 | 07-26 05:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x926d…a15b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-02 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x065b…714f | No | +1 | $-2 | $124 | 4 | 07-06 13:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:49:12 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x62cdac… |
| 08-05 08:49:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 39 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x62cdac… |
| 08-05 07:05:54 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 62 | 16¢ | $10 | 0xbcd424… |
| 08-05 07:05:54 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 16¢ | $10 | 0xbcd424… |
| 08-05 06:03:41 | (anonymous) 0x8152…bfda | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xac5353… |
| 08-05 06:03:41 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xac5353… |
| 08-05 06:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0xfd3f52… |
| 08-05 06:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 120 | 16¢ | $19 | 0xfd3f52… |
| 08-05 06:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xfd3f52… |
| 08-05 01:13:33 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x80728d… |
| 08-05 01:13:33 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x80728d… |
| 08-05 01:10:03 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2a9515… |
| 08-05 01:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2a9515… |
| 08-05 01:08:14 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 134 | 16¢ | $21 | 0x5f400f… |
| 08-05 01:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x5f400f… |
| 08-05 01:08:14 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x5f400f… |
| 08-05 01:08:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 189 | 16¢ | $30 | 0x5f400f… |
| 08-05 01:08:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 140 | 17¢ | $23 | 0x1e418a… |
| 08-05 01:08:06 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x1e418a… |
| 08-05 01:08:06 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 54 | 83¢ | $44 | 0x1e418a… |
| 08-05 01:08:06 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 36 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x1e418a… |
| 08-05 01:08:03 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Allergist 0x6430…d6e7 | Yes | SELL | 884 | 18¢ | $159 | 0xa4ee93… |
| 08-05 01:08:03 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xa4ee93… |
| 08-05 01:08:03 | Taut-Cottage 0x1771…6796 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 18¢ | $45 | 0xa4ee93… |
| 08-05 01:08:03 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 474 | 18¢ | $85 | 0xa4ee93… |
| 08-05 01:08:03 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 18¢ | $25 | 0xa4ee93… |
| 08-03 23:33:00 | Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xd933f5… |
| 08-03 23:33:00 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xd933f5… |
| 08-02 23:34:15 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x9e9660… |
| 08-02 23:34:15 | Attractive-Platinum 0xa0b1…f782 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x9e9660… |
| 08-02 23:34:15 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $16 | 0x9e9660… |
| 08-01 07:41:09 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xa76225… |
| 08-01 07:41:09 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xa76225… |
| 08-01 07:37:59 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 51 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x1cc217… |
| 08-01 07:37:59 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 51 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x1cc217… |
| 08-01 07:37:54 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 140 | 83¢ | $116 | 0x011a39… |
| 08-01 07:37:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 140 | 17¢ | $24 | 0x011a39… |
| 08-01 07:37:53 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xe01fa0… |
| 08-01 07:37:53 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xe01fa0… |
| 08-01 07:37:51 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 51 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xbb68dd… |
| 08-01 07:37:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 19¢ | $27 | 0xbb68dd… |
| 08-01 07:37:51 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xbb68dd… |
| 08-01 07:37:51 | Decimal-Covariate 0xd416…d9e2 | No | SELL | 32 | 81¢ | $26 | 0xbb68dd… |
| 08-01 07:37:51 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xbb68dd… |
| 08-01 07:37:51 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xbb68dd… |
| 08-01 07:37:51 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | BUY | 285 | 81¢ | $231 | 0xbb68dd… |
| 07-28 14:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xf5d0…99f3 | No | SELL | 76 | 81¢ | $61 | 0x353e76… |
| 07-28 14:54:43 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x353e76… |
| 07-28 14:54:43 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x353e76… |
| 07-28 14:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x5f03…2634 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x353e76… |
| 07-28 13:20:23 | (anonymous) 0xf5d0…99f3 | No | SELL | 51 | 82¢ | $42 | 0xd28cdb… |
| 07-28 13:20:23 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xd28cdb… |
| 07-28 01:00:52 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xc67cf4… |
| 07-28 01:00:52 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 27 | 81¢ | $22 | 0xc67cf4… |
| 07-28 00:48:34 | (anonymous) 0xf5d0…99f3 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x02d6d6… |
| 07-28 00:48:34 | (anonymous) 0xf5d0…99f3 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x65e101… |
| 07-28 00:48:34 | Worst-Body 0x3af9…b4bb | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x65e101… |
| 07-28 00:48:34 | Limping-Brewer 0x7244…2aaf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x02d6d6… |
| 07-28 00:48:33 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 19¢ | $7 | 0xf336a4… |
| 07-28 00:48:33 | (anonymous) 0xafbe…072e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x27f3d2… |
| 07-28 00:48:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xf336a4… |
| 07-28 00:48:33 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xf336a4… |
| 07-28 00:48:33 | (anonymous) 0xf5d0…99f3 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x27f3d2… |
| 07-28 00:48:31 | Limping-Brewer 0x7244…2aaf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xc7cda0… |
| 07-28 00:48:31 | Reflecting-Pantology 0x4c4e…297b | No | BUY | 321 | 79¢ | $255 | 0xc7cda0… |
| 07-28 00:48:31 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0xc7cda0… |
| 07-28 00:48:31 | Worst-Body 0x3af9…b4bb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xc7cda0… |
| 07-28 00:48:31 | (anonymous) 0xafbe…072e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xc7cda0… |
| 07-28 00:48:31 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 20¢ | $12 | 0xc7cda0… |
| 07-28 00:48:31 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 21¢ | $11 | 0xc7cda0… |
| 07-28 00:48:31 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xc7cda0… |
| 07-27 22:51:19 | Decimal-Covariate 0xd416…d9e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xfb2d80… |
| 07-27 22:51:19 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xfb2d80… |
| 07-27 22:51:13 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 11 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x0c0bea… |
| 07-27 22:51:13 | Decimal-Covariate 0xd416…d9e2 | No | BUY | 11 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x0c0bea… |
| 07-27 13:37:54 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x57f33b… |
| 07-27 13:37:54 | Decimal-Covariate 0xd416…d9e2 | No | BUY | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x57f33b… |
| 07-27 13:37:51 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x8c1c6f… |
| 07-27 13:37:51 | Decimal-Covariate 0xd416…d9e2 | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x8c1c6f… |
| 07-27 12:32:24 | Decimal-Covariate 0xd416…d9e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xc1cdd9… |
| 07-27 12:32:24 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xc1cdd9… |
| 07-27 12:32:12 | Decimal-Covariate 0xd416…d9e2 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x48fc37… |
| 07-27 12:32:12 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x48fc37… |
| 07-27 07:12:49 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 24¢ | $8 | 0xffb1d8… |
| 07-27 07:12:49 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | BUY | 75 | 24¢ | $18 | 0xffb1d8… |
| 07-27 07:12:49 | (anonymous) 0xfb6b…9c50 | Yes | SELL | 108 | 24¢ | $26 | 0xffb1d8… |
| 07-27 07:11:10 | (anonymous) 0xfb6b…9c50 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 24¢ | $16 | 0x8cd654… |
| 07-27 07:11:10 | Lasting-Postage 0x38a8…865a | Yes | SELL | 66 | 24¢ | $16 | 0x8cd654… |
| 07-27 07:08:04 | Lasting-Postage 0x38a8…865a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x446ae3… |
| 07-27 07:08:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x446ae3… |
| 07-27 07:08:04 | (anonymous) 0xfb6b…9c50 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x446ae3… |
| 07-27 07:00:52 | Lasting-Postage 0x38a8…865a | Yes | BUY | 65 | 24¢ | $16 | 0x0c39b6… |
| 07-27 07:00:52 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x0c39b6… |
| 07-27 07:00:52 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 24¢ | $18 | 0x0c39b6… |
| 07-27 07:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 75 | 25¢ | $19 | 0x599c33… |
| 07-27 07:00:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 25¢ | $19 | 0x599c33… |
| 07-27 07:00:40 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 226 | 75¢ | $170 | 0x41642d… |
| 07-27 07:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x5f03…2634 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x41642d… |
| 07-27 07:00:40 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 25¢ | $13 | 0x41642d… |
| 07-27 07:00:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 75 | 25¢ | $19 | 0x41642d… |