| 06-06 10:28:54 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490
|
No |
BUY |
50 |
99¢ |
$50 |
0x282e0a…
|
| 06-06 07:25:16 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480
|
Yes |
BUY |
128 |
98¢ |
$125 |
0xec2385…
|
| 06-06 07:18:13 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480
|
Yes |
BUY |
26 |
98¢ |
$25 |
0x9d74ff…
|
| 06-06 07:17:07 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510
|
No |
BUY |
6 |
98¢ |
$6 |
0x3fb51e…
|
| 06-06 07:17:04 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480
|
Yes |
BUY |
97 |
98¢ |
$95 |
0x1d1fa2…
|
| 06-06 07:16:13 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500
|
No |
BUY |
13 |
92¢ |
$12 |
0xfec5a7…
|
| 06-06 07:13:42 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510
|
No |
BUY |
155 |
99¢ |
$153 |
0xb84770…
|
| 06-06 07:13:28 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500
|
No |
BUY |
166 |
89¢ |
$149 |
0xb03287…
|
| 06-06 07:13:12 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480
|
Yes |
BUY |
169 |
73¢ |
$123 |
0xa8e6a8…
|
| 06-05 18:20:24 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
300 |
42¢ |
$126 |
0xe194b9…
|
| 06-05 16:06:28 |
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
104 |
38¢ |
$40 |
0x661c22…
|
| 06-05 04:47:48 |
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
11 |
38¢ |
$4 |
0x1b111a…
|
| 06-05 04:44:15 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
167 |
38¢ |
$63 |
0x9c9f63…
|
| 06-05 02:58:48 |
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
|
No |
BUY |
284 |
88¢ |
$248 |
0x1ea1d9…
|
| 06-05 02:58:36 |
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?
|
No |
BUY |
94 |
87¢ |
$82 |
0x1d6533…
|
| 06-05 02:54:45 |
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
|
No |
BUY |
10 |
85¢ |
$8 |
0x557e9d…
|
| 06-05 02:54:30 |
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?
|
No |
BUY |
70 |
85¢ |
$59 |
0xf04303…
|
| 06-04 17:44:13 |
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343
|
Yes |
SELL |
50 |
26¢ |
$13 |
0x964879…
|
| 06-04 17:34:30 |
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
444 |
56¢ |
$249 |
0x6b5643…
|
| 06-04 17:33:46 |
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343
|
Yes |
SELL |
50 |
25¢ |
$13 |
0x04fc91…
|
| 06-04 17:33:21 |
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
56 |
35¢ |
$20 |
0xd66ecc…
|
| 06-04 15:54:39 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
917 |
33¢ |
$303 |
0xde4edf…
|
| 06-04 15:54:19 |
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
|
No |
SELL |
230 |
95¢ |
$218 |
0x5c39e4…
|
| 06-04 15:53:49 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
180 |
85¢ |
$154 |
0xe5fc68…
|
| 06-04 14:22:42 |
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343
|
Yes |
SELL |
50 |
25¢ |
$12 |
0x5128a6…
|
| 06-04 03:02:12 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520
|
No |
BUY |
94 |
92¢ |
$86 |
0x5d18e3…
|
| 06-04 02:59:04 |
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510
|
No |
BUY |
831 |
59¢ |
$491 |
0xe8097c…
|
| 06-04 02:58:40 |
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
|
No |
SELL |
282 |
94¢ |
$265 |
0x0aee17…
|
| 06-04 02:52:07 |
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
216 |
27¢ |
$57 |
0x7499dc…
|
| 06-03 20:03:07 |
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
67 |
55¢ |
$37 |
0x416a37…
|
| 06-02 16:14:34 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
146 |
68¢ |
$99 |
0x2b4b0c…
|
| 06-02 09:55:24 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
136 |
95¢ |
$130 |
0x9384e4…
|
| 06-02 09:33:35 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
95¢ |
$19 |
0x02ff7a…
|
| 06-02 09:11:25 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
95¢ |
$19 |
0x2fdfc0…
|
| 06-02 08:58:32 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
95¢ |
$19 |
0x1ec739…
|
| 06-02 08:18:38 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
217 |
95¢ |
$207 |
0xc17842…
|
| 06-02 07:32:19 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
380 |
79¢ |
$300 |
0x9ebde4…
|
| 06-02 07:31:21 |
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
337 |
50¢ |
$170 |
0x55c25d…
|
| 06-02 07:24:18 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
6 |
95¢ |
$6 |
0x50fbfe…
|
| 06-02 07:23:41 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
582 |
88¢ |
$512 |
0x956526…
|
| 06-02 07:22:54 |
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
1,107 |
70¢ |
$775 |
0x2e8cf4…
|
| 06-02 04:20:55 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
104 |
68¢ |
$71 |
0x0524e7…
|
| 06-01 08:43:51 |
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?
|
No |
BUY |
453 |
64¢ |
$288 |
0x7424bd…
|
| 06-01 08:01:49 |
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
8 |
78¢ |
$6 |
0xf38aa9…
|
| 05-30 11:51:54 |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
74 |
56¢ |
$42 |
0x13f17d…
|
| 05-30 11:35:01 |
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
|
No |
SELL |
25 |
97¢ |
$24 |
0xec1e1b…
|
| 05-30 11:33:27 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
|
No |
SELL |
47 |
97¢ |
$45 |
0x613359…
|
| 05-29 06:27:30 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
|
No |
SELL |
77 |
91¢ |
$70 |
0x3aac31…
|
| 05-21 16:35:18 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
|
Yes |
SELL |
374 |
17¢ |
$65 |
0xd001bf…
|
| 05-20 23:49:10 |
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
213 |
95¢ |
$203 |
0x5340bc…
|
| 05-20 23:44:48 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
73¢ |
$15 |
0xbb6ba4…
|
| 05-20 23:44:42 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
|
Yes |
BUY |
365 |
72¢ |
$263 |
0xaec491…
|
| 05-19 17:48:16 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
70¢ |
$14 |
0xcf08d0…
|
| 05-19 02:57:58 |
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
|
No |
BUY |
700 |
98¢ |
$689 |
0x74f30b…
|
| 05-19 02:52:55 |
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
|
No |
BUY |
400 |
98¢ |
$394 |
0xb48fd2…
|
| 05-19 02:52:13 |
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
|
No |
BUY |
162 |
98¢ |
$159 |
0x12a0ae…
|
| 05-19 02:40:57 |
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
546 |
7¢ |
$39 |
0xb3bad0…
|
| 05-17 21:14:29 |
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
4 |
28¢ |
$1 |
0x88e723…
|
| 05-17 20:40:04 |
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
28¢ |
$3 |
0x9b05e4…
|
| 05-17 18:30:56 |
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
6 |
28¢ |
$2 |
0xb16517…
|
| 05-17 04:44:27 |
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
|
Yes |
BUY |
156 |
81¢ |
$126 |
0x241987…
|
| 05-17 04:19:37 |
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
452 |
19¢ |
$86 |
0xf9e461…
|
| 05-16 18:03:51 |
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
850 |
70¢ |
$595 |
0x980237…
|
| 05-16 14:40:50 |
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
1,018 |
77¢ |
$784 |
0x226e53…
|
| 05-16 14:40:41 |
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
850 |
72¢ |
$612 |
0x6aa8e3…
|
| 05-15 21:19:19 |
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
103 |
73¢ |
$75 |
0xe1279c…
|
| 05-04 07:25:22 |
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
547 |
91¢ |
$498 |
0x3a5ba7…
|
| 04-27 18:45:38 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
304 |
97¢ |
$294 |
0xb8f7ce…
|
| 04-27 18:43:16 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
SELL |
200 |
97¢ |
$194 |
0x5b5382…
|
| 04-27 18:43:04 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
SELL |
400 |
98¢ |
$391 |
0x3d22e1…
|
| 04-27 18:42:34 |
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
SELL |
47 |
97¢ |
$45 |
0xa55364…
|
| 04-27 18:01:58 |
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
|
No |
BUY |
1,064 |
94¢ |
$1,000 |
0x9c94b2…
|
| 04-27 18:01:06 |
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
199 |
97¢ |
$194 |
0x39ce93…
|
| 04-27 18:00:40 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
45 |
99¢ |
$44 |
0xf97360…
|
| 04-27 18:00:22 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
SELL |
800 |
97¢ |
$778 |
0x9541ac…
|
| 04-27 16:14:20 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
825 |
97¢ |
$800 |
0x61327b…
|
| 04-27 16:13:46 |
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
47 |
97¢ |
$46 |
0xa28e9d…
|
| 04-27 16:13:10 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
1,071 |
97¢ |
$1,039 |
0x6889ca…
|
| 04-27 15:57:42 |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
35 |
74¢ |
$26 |
0x361e81…
|
| 04-27 15:19:56 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
494 |
95¢ |
$469 |
0xb70425…
|
| 04-27 15:07:06 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
345 |
95¢ |
$329 |
0x55bffc…
|
| 04-27 15:03:10 |
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
500 |
91¢ |
$456 |
0x8e6255…
|
| 04-27 04:21:18 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
93¢ |
$5 |
0xd5bc5e…
|
| 04-26 19:45:14 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
2 |
93¢ |
$2 |
0x10eaac…
|
| 04-26 09:10:48 |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
31 |
73¢ |
$23 |
0x3ac038…
|
| 04-26 09:09:08 |
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
SELL |
1,000 |
0¢ |
$3 |
0x7ce0b7…
|
| 04-26 09:00:44 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
SELL |
200 |
90¢ |
$180 |
0xf49f7e…
|
| 04-25 23:01:34 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
3 |
92¢ |
$3 |
0x7924d6…
|
| 04-25 22:26:00 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
21 |
92¢ |
$19 |
0x3ae871…
|
| 04-25 15:46:24 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
92¢ |
$18 |
0xf864fe…
|
| 04-25 03:39:04 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
100 |
92¢ |
$92 |
0xec85b9…
|
| 04-25 03:26:16 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
39 |
92¢ |
$36 |
0xf1baa3…
|
| 04-24 20:15:14 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
233 |
92¢ |
$214 |
0xd34329…
|
| 04-24 18:53:36 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
50 |
92¢ |
$46 |
0x71c649…
|
| 04-24 03:24:26 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
45 |
88¢ |
$40 |
0x47f269…
|
| 04-24 03:20:06 |
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
|
No |
BUY |
27 |
93¢ |
$25 |
0x7b53c4…
|
| 04-24 03:17:52 |
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
|
No |
BUY |
476 |
84¢ |
$400 |
0x389215…
|
| 04-24 03:17:16 |
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
78¢ |
$16 |
0xf31f89…
|
| 04-24 03:16:24 |
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
|
No |
BUY |
611 |
49¢ |
$300 |
0xa7d5af…
|
| 04-24 03:11:50 |
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
|
No |
BUY |
273 |
14¢ |
$38 |
0xc4b13c…
|