Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$211
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
316
lifetime
Volume
$52.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$167
Open exposure
$959
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 06-28 17:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
51%
Other
41%
Politics
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -282 $-265 94¢ $-267 $-1 06-04 02:58
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -230 $-218 95¢ $-219 $-1 06-04 15:54
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +200 $146 84¢ $167 +$21 06-04 15:53
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +100 $13 98¢ $98 +$85 06-05 16:06
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -77 $-70 99¢ $-77 $-7 05-29 06:27
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -47 $-45 100¢ $-47 $-1 05-30 11:33
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -264 $-116 17¢ $-45 +$71 06-11 01:52
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -25 $-24 97¢ $-24 +$0 05-30 11:35
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-42 30¢ $-12 +$30 06-04 17:34
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +8 $6 35¢ $3 $-3 06-01 08:01
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -56 $-20 $-0 +$19 06-04 17:33