Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,960
Trades
129
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$30
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-05
last 07-04 16:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+54.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $7
vs crowd: 46% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $78 | $55 | +$23 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $40 | $44 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $97 | $241 | $144 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $312 | $277 | +$35 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | $21 | $21 |
| Below median | 2 | $3 | $15 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $7 | $152 | $146 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $75 | $46 | +$29 |
| unranked | 24 | $414 | $383 | +$31 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | +250 | $152 | $152 | 1 | 07-04 04:36 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +120 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-04 04:36 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +120 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-04 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | Yes | +118 | $48 | $79 | 5 | 07-03 22:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | No | +118 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 07-03 21:42 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +117 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-04 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +78 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 07-03 21:47 |
| Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | Yes | +39 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-03 21:38 |
| Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | No | +39 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-03 21:32 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +39 | $15 | $43 | 4 | 07-03 23:30 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +35 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-04 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x13de…fd91 | Yes | +34 | $13 | $17 | 2 | 07-04 02:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x2108…d3dd | Yes | +30 | $12 | $103 | 3 | 07-04 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd054…7b82 | Yes | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $17 | 3 | 07-04 06:28 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +10 | $6 | $8 | 4 | 06-20 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 07-04 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf1a…e414 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 05:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 16:10:20 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x5673b8… |
| 07-04 16:10:20 | Usable-Colony 0x956f…f960 | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x5673b8… |
| 07-04 09:30:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 35 | 23¢ | $8 | 0xb54b0c… |
| 07-04 09:30:14 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 23¢ | $8 | 0xb54b0c… |
| 07-04 07:30:19 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x71df5d… |
| 07-04 07:30:19 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x71df5d… |
| 07-04 06:28:07 | Shadowy-Viability 0xb75f…f98b | Yes | SELL | 13 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xa59cdb… |
| 07-04 06:28:07 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xa59cdb… |
| 07-04 06:25:34 | Shadowy-Viability 0xb75f…f98b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x79acd4… |
| 07-04 06:25:34 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x79acd4… |
| 07-04 06:25:34 | Scared-Afterthought 0x2d6b…cf5e | Yes | SELL | 53 | 30¢ | $16 | 0x79acd4… |
| 07-04 04:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x2108…d3dd | Yes | SELL | 117 | 39¢ | $46 | 0x58b5be… |
| 07-04 04:36:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 117 | 39¢ | $46 | 0x58b5be… |
| 07-04 04:36:19 | Scared-Afterthought 0x2d6b…cf5e | Yes | BUY | 53 | 38¢ | $20 | 0xec08b8… |
| 07-04 04:36:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 53 | 38¢ | $20 | 0xec08b8… |
| 07-04 04:36:11 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x71d3e5… |
| 07-04 04:36:11 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x71d3e5… |
| 07-04 04:36:10 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0xe69b96… |
| 07-04 04:36:10 | (anonymous) 0x2108…d3dd | Yes | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0xe69b96… |
| 07-04 04:36:10 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 250 | 61¢ | $152 | 0xe69b96… |
| 07-04 04:36:10 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 39¢ | $47 | 0xe69b96… |
| 07-04 04:36:10 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0xe69b96… |
| 07-04 04:36:08 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 120 | 61¢ | $73 | 0xd713e7… |
| 07-04 04:36:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xd713e7… |
| 07-04 04:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x2108…d3dd | Yes | BUY | 117 | 39¢ | $46 | 0xd713e7… |
| 07-04 02:46:37 | (anonymous) 0x13de…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x702252… |
| 07-04 02:46:37 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | No | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x702252… |
| 07-04 02:44:52 | Well-Informed-Steel 0x9f9d…e947 | No | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x22f2ca… |
| 07-04 02:44:52 | (anonymous) 0xb651…cf1f | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x22f2ca… |
| 07-04 02:44:40 | Well-Informed-Steel 0x9f9d…e947 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 40¢ | $16 | 0xc8411c… |
| 07-04 02:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x13de…fd91 | No | SELL | 40 | 60¢ | $24 | 0xc8411c… |
| 07-03 23:30:19 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 39 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x6337bf… |
| 07-03 23:30:19 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x6337bf… |
| 07-03 22:13:43 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x936d77… |
| 07-03 22:13:43 | (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x936d77… |
| 07-03 21:47:41 | (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 41¢ | $16 | 0x59394f… |
| 07-03 21:47:41 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 39 | 59¢ | $23 | 0x59394f… |
| 07-03 21:44:11 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 39 | 59¢ | $23 | 0xf2415a… |
| 07-03 21:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 41¢ | $16 | 0xf2415a… |
| 07-03 21:42:04 | (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | No | BUY | 39 | 61¢ | $24 | 0x23a27c… |
| 07-03 21:42:04 | (anonymous) 0x13de…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 39¢ | $15 | 0x23a27c… |
| 07-03 21:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | No | BUY | 39 | 62¢ | $24 | 0xd9c141… |
| 07-03 21:38:37 | Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | Yes | BUY | 39 | 38¢ | $15 | 0xd9c141… |
| 07-03 21:36:04 | (anonymous) 0x13de…fd91 | No | BUY | 40 | 61¢ | $24 | 0x16e018… |
| 07-03 21:36:04 | (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 39¢ | $16 | 0x16e018… |
| 07-03 21:32:55 | (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 41¢ | $16 | 0xaaad22… |
| 07-03 21:32:55 | Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | No | BUY | 39 | 59¢ | $23 | 0xaaad22… |
| 07-03 21:31:20 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | SELL | 40 | 60¢ | $24 | 0x2375f7… |
| 07-03 21:31:20 | (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | No | BUY | 40 | 60¢ | $24 | 0x2375f7… |
| 07-03 21:30:17 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | SELL | 40 | 60¢ | $24 | 0xc7cbc7… |
| 07-03 21:30:17 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | BUY | 40 | 60¢ | $24 | 0xc7cbc7… |
| 07-03 19:45:56 | Well-Informed-Steel 0x9f9d…e947 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0x74a9f9… |
| 07-03 19:45:56 | (anonymous) 0xb57e…0b91 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0x74a9f9… |
| 07-03 19:45:47 | (anonymous) 0xb57e…0b91 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0xdd8588… |
| 07-03 19:45:47 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | SELL | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0xdd8588… |
| 07-03 19:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | BUY | 40 | 63¢ | $25 | 0x5dcce6… |
| 07-03 19:45:14 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | BUY | 40 | 37¢ | $15 | 0x5dcce6… |
| 07-03 18:30:40 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | No | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x169172… |
| 07-03 18:30:40 | Well-Informed-Steel 0x9f9d…e947 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x169172… |
| 07-02 23:18:50 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | No | SELL | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xf57b94… |
| 07-02 23:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xdf1a…e414 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xf57b94… |
| 07-02 21:31:50 | (anonymous) 0x9632…4f7c | No | SELL | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0x53d31a… |
| 07-02 21:31:50 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | No | BUY | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0x53d31a… |
| 07-02 21:30:26 | (anonymous) 0x9632…4f7c | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xe336f7… |
| 07-02 21:30:26 | (anonymous) 0xbfd6…42e9 | No | SELL | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xe336f7… |
| 07-02 21:30:23 | (anonymous) 0xbfd6…42e9 | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x7a42e0… |
| 07-02 21:30:23 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | SELL | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x7a42e0… |
| 07-02 19:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x849a12… |
| 07-02 19:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x849a12… |
| 07-02 17:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x21e482… |
| 07-02 17:30:25 | Usable-Colony 0x956f…f960 | No | SELL | 15 | 79¢ | $12 | 0x21e482… |
| 07-02 17:00:50 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x1b98a5… |
| 07-02 17:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x1b98a5… |
| 07-02 15:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xb7e9b0… |
| 07-02 15:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xb7e9b0… |
| 07-02 14:00:25 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xf42125… |
| 07-02 14:00:25 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | No | SELL | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xf42125… |
| 07-02 14:00:14 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x71a708… |
| 07-02 14:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 34¢ | $14 | 0x71a708… |
| 07-02 14:00:14 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x71a708… |
| 07-02 07:30:56 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | SELL | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0xf09800… |
| 07-02 07:30:56 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xf09800… |
| 07-02 05:45:17 | (anonymous) 0x584f…4aa9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x6773d1… |
| 07-02 05:45:17 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x6773d1… |
| 07-02 05:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x584f…4aa9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x11defd… |
| 07-02 05:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x11defd… |
| 07-02 05:31:01 | (anonymous) 0xdbff…f90b | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x469df5… |
| 07-02 05:31:01 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x469df5… |
| 07-02 05:30:53 | (anonymous) 0xdf1a…e414 | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x0f37b1… |
| 07-02 05:30:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 35¢ | $6 | 0x0f37b1… |
| 07-02 05:30:53 | Superficial-Horror 0x905d…2c17 | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x0f37b1… |
| 07-02 05:30:44 | Superficial-Horror 0x905d…2c17 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x043350… |
| 07-02 05:30:44 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x043350… |
| 07-02 05:30:41 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x80876c… |
| 07-02 05:30:41 | (anonymous) 0xdbff…f90b | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x80876c… |
| 07-02 05:30:26 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 33¢ | $13 | 0xa49386… |
| 07-02 05:30:26 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 33¢ | $13 | 0xa49386… |
| 07-02 05:30:22 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x9ec141… |
| 07-02 05:30:22 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x9ec141… |
| 07-02 05:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x9f72…22c7 | No | SELL | 40 | 66¢ | $26 | 0x9ec141… |