Late-Train — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

319

lifetime

Volume

$2.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% — —

Politics

37% 100% +$16

Crypto

17% 100% +$4

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No		+10	$5	62¢	$6	+$1	06-03 04:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$120	52	100	-48	open	—	05-20 05:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$73	83	83	+0	open	—	04-08 19:46
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$68	78	98	-20	open	—	01-15 07:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 05:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$64	142	12	+130	open	—	02-28 20:39
gc up or down on march 2 2026	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	03-02 21:04
dota2 re golden 2026 01 06	4	$56	31	31	+0	open	—	01-06 15:04
wta bouzkov badosa 2026 01 05	4	$50	32	42	-10	open	—	01-06 14:05
epl wes not 2026 01 06 not	4	$48	28	28	+0	open	—	01-06 21:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$43	33	33	+0	open	—	01-27 21:06
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 03 27	4	$39	31	31	+0	open	—	03-27 22:47
bitcoin up or down january 5 10am et	5	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	01-05 16:36
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	02-09 06:41
sea lec rom 2026 01 06 rom	2	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	01-06 18:56
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	01-20 21:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	04-07 19:56
ethereum up or down january 31 1pm et	4	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	01-31 18:43
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	4	$32	40	20	+20	open	—	05-18 13:07
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	04-24 13:03
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$29	62	0	+62	open	—	02-22 12:50
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$29	86	86	+0	open	—	02-21 05:57
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	2	$29	0	30	-30	open	—	01-12 17:53
btc updown 5m 1776287100	2	$26	17	16	+1	open	—	04-15 21:10
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	03-01 21:13
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	2	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	04-18 11:33
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 09:59
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	05-18 20:06
will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	3	$25	40	40	+0	open	—	02-18 16:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 18:26
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	5	$22	60	60	+0	open	—	02-19 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:03:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x2586b2…
06-05 23:19:22	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xab89bb…
06-05 20:23:58	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x2ceddb…
06-05 20:22:21	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf6a4fb…
06-05 20:22:03	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x81cadd…
06-03 16:12:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe54f97…
06-03 04:35:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xbf2ef4…
06-03 04:33:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x9e6b61…
06-03 04:32:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6feac4…
06-03 04:31:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x8ef0a7…
05-30 03:40:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x6d5d92…
05-29 02:30:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x377471…
05-28 05:14:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x9f2a62…
05-28 05:12:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x4d2720…
05-22 08:56:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9edae0…
05-20 05:45:45	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x85d3fd…
05-18 20:06:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9c2c15…
05-18 13:07:30	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x05427b…
05-18 13:07:18	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x313855…
05-16 09:59:59	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0x890eaf…
05-15 05:02:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x904476…
05-15 05:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6533d6…
05-15 04:56:48	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x4f8dda…
05-15 04:56:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x295105…
05-14 16:44:26	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xd05c58…
05-13 11:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8aea19…
05-13 11:33:47	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x00f7d3…
05-09 05:18:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x604c41…
05-07 14:18:07	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0x5687bb…
05-02 18:26:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2df3ff…
04-28 18:08:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x61c117…
04-28 17:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x9f7279…
04-28 17:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x27e0c3…
04-28 17:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x29af74…
04-24 13:03:22	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x225880…
04-22 16:40:02	Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xf211c7…
04-22 16:37:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd86ac5…
04-22 16:36:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x16ed98…
04-21 16:42:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xa47fba…
04-20 20:31:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x393149…
04-19 20:19:52	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb5762e…
04-18 11:33:58	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xacaf6c…
04-18 10:56:36	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x6b657b…
04-18 10:28:50	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6d8bec…
04-18 09:53:44	ethereum up or down april 18 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x88f74d…
04-18 09:08:38	ethereum up or down april 18 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xd4bb7b…
04-18 09:06:16	bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xddcc5a…
04-18 08:58:52	btc updown 5m 1776502500	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x746e76…
04-18 08:57:58	btc updown 5m 1776502500	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa0f15d…
04-18 08:57:40	btc updown 5m 1776502500	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x088a2a…
04-18 08:47:36	Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sun	Sergey Fomin	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xecbaf9…
04-18 08:46:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7180c4…
04-18 08:42:26	btc updown 5m 1776501600	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5c1424…
04-17 12:51:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$11	0xb9fcfd…
04-15 21:10:16	btc updown 5m 1776287100	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x84ab70…
04-15 21:05:32	btc updown 5m 1776287100	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x712e54…
04-15 21:04:24	btc updown 5m 1776286800	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x814887…
04-15 21:04:24	btc updown 5m 1776286800	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x51cbe1…
04-15 21:04:24	btc updown 5m 1776286800	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x02b07c…
04-15 21:03:24	btc updown 5m 1776286800	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x87151c…
04-15 21:02:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x48db0b…
04-15 21:00:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x4b5beb…
04-15 21:00:12	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x2d83e6…
04-14 17:48:32	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xfb811f…
04-14 17:43:12	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xce7423…
04-14 17:42:28	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xeb53e5…
04-14 17:40:34	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x2cb3a3…
04-14 17:38:38	btc updown 5m 1776188100	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa8d955…
04-14 17:37:48	btc updown 5m 1776188100	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xb6e0aa…
04-14 17:34:00	btc updown 5m 1776187800	Up	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x556826…
04-14 17:34:00	btc updown 5m 1776187800	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1ae11e…
04-14 17:33:40	btc updown 5m 1776187800	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4db1b5…
04-14 17:33:22	btc updown 5m 1776187800	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x73f8c9…
04-14 17:33:22	btc updown 5m 1776187800	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x717c0f…
04-14 14:10:21	btc updown 5m 1776175500	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfbdbf3…
04-14 14:08:39	btc updown 5m 1776175500	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xdc4648…
04-14 14:08:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4378cd…
04-14 14:07:13	cs2 vit g2 2026 04 14	G2	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd2e5bc…
04-14 14:03:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xeb9149…
04-12 16:42:59	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x041ed1…
04-11 08:04:57	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc291f0…
04-08 19:46:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	83	51¢	$42	0x90bd03…
04-08 05:32:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x483a80…
04-08 05:32:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd731de…
04-07 20:38:03	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	14	39¢	$6	0x48fecc…
04-07 19:56:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe57096…
04-07 16:58:03	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x42d6b8…
04-07 16:57:37	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7cf14b…
04-07 16:52:37	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x32e4c2…
04-02 20:11:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	75	38¢	$28	0xa7aa36…
04-02 18:05:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x607422…
04-02 17:55:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x545674…
04-01 15:28:13	ethereum up or down april 1 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x26963e…
03-31 19:49:07	eth updown 15m 1774986300	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe03fd4…
03-31 19:49:07	eth updown 15m 1774986300	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x17a2e0…
03-31 19:35:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3d17c5…
03-31 19:35:15	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd69c3f…
03-31 19:34:45	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x94ed56…
03-31 00:47:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc171ea…
03-30 11:35:48	btc updown 5m 1774870200	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc7544c…