Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
282
Trades
523
lifetime
Volume
$5.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$126
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 16:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Other
50% 58% +$35
Politics
28% 61% +$87
Crypto
16% 50% -$9
Tech
4% 33% -$113
Sports
1% 71% +$15
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +50 $38 100¢ $50 +$12 11-03 16:45
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +29 $20 100¢ $29 +$9 10-22 16:40
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +29 $20 100¢ $29 +$9 10-22 16:41
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +60 $22 18¢ $10 -$11 10-07 13:47
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +20 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 10-08 17:11
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +100 $5 1¢ $1 -$3 10-07 13:56
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $7 14¢ $1 -$6 09-11 09:36
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes -50 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 05-19 18:53