Realized P&L
-$52
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
22.7%
Resolved
17
Trades
2,006
lifetime
Volume
$54.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$172
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 07-20 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
77% 29% $-52
Sports
16%
Crypto
3%
Politics
3%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? No +65 $43 73¢ $47 +$4 07-20 00:16
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +50 $30 63¢ $32 +$2 07-16 00:00
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 56¢ $28 $-6 07-16 07:58
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +50 $32 32¢ $16 $-16 07-16 11:21
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? Yes +28 $17 56¢ $16 $-2 07-20 17:48
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes +22 $17 66¢ $15 $-2 07-19 11:31
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +13 $4 32¢ $4 +$0 07-19 18:20
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +40 $4 $4 +$0 07-19 03:57
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +50 $22 $3 $-19 07-19 11:29
City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -6 $-3 34¢ $-2 +$1 06-12 01:08
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -21 $-8 $-2 +$7 06-19 15:27
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-19 14:06
3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +15 $2 $1 $-1 06-01 03:51
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +6 $3 16¢ $1 $-2 06-27 09:05
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-14 05:56
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 06-21 07:50
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +0 $0 68¢ $0 $-0 05-30 22:52