Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$785
$60 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$643
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-30 19:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 4 $36 $45 $8
🐬 Dolphin 3 $0 $9 $8
🐟 Fish 4 $5 $15 $9
🦐 Shrimp 7 $108 $13 +$95
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🏆 Top 5% 2 $30 $45 $15
✅ Top 10% 3 — $9 $9
Median 3 $0 $1 $1
Below median 2 $4 — +$4
⚠️ Bottom 10% 1 — — +—
🔻 Bottom 5% 2 $12 — +$12
💀 Bottom 1% 1 — — +—
unranked 4 $103 $26 +$77
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 Yes +95 $25 $25 4 06-30 19:54
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 No +81 $45 $45 3 06-16 12:29
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 Yes +37 $10 $13 2 06-30 10:14
Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd Yes +20 $5 $5 1 06-17 22:00
Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d No +20 $15 $15 1 06-17 22:00
(anonymous) 0x5bfc…de8f No +15 $12 $12 3 06-30 19:54
(anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 Yes +7 $3 $3 2 06-11 19:15
Essential-Postage 0x8c5c…6b4a Yes +6 $2 $2 1 06-17 22:04
(anonymous) 0x5bfc…de8f Yes +5 $2 $2 1 06-30 10:14
Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 No +2 $1 $1 1 06-11 19:10
(anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 Yes +1 $0 $0 1 06-22 09:27