Realized P&L
-$36.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$105.2K
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
650
Trades
503,970
lifetime
Volume
$206.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$409
Open exposure
$313.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-05 06:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
47% 61% +$12,636
Other
46% 46% $-49,073
Crypto
4% 50% $-50
Sports
1% 80% +$887
Tech
1% 67% $-237
Pop-Culture
0% 50% $-156
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5722 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -75,638 $-15,683 100¢ $-75525 $-59,842 07-02 01:39
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -40,343 $-31,526 97¢ $-38972 $-7,446 07-04 21:01
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +33,637 $32,331 100¢ $33.6K +$1,272 07-03 16:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -33,319 $-6,633 84¢ $-28154 $-21,522 07-05 09:49
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -35,132 $-2,635 52¢ $-18444 $-15,809 07-04 11:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -17,679 $-16,442 96¢ $-16963 $-522 06-05 06:17
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -16,340 $-12,288 88¢ $-14297 $-2,009 06-24 04:04
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +12,157 $7,787 80¢ $9.8K +$1,999 07-04 18:02
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +10,000 $9,060 90¢ $9.0K $-40 07-04 14:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -10,000 $-9,705 90¢ $-8950 +$755 07-05 00:40
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No -10,219 $-6,030 86¢ $-8839 $-2,809 06-05 17:53
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -6,223 $-4,236 78¢ $-4885 $-649 06-27 09:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -4,910 $-4,299 98¢ $-4789 $-490 06-13 11:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5,000 $-4,350 94¢ $-4675 $-325 06-11 00:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +30,807 $552 12¢ $3.9K +$3,299 07-05 04:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -4,155 $-3,441 88¢ $-3636 $-195 06-14 22:26
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5,007 $-2,819 68¢ $-3380 $-560 06-23 03:14
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +5,464 $3,103 58¢ $3.2K +$67 07-05 07:03
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No -3,592 $-2,054 87¢ $-3136 $-1,082 07-05 01:30
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +3,413 $2,472 81¢ $2.8K +$292 07-04 23:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -4,176 $-2,808 62¢ $-2568 +$240 07-05 07:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -2,270 $-1,841 88¢ $-2009 $-167 06-24 01:59
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -10,149 $-1,829 20¢ $-1979 $-150 06-23 11:53
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,000 $1,880 90¢ $1.8K $-74 06-30 03:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,043 $1,532 88¢ $1.8K +$255 06-11 17:30
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,489 $1,503 62¢ $1.6K +$53 07-05 00:42
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No -1,950 $-1,048 70¢ $-1375 $-327 07-04 16:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +36,761 $1,639 $1.3K $-298 07-03 06:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5,000 $439 26¢ $1.3K +$886 07-04 03:34
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in May? No +1,252 $1,251 100¢ $1.3K +$0 05-29 19:59