Realized P&L
-$36.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$30.0K
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
650
Trades
464,560
lifetime
Volume
$192.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$414
Open exposure
$430.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 12:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
47% 46% $-49,073
Politics
46% 61% +$12,636
Crypto
4% 50% $-50
Tech
1% 67% $-237
Sports
1% 80% +$887
Pop-Culture
0% 50% $-156
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5722 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +166,659 $159,819 78¢ $129.2K $-30,659 06-13 11:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +65,676 $61,372 98¢ $64.2K +$2,827 06-13 12:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -30,096 $-28,570 98¢ $-29630 $-1,059 06-10 00:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -50,509 $-28,899 48¢ $-23992 +$4,907 06-13 12:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -17,679 $-16,442 94¢ $-16707 $-265 06-05 06:17
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +18,688 $16,543 89¢ $16.6K +$43 06-13 06:13
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +29,879 $14,951 55¢ $16.3K +$1,333 06-13 09:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +30,230 $15,486 52¢ $15.9K +$385 06-13 09:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +16,568 $11,233 82¢ $13.7K +$2,436 06-13 11:20
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -16,405 $-12,360 82¢ $-13534 $-1,174 06-10 14:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +11,235 $11,113 98¢ $11.0K $-131 06-13 08:19
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -11,587 $-8,610 80¢ $-9327 $-717 06-08 23:09
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No -10,219 $-6,030 74¢ $-7613 $-1,583 06-05 17:53
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -8,267 $-6,201 74¢ $-6159 +$41 06-13 09:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -11,520 $-2,601 48¢ $-5472 $-2,871 06-11 23:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -6,687 $-4,396 78¢ $-5216 $-819 06-13 08:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -6,817 $-2,173 72¢ $-4874 $-2,701 06-05 23:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5,000 $-4,350 88¢ $-4425 $-75 06-11 00:33
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -4,910 $-4,299 90¢ $-4394 $-95 06-13 11:25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -6,007 $-3,784 65¢ $-3905 $-120 06-11 20:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +7,000 $3,053 52¢ $3.7K +$622 06-13 00:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +3,755 $3,551 90¢ $3.4K $-159 06-13 12:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +3,255 $2,393 94¢ $3.0K +$650 06-13 12:23
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +4,416 $1,768 64¢ $2.8K +$1,058 06-13 02:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -3,069 $-2,506 86¢ $-2624 $-118 06-13 12:09
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -3,753 $-786 70¢ $-2623 $-1,837 06-01 12:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -3,105 $-2,550 84¢ $-2608 $-58 06-12 12:12
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +2,630 $2,447 95¢ $2.5K +$62 06-12 02:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +2,585 $2,161 97¢ $2.5K +$343 06-09 06:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -4,173 $-2,149 57¢ $-2400 $-251 06-12 14:29