Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
open
Total volume
$51,147
$56 in 24h
Trades
703
Unique wallets
187
Liquidity
$10,496
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-03 14:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+75.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $210
vs crowd: 24% YES on $24.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $377 | $2.1K | $1.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $2.6K | $11.0K | $8.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 49 | $1.8K | $2.4K | $607 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 103 | $1.3K | $3.2K | $1.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $210 | — | +$210 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $161 | $403 | $242 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $298 | $299 | $1 |
| Median | 13 | $94 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| Below median | 32 | $360 | $1.0K | $676 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $22 | $422 | $399 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 15 | $61 | $8.4K | $8.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $486 | $1.6K | $1.1K |
| unranked | 92 | $4.3K | $5.4K | $1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | +5,022 | $4,234 | $4,234 | 18 | 06-29 12:23 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +4,265 | $871 | $871 | 75 | 06-30 23:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x33a0…5c7a | Yes | +3,104 | $793 | $793 | 16 | 06-21 17:39 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +2,742 | $2,156 | $2,156 | 50 | 07-03 14:28 |
| Jubilant-Adult 0x8a97…3b04 | Yes | +1,751 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-25 03:59 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +1,440 | $923 | $1,385 | 8 | 06-30 04:04 |
| Modern-Supervisor 0x7ab8…eb56 | Yes | +1,295 | $359 | $359 | 35 | 06-21 08:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d81…34b1 | No | +1,274 | $948 | $948 | 6 | 06-17 09:41 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +1,085 | $868 | $868 | 8 | 06-29 16:48 |
| Spirited-Motorcar 0xe1b3…1426 | Yes | +1,000 | $370 | $370 | 2 | 06-03 05:45 |
| Peaceful-Illusion 0x2e4d…f703 | Yes | +1,000 | $455 | $455 | 6 | 05-31 22:27 |
| Jaded-Tracksuit 0xff8d…db0b | No | +938 | $750 | $750 | 2 | 06-19 10:50 |
| Watery-Hiccups 0x4387…2b3d | Yes | +572 | $152 | $152 | 9 | 06-12 05:47 |
| Glittering-Pitcher 0xa0c3…5b9a | Yes | +550 | $93 | $93 | 6 | 06-27 00:02 |
| Grand-Reasoning 0x54b5…4b31 | Yes | +500 | $210 | $210 | 3 | 06-01 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3eca…ab82 | No | +500 | $275 | $275 | 1 | 05-28 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x043d…9aee | No | +464 | $400 | $400 | 2 | 06-30 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d79…ae69 | No | +462 | $370 | $370 | 5 | 06-21 21:13 |
| Attractive-Neon 0x3208…07a7 | Yes | +400 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 06-28 20:02 |
| Quizzical-Revitalization 0xa6d9…fd2f | No | +390 | $203 | $203 | 4 | 05-30 18:14 |
| Flamboyant-Burial 0xbf9c…115f | No | +358 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-25 09:27 |
| Enchanted-Adapter 0xe5c8…b1e1 | No | +336 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-17 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d0a…1936 | Yes | +322 | $77 | $77 | 9 | 07-02 12:13 |
| Loathsome-Watermelon 0xb185…b984 | Yes | +320 | $97 | $97 | 11 | 06-12 05:47 |
| Stunning-Palace 0x999f…addb | Yes | +312 | $119 | $119 | 1 | 06-08 14:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | Yes | +200 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 06-05 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x4176…a875 | Yes | +200 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-30 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xde17…17c1 | No | +198 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-18 10:30 |
| Detailed-Executor 0xbe04…0ecf | No | +183 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-27 20:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd925…86b5 | No | +164 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-31 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c85…635c | No | +155 | $135 | $135 | 2 | 06-30 23:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | +153 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-20 08:44 |
| Peaceful-Custody 0x7f5c…c2e0 | No | +149 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 06-27 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x3155…a2d5 | Yes | +145 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 06-15 15:23 |
| Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | Yes | +136 | $43 | $43 | 7 | 06-18 14:56 |
| Dramatic-Card 0x2291…e565 | Yes | +113 | $23 | $50 | 19 | 06-29 20:05 |
| Several-Pass 0x06dc…ba00 | No | +111 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 06-13 07:41 |
| Imaginary-Synonym 0x60ee…548e | No | +109 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 06-12 05:47 |
| Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | Yes | +103 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 06-03 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8ff…0029 | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 06-19 13:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa640…0f66 | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-12 08:26 |
| Silly-Railing 0xf7a1…ce01 | Yes | +100 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 06-18 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xa321…c3e2 | No | +92 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 06-10 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +74 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-30 23:13 |
| Growing-Marker 0x7e9d…e7b4 | Yes | +70 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-08 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x873e…8295 | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-24 21:50 |
| Unwelcome-Act 0x12c9…d3be | Yes | +57 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-02 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xd207…9779 | No | +55 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-20 06:13 |
| Klutzy-Cape 0xc03c…c427 | Yes | +53 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-22 19:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +51 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-30 23:19 |
| Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-23 15:11 |
| Arctic-Coverall 0x48de…2c40 | Yes | +44 | $14 | $27 | 3 | 06-08 13:17 |
| Insidious-Tray 0x7fa7…37fb | Yes | +44 | $14 | $14 | 9 | 06-19 10:50 |
| Little-Raven 0x329c…cff6 | Yes | +43 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 04:28 |
| Blind-Man 0x61b9…20a3 | No | +34 | $22 | $49 | 3 | 06-03 01:25 |
| Handmade-Nylon 0x5213…1d42 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-12 07:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 14:28:22 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x39cec2… |
| 07-03 14:28:22 | Automatic-Month 0x43d6…2545 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x39cec2… |
| 07-03 00:24:14 | Fabulous-Mantle-Icing 0x3cd7…e885 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x003b76… |
| 07-03 00:24:14 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x003b76… |
| 07-03 00:24:13 | (anonymous) 0xaa14…56dd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb939df… |
| 07-03 00:24:13 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xb939df… |
| 07-03 00:24:13 | Fabulous-Mantle-Icing 0x3cd7…e885 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb939df… |
| 07-02 12:13:23 | Yellow-Athletics 0xe2e2…38a0 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xe197b3… |
| 07-02 12:13:23 | (anonymous) 0x5d0a…1936 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xe197b3… |
| 07-01 06:05:31 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x110a3a… |
| 07-01 06:05:31 | Automatic-Month 0x43d6…2545 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x110a3a… |
| 06-30 23:19:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x876751… |
| 06-30 23:19:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 45 | 87¢ | $39 | 0x876751… |
| 06-30 23:19:59 | (anonymous) 0x4c85…635c | No | BUY | 76 | 87¢ | $66 | 0x876751… |
| 06-30 23:13:34 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | BUY | 29 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x4d979a… |
| 06-30 23:13:34 | (anonymous) 0x4c85…635c | No | BUY | 79 | 87¢ | $68 | 0x4d979a… |
| 06-30 23:13:34 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4d979a… |
| 06-30 23:13:34 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x4d979a… |
| 06-30 23:13:34 | (anonymous) 0xaa14…56dd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4d979a… |
| 06-30 21:31:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 86¢ | $39 | 0x5e27d1… |
| 06-30 21:31:56 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | BUY | 45 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x5e27d1… |
| 06-30 07:54:47 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x034478… |
| 06-30 07:54:47 | (anonymous) 0x043d…9aee | No | BUY | 234 | 85¢ | $200 | 0x034478… |
| 06-30 07:54:47 | (anonymous) 0x4176…a875 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 15¢ | $20 | 0x034478… |
| 06-30 04:04:41 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0xaacbc7… |
| 06-30 04:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x37cf…7e41 | No | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0xaacbc7… |
| 06-30 02:54:28 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 66 | 15¢ | $10 | 0xa77473… |
| 06-30 02:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x4176…a875 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 15¢ | $10 | 0xa77473… |
| 06-29 20:05:05 | Utilized-Discovery 0x4618…f25e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xf33894… |
| 06-29 20:05:05 | (anonymous) 0x043d…9aee | No | BUY | 230 | 87¢ | $200 | 0xf33894… |
| 06-29 20:05:05 | Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | No | SELL | 101 | 87¢ | $88 | 0xf33894… |
| 06-29 20:05:05 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 61 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xf33894… |
| 06-29 20:05:05 | Dramatic-Card 0x2291…e565 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xf33894… |
| 06-29 16:48:43 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x609e87… |
| 06-29 16:48:43 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xbd6b14… |
| 06-29 16:48:43 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x609e87… |
| 06-29 16:48:43 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xbd6b14… |
| 06-29 16:47:26 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x59030a… |
| 06-29 16:47:26 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x59030a… |
| 06-29 16:47:25 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0xd502c8… |
| 06-29 16:47:25 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0xd502c8… |
| 06-29 12:23:49 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 52 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x34b14b… |
| 06-29 12:23:49 | (anonymous) 0x5d0a…1936 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x34b14b… |
| 06-29 12:23:49 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 202 | 86¢ | $174 | 0x34b14b… |
| 06-29 12:12:16 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 93 | 85¢ | $79 | 0x2c46a7… |
| 06-29 12:12:16 | Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | SELL | 752 | 85¢ | $635 | 0x2c46a7… |
| 06-29 12:12:16 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 351 | 84¢ | $295 | 0x2c46a7… |
| 06-29 12:12:16 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 200 | 85¢ | $170 | 0x2c46a7… |
| 06-29 12:12:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x2c46a7… |
| 06-29 12:08:11 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x04f035… |
| 06-29 12:08:11 | Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x04f035… |
| 06-29 10:56:25 | Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xd79188… |
| 06-29 10:56:25 | (anonymous) 0x37cf…7e41 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xd79188… |
| 06-28 20:22:01 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x09600b… |
| 06-28 20:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x898d…47b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x09600b… |
| 06-28 20:02:29 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 200 | 85¢ | $170 | 0xc7dd19… |
| 06-28 20:02:29 | Attractive-Neon 0x3208…07a7 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 15¢ | $30 | 0xc7dd19… |
| 06-28 11:24:53 | Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | SELL | 494 | 86¢ | $425 | 0x670057… |
| 06-28 11:24:53 | Mushy-Armchair 0x7083…53ec | Yes | SELL | 494 | 14¢ | $69 | 0x670057… |
| 06-28 03:44:02 | Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xfea81d… |
| 06-28 03:44:02 | Neighboring-Going 0x903d…62c3 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xfea81d… |
| 06-28 02:59:16 | Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2e3f75… |
| 06-28 02:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x0ced…8192 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2e3f75… |
| 06-27 23:08:58 | Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | SELL | 476 | 86¢ | $410 | 0x182ef2… |
| 06-27 23:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x35d6…5467 | Yes | SELL | 476 | 14¢ | $67 | 0x182ef2… |
| 06-27 02:38:41 | Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | SELL | 149 | 86¢ | $128 | 0xff4bfb… |
| 06-27 02:38:41 | Peaceful-Custody 0x7f5c…c2e0 | No | BUY | 149 | 86¢ | $128 | 0xff4bfb… |
| 06-27 00:02:55 | Failing-Legacy 0x7011…c6da | Yes | SELL | 210 | 14¢ | $29 | 0xe3a663… |
| 06-27 00:02:55 | Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xe3a663… |
| 06-27 00:02:55 | Glittering-Pitcher 0xa0c3…5b9a | Yes | BUY | 204 | 14¢ | $29 | 0xe3a663… |
| 06-26 17:45:01 | (anonymous) 0x5d0a…1936 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7642b2… |
| 06-26 17:45:01 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x7642b2… |
| 06-26 03:03:59 | Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | No | BUY | 101 | 86¢ | $87 | 0x127941… |
| 06-26 03:03:59 | Glittering-Pitcher 0xa0c3…5b9a | Yes | BUY | 96 | 14¢ | $13 | 0x127941… |
| 06-26 03:03:59 | Dramatic-Card 0x2291…e565 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x127941… |
| 06-26 00:23:29 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x001d62… |
| 06-26 00:23:29 | (anonymous) 0xaa14…56dd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x001d62… |
| 06-26 00:23:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x001d62… |
| 06-26 00:23:29 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | BUY | 66 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x001d62… |
| 06-26 00:23:29 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 792 | 85¢ | $673 | 0x001d62… |
| 06-26 00:23:29 | Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | SELL | 611 | 85¢ | $519 | 0x001d62… |
| 06-25 21:05:38 | Questionable-Contour 0x42a0…3762 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0xba17a4… |
| 06-25 21:05:38 | Splendid-Collection 0x5652…00c9 | No | SELL | 24 | 85¢ | $21 | 0xba17a4… |
| 06-25 21:05:38 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 76 | 15¢ | $11 | 0xba17a4… |
| 06-25 20:34:53 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x44c1be… |
| 06-25 20:34:53 | Mature-Charge 0x9ee0…1006 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x44c1be… |
| 06-25 20:30:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x700747… |
| 06-25 20:30:31 | Mature-Charge 0x9ee0…1006 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x700747… |
| 06-25 18:07:01 | (anonymous) 0x4673…ee69 | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x290500… |
| 06-25 18:07:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x290500… |
| 06-25 12:59:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x67fef5… |
| 06-25 12:59:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x67fef5… |
| 06-25 11:11:55 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x5077ea… |
| 06-25 11:11:55 | Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | Yes | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x5077ea… |
| 06-25 09:27:20 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x5263d2… |
| 06-25 09:27:20 | (anonymous) 0x801d…56e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x5263d2… |
| 06-25 09:27:20 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 76 | 84¢ | $64 | 0x5263d2… |
| 06-25 09:27:20 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 15¢ | $9 | 0x5263d2… |
| 06-25 09:27:20 | Flamboyant-Burial 0xbf9c…115f | No | BUY | 358 | 84¢ | $300 | 0x5263d2… |
| 06-25 04:01:07 | (anonymous) 0x801d…56e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xe62e4a… |