Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
37
Trades
23,041
lifetime
Volume
$701.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$234
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 02:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
62% 100% +$14
Politics
30% 82% $-33
Crypto
6% 100% +$0
Sports
1% 71% $-3
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -95 $-84 92¢ $-88 $-3 06-03 14:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -34 $-30 94¢ $-32 $-2 06-03 14:20
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -31 $-28 94¢ $-29 $-1 06-03 14:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -22 $-18 100¢ $-22 $-4 06-04 16:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -24 $-16 84¢ $-20 $-4 06-04 16:46
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -16 $-15 96¢ $-16 $-1 06-04 16:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -16 $-12 78¢ $-13 $-1 06-13 02:15
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -11 $-10 86¢ $-10 +$0 06-13 02:16
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down +6 $6 93¢ $6 $-0 03-28 11:31