Realized P&L
-$2.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$237
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved
1,354
Trades
24,756
lifetime
Volume
$731.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$3.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-12 05:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Other
60% 74% -$1,849
Politics
32% 74% -$444
Crypto
5% 94% +$310
Sports
2% 68% -$638
Tech
1% 92% +$30
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -423 -$320 82¢ $-345 -$25 05-22 10:22
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -350 -$327 98¢ $-342 -$15 05-22 10:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -295 -$226 82¢ $-242 -$16 05-22 15:06
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -148 -$147 100¢ $-148 -$1 05-22 15:09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -173 -$130 83¢ $-144 -$14 05-22 08:35
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -147 -$135 98¢ $-144 -$8 05-23 16:14
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -894 -$76 16¢ $-143 -$66 06-03 14:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -138 -$129 98¢ $-135 -$7 05-22 15:10
Trump out as President before 2027? No -131 -$116 95¢ $-125 -$9 06-03 14:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -123 -$115 98¢ $-121 -$6 05-22 08:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -139 -$124 84¢ $-116 +$8 05-22 15:09
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -96 -$95 99¢ $-95 $0 05-22 15:10
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -110 -$86 86¢ $-95 -$9 05-22 21:18
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -101 -$80 92¢ $-92 -$12 05-24 11:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -96 -$83 96¢ $-92 -$9 05-29 10:16
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -91 -$82 96¢ $-87 -$4 06-03 14:21
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -82 -$71 97¢ $-79 -$8 05-25 11:41
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -419 -$60 18¢ $-77 -$17 05-22 15:09
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -75 -$74 99¢ $-75 -$1 05-22 15:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -78 -$63 92¢ $-71 -$8 05-24 11:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -74 -$64 94¢ $-69 -$5 05-23 08:25
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -54 -$54 100¢ $-54 $0 05-22 15:22
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -78 -$47 64¢ $-50 -$4 05-24 00:47
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -46 -$45 98¢ $-45 $0 05-22 15:21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -68 -$44 61¢ $-42 +$2 05-22 10:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -47 -$40 88¢ $-42 -$2 05-22 15:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -46 -$35 90¢ $-41 -$6 05-22 15:10
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -47 -$49 82¢ $-39 +$11 05-22 08:31
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -39 -$36 96¢ $-37 -$1 05-24 07:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -34 -$30 97¢ $-33 -$3 06-03 14:20