Impressionable-Set — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

Trades

23,095

lifetime

Volume

$701.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 05:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$14

Politics

30% 82% $-33

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 71% $-3

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1,486	$159.1K	81,765	81,083	+682	open	—	03-31 15:52
netanyahu out by march 31 854	913	$94.1K	52,351	46,876	+5,475	open	—	04-01 05:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1,096	$45.2K	25,155	24,842	+312	open	—	03-31 21:33
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	511	$32.6K	19,959	17,343	+2,616	open	—	03-18 14:08
trump out as president by march 31	652	$22.2K	11,292	11,120	+172	open	—	03-25 12:25
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	677	$13.9K	7,119	7,012	+107	open	—	03-30 18:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	579	$13.6K	7,504	6,625	+879	open	—	04-24 21:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	645	$12.2K	6,609	6,172	+438	open	—	04-26 21:14
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	432	$6.8K	3,617	3,523	+94	open	—	03-31 02:22
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	465	$6.6K	3,388	3,342	+46	open	—	03-26 20:59
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	286	$5.5K	3,055	2,887	+168	open	—	03-31 16:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	167	$5.1K	3,004	2,446	+558	open	—	03-15 19:32
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	389	$5.1K	2,578	2,560	+17	open	—	03-25 19:33
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	459	$5.0K	2,570	2,542	+28	open	—	03-30 19:45
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	332	$5.0K	2,624	2,558	+66	open	—	03-30 22:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	231	$4.4K	4,194	2,809	+1,385	open	—	03-11 23:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	292	$4.3K	2,259	2,175	+84	open	—	04-27 03:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	34	$4.3K	3,329	3,329	+0	open	—	01-31 05:40
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	237	$4.1K	5,379	5,252	+127	open	—	03-24 01:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$4.0K	2,459	1,620	+839	open	—	03-03 14:54
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	331	$3.9K	2,013	1,980	+33	open	—	03-27 03:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	89	$3.8K	2,137	1,729	+408	open	—	03-24 05:27
will the us invade iran by march 31	260	$3.8K	2,201	2,128	+73	open	—	04-01 00:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	59	$3.4K	3,509	3,491	+18	Yes	$-31	05-08 18:48
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	162	$3.3K	1,569	1,788	-218	open	—	03-30 00:50
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	371	$3.2K	1,721	1,645	+75	Yes	+$2	04-28 05:10
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	211	$3.2K	11,368	11,236	+132	open	—	03-17 15:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	397	$3.2K	1,625	1,631	-6	open	—	04-15 18:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	182	$3.0K	2,281	1,694	+587	open	—	03-31 20:53
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	18	$3.0K	2,430	1,602	+828	open	—	03-04 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 05:48:15	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xa83384…
08-12 05:47:54	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xeeb962…
08-12 05:46:42	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x4cf79c…
08-12 05:46:31	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x3144df…
08-12 05:46:15	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x4f0036…
08-12 05:45:57	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xfcefd0…
08-12 05:45:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xfcfa68…
08-12 05:44:48	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x992542…
08-12 05:44:40	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x4eaa39…
08-12 05:44:31	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x93441c…
08-12 05:44:10	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xf9a0c0…
08-12 05:40:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	4¢	$5	0xa15807…
08-12 05:40:51	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0x35d124…
08-12 05:40:40	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x30b97f…
08-12 05:40:22	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	5¢	$4	0xf514fa…
08-12 05:40:13	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xfd57a7…
08-12 05:40:03	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xf613e2…
08-12 05:39:31	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x794678…
08-12 05:39:13	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x2003bd…
08-12 05:39:04	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x76e45b…
08-12 05:38:55	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x9cacb0…
08-12 05:38:46	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xce3e1a…
08-12 05:38:09	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb57263…
08-12 05:38:00	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x4d23cc…
08-12 05:37:13	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xd65ea5…
08-12 05:37:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xa0c057…
08-12 05:36:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xc42345…
08-12 05:36:10	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x2d2c86…
08-12 05:36:01	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x89fa1c…
08-12 05:35:52	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x76656d…
08-12 05:35:34	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2b4491…
08-12 05:35:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x206f6c…
08-12 05:35:07	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe2c50a…
08-12 05:32:34	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x9cd5e6…
08-12 05:32:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x0239e8…
08-12 05:32:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa14c10…
08-12 05:31:43	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xb6fe14…
08-12 05:31:27	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	65	18¢	$12	0xc8a113…
08-12 05:31:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xa866d5…
08-12 05:30:48	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xcdf9ce…
08-12 05:30:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x845c61…
08-05 11:44:15	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x7cef65…
08-05 11:43:44	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xf5d3ca…
08-05 11:43:35	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x0d3f37…
08-05 11:43:06	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x966816…
07-08 14:42:05	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xb96360…
07-08 14:41:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xfd70bf…
07-08 14:41:38	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x4eb356…
07-08 14:41:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x50c9ca…
07-08 14:41:20	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xfc9e45…
07-08 14:41:14	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x4746af…
07-08 14:41:04	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0xa3bc37…
07-08 14:40:55	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	23	62¢	$14	0xa97f6c…
07-08 14:40:47	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0xaece28…
06-13 02:16:15	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x67301d…
06-13 02:15:52	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xa57a4f…
06-13 02:15:46	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x9b9a4e…
06-13 02:15:34	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x2a3d4c…
06-04 16:46:12	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0xfa8177…
06-04 16:46:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0x564e7b…
06-04 16:45:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	22	83¢	$18	0xc0e733…
06-03 14:21:22	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0xc3dc0d…
06-03 14:20:49	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x28bbf6…
06-03 14:20:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe23766…
06-03 14:20:28	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xb0bc48…
06-03 14:20:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	95	89¢	$84	0xb9f5b1…
06-03 14:19:26	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x283899…
06-03 14:19:11	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8df231…
05-24 00:45:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x507128…
05-23 16:10:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0x005cd5…
05-22 16:27:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xa33490…
05-22 16:19:53	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3ae244…
05-22 16:19:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x27766c…
05-22 16:18:59	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2bda36…
05-22 16:18:47	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xda7f5d…
05-22 16:18:40	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6ba750…
05-22 16:18:15	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x53b93e…
05-22 16:17:53	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x681e2d…
05-22 16:03:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	73	71¢	$52	0x605cdb…
05-22 15:24:37	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$47	0x8a5a6e…
05-22 15:23:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	26¢	$50	0x228f34…
05-22 15:09:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$144	0x6d6fe6…
05-22 08:37:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	297	97¢	$287	0x75d4e0…
05-18 01:04:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x14b0d9…
05-17 23:49:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x97be5e…
05-17 23:42:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x618e48…
05-17 23:35:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcc9dc4…
05-17 23:30:18	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5effaa…
05-17 22:41:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xedd497…
05-17 22:15:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x92266c…
05-17 21:35:53	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4d37ca…
05-17 21:13:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x800a45…
05-17 19:46:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x2b6a2b…
05-17 19:42:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x657bdc…
05-17 19:42:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x67ae48…
05-17 18:38:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x383a75…
05-17 18:36:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6bf18d…
05-17 17:54:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa51063…
05-17 16:53:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x1a55ee…
05-17 16:41:37	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x587ae4…