Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$48,186
$530 in 24h
Trades
895
Unique wallets
275
Liquidity
$69,568
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-06 08:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $8.2K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $26.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $189 | $14.2K | $14.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $202 | $3.0K | $2.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 105 | $83 | $5.7K | $5.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 131 | $258 | $2.6K | $2.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $1 | $8.2K | $8.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $110 | $5.2K | $5.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $101 | — | +$101 |
| Median | 31 | $27 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Below median | 93 | $187 | $5.8K | $5.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $6 | $243 | $236 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $39 | $122 | $82 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $145 | $589 | $445 |
| unranked | 105 | $115 | $3.8K | $3.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +8,084 | $7,866 | $7,866 | 29 | 06-16 19:32 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +4,372 | $161 | $161 | 2 | 06-05 07:59 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +4,085 | $108 | $108 | 9 | 06-07 22:17 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +2,343 | $33 | $33 | 7 | 06-19 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xa97a…861f | Yes | +2,206 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa052…3525 | Yes | +2,028 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 06-26 02:38 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,746 | $1,709 | $7,688 | 91 | 07-04 15:18 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +761 | $720 | $3,880 | 7 | 06-27 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x56e2…4b88 | Yes | +751 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 07-03 15:54 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | +701 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 06-19 14:17 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +522 | $504 | $504 | 2 | 06-12 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x82b5…0085 | Yes | +500 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 07:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fff…5b1b | Yes | +375 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 21:31 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +363 | $7 | $7 | 22 | 07-06 08:15 |
| Electric-Elver 0xcc33…a4e9 | Yes | +348 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 07:02 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +235 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-14 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 19:12 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +200 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 14:20 |
| Repentant-Lane 0xbc7f…f922 | Yes | +200 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-20 12:31 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +200 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-19 13:50 |
| Optimistic-Applause 0xcc42…3679 | Yes | +192 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 19:18 |
| Indelible-Nun 0x7649…b00b | Yes | +190 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 12:47 |
| Polished-Ford 0x4a8f…c267 | No | +183 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 07-04 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x94ba…001d | No | +148 | $145 | $145 | 1 | 07-03 06:21 |
| Compassionate-Expert 0x167f…fa5e | No | +132 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 07-03 07:15 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +120 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x1388…8fd8 | No | +112 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-29 08:42 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +104 | $99 | $99 | 3 | 06-01 19:17 |
| Disastrous-Equation 0xb186…a946 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d52…530d | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 06-29 23:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf485…be61 | No | +85 | $83 | $83 | 2 | 06-26 02:38 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +80 | $78 | $89 | 3 | 07-06 08:09 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +72 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-06 08:02 |
| Aching-Asset 0x2548…5fb0 | No | +65 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 07-06 07:56 |
| Grumpy-Pagoda 0xe810…4eb4 | Yes | +62 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x76b0…cb04 | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-29 12:20 |
| Nifty-School 0x961e…eff2 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-01 04:27 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +52 | $-3 | $22 | 30 | 06-27 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1dc1…a09e | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-03 10:52 |
| Dirty-Disclosure 0xab16…d5dc | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-06 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xda2e…13da | No | +44 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-20 10:36 |
| Spry-Thump 0xd9d9…20a3 | No | +42 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-20 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9672…3b7d | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-20 02:20 |
| Dark-Passage 0x7173…0550 | Yes | +39 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1535…43aa | No | +36 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-19 15:46 |
| Bright-Bronco 0x3ef9…297c | Yes | +36 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 11:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xee96…d363 | No | +36 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-20 00:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4947…30b2 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0fd…5c7a | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-09 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fb1…f5c2 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-20 03:43 |
| Major-Grandma 0xe687…33c2 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-10 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x18b1…4fee | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-07 13:07 |
| Mean-Initial 0xfc9e…ce97 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-06 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x2351…b872 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-11 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-18 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d18…33c5 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-09 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5481…1e81 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-11 12:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 08:15:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x19644e… |
| 07-06 08:15:50 | Mean-Initial 0xfc9e…ce97 | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x19644e… |
| 07-06 08:12:44 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x126a9f… |
| 07-06 08:12:44 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x126a9f… |
| 07-06 08:09:19 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x89b7fe… |
| 07-06 08:09:19 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x89b7fe… |
| 07-06 08:06:05 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf64712… |
| 07-06 08:06:05 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf64712… |
| 07-06 08:02:13 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x52f00f… |
| 07-06 08:02:13 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x52f00f… |
| 07-06 07:56:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x219b92… |
| 07-06 07:56:08 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x219b92… |
| 07-06 07:56:08 | Aching-Asset 0x2548…5fb0 | No | BUY | 65 | 98¢ | $64 | 0x219b92… |
| 07-05 21:30:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x55477d… |
| 07-05 21:30:40 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x55477d… |
| 07-05 17:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x806eaf… |
| 07-05 17:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x0640…4c5c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x806eaf… |
| 07-05 17:27:46 | Piercing-Net 0xbc40…4c26 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x806eaf… |
| 07-05 16:06:25 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x259b77… |
| 07-05 16:06:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x259b77… |
| 07-05 16:02:46 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6706e7… |
| 07-05 16:02:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6706e7… |
| 07-04 17:38:20 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x22b041… |
| 07-04 17:38:20 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x22b041… |
| 07-04 15:18:37 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 183 | 98¢ | $180 | 0x374e88… |
| 07-04 15:18:37 | Polished-Ford 0x4a8f…c267 | No | BUY | 183 | 98¢ | $180 | 0x374e88… |
| 07-03 15:54:55 | (anonymous) 0x56e2…4b88 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x48a826… |
| 07-03 15:54:55 | (anonymous) 0xd8b9…46cd | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x48a826… |
| 07-03 15:30:34 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0xb0c4a0… |
| 07-03 15:30:34 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb0c4a0… |
| 07-03 15:30:34 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xb0c4a0… |
| 07-03 07:15:13 | (anonymous) 0x56e2…4b88 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xea5cb1… |
| 07-03 07:15:13 | Piercing-Net 0xbc40…4c26 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xea5cb1… |
| 07-03 07:15:11 | Compassionate-Expert 0x167f…fa5e | No | BUY | 132 | 98¢ | $130 | 0x666f44… |
| 07-03 07:15:11 | (anonymous) 0x56e2…4b88 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x666f44… |
| 07-03 06:21:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x498234… |
| 07-03 06:21:26 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x498234… |
| 07-03 06:21:26 | (anonymous) 0x94ba…001d | No | BUY | 148 | 98¢ | $145 | 0x498234… |
| 07-01 16:16:41 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 192 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xb85761… |
| 07-01 16:16:41 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 707 | 98¢ | $692 | 0xb85761… |
| 07-01 16:16:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb85761… |
| 07-01 16:16:41 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xb85761… |
| 07-01 16:16:41 | (anonymous) 0xfd7c…a8f0 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 98¢ | $979 | 0xb85761… |
| 07-01 16:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x56e2…4b88 | Yes | BUY | 563 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x032f62… |
| 07-01 16:12:23 | Decent-Chap 0xd511…e95e | Yes | SELL | 750 | 2¢ | $14 | 0x032f62… |
| 07-01 16:12:23 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0x032f62… |
| 07-01 16:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x032f62… |
| 07-01 16:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x8ced…f07b | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x032f62… |
| 07-01 14:02:14 | Sociable-Armour 0x458c…68f8 | No | SELL | 34 | 98¢ | $33 | 0xfe9e2c… |
| 07-01 14:02:14 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfe9e2c… |
| 07-01 11:08:37 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x4f6963… |
| 07-01 11:08:37 | Virtual-Methodology 0xd95d…c71b | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x4f6963… |
| 07-01 10:04:52 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | SELL | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0xda8e5d… |
| 07-01 10:04:52 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xda8e5d… |
| 07-01 09:54:49 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x31cc88… |
| 07-01 09:54:49 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x31cc88… |
| 07-01 09:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x8ced…f07b | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x31cc88… |
| 07-01 09:34:32 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf13418… |
| 07-01 09:34:32 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf13418… |
| 07-01 06:57:05 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 34 | 98¢ | $33 | 0x2691e1… |
| 07-01 06:57:05 | Sociable-Armour 0x458c…68f8 | No | BUY | 34 | 98¢ | $33 | 0x2691e1… |
| 06-30 14:24:19 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | SELL | 237 | 98¢ | $232 | 0xf79d75… |
| 06-30 14:24:19 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 237 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xf79d75… |
| 06-30 14:07:25 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x75bdca… |
| 06-30 14:07:25 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x75bdca… |
| 06-30 13:21:11 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x637add… |
| 06-30 13:21:11 | (anonymous) 0xb76e…9d7f | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x637add… |
| 06-30 11:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xb76e…9d7f | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xa19314… |
| 06-30 11:48:40 | Virtual-Methodology 0xd95d…c71b | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xa19314… |
| 06-30 11:48:40 | Arid-Index 0x9a71…163c | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xa19314… |
| 06-30 07:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x0d61…17cf | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x5c9f46… |
| 06-30 07:05:34 | Pleasant-Anatomy 0x077f…d93b | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x5c9f46… |
| 06-29 23:48:52 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xe4dd72… |
| 06-29 23:48:52 | (anonymous) 0x1d52…530d | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xe4dd72… |
| 06-29 18:11:28 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xfc2e7c… |
| 06-29 18:11:28 | (anonymous) 0x1d52…530d | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xfc2e7c… |
| 06-29 12:24:04 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 178 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xa8cc96… |
| 06-29 12:24:04 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 178 | 98¢ | $174 | 0xa8cc96… |
| 06-29 12:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5ac092… |
| 06-29 12:20:49 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 179 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x5ac092… |
| 06-29 12:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | BUY | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x5ac092… |
| 06-29 12:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x76b0…cb04 | No | BUY | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0x5ac092… |
| 06-29 08:42:19 | (anonymous) 0x1388…8fd8 | No | BUY | 112 | 98¢ | $110 | 0xfb7dff… |
| 06-29 08:42:19 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 112 | 98¢ | $110 | 0xfb7dff… |
| 06-29 01:01:11 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x423961… |
| 06-29 01:01:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x423961… |
| 06-28 12:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | SELL | 17 | 98¢ | $17 | 0x6e0871… |
| 06-28 12:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6e0871… |
| 06-27 17:22:28 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 60 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x447009… |
| 06-27 17:22:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x447009… |
| 06-27 17:06:53 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 23 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5729dc… |
| 06-27 17:06:53 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 23 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x37ce42… |
| 06-27 17:06:53 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0x5729dc… |
| 06-27 17:06:53 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0x37ce42… |
| 06-27 16:52:23 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 23 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfff347… |
| 06-27 16:52:23 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0xfff347… |
| 06-27 16:52:22 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0x2bd10c… |
| 06-27 16:52:22 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 23 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2bd10c… |
| 06-27 16:38:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 23 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd67c4a… |
| 06-27 16:38:04 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0x347d6e… |