Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
230
lifetime
Volume
$1.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$43
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 07-23 11:05
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
57%
Other
34%
Sports
6%
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026? Yes +64 $1 $4 +$3 07-21 05:22
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? Yes +14 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 07-21 05:34
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes +40 $2 $2 $-0 07-21 05:31
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? Yes +28 $1 $2 +$1 07-16 08:42
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes +29 $1 $2 +$1 07-21 05:37
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +38 $1 $2 +$1 07-21 05:21
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? Yes +20 $1 $2 +$1 07-21 05:42
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? Yes +59 $1 $1 +$1 07-21 05:22
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $1 $1 +$0 07-16 08:26
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +83 $1 $1 +$0 07-16 08:16
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +30 $1 $1 +$0 07-16 08:22
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? Yes +21 $1 $1 +$0 07-16 08:44
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +45 $1 $1 +$0 07-21 05:22
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes +53 $1 $1 +$0 07-21 05:25
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $2 $1 $-1 07-21 05:37
Will Santander fail by end of 2026? Yes +48 $1 $1 +$0 07-21 05:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $1 $1 +$0 07-21 05:05
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $1 $1 +$0 07-21 05:03
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +40 $1 $1 +$0 07-21 18:55
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes +29 $1 $1 +$0 07-16 08:32
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +15 $1 $1 +$0 07-16 08:32
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $1 $1 +$0 07-21 05:04
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +5 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 07-21 05:40
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +31 $1 $1 +$0 07-21 05:13
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +11 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 07-21 05:38
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 +$0 07-21 05:33
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +25 $1 $1 +$0 07-16 08:28
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $1 $1 +$0 07-16 08:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 07-21 05:04
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 07-21 05:26