Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$428
$76 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$12,664
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-30 10:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $114 | $114 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $2 | $10 | $7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $2 | $12 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 3 | — | $114 | $114 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $63 | $63 |
| unranked | 4 | $1 | $12 | $12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | +46 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 10:50 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +16 | $15 | $111 | 4 | 06-16 03:09 |
| Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-30 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x30cd…8ac2 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-07 15:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +1 | $0 | $1 | 5 | 06-21 07:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 10:50:46 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x656f09… |
| 06-30 10:50:46 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x656f09… |
| 06-24 01:01:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xeb19bb… |
| 06-24 01:01:52 | Unselfish-Lift 0x83ab…a8ab | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xeb19bb… |
| 06-21 07:19:32 | Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe66fa7… |
| 06-21 07:19:32 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe66fa7… |
| 06-21 07:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdf65f0… |
| 06-21 07:18:34 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdf65f0… |
| 06-16 03:09:13 | Unselfish-Lift 0x83ab…a8ab | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x711d3e… |
| 06-16 03:09:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x711d3e… |
| 06-15 17:10:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x17f5df… |
| 06-15 17:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x17f5df… |
| 06-14 17:18:37 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x195b69… |
| 06-14 17:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x195b69… |
| 06-14 17:18:24 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x6aa39c… |
| 06-14 17:18:24 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x6aa39c… |
| 06-14 17:18:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x6aa39c… |
| 06-14 17:18:24 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6aa39c… |
| 06-11 09:02:36 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4bff2d… |
| 06-11 09:02:36 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4bff2d… |
| 06-07 15:14:40 | (anonymous) 0x30cd…8ac2 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x94fb60… |
| 06-07 15:14:40 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x94fb60… |
| 06-07 15:14:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xb6d672… |
| 06-07 15:14:15 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb6d672… |
| 06-05 05:34:09 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x345b2d… |
| 06-05 05:34:09 | (anonymous) 0x30cd…8ac2 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x345b2d… |
| 06-05 05:33:40 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x43c7a1… |
| 06-05 05:33:40 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x43c7a1… |
| 05-30 10:50:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0xe04463… |
| 05-30 10:50:08 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 126 | 97¢ | $122 | 0xe04463… |
| 05-30 10:50:08 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe04463… |
| 05-30 10:50:08 | Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe04463… |
| 05-30 05:28:36 | Secondary-Soundness 0xe1ff…2950 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xfdf06a… |
| 05-30 05:28:36 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfdf06a… |
| 05-30 05:24:40 | Secondary-Soundness 0xe1ff…2950 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2eac47… |
| 05-30 05:24:40 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2eac47… |
| 05-29 19:25:52 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1a8339… |
| 05-29 19:25:52 | Secondary-Soundness 0xe1ff…2950 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1a8339… |
| 05-29 02:46:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x31e201… |
| 05-29 02:46:49 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x31e201… |
| 05-27 21:30:45 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5dc52b… |
| 05-27 21:30:45 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x5dc52b… |
| 05-27 21:30:45 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5dc52b… |