Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$3,220
$76 in 24h
Trades
105
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$12,664
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-07 15:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $0 | $64 | $64 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $0 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $6 | $71 | $65 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $10 | $34 | $24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 3 | — | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $66 | $64 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $63 | $63 |
| unranked | 11 | $8 | $29 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +1,417 | $1,403 | $1,895 | 16 | 08-06 17:24 |
| Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | +167 | $1 | $7 | 22 | 08-07 15:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +149 | $2 | $4 | 20 | 08-06 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +59 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-07 14:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +51 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:55 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | +46 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 10:50 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +33 | $-0 | $3 | 6 | 07-21 18:55 |
| Delayed-Trust 0x7b82…8d9f | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 08-06 00:02 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-17 12:56 |
| Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 00:07 |
| Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-30 10:50 |
| Excitable-Broad 0x6b52…e0a0 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-18 00:29 |
| Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-18 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x30cd…8ac2 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-07 15:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 15:57:06 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x99e9e9… |
| 08-07 15:57:06 | (anonymous) 0x5434…654b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x99e9e9… |
| 08-07 15:16:33 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39f97a… |
| 08-07 15:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39f97a… |
| 08-07 14:56:03 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x64e344… |
| 08-07 14:56:03 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64e344… |
| 08-07 14:56:03 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 214 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x64e344… |
| 08-06 17:24:42 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 296 | 99¢ | $292 | 0x56c496… |
| 08-06 17:24:42 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | BUY | 214 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x56c496… |
| 08-06 17:24:42 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x56c496… |
| 08-06 17:24:42 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x56c496… |
| 08-06 17:24:42 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x56c496… |
| 08-06 00:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0258f5… |
| 08-06 00:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x5434…654b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0258f5… |
| 08-06 00:02:24 | Delayed-Trust 0x7b82…8d9f | No | BUY | 17 | 98¢ | $16 | 0x0258f5… |
| 08-02 22:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x640f83… |
| 08-02 22:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x640f83… |
| 08-02 22:19:53 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 99¢ | $990 | 0x640f83… |
| 08-02 22:19:53 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | SELL | 990 | 99¢ | $980 | 0x640f83… |
| 08-02 10:55:09 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x68d8ac… |
| 08-02 10:55:09 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x68d8ac… |
| 07-21 18:55:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd1ca1f… |
| 07-21 18:55:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd1ca1f… |
| 07-21 18:55:16 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd1ca1f… |
| 07-18 00:29:15 | Excitable-Broad 0x6b52…e0a0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7379a6… |
| 07-18 00:29:15 | Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7379a6… |
| 07-17 12:56:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0a591e… |
| 07-17 12:56:37 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0a591e… |
| 07-17 12:56:09 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x916459… |
| 07-17 12:56:09 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x916459… |
| 07-17 12:56:09 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x916459… |
| 07-13 15:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x241b10… |
| 07-13 15:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x241b10… |
| 07-13 15:09:46 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x241b10… |
| 07-13 15:09:46 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 29 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x241b10… |
| 07-11 17:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x513167… |
| 07-11 17:37:13 | Shiny-Notoriety 0xc47d…e8e9 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x513167… |
| 07-11 17:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x513167… |
| 07-09 22:14:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcb9878… |
| 07-09 22:14:55 | Shiny-Notoriety 0xc47d…e8e9 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcb9878… |
| 07-09 00:34:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2d0a5a… |
| 07-09 00:34:31 | Scared-Real 0x8093…6e6c | No | SELL | 62 | 99¢ | $61 | 0x2d0a5a… |
| 07-09 00:34:31 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2d0a5a… |
| 07-09 00:34:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2d0a5a… |
| 07-09 00:34:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2d0a5a… |
| 07-09 00:34:19 | Scared-Real 0x8093…6e6c | No | BUY | 62 | 99¢ | $61 | 0xba08d9… |
| 07-09 00:34:19 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 62 | 99¢ | $61 | 0xba08d9… |
| 07-09 00:07:02 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3c818… |
| 07-09 00:07:02 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3c818… |
| 07-09 00:07:02 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3c818… |
| 07-09 00:03:23 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x04a460… |
| 07-09 00:03:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x04a460… |
| 07-09 00:03:23 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x04a460… |
| 07-07 23:24:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61a1a5… |
| 07-07 23:24:31 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x61a1a5… |
| 07-07 23:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x830e1f… |
| 07-07 23:24:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x830e1f… |
| 07-07 23:24:08 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 39 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x830e1f… |
| 07-07 23:24:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd061e7… |
| 07-07 23:24:01 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xd061e7… |
| 07-04 16:08:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5f0e08… |
| 07-04 16:08:35 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x5f0e08… |
| 06-30 10:50:46 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x656f09… |
| 06-30 10:50:46 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x656f09… |
| 06-24 01:01:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xeb19bb… |
| 06-24 01:01:52 | Unselfish-Lift 0x83ab…a8ab | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xeb19bb… |
| 06-21 07:19:32 | Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe66fa7… |
| 06-21 07:19:32 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe66fa7… |
| 06-21 07:18:34 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdf65f0… |
| 06-21 07:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdf65f0… |
| 06-16 03:09:13 | Unselfish-Lift 0x83ab…a8ab | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x711d3e… |
| 06-16 03:09:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x711d3e… |
| 06-15 17:10:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x17f5df… |
| 06-15 17:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x17f5df… |
| 06-14 17:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x195b69… |
| 06-14 17:18:37 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x195b69… |
| 06-14 17:18:24 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6aa39c… |
| 06-14 17:18:24 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x6aa39c… |
| 06-14 17:18:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x6aa39c… |
| 06-14 17:18:24 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x6aa39c… |
| 06-11 09:02:36 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4bff2d… |
| 06-11 09:02:36 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4bff2d… |
| 06-07 15:14:40 | (anonymous) 0x30cd…8ac2 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x94fb60… |
| 06-07 15:14:40 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x94fb60… |
| 06-07 15:14:15 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb6d672… |
| 06-07 15:14:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xb6d672… |
| 06-05 05:34:09 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x345b2d… |
| 06-05 05:34:09 | (anonymous) 0x30cd…8ac2 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x345b2d… |
| 06-05 05:33:40 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x43c7a1… |
| 06-05 05:33:40 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x43c7a1… |
| 05-30 10:50:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0xe04463… |
| 05-30 10:50:08 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe04463… |
| 05-30 10:50:08 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 126 | 97¢ | $122 | 0xe04463… |
| 05-30 10:50:08 | Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe04463… |
| 05-30 05:28:36 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfdf06a… |
| 05-30 05:28:36 | Secondary-Soundness 0xe1ff…2950 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xfdf06a… |
| 05-30 05:24:40 | Secondary-Soundness 0xe1ff…2950 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2eac47… |
| 05-30 05:24:40 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2eac47… |
| 05-29 19:25:52 | Secondary-Soundness 0xe1ff…2950 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1a8339… |
| 05-29 19:25:52 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1a8339… |