Majestic-Cricket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.74K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

10,925

Trades

16,651

lifetime

Volume

$215.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 75% -$1,539

Other

3% 37% -$137

Politics

1% 4% -$8

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Sports

0% 3% -$51

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 421 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	09-24 23:01
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	09-24 22:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	09-24 20:06
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	09-25 20:52
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	10-14 00:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	10-14 00:21
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	10-14 00:21
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	10-14 00:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:45 UTC	2	$616	1,928	0	+1,928	Up	-$616	08-16 04:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:30 UTC	2	$221	616	0	+616	Up	+$395	08-16 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 17:00 UTC	10	$214	235	0	+235	Up	+$21	02-26 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 18:30 UTC	1	$184	468	0	+468	Up	-$184	08-16 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$182	184	0	+184	Up	+$2	05-10 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$182	200	0	+200	Down	-$182	05-10 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$180	182	0	+182	Up	+$2	05-09 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$177	179	0	+179	Down	+$2	05-09 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$176	178	0	+178	Up	+$2	05-09 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$173	188	0	+188	Up	+$15	05-09 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$173	182	0	+182	Up	+$9	05-09 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$170	172	0	+172	Down	+$2	05-09 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$168	234	0	+234	Up	+$66	05-09 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$168	170	0	+170	Down	+$2	05-09 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$168	205	0	+205	Down	-$168	05-09 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$168	218	0	+218	Up	+$50	05-09 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$167	184	0	+184	Up	+$17	05-09 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	9	$164	211	0	+211	Up	+$47	05-09 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 10:40 UTC	31	$164	243	130	+113	Down	+$34	06-19 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$164	200	0	+200	Up	-$164	05-10 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$163	165	0	+165	Up	+$2	05-09 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$162	164	0	+164	Up	+$2	05-11 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$162	165	0	+165	Down	+$3	05-09 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$161	163	0	+163	Up	+$2	05-09 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$161	163	0	+163	Up	+$2	05-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$159	161	0	+161	Down	+$2	05-09 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$159	162	0	+162	Up	+$3	05-09 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$158	178	0	+178	Up	-$158	05-08 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$158	160	0	+160	Up	+$2	05-09 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$158	160	0	+160	Up	+$2	05-09 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:42:01	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xdc4d67…
10-28 03:41:42	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfe944e…
10-28 03:33:18	Will ERC win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0xa35499…
10-28 03:33:13	Will ERC win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xdcaa48…
10-28 03:13:44	Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xc367bd…
10-28 02:56:09	Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd80e3e…
10-28 02:50:09	Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x66d767…
10-28 02:50:02	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x00b760…
10-28 02:44:33	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xe424f0…
10-28 02:44:33	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x783eaf…
10-28 02:44:33	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x6fbeb5…
10-28 02:44:33	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x685f7f…
10-28 02:43:38	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x0ca2a6…
10-28 02:24:03	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x75d89e…
10-28 01:48:15	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x4021f7…
10-28 01:48:11	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x3e163f…
10-28 01:34:12	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xc18cb7…
10-28 01:33:59	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x8e03b8…
10-28 01:33:59	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6fff45…
10-28 00:15:29	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xaed92b…
10-27 21:39:03	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xe540f1…
10-27 21:38:29	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x52a882…
10-27 16:38:54	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x04794f…
10-27 16:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x16628d…
10-27 16:38:47	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0xcf0766…
10-27 16:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xdfb64e…
10-27 16:38:39	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x1a3f32…
10-27 16:38:35	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x902581…
10-27 16:13:11	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x63e034…
10-27 16:07:24	Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xfb69aa…
10-27 16:07:21	Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xfd8842…
10-27 15:54:23	Will Sato play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc1c464…
10-27 15:54:20	Will Sato play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5799b9…
10-27 15:51:21	Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x205014…
10-27 15:42:00	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xd068d7…
10-27 15:41:44	Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series?	No	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x7829bb…
10-27 15:41:44	Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x6fa711…
10-27 15:37:59	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x9cd290…
10-27 15:31:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xbcb04a…
10-27 15:31:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x7a7a6d…
10-27 15:17:59	Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x4b3228…
10-27 15:01:51	Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xa8f125…
10-27 15:00:35	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0xe964f4…
10-27 15:00:32	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xecdc6e…
10-27 14:45:54	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x25e18f…
10-27 14:39:18	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x0a60e5…
10-27 14:18:38	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	22	16¢	$4	0x380e60…
10-27 14:11:15	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xb96e71…
10-27 13:54:35	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x6e384e…
10-27 13:46:09	Will Sarah Knafo receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x9a78bb…
10-27 13:46:05	Will Sarah Knafo receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xe677be…
10-27 13:46:05	Will Sarah Knafo receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x2509c7…
10-27 13:36:08	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x0e91dd…
10-27 13:36:05	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0xd0c324…
10-27 13:36:05	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xaab1e4…
10-27 13:36:05	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x40f2a1…
10-27 13:36:05	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0c6830…
10-27 12:35:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x494dc9…
10-27 12:34:00	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xcddec6…
10-27 12:34:00	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x7af7fb…
10-27 12:24:56	Will Matt Miazga win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xf3c222…
10-27 12:18:02	Will Matt Miazga win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x3a468b…
10-27 12:16:18	Will Matt Miazga win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x79e4d5…
10-27 12:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x1931d6…
10-27 12:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x8438df…
10-27 11:52:50	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xeec353…
10-27 11:39:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xa3c224…
10-27 11:35:00	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x54adb2…
10-27 11:34:18	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x919193…
10-27 11:30:35	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb494cc…
10-27 11:30:30	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb0a356…
10-27 11:29:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xb7823d…
10-27 11:29:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x00f7e6…
10-27 11:19:03	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x19aac0…
10-27 11:14:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 75%-80%?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x4d26d1…
10-27 10:59:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 75%-80%?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xd48b5a…
10-27 10:47:48	Will Matt Miazga win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x1fa6aa…
10-27 10:46:23	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x169409…
10-27 10:46:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7de9fc…
10-27 10:46:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xc990d8…
10-27 10:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x8d8a29…
10-27 10:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x366377…
10-27 10:13:09	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xe5927e…
10-27 10:13:05	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xe086ef…
10-27 10:10:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xa3cf7a…
10-27 10:10:32	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x3eeed6…
10-27 10:09:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x3b4b3d…
10-27 10:07:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x16cefb…
10-27 10:07:48	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa9a31d…
10-27 10:07:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xbd7916…
10-27 10:07:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x7c26b8…
10-27 10:02:50	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x49f6de…
10-27 10:02:45	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xf94502…
10-27 09:48:27	Will Matt Miazga win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x7204ec…
10-27 09:47:47	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x63d9fa…
10-27 09:47:44	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xbc13e1…
10-27 09:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xbe3962…
10-27 09:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x6863a7…
10-27 09:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x691ffd…
10-27 09:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x069f7d…