Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$143,769
$2,062 in 24h
Trades
1,674
Unique wallets
456
Liquidity
$53,267
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-27 14:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+35.1¢
(top1%: 41% YES on $1.9K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $88.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $29 | $40.6K | $40.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $2.0K | $11.1K | $9.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 169 | $2.7K | $20.9K | $18.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 236 | $81 | $11.0K | $10.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $788 | $1.2K | $368 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $1.2K | $7.8K | $6.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $10 | $334 | $324 |
| Median | 55 | $16 | $7.9K | $7.9K |
| Below median | 157 | $37 | $7.7K | $7.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $618 | $618 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $4 | $17.1K | $17.1K |
| unranked | 199 | $2.7K | $41.0K | $38.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +21,669 | $479 | $1,944 | 198 | 07-27 14:37 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +15,259 | $14,771 | $14,771 | 10 | 06-04 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +8,119 | $7,947 | $7,947 | 5 | 07-16 06:56 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +8,018 | $7,718 | $7,718 | 13 | 06-09 14:29 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +6,340 | $135 | $1,392 | 331 | 07-25 09:37 |
| Evil-Eaves 0x4574…0b7a | Yes | +4,781 | $532 | $4,374 | 50 | 07-09 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +2,248 | $2,199 | $3,170 | 4 | 07-24 14:23 |
| Sore-Variable 0xe7e7…9333 | No | +2,069 | $2,030 | $2,030 | 1 | 07-25 09:37 |
| Rundown-Ski 0x0321…8cb5 | No | +2,011 | $1,965 | $1,965 | 6 | 07-13 23:27 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +1,350 | $1,311 | $1,311 | 2 | 07-01 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xca22…2ee7 | No | +1,000 | $967 | $967 | 3 | 06-07 19:14 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +800 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 06-15 12:51 |
| Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | +494 | $9 | $158 | 40 | 06-30 13:39 |
| Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | +476 | $464 | $464 | 1 | 07-02 06:11 |
| Sorrowful-Surround 0x019e…af1d | No | +419 | $404 | $404 | 1 | 06-05 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +400 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-14 09:10 |
| Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | +322 | $310 | $310 | 2 | 06-10 02:48 |
| Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | Yes | +322 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-10 02:41 |
| Paltry-Sentiment 0x091e…84bc | No | +308 | $301 | $301 | 2 | 06-22 21:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf591…6ad5 | No | +277 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 07-17 16:27 |
| Crazy-Hybridization 0x19b8…0c6c | Yes | +250 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 19:39 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $7 | $14 | 3 | 06-14 09:10 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 06-12 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8753…8262 | No | +200 | $195 | $195 | 1 | 07-02 06:23 |
| Harmonious-Pumpkinseed 0xb9eb…f48c | No | +107 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-16 06:01 |
| Weepy-Interest 0x0403…6928 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-16 06:03 |
| Ethical-Treaty 0xc28a…96d9 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-16 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x565e…3ca6 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-17 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xc11f…95ad | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-16 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b6…ddf8 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-08 07:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x64e2…6825 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-03 13:00 |
| Polite-Piracy 0x598a…ef6e | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x8037…34a1 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-25 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xade4…e91d | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-08 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1526…f851 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-08 07:51 |
| Ashamed-Fisherman 0xfffe…29d5 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-03 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ae2…8e16 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| Blushing-Soup 0xe2c9…73e1 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b81…a5e5 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-25 19:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 14:37:51 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x209712… |
| 07-27 14:37:51 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 72 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x209712… |
| 07-27 14:37:51 | (anonymous) 0xb49c…af0d | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x209712… |
| 07-27 14:37:51 | (anonymous) 0x53ed…5f6d | No | SELL | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0x209712… |
| 07-27 14:37:51 | (anonymous) 0x0dad…d53d | No | SELL | 97 | 98¢ | $95 | 0x209712… |
| 07-25 19:39:24 | (anonymous) 0x1436…f300 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xf05ead… |
| 07-25 19:39:24 | Crazy-Hybridization 0x19b8…0c6c | Yes | BUY | 250 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xf05ead… |
| 07-25 19:39:24 | (anonymous) 0x1b81…a5e5 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xf05ead… |
| 07-25 19:39:24 | (anonymous) 0x8037…34a1 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xf05ead… |
| 07-25 09:37:01 | Sore-Variable 0xe7e7…9333 | No | BUY | 2,069 | 98¢ | $2,030 | 0x1ec495… |
| 07-25 09:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x53ed…5f6d | No | SELL | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x1ec495… |
| 07-25 09:37:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 462 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x1ec495… |
| 07-25 09:37:01 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1,568 | 2¢ | $30 | 0x1ec495… |
| 07-24 14:57:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8c4c67… |
| 07-24 14:57:13 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8c4c67… |
| 07-24 14:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb5b968… |
| 07-24 14:30:16 | (anonymous) 0xa00d…eaf8 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb5b968… |
| 07-24 14:23:03 | (anonymous) 0xcda0…918e | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x302151… |
| 07-24 14:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | BUY | 248 | 98¢ | $243 | 0x302151… |
| 07-24 14:23:03 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x302151… |
| 07-24 14:23:03 | (anonymous) 0xc897…0bdf | No | SELL | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0x302151… |
| 07-24 14:23:03 | (anonymous) 0xa00d…eaf8 | No | SELL | 76 | 98¢ | $74 | 0x302151… |
| 07-24 14:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x0238…1288 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x302151… |
| 07-24 14:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x302151… |
| 07-24 14:15:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 309 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x9b0ae9… |
| 07-24 14:15:01 | (anonymous) 0x50d3…b5aa | No | SELL | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x9b0ae9… |
| 07-24 14:15:01 | (anonymous) 0xba8e…d040 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x9b0ae9… |
| 07-24 14:15:01 | (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | BUY | 2,000 | 98¢ | $1,962 | 0x9b0ae9… |
| 07-24 14:15:01 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1,555 | 2¢ | $30 | 0x9b0ae9… |
| 07-24 13:58:34 | Shoddy-Desktop 0x7c11…cd9e | No | SELL | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x3d50b0… |
| 07-24 13:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x1487…95f2 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3d50b0… |
| 07-24 13:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…5c05 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x3d50b0… |
| 07-24 13:32:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd8cfdb… |
| 07-24 13:32:09 | Shoddy-Desktop 0x7c11…cd9e | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xd8cfdb… |
| 07-24 13:23:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x769fa1… |
| 07-24 13:23:43 | Shoddy-Desktop 0x7c11…cd9e | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x769fa1… |
| 07-22 15:02:30 | (anonymous) 0x65e5…0cad | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x4e6348… |
| 07-22 15:02:30 | (anonymous) 0x1487…95f2 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x4e6348… |
| 07-22 05:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x8c16…7582 | No | SELL | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0xe46487… |
| 07-22 05:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x1487…95f2 | No | BUY | 34 | 98¢ | $33 | 0xe46487… |
| 07-22 05:57:19 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe46487… |
| 07-22 05:31:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xea6f72… |
| 07-22 05:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x8c16…7582 | No | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xea6f72… |
| 07-22 05:00:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x04afa5… |
| 07-22 05:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x8c16…7582 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x04afa5… |
| 07-21 21:28:16 | (anonymous) 0xf618…1cf7 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf1f8c5… |
| 07-21 21:28:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf1f8c5… |
| 07-21 20:41:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcd252a… |
| 07-21 20:41:54 | (anonymous) 0xf618…1cf7 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xcd252a… |
| 07-21 09:52:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 61 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd2c44e… |
| 07-21 09:52:27 | (anonymous) 0xeaee…dff3 | No | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0xd2c44e… |
| 07-21 05:05:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x544f88… |
| 07-21 05:05:16 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x544f88… |
| 07-21 02:54:51 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x24745b… |
| 07-21 02:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x7e80…f17a | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x24745b… |
| 07-20 18:34:18 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x06fa74… |
| 07-20 18:34:18 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x06fa74… |
| 07-20 00:26:51 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5b9410… |
| 07-20 00:26:51 | Terrible-Average 0x082c…9b4a | No | SELL | 32 | 98¢ | $31 | 0x5b9410… |
| 07-20 00:19:15 | Terrible-Average 0x082c…9b4a | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x3a3f38… |
| 07-20 00:19:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3a3f38… |
| 07-20 00:02:51 | Terrible-Average 0x082c…9b4a | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x252b88… |
| 07-20 00:02:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x252b88… |
| 07-19 20:01:25 | (anonymous) 0xd35c…4437 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x9bb0ce… |
| 07-19 20:01:25 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 316 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x9bb0ce… |
| 07-19 20:01:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 175 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x9bb0ce… |
| 07-19 20:01:25 | Demanding-Entrepreneur 0x1d10…3bdd | No | SELL | 500 | 98¢ | $490 | 0x9bb0ce… |
| 07-19 09:59:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x64a88c… |
| 07-19 09:59:42 | Fake-Inn 0x2783…8321 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x64a88c… |
| 07-19 07:10:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xaf7ecf… |
| 07-19 07:10:48 | Tidy-Kilometer 0x316f…795a | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xaf7ecf… |
| 07-19 00:57:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe7a5c4… |
| 07-19 00:57:27 | Plush-Coverall 0x9fd2…d24e | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe7a5c4… |
| 07-18 12:51:33 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x027cd1… |
| 07-18 12:51:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 250 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x027cd1… |
| 07-17 18:59:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 471 | 2¢ | $9 | 0xbea4d9… |
| 07-17 18:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbea4d9… |
| 07-17 18:59:13 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 481 | 2¢ | $9 | 0xbea4d9… |
| 07-17 16:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2f97f5… |
| 07-17 16:27:28 | (anonymous) 0xf591…6ad5 | No | BUY | 277 | 98¢ | $272 | 0x2f97f5… |
| 07-17 16:27:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 267 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x2f97f5… |
| 07-17 16:23:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 102 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xaa0d2c… |
| 07-17 16:23:36 | (anonymous) 0x565e…3ca6 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0xaa0d2c… |
| 07-17 15:06:22 | (anonymous) 0xb7c1…ca48 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x210995… |
| 07-17 15:06:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x210995… |
| 07-16 15:17:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 102 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3e55d6… |
| 07-16 15:17:16 | (anonymous) 0xc11f…95ad | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x3e55d6… |
| 07-16 06:56:32 | (anonymous) 0xdf0c…a34f | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa8d3d5… |
| 07-16 06:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x0dad…d53d | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa8d3d5… |
| 07-16 06:56:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 160 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x18a302… |
| 07-16 06:56:31 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 1,728 | 98¢ | $1,694 | 0x18a302… |
| 07-16 06:56:31 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1,568 | 2¢ | $31 | 0x18a302… |
| 07-16 06:18:22 | Ethical-Treaty 0xc28a…96d9 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x282087… |
| 07-16 06:18:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 102 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x282087… |
| 07-16 06:03:19 | Weepy-Interest 0x0403…6928 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0xf11768… |
| 07-16 06:03:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 102 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf11768… |
| 07-16 06:01:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 107 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x64c214… |
| 07-16 06:01:34 | Harmonious-Pumpkinseed 0xb9eb…f48c | No | BUY | 107 | 98¢ | $105 | 0x64c214… |
| 07-15 16:55:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 471 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x2babb1… |
| 07-15 16:55:13 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | SELL | 71 | 98¢ | $70 | 0x2babb1… |