Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$116,888
$2,062 in 24h
Trades
1,497
Unique wallets
414
Liquidity
$53,267
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-08 15:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+31.0¢
(top1%: 37% YES on $1.8K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $72.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $29 | $32.6K | $32.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $1.5K | $8.9K | $7.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 163 | $2.6K | $20.8K | $18.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 207 | $153 | $5.6K | $5.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $677 | $1.2K | $479 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $873 | $7.8K | $7.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $10 | $526 | $516 |
| Median | 50 | $16 | $7.7K | $7.6K |
| Below median | 150 | $19 | $7.6K | $7.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $14 | $618 | $604 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $4 | $9.1K | $9.1K |
| unranked | 172 | $2.7K | $33.4K | $30.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Eaves 0x4574…0b7a | Yes | +19,184 | $887 | $4,020 | 46 | 07-06 13:15 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +15,259 | $14,771 | $14,771 | 10 | 06-04 13:37 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +8,018 | $7,718 | $7,718 | 13 | 06-09 14:29 |
| Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | +6,555 | $6,385 | $6,385 | 2 | 07-06 13:15 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +6,301 | $135 | $1,582 | 174 | 07-08 11:28 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,170 | $44 | $1,260 | 289 | 07-08 15:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | +1,848 | $1,774 | $1,774 | 4 | 06-11 07:13 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +1,350 | $1,311 | $1,311 | 2 | 07-01 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xca22…2ee7 | No | +1,000 | $967 | $967 | 3 | 06-07 19:14 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +800 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 06-15 12:51 |
| Demanding-Entrepreneur 0x1d10…3bdd | No | +500 | $480 | $480 | 3 | 06-10 02:41 |
| Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | +494 | $9 | $158 | 40 | 06-30 13:39 |
| Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | +476 | $464 | $464 | 1 | 07-02 06:11 |
| Sorrowful-Surround 0x019e…af1d | No | +419 | $404 | $404 | 1 | 06-05 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +400 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-14 09:10 |
| Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | +322 | $310 | $310 | 2 | 06-10 02:48 |
| Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | Yes | +322 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-10 02:41 |
| Paltry-Sentiment 0x091e…84bc | No | +308 | $301 | $301 | 2 | 06-22 21:23 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $7 | $14 | 3 | 06-14 09:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x8753…8262 | No | +200 | $195 | $195 | 1 | 07-02 06:23 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 06-12 11:54 |
| Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | +100 | $97 | $517 | 9 | 07-02 01:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4ce…b139 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| Blushing-Soup 0xe2c9…73e1 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0238…1288 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 06-29 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ae2…8e16 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| Ashamed-Fisherman 0xfffe…29d5 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-03 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1526…f851 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-08 07:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-06 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x64e2…6825 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-03 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xade4…e91d | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-08 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b6…ddf8 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-08 07:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x53ed…5f6d | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-06 13:11 |
| Frigid-Guidance 0x9ac1…0e59 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-08 07:50 |
| Far-Off-Logistics 0xe57c…b0fb | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-08 07:51 |
| Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-04 19:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 15:32:55 | Whole-Cicada 0x7bb1…7803 | No | SELL | 62 | 97¢ | $60 | 0xe1f89e… |
| 07-08 15:32:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 62 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe1f89e… |
| 07-08 12:37:43 | (anonymous) 0x13a9…ca64 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x19a867… |
| 07-08 12:37:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x19a867… |
| 07-08 11:28:37 | Whole-Cicada 0x7bb1…7803 | No | BUY | 62 | 97¢ | $60 | 0x929a6e… |
| 07-08 11:28:37 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 62 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x929a6e… |
| 07-08 11:26:47 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x149077… |
| 07-08 11:26:47 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x149077… |
| 07-08 07:51:11 | Far-Off-Logistics 0xe57c…b0fb | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x5e7363… |
| 07-08 07:51:11 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x5e7363… |
| 07-08 07:51:07 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x0f07f4… |
| 07-08 07:51:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0f07f4… |
| 07-08 07:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x1526…f851 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x0f07f4… |
| 07-08 07:51:02 | (anonymous) 0xade4…e91d | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x3ac8d2… |
| 07-08 07:51:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x3ac8d2… |
| 07-08 07:50:59 | (anonymous) 0x53b6…ddf8 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xe1d982… |
| 07-08 07:50:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xe1d982… |
| 07-08 07:50:50 | Frigid-Guidance 0x9ac1…0e59 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xc021b8… |
| 07-08 07:50:50 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xc021b8… |
| 07-07 23:42:13 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7847f1… |
| 07-07 23:42:13 | (anonymous) 0x7c0c…dac1 | No | SELL | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x7847f1… |
| 07-07 18:39:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xba0f9f… |
| 07-07 18:39:16 | (anonymous) 0x7c0c…dac1 | No | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0xba0f9f… |
| 07-07 15:50:26 | (anonymous) 0xaf39…4e13 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9fef99… |
| 07-07 15:50:26 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9fef99… |
| 07-07 15:50:26 | (anonymous) 0x0cdc…9056 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9fef99… |
| 07-07 12:55:44 | (anonymous) 0xaf39…4e13 | No | BUY | 48 | 97¢ | $47 | 0xd3fd8d… |
| 07-07 12:55:44 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xd3fd8d… |
| 07-07 12:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x9e57…5ec6 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $51 | 0xd3fd8d… |
| 07-07 02:34:19 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 46 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x552c97… |
| 07-07 02:34:19 | (anonymous) 0x13b5…08ad | No | SELL | 46 | 97¢ | $45 | 0x552c97… |
| 07-06 22:53:44 | Hopeful-Brilliant 0x89fa…4335 | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xb208ca… |
| 07-06 22:53:44 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb208ca… |
| 07-06 18:29:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 46 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0256b7… |
| 07-06 18:29:37 | (anonymous) 0x13b5…08ad | No | BUY | 46 | 97¢ | $45 | 0x0256b7… |
| 07-06 16:18:02 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcd0452… |
| 07-06 16:18:02 | Flawless-Hold 0xf0e7…3448 | No | SELL | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0xcd0452… |
| 07-06 14:48:07 | Hopeful-Brilliant 0x89fa…4335 | No | BUY | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xeb54ba… |
| 07-06 14:48:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xeb54ba… |
| 07-06 14:31:47 | Flawless-Hold 0xf0e7…3448 | No | BUY | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0x6c183d… |
| 07-06 14:31:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6c183d… |
| 07-06 13:48:20 | Plain-Comeback 0xcd84…7c61 | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xfafbc3… |
| 07-06 13:48:20 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfafbc3… |
| 07-06 13:19:28 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaea9f4… |
| 07-06 13:19:28 | Repulsive-Standing 0x32d3…92a9 | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xaea9f4… |
| 07-06 13:15:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x91130b… |
| 07-06 13:15:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 471 | 3¢ | $13 | 0x91130b… |
| 07-06 13:15:37 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1,249 | 3¢ | $36 | 0x91130b… |
| 07-06 13:15:37 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 6,473 | 97¢ | $6,305 | 0x91130b… |
| 07-06 13:15:37 | Evil-Eaves 0x4574…0b7a | Yes | BUY | 11,901 | 3¢ | $319 | 0x91130b… |
| 07-06 13:11:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 245 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x67838a… |
| 07-06 13:11:05 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1,446 | 3¢ | $38 | 0x67838a… |
| 07-06 13:11:05 | Evil-Eaves 0x4574…0b7a | Yes | BUY | 2,502 | 3¢ | $64 | 0x67838a… |
| 07-06 13:11:05 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 82 | 97¢ | $80 | 0x67838a… |
| 07-06 13:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x53ed…5f6d | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x67838a… |
| 07-06 12:35:35 | (anonymous) 0x3b9f…ee40 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x5ef8c8… |
| 07-06 12:35:35 | Plain-Comeback 0xcd84…7c61 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x5ef8c8… |
| 07-06 11:40:41 | (anonymous) 0x93a5…d371 | No | SELL | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x9c69ca… |
| 07-06 11:40:41 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9c69ca… |
| 07-06 11:40:41 | Repulsive-Standing 0x32d3…92a9 | No | BUY | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0x9c69ca… |
| 07-06 07:34:08 | Lawful-Core 0x5900…cd7e | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x734b9b… |
| 07-06 07:34:08 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x734b9b… |
| 07-06 06:55:10 | Equatorial-Sock 0x60ab…6d72 | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x1e81de… |
| 07-06 06:55:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 23 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1e81de… |
| 07-06 06:18:13 | Lawful-Core 0x5900…cd7e | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0xfefdb0… |
| 07-06 06:18:13 | (anonymous) 0x93a5…d371 | No | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xfefdb0… |
| 07-06 06:18:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfefdb0… |
| 07-06 05:06:11 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x692c5e… |
| 07-06 05:06:11 | Equatorial-Sock 0x60ab…6d72 | No | BUY | 23 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x692c5e… |
| 07-06 01:06:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xab7fe2… |
| 07-06 01:06:19 | Lost-Tomato 0x1379…03f9 | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xab7fe2… |
| 07-06 00:38:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9631b3… |
| 07-06 00:38:23 | Trim-Job 0xca6f…6d20 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x9631b3… |
| 07-05 23:35:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd9bcfa… |
| 07-05 23:35:20 | Lost-Tomato 0x1379…03f9 | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xd9bcfa… |
| 07-05 22:41:20 | Trim-Job 0xca6f…6d20 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x66b15d… |
| 07-05 22:41:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x66b15d… |
| 07-05 18:23:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6997c1… |
| 07-05 18:23:37 | Flawless-Suffocation 0x5e53…941a | No | SELL | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0x6997c1… |
| 07-05 16:21:34 | Flawless-Suffocation 0x5e53…941a | No | BUY | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0xdd515b… |
| 07-05 16:21:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdd515b… |
| 07-05 12:13:55 | Belated-Minimum 0xe8d3…04b9 | No | SELL | 34 | 98¢ | $34 | 0x3df155… |
| 07-05 12:13:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3df155… |
| 07-05 11:09:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x573cdf… |
| 07-05 11:09:47 | Anchored-Insomnia 0x78fb…256c | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x573cdf… |
| 07-05 10:49:08 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb40987… |
| 07-05 10:49:08 | Ordinary-Bird 0x5296…6d7b | Yes | SELL | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb40987… |
| 07-05 10:17:44 | Belated-Minimum 0xe8d3…04b9 | No | BUY | 34 | 98¢ | $34 | 0x166bc9… |
| 07-05 10:17:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x166bc9… |
| 07-05 06:56:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd968ee… |
| 07-05 06:56:02 | Defiant-Fingerling 0x0ee1…4b99 | No | SELL | 34 | 97¢ | $33 | 0xd968ee… |
| 07-05 05:51:44 | Defiant-Fingerling 0x0ee1…4b99 | No | BUY | 34 | 98¢ | $33 | 0x93718a… |
| 07-05 05:51:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x93718a… |
| 07-05 03:51:56 | Courageous-Boot 0xc010…18d3 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xc486f6… |
| 07-05 03:51:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc486f6… |
| 07-05 02:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa891e6… |
| 07-05 02:50:23 | Courageous-Boot 0xc010…18d3 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xa891e6… |
| 07-04 20:46:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb66a30… |
| 07-04 20:46:02 | Unsung-Horse 0x7e81…df38 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xb66a30… |
| 07-04 18:45:58 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7673e9… |