Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$74,941
$2,062 in 24h
Trades
833
Unique wallets
261
Liquidity
$53,267
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-16 11:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+24.3¢
(top1%: 29% YES on $1.6K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $49.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $29 | $24.7K | $24.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $455 | $6.3K | $5.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 100 | $384 | $12.1K | $11.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 126 | $1.6K | $3.5K | $1.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $480 | $1.2K | $676 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $311 | $904 | $594 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $8 | $234 | $226 |
| Median | 31 | $12 | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| Below median | 86 | $19 | $4.9K | $4.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $11 | $618 | $607 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $4 | $8.3K | $8.3K |
| unranked | 112 | $1.6K | $28.2K | $26.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +15,259 | $14,771 | $14,771 | 10 | 06-04 13:37 |
| Evil-Eaves 0x4574…0b7a | Yes | +15,224 | $688 | $2,338 | 28 | 06-15 12:51 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +8,018 | $7,718 | $7,718 | 13 | 06-09 14:29 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +5,540 | $161 | $435 | 54 | 06-15 17:04 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,988 | $76 | $834 | 161 | 06-16 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | +1,848 | $1,774 | $1,774 | 4 | 06-11 07:13 |
| Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | +1,501 | $45 | $50 | 11 | 06-16 08:55 |
| Notable-Genetics 0xb5f6…adc3 | No | +1,208 | $1,156 | $1,156 | 8 | 06-12 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xca22…2ee7 | No | +1,000 | $967 | $967 | 3 | 06-07 19:14 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +800 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 06-15 12:51 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +600 | $576 | $576 | 1 | 06-13 08:32 |
| Demanding-Entrepreneur 0x1d10…3bdd | No | +500 | $480 | $480 | 3 | 06-10 02:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +498 | $479 | $479 | 1 | 06-13 15:55 |
| Sorrowful-Surround 0x019e…af1d | No | +419 | $404 | $404 | 1 | 06-05 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +400 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-14 09:10 |
| Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | +322 | $310 | $310 | 2 | 06-10 02:48 |
| Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | Yes | +322 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-10 02:41 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $7 | $14 | 3 | 06-14 09:10 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 06-12 11:54 |
| Polite-Piracy 0x598a…ef6e | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-04 19:21 |
| Blushing-Soup 0xe2c9…73e1 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4ce…b139 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ae2…8e16 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| Ashamed-Fisherman 0xfffe…29d5 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-03 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x64e2…6825 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-03 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1e1…d250 | No | +98 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 06-06 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d89…28d8 | No | +91 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-05 06:51 |
| Helpless-Knife 0x4eb1…55dd | No | +83 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 06-09 10:47 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +80 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-14 09:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x512c…7a58 | No | +74 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 06-05 06:53 |
| Variable-Lemon 0x8630…343e | No | +62 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 06-08 19:36 |
| Old-Heartache-Interval 0xe639…0e90 | No | +59 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 06-05 07:15 |
| Only-Oasis 0x3278…044f | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-05 06:53 |
| Loathsome-Refreshments 0xcd9e…9585 | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-16 09:28 |
| Excellent-Sparrow 0xf5ce…5584 | No | +57 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-16 11:07 |
| Well-Documented-Infection 0x67fd…4166 | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-16 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a5b…64cc | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-05 07:10 |
| Ordinary-Bird 0x5296…6d7b | Yes | +52 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 10:39 |
| Wee-Mango 0xe44f…fff1 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-15 13:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 11:07:06 | Excellent-Sparrow 0xf5ce…5584 | No | BUY | 57 | 97¢ | $55 | 0xa0e921… |
| 06-16 11:07:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 57 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa0e921… |
| 06-16 10:49:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 55 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x36b53c… |
| 06-16 10:49:51 | Well-Documented-Infection 0x67fd…4166 | No | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $54 | 0x36b53c… |
| 06-16 09:28:25 | Loathsome-Refreshments 0xcd9e…9585 | No | BUY | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0x87b500… |
| 06-16 09:28:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 58 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x87b500… |
| 06-16 08:55:18 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1e209d… |
| 06-16 08:55:18 | Informal-Chaise 0xd60f…7d25 | No | SELL | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0x1e209d… |
| 06-16 08:21:36 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x803e49… |
| 06-16 08:21:36 | (anonymous) 0x7210…105e | No | SELL | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0x803e49… |
| 06-16 08:08:40 | Whispered-Peacoat 0xa8b1…df60 | No | SELL | 61 | 97¢ | $59 | 0x353f75… |
| 06-16 08:08:40 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x353f75… |
| 06-16 08:08:40 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 59 | 97¢ | $57 | 0x353f75… |
| 06-16 05:08:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x91088c… |
| 06-16 05:08:01 | Cuddly-Causeway 0xc08c…31d5 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x91088c… |
| 06-16 04:25:30 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4813c8… |
| 06-16 04:25:30 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4813c8… |
| 06-16 04:23:49 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xed3d94… |
| 06-16 04:23:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xed3d94… |
| 06-16 04:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0xc58ddc… |
| 06-16 04:16:21 | Difficult-Fill 0x5384…c3a8 | No | SELL | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0xc58ddc… |
| 06-16 03:57:34 | Frequent-Basis 0xdf43…1330 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x4b8ad2… |
| 06-16 03:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x4b8ad2… |
| 06-16 01:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $51 | 0xcf4842… |
| 06-16 01:49:04 | Grubby-Mattress 0xbd5c…f863 | No | SELL | 52 | 97¢ | $51 | 0xcf4842… |
| 06-16 00:52:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x43ee9c… |
| 06-16 00:52:04 | Informal-Chaise 0xd60f…7d25 | No | BUY | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0x43ee9c… |
| 06-15 23:58:04 | Whispered-Peacoat 0xa8b1…df60 | No | BUY | 61 | 97¢ | $60 | 0xdffa69… |
| 06-15 23:58:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 61 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xdffa69… |
| 06-15 18:47:19 | Grubby-Mattress 0xbd5c…f863 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $51 | 0x0b02de… |
| 06-15 18:47:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 52 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0b02de… |
| 06-15 17:04:12 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfbfd0a… |
| 06-15 17:04:12 | Daring-Eyeliner 0xf540…9794 | No | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0xfbfd0a… |
| 06-15 13:29:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 51 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x29f9d8… |
| 06-15 13:29:40 | Wee-Mango 0xe44f…fff1 | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x29f9d8… |
| 06-15 12:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0x1f783b… |
| 06-15 12:53:49 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x1f783b… |
| 06-15 12:51:46 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1,368 | 3¢ | $40 | 0x00a4f5… |
| 06-15 12:51:46 | Evil-Eaves 0x4574…0b7a | Yes | SELL | 4,000 | 3¢ | $108 | 0x00a4f5… |
| 06-15 12:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0x00a4f5… |
| 06-15 12:51:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 471 | 3¢ | $13 | 0x00a4f5… |
| 06-15 12:51:46 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 150 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x00a4f5… |
| 06-15 12:51:46 | Rubbery-Altar 0x5be7…f377 | No | SELL | 1,811 | 98¢ | $1,766 | 0x00a4f5… |
| 06-15 12:43:37 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xed6196… |
| 06-15 12:43:37 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0xed6196… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x1997…1a8b | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x3dc6…a2d6 | No | SELL | 75 | 98¢ | $74 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x666b…1f42 | No | SELL | 160 | 98¢ | $156 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xaa73…19d0 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xabf5…15bf | No | SELL | 120 | 97¢ | $117 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x59e9…6091 | No | SELL | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x0317…2213 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1,268 | 3¢ | $38 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x7f0f…95e4 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xd1a7…f60d | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x2604…7b70 | No | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x270f…5dc3 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x86a4…7f8e | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 97¢ | $974 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x629b…ae68 | No | SELL | 200 | 98¢ | $195 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xc81c…d737 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x27dd…43c3 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x6ad4…ffca | No | SELL | 60 | 98¢ | $58 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 150 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 471 | 3¢ | $14 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xca4d…f59a | No | SELL | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xcbd9…1de1 | No | SELL | 160 | 98¢ | $156 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xcb49…c6fe | No | SELL | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | Rubbery-Altar 0x5be7…f377 | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:41:46 | Evil-Eaves 0x4574…0b7a | Yes | SELL | 6,408 | 3¢ | $174 | 0x16c863… |
| 06-15 12:16:01 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 300 | 3¢ | $9 | 0xba7a4c… |
| 06-15 12:16:01 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xba7a4c… |
| 06-15 12:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0xba7a4c… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x5cd9…4763 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0xd424…ca3c | No | SELL | 81 | 97¢ | $79 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x256b…32eb | No | SELL | 110 | 97¢ | $107 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0xa884…3b0b | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x83ea…5979 | No | SELL | 280 | 97¢ | $272 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 471 | 3¢ | $15 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0xa3c0…296c | No | SELL | 52 | 97¢ | $51 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0xc815…e962 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 451 | 3¢ | $13 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 146 | 97¢ | $142 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0xaadc…fb9c | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0xfdcf…ce60 | No | SELL | 90 | 97¢ | $87 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | Evil-Eaves 0x4574…0b7a | Yes | SELL | 8,544 | 3¢ | $251 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x43e2…4943 | No | SELL | 280 | 97¢ | $271 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x7860…df60 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | Outstanding-Maggot 0x393e…c17d | No | SELL | 2,354 | 97¢ | $2,288 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x251b…b5e1 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0xc6f3…8a8e | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0xc40d…0862 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x77f5…84bc | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xcf67ae… |
| 06-15 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x0797…cef4 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf67ae… |