Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$154,023
$2,062 in 24h
Trades
1,820
Unique wallets
509
Liquidity
$53,267
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-18 00:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+35.6¢
(top1%: 41% YES on $2.0K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $93.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 27 | $36 | $41.1K | $41.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 31 | $2.0K | $13.5K | $11.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 171 | $2.7K | $20.8K | $18.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 280 | $90 | $13.1K | $13.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $796 | $1.2K | $360 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 19 | $1.2K | $10.5K | $9.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $10 | $526 | $516 |
| Median | 61 | $16 | $8.0K | $7.9K |
| Below median | 157 | $26 | $7.8K | $7.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $14 | $618 | $604 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $12 | $17.1K | $17.1K |
| unranked | 238 | $2.7K | $42.9K | $40.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +20,889 | $462 | $1,994 | 215 | 08-15 06:25 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +15,259 | $14,771 | $14,771 | 10 | 06-04 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +8,119 | $7,947 | $7,947 | 5 | 07-16 06:56 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +8,018 | $7,718 | $7,718 | 13 | 06-09 14:29 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +6,407 | $135 | $1,408 | 336 | 08-11 06:32 |
| Evil-Eaves 0x4574…0b7a | Yes | +4,781 | $532 | $4,374 | 50 | 07-09 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +2,248 | $2,199 | $3,170 | 4 | 07-24 14:23 |
| Hearty-Sprat 0xc2db…6865 | No | +2,118 | $2,082 | $2,082 | 1 | 08-15 19:23 |
| Rundown-Ski 0x0321…8cb5 | No | +2,011 | $1,965 | $1,965 | 6 | 07-13 23:27 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +1,350 | $1,311 | $1,311 | 2 | 07-01 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xca22…2ee7 | No | +1,000 | $967 | $967 | 3 | 06-07 19:14 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +800 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 06-15 12:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | +562 | $554 | $554 | 1 | 08-16 23:11 |
| Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | +476 | $464 | $464 | 1 | 07-02 06:11 |
| Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | +444 | $8 | $159 | 42 | 08-14 18:14 |
| Sorrowful-Surround 0x019e…af1d | No | +419 | $404 | $404 | 1 | 06-05 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +400 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-14 09:10 |
| Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | +322 | $310 | $310 | 2 | 06-10 02:48 |
| Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | Yes | +322 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-10 02:41 |
| Paltry-Sentiment 0x091e…84bc | No | +308 | $301 | $301 | 2 | 06-22 21:23 |
| Swift-Eraser 0x1d9f…1471 | No | +305 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 08-09 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e2a…f2a2 | No | +305 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 08-09 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b2e…8968 | Yes | +302 | $6 | $12 | 2 | 08-16 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf591…6ad5 | No | +277 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 07-17 16:27 |
| Crazy-Hybridization 0x19b8…0c6c | Yes | +250 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 19:39 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $7 | $14 | 3 | 06-14 09:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x8753…8262 | No | +200 | $195 | $195 | 1 | 07-02 06:23 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 06-12 11:54 |
| Gloomy-Ram 0x1d43…bc88 | No | +153 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 08-09 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…08a5 | No | +118 | $116 | $116 | 1 | 08-07 16:27 |
| Harmonious-Pumpkinseed 0xb9eb…f48c | No | +106 | $104 | $106 | 2 | 08-11 06:32 |
| Repentant-Lane 0xbc7f…f922 | Yes | +105 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-14 18:14 |
| Ethical-Treaty 0xc28a…96d9 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-16 06:18 |
| Weepy-Interest 0x0403…6928 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-16 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x565e…3ca6 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-17 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xc11f…95ad | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-16 15:17 |
| Frigid-Guidance 0x9ac1…0e59 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-08 07:50 |
| Far-Off-Logistics 0xe57c…b0fb | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-08 07:51 |
| Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-04 19:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1436…f300 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 08-07 16:27 |
| Blushing-Soup 0xe2c9…73e1 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-12 07:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 00:43:36 | (anonymous) 0x5cd8…da4e | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xebcb37… |
| 08-18 00:43:36 | (anonymous) 0xdf4a…a131 | No | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xebcb37… |
| 08-18 00:27:57 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf76e71… |
| 08-18 00:27:57 | (anonymous) 0xdf4a…a131 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xf76e71… |
| 08-18 00:14:21 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa37d9b… |
| 08-18 00:14:21 | (anonymous) 0xdf4a…a131 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xa37d9b… |
| 08-16 23:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x77e1…5924 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x71a3f4… |
| 08-16 23:56:37 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x71a3f4… |
| 08-16 23:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x4b2e…8968 | Yes | SELL | 260 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x71a3f4… |
| 08-16 23:56:37 | Creamy-Impostor 0x3714…9ce3 | No | SELL | 140 | 99¢ | $138 | 0x71a3f4… |
| 08-16 23:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x4b2e…8968 | Yes | BUY | 562 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x15a5e9… |
| 08-16 23:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 562 | 98¢ | $554 | 0x15a5e9… |
| 08-16 13:30:36 | Creamy-Impostor 0x3714…9ce3 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xc4d726… |
| 08-16 13:30:36 | (anonymous) 0x8037…34a1 | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xc4d726… |
| 08-16 13:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x3d83…b76b | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x2686da… |
| 08-16 13:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x8037…34a1 | No | SELL | 60 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x2686da… |
| 08-16 13:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x77e1…5924 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x2686da… |
| 08-16 13:30:27 | Creamy-Impostor 0x3714…9ce3 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x2686da… |
| 08-15 19:23:42 | Hearty-Sprat 0xc2db…6865 | No | BUY | 2,118 | 98¢ | $2,082 | 0x817cc7… |
| 08-15 19:23:42 | Bouncy-Baritone 0xf0fb…5530 | No | SELL | 1,267 | 98¢ | $1,246 | 0x817cc7… |
| 08-15 19:23:42 | (anonymous) 0xb802…7a12 | No | SELL | 850 | 98¢ | $836 | 0x817cc7… |
| 08-15 06:25:33 | Helpless-Knife 0x4eb1…55dd | No | SELL | 83 | 98¢ | $82 | 0xb8b7ca… |
| 08-15 06:25:33 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xb8b7ca… |
| 08-15 02:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x5e45…1aa4 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x894975… |
| 08-15 02:34:24 | PrimePenguin 0x933c…a8c6 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x894975… |
| 08-15 01:13:19 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcad64d… |
| 08-15 01:13:19 | (anonymous) 0x5e45…1aa4 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xcad64d… |
| 08-14 18:14:58 | Repentant-Lane 0xbc7f…f922 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xdf4335… |
| 08-14 18:14:58 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdf4335… |
| 08-14 18:14:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 33 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdf4335… |
| 08-14 18:14:58 | (anonymous) 0xda1d…51ae | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0xdf4335… |
| 08-14 16:52:49 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xaaf9c5… |
| 08-14 16:52:49 | Insistent-Barometer 0x8b87…8d45 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xaaf9c5… |
| 08-13 13:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x538d…16f0 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x6d994e… |
| 08-13 13:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xb802…7a12 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x6d994e… |
| 08-13 09:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x84d2…a9d4 | No | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0x1f1c9d… |
| 08-13 09:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xb802…7a12 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x1f1c9d… |
| 08-13 09:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xd35c…4437 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x1f1c9d… |
| 08-13 09:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1f1c9d… |
| 08-13 09:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x42fe…ea66 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x1f1c9d… |
| 08-13 09:14:45 | Hollow-Shopping 0x0b29…b69e | No | BUY | 68 | 98¢ | $67 | 0x5b2961… |
| 08-13 09:14:45 | (anonymous) 0x4408…c646 | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $43 | 0x5b2961… |
| 08-13 09:14:45 | (anonymous) 0x42fe…ea66 | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x5b2961… |
| 08-13 08:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x1487…95f2 | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x57b41e… |
| 08-13 08:52:13 | (anonymous) 0xefdc…3d3f | No | BUY | 92 | 98¢ | $90 | 0x57b41e… |
| 08-13 08:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x8738…e1c5 | No | SELL | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0x57b41e… |
| 08-13 08:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x4408…c646 | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x57b41e… |
| 08-13 08:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x9645…1b07 | No | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0xc2d9c7… |
| 08-13 08:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x1487…95f2 | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0xc2d9c7… |
| 08-11 09:21:24 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x41beef… |
| 08-11 09:21:24 | Useless-Pasta 0x61a0…b99d | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x41beef… |
| 08-11 07:17:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x845b1f… |
| 08-11 07:17:09 | (anonymous) 0x10d5…8cb0 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x845b1f… |
| 08-11 06:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xd566…35f7 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x66c12c… |
| 08-11 06:55:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x66c12c… |
| 08-11 06:35:16 | (anonymous) 0x4bb8…9f6e | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x91c43f… |
| 08-11 06:35:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x91c43f… |
| 08-11 06:32:25 | Harmonious-Pumpkinseed 0xb9eb…f48c | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf77012… |
| 08-11 06:32:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf77012… |
| 08-09 14:13:25 | Quiet-Corruption 0x88b3…7459 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x0f89c4… |
| 08-09 14:13:25 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0f89c4… |
| 08-09 12:49:24 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | SELL | 356 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x55a47e… |
| 08-09 12:49:24 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 356 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x55a47e… |
| 08-09 12:41:31 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 187 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x872239… |
| 08-09 12:41:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x872239… |
| 08-09 12:41:31 | (anonymous) 0x9e57…5ec6 | No | SELL | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x872239… |
| 08-09 12:41:31 | (anonymous) 0xaf39…4e13 | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x872239… |
| 08-09 12:41:31 | (anonymous) 0x5e2a…f2a2 | No | BUY | 305 | 98¢ | $300 | 0x872239… |
| 08-09 08:44:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 153 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xd936a0… |
| 08-09 08:44:58 | Gloomy-Ram 0x1d43…bc88 | No | BUY | 153 | 98¢ | $150 | 0xd936a0… |
| 08-09 08:40:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 305 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x554727… |
| 08-09 08:40:58 | Swift-Eraser 0x1d9f…1471 | No | BUY | 305 | 98¢ | $300 | 0x554727… |
| 08-08 08:36:04 | (anonymous) 0x682a…92c8 | No | BUY | 38 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x42dff6… |
| 08-08 08:36:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 403 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x42dff6… |
| 08-08 08:36:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1,568 | 2¢ | $31 | 0x42dff6… |
| 08-08 08:36:04 | Sore-Variable 0xe7e7…9333 | No | SELL | 2,009 | 98¢ | $1,969 | 0x42dff6… |
| 08-08 06:12:30 | (anonymous) 0xa277…1182 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x131edc… |
| 08-08 06:12:30 | (anonymous) 0x682a…92c8 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x131edc… |
| 08-08 06:11:22 | (anonymous) 0xa277…1182 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xae412c… |
| 08-08 06:11:22 | Sore-Variable 0xe7e7…9333 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xae412c… |
| 08-08 06:11:13 | Sore-Variable 0xe7e7…9333 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7be3be… |
| 08-08 06:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xa277…1182 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7be3be… |
| 08-08 06:02:43 | (anonymous) 0x682a…92c8 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x62a8da… |
| 08-08 06:02:43 | (anonymous) 0xa277…1182 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x62a8da… |
| 08-08 06:01:39 | (anonymous) 0xa277…1182 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7c364c… |
| 08-08 06:01:39 | Sore-Variable 0xe7e7…9333 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7c364c… |
| 08-07 16:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x42fe…ea66 | No | BUY | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0x3c871d… |
| 08-07 16:27:39 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 356 | 2¢ | $7 | 0x3c871d… |
| 08-07 16:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x60df…4e5a | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x3c871d… |
| 08-07 16:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x682a…92c8 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x3c871d… |
| 08-07 16:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x4aac…596b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x3c871d… |
| 08-07 16:27:39 | (anonymous) 0xeeee…0e67 | No | BUY | 67 | 98¢ | $66 | 0x3c871d… |
| 08-07 16:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x1404…08a5 | No | BUY | 118 | 98¢ | $116 | 0x3c871d… |
| 08-07 16:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x1436…f300 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x3c871d… |
| 08-07 16:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x0f23…babe | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x3c871d… |
| 08-07 09:26:33 | (anonymous) 0x1a89…bb33 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x2aa250… |
| 08-07 09:26:33 | (anonymous) 0x0f23…babe | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x2aa250… |
| 08-07 05:45:48 | (anonymous) 0x0f23…babe | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xf8491b… |
| 08-07 05:45:48 | (anonymous) 0xa277…1182 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xf8491b… |
| 08-07 05:41:45 | Sore-Variable 0xe7e7…9333 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4b1e75… |