Realized P&L
-$23
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
87.2%
Resolved
274
Trades
2,679
lifetime
Volume
$300.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$1.45K
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-27 15:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Politics
57% 82% +$549
Other
35% 85% -$601
Crypto
5% 82% -$57
Tech
2% 100% +$79
Sports
2% 86% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $199 100¢ $199 +$0 10-26 13:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $197 99¢ $199 +$2 10-26 10:52
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $198 99¢ $198 +$0 10-15 18:30
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +200 $198 99¢ $197 $0 10-13 16:55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +200 $194 97¢ $194 +$0 10-12 23:41
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +200 $197 97¢ $194 -$3 10-13 07:49
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +100 $96 95¢ $95 -$1 10-27 15:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +100 $69 91¢ $91 +$22 10-13 19:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $84 83¢ $83 $0 10-18 21:28
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$1 08-19 02:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +0 -$2 98¢ $0 +$2 06-18 00:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +0 -$12 99¢ $0 +$12 10-20 20:55