Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
No won
Total volume
$1,830,951
Trades
3,752
Unique wallets
916
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-11-01
First seen
2026-10-01
last 11-01 04:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.05M
vs crowd: 1% YES on $1.37M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 48 | $130 | $1.09M | $1.09M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 69 | $644 | $117.1K | $116.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 164 | $8.8K | $108.5K | $99.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 635 | $1.6K | $39.2K | $37.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 46 | $407 | $1.05M | $1.05M |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 57 | $95 | $79.7K | $79.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 89 | $8 | $73.5K | $73.5K |
| Median | 441 | $41 | $48.2K | $48.2K |
| Below median | 195 | $319 | $11.0K | $10.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 36 | $1.0K | $2.3K | $1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 26 | $862 | $30.1K | $29.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 26 | $8.4K | $60.6K | $52.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf695…17ac | Yes | +584,356 | $6,697 | $6,697 | 156 | 10-28 02:10 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +374,528 | $371,082 | $415,879 | 96 | 10-31 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | +90,090 | $609 | $609 | 77 | 10-30 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd393…c0f0 | Yes | +64,240 | $697 | $697 | 10 | 10-20 11:20 |
| Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | +50,000 | $49,560 | $49,560 | 142 | 10-24 02:52 |
| Thin-Tiara 0xc757…ccfc | No | +34,864 | $34,768 | $44,905 | 7 | 10-30 02:56 |
| Remorseful-Island 0x4d14…2366 | No | +34,766 | $34,580 | $34,580 | 19 | 10-30 17:55 |
| Trump2028 0x2e0b…8070 | No | +27,065 | $26,781 | $53,691 | 31 | 10-28 22:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x856a…4ea2 | No | +24,824 | $24,554 | $24,554 | 13 | 10-09 11:58 |
| Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | +20,055 | $19,676 | $38,643 | 46 | 10-30 11:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xef97…ab2c | No | +20,000 | $19,920 | $19,920 | 1 | 10-27 03:34 |
| Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | +15,067 | $14,792 | $96,409 | 78 | 11-01 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa745…8ca6 | No | +13,361 | $13,198 | $13,198 | 2 | 10-05 06:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | +12,000 | $11,861 | $11,861 | 2 | 10-10 08:16 |
| Profitable-Alley 0xaff1…141e | Yes | +11,700 | $132 | $132 | 2 | 10-16 14:30 |
| Competent-Tulip 0x57de…cd90 | No | +11,400 | $11,276 | $60,293 | 36 | 10-25 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc8d…dd77 | Yes | +11,348 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 10-06 09:48 |
| Positive-Acceptance 0x4aa7…5458 | No | +9,937 | $9,853 | $31,756 | 4 | 10-27 05:52 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +9,693 | $81 | $84 | 33 | 10-29 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xe24a…43a6 | No | +8,521 | $8,486 | $8,486 | 2 | 10-27 04:45 |
| Plastic-Enterprise 0xb4f2…7862 | No | +8,000 | $7,945 | $7,945 | 7 | 10-22 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa684…a33f | No | +6,848 | $6,820 | $6,820 | 4 | 10-28 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf137…9cb6 | No | +6,080 | $6,007 | $6,007 | 1 | 10-06 14:56 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +5,000 | $4,945 | $4,945 | 5 | 10-26 03:47 |
| Cruel-Tumbler 0x6a59…e605 | Yes | +4,667 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-30 21:35 |
| Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | +4,593 | $4,459 | $22,201 | 24 | 10-28 10:23 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +4,500 | $4,435 | $4,435 | 13 | 10-26 01:56 |
| Detailed-Poison 0xad96…d498 | No | +4,385 | $4,059 | $161,897 | 82 | 10-29 08:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x6918…49ea | Yes | +3,980 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 10-24 07:20 |
| Questionable-Bafflement 0x55b7…3775 | No | +3,849 | $3,818 | $4,119 | 8 | 10-27 18:16 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +3,584 | $3,553 | $3,553 | 18 | 10-30 15:13 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +3,482 | $2,110 | $304,784 | 84 | 10-29 12:19 |
| Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | +3,033 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 1 | 10-11 20:03 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +2,754 | -$76 | $802 | 127 | 10-30 21:33 |
| Focused-Fat 0x0ee2…b799 | No | +2,552 | $2,519 | $2,519 | 1 | 10-26 04:09 |
| Troubled-Pet 0x9b5a…fa77 | Yes | +2,500 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-29 04:37 |
| Wonderful-Soy 0x563c…7a82 | No | +2,416 | $2,389 | $2,389 | 2 | 10-26 01:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x277e…b7f0 | No | +2,397 | $2,373 | $2,373 | 1 | 10-15 01:39 |
| Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | +2,275 | $2,268 | $2,268 | 1 | 10-29 10:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x44b4…05ca | Yes | +2,274 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-28 22:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x2583…d7a4 | No | +2,268 | $2,241 | $2,241 | 1 | 10-26 03:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d6f…6c76 | Yes | +2,111 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-09 02:36 |
| Average-Counsellor 0x2bc8…b4da | Yes | +2,000 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-06 15:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +1,829 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 10-12 22:40 |
| Vain-Hearsay 0x146d…17c7 | Yes | +1,666 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-18 13:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x412f…0f4c | Yes | +1,572 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-17 19:48 |
| Growling-Earring 0x4124…7b40 | Yes | +1,385 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-01 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x11dc…29d2 | Yes | +1,250 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-29 07:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x277a…173e | Yes | +968 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-25 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x1348…608a | Yes | +798 | $14 | $19 | 3 | 10-12 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5dc…f14d | Yes | +625 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-16 06:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x1941…d147 | Yes | +568 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-09 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x5797…7fb7 | Yes | +556 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-08 14:19 |
| Best-Pinworm 0xf923…a435 | Yes | +522 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-20 09:54 |
| Joint-Breastplate 0x7dd2…7901 | Yes | +500 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-26 08:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6fd…53df | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-30 17:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:06:12 | Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcca913… |
| 11-01 04:06:12 | Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcca913… |
| 10-31 07:35:45 | Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | BUY | 206 | 100¢ | $206 | 0x5dc9c0… |
| 10-31 07:35:45 | Aware-Cleat 0x5a0e…7b05 | No | SELL | 301 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x5dc9c0… |
| 10-31 07:35:45 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 95 | 100¢ | $95 | 0x5dc9c0… |
| 10-31 07:02:43 | (anonymous) 0x2b88…fdd7 | No | SELL | 405 | 100¢ | $405 | 0x61f3d5… |
| 10-31 07:02:43 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 405 | 100¢ | $405 | 0x61f3d5… |
| 10-31 05:48:33 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0x057e74… |
| 10-31 05:48:33 | (anonymous) 0x4e07…98fd | No | SELL | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0x057e74… |
| 10-31 05:29:22 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0x2b15b3… |
| 10-31 05:29:22 | Exciting-Sector 0x3602…ab50 | No | SELL | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0x2b15b3… |
| 10-31 05:19:28 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x142984… |
| 10-31 05:19:28 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x142984… |
| 10-31 05:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x0aa2…ce7d | No | SELL | 4,012 | 100¢ | $4,006 | 0x39de50… |
| 10-31 05:19:22 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39de50… |
| 10-31 05:19:22 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x39de50… |
| 10-31 05:19:22 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x39de50… |
| 10-31 05:19:22 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1,780 | 100¢ | $1,777 | 0x39de50… |
| 10-31 05:19:22 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39de50… |
| 10-31 05:19:22 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39de50… |
| 10-31 05:19:22 | (anonymous) 0xa1ff…f398 | Yes | SELL | 700 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x39de50… |
| 10-31 05:19:22 | Grown-Hypothesis 0x8b01…24a9 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x39de50… |
| 10-31 00:14:12 | (anonymous) 0xb13c…fc9b | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9da2c… |
| 10-31 00:14:12 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xb9da2c… |
| 10-30 23:33:01 | (anonymous) 0x9709…c690 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x35471a… |
| 10-30 23:33:01 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35471a… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | Grown-Hypothesis 0x8b01…24a9 | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x073f54… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x073f54… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x40edbb… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | (anonymous) 0x4393…18f4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe7a570… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 25,175 | 100¢ | $25,125 | 0x073f54… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7a570… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b2d45… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 24,866 | 0¢ | $50 | 0x073f54… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | (anonymous) 0x7582…573f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0b2d45… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x073f54… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…8be6 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x40edbb… |
| 10-30 23:33:00 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x073f54… |
| 10-30 23:13:03 | Second-Hand-Fight 0xaba1…daf5 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xa50520… |
| 10-30 23:13:03 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa50520… |
| 10-30 22:41:30 | Unknown-Portion 0xcadc…d802 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x2bfdfe… |
| 10-30 22:41:30 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2bfdfe… |
| 10-30 22:30:16 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeadd86… |
| 10-30 22:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x2bfc…ed76 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xeadd86… |
| 10-30 22:03:09 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefb4a4… |
| 10-30 22:03:09 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x461ef5… |
| 10-30 22:03:09 | (anonymous) 0x9709…c690 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xefb4a4… |
| 10-30 22:03:09 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x461ef5… |
| 10-30 22:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x3c36…2cbb | Yes | BUY | 333 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x752db0… |
| 10-30 22:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7002f6… |
| 10-30 22:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x9709…c690 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x7002f6… |
| 10-30 22:03:01 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 333 | 100¢ | $332 | 0x752db0… |
| 10-30 21:46:34 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc74b7… |
| 10-30 21:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x6594…13d9 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xfc74b7… |
| 10-30 21:35:16 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x561cc1… |
| 10-30 21:35:16 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x561cc1… |
| 10-30 21:35:10 | Cruel-Tumbler 0x6a59…e605 | Yes | BUY | 4,667 | 0¢ | $14 | 0x70c7c7… |
| 10-30 21:35:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 4,667 | 100¢ | $4,653 | 0x70c7c7… |
| 10-30 21:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f1cc7… |
| 10-30 21:34:49 | (anonymous) 0x36b5…eff5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4f1cc7… |
| 10-30 21:33:52 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 12,081 | 0¢ | $24 | 0x37603b… |
| 10-30 21:33:52 | Wide-Cacao 0x0964…9269 | Yes | SELL | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x37603b… |
| 10-30 21:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x3e58…070f | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x37603b… |
| 10-30 21:33:52 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x37603b… |
| 10-30 21:33:52 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x37603b… |
| 10-30 21:33:52 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 8,494 | 100¢ | $8,477 | 0x37603b… |
| 10-30 21:33:52 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | SELL | 2,444 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x37603b… |
| 10-30 21:33:52 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | SELL | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x37603b… |
| 10-30 21:26:52 | Grown-Hypothesis 0x8b01…24a9 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x759600… |
| 10-30 21:26:52 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x759600… |
| 10-30 21:26:52 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x759600… |
| 10-30 21:26:52 | Our-Pipeline 0x4ae7…561f | Yes | SELL | 1,001 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x759600… |
| 10-30 21:26:52 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x759600… |
| 10-30 21:26:52 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x759600… |
| 10-30 21:26:52 | (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | BUY | 1,898 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x759600… |
| 10-30 21:26:52 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x759600… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | Remorseful-Island 0x4d14…2366 | No | BUY | 10,826 | 100¢ | $10,815 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x161d…7e7e | No | SELL | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | (anonymous) 0xb415…2a6d | No | SELL | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x09b8…e5fe | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 69 | 100¢ | $69 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x80ab…c154 | No | SELL | 118 | 100¢ | $118 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | (anonymous) 0xec83…13f7 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | (anonymous) 0xbe25…1a77 | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x1e27…1674 | No | SELL | 122 | 100¢ | $122 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x6cc7…561b | No | SELL | 119 | 100¢ | $119 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:55:01 | Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | SELL | 9,885 | 100¢ | $9,875 | 0x2145ec… |
| 10-30 17:00:21 | (anonymous) 0xc6fd…53df | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb64c18… |
| 10-30 17:00:21 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $499 | 0xb64c18… |
| 10-30 16:30:51 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc9d34c… |
| 10-30 16:30:51 | (anonymous) 0x866c…f36c | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc9d34c… |
| 10-30 16:30:03 | Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb484ff… |
| 10-30 16:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x866c…f36c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb484ff… |
| 10-30 15:13:19 | Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | SELL | 95 | 100¢ | $95 | 0x9afad2… |
| 10-30 15:13:19 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 95 | 100¢ | $95 | 0x9afad2… |
| 10-30 11:18:06 | Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | SELL | 607 | 100¢ | $606 | 0xf7aa3f… |
| 10-30 11:18:06 | (anonymous) 0x35bd…b2b7 | No | BUY | 607 | 100¢ | $606 | 0xf7aa3f… |
| 10-30 10:47:19 | Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | SELL | 370 | 100¢ | $370 | 0xe1dcb3… |
| 10-30 10:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x12b4…8b3d | No | BUY | 370 | 100¢ | $370 | 0xe1dcb3… |