Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$324

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.35K

Open exposure

$2.25K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 11-02 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$235

Politics

45% 100% +$74

Crypto

3% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+2,383	$2,264	94¢	$2.3K	-$12	11-02 17:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$2.3K	2,383	+2,383	open	—	11-02 17:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$2.2K	2,268	+2,268	No	+$27	10-26 03:58
Trump out as President by September 30?	1	$2.2K	2,241	+2,241	No	+$18	09-20 02:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2.2K	2,223	+2,223	No	+$20	09-10 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	1	$2.2K	2,204	+2,204	No	+$4	08-28 21:49
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	1	$2.2K	2,200	+2,200	No	+$4	08-13 04:29
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	1	$2.2K	2,195	+2,195	No	+$9	08-04 04:44
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	1	$2.2K	2,187	+2,187	No	+$7	08-01 06:50
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$2.2K	2,180	+2,180	No	+$9	07-25 21:09
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$2.2K	2,171	+2,171	No	+$2	07-17 04:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$2.2K	2,169	+2,169	No	+$7	07-07 07:24
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	1	$2.1K	2,163	+2,163	No	+$13	06-25 06:31
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	1	$2.1K	2,150	+2,150	No	+$4	06-21 20:12
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	1	$2.1K	2,146	+2,146	No	+$4	06-18 18:31
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$2.1K	2,142	+2,142	Yes	+$2	06-17 22:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2.1K	2,139	+2,139	Yes	+$15	06-10 20:22
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$2.1K	2,125	+2,125	Yes	+$6	06-05 19:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,118	+2,118	No	+$15	06-01 22:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$2.1K	2,103	+2,103	No	+$8	05-24 06:11
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2.1K	2,095	+2,095	No	+$2	05-22 08:57
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	3	$2.1K	2,085	+2,085	Yes	+$2	05-17 12:29
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$2.1K	2,083	+2,083	No	+$10	05-14 07:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$2.1K	2,073	+2,073	No	+$6	05-11 06:08
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$2.1K	2,067	+2,067	No	+$2	05-06 22:15
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,064	+2,064	Yes	+$4	05-03 01:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$2.1K	2,061	+2,061	No	+$4	04-29 21:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$2.0K	2,057	+2,057	Yes	+$10	04-25 02:25
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	7	$2.0K	2,046	+2,046	Yes	+$2	04-21 19:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$2.0K	2,044	+2,044	Yes	+$2	04-19 15:43
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	4	$2.0K	2,042	+2,042	No	+$4	04-14 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 17:45:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,383	95¢	$2,264	0xd912a8…
10-26 03:58:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	2,268	99¢	$2,241	0xf82106…
09-20 02:15:49	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	2,241	99¢	$2,223	0xc3c69a…
09-10 20:08:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,223	99¢	$2,203	0xec934a…
08-28 21:49:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	2,204	100¢	$2,200	0xc5e74a…
08-13 04:29:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2,200	100¢	$2,195	0x73e5ff…
08-04 04:44:39	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2,195	100¢	$2,187	0xc46150…
08-01 06:50:53	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2,187	100¢	$2,180	0xbf3bf1…
07-25 21:09:18	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	2,180	100¢	$2,171	0x69060f…
07-17 04:46:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,171	100¢	$2,169	0x1873b9…
07-07 07:24:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfdcbc9…
07-07 06:35:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2,151	100¢	$2,145	0x0d42a4…
06-25 06:31:59	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	BUY	2,163	99¢	$2,150	0x44a97f…
06-21 20:12:26	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	2,150	100¢	$2,146	0x889ae3…
06-18 18:31:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	2,146	100¢	$2,142	0x6b9d2a…
06-17 22:07:28	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	2,142	100¢	$2,140	0x130ba5…
06-10 20:22:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,139	99¢	$2,124	0xd05c52…
06-05 19:45:58	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	2,125	100¢	$2,118	0x9ae470…
06-01 22:41:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,118	99¢	$2,103	0xe2ba34…
05-24 06:11:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2,103	100¢	$2,095	0xc6652d…
05-22 08:57:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2,095	100¢	$2,093	0x09473a…
05-17 12:29:34	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	452	100¢	$451	0x91fbfc…
05-17 12:23:39	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x727017…
05-17 12:13:16	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	634	100¢	$633	0x892d3c…
05-14 07:38:24	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	2,083	99¢	$2,073	0x106809…
05-11 06:08:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	2,073	100¢	$2,067	0x92d4dc…
05-06 22:15:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	2,067	100¢	$2,065	0x0bc6b0…
05-03 01:00:20	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,064	100¢	$2,060	0xa7d3e0…
04-29 21:51:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2,061	100¢	$2,057	0x8b218e…
04-25 02:25:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,057	100¢	$2,046	0x8b3156…
04-21 19:02:44	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x279e48…
04-21 19:01:52	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb8709a…
04-21 18:55:50	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe55cb8…
04-21 18:55:34	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xb999a9…
04-21 18:43:12	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4445f6…
04-21 18:43:10	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc84b0a…
04-21 18:36:06	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	746	100¢	$745	0x40f63c…
04-19 15:43:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	2,044	100¢	$2,042	0xe1b9be…
04-14 19:40:04	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	593	100¢	$592	0xeb48e3…
04-14 19:20:58	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x4670ae…
04-14 19:20:10	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x143d31…
04-14 18:58:18	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	449	100¢	$448	0x0f48f1…
04-09 18:10:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2,038	100¢	$2,036	0xde4e65…
04-06 16:13:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,036	100¢	$2,026	0x4e161c…
03-26 04:59:21	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x8bb7b7…
03-22 01:09:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x87fcfe…
03-22 01:08:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x017171…
03-22 01:08:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x55e940…
03-17 05:29:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,808	96¢	$1,727	0x163c59…
03-17 05:23:01	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xeefede…
03-17 05:16:47	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 20c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9067e9…
03-17 05:16:05	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x26aee9…