Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
13.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,849
lifetime
Volume
$242.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$1.59K
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 07-21 23:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
52% 86% $-5
Other
43% 75% +$6
Crypto
2%
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,000 $908 90¢ $895 $-13 07-18 18:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +400 $384 96¢ $383 $-1 07-15 11:58
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +161 $146 96¢ $155 +$9 07-18 03:47
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -110 $-112 74¢ $-81 +$31 07-17 07:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +73 $70 97¢ $71 +$0 07-21 08:27
SlingshotDAO FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +2 $0 30¢ $1 +$1 07-06 18:49
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +0 $-0 95¢ $0 +$0 07-09 09:41
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$0 07-15 19:20
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-2 96¢ $0 +$2 07-15 12:11