Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c011…8262b2
whale cold 22W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$114
Hit rate
87.5%
Resolved
946
Trades
6,118
lifetime
Volume
$448.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$1.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 10-30 10:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Politics
48% 86% +$622
Other
42% 71% -$1,776
Crypto
8% 82% -$96
Tech
2% 75% +$29
Sports
1% 78% +$96
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +400 $385 97¢ $388 +$4 10-21 01:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +200 $197 98¢ $197 $0 10-29 21:17
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +200 $186 92¢ $184 -$2 10-03 03:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +130 $97 91¢ $118 +$21 10-25 19:54
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +290 $122 41¢ $118 -$5 10-28 11:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 10-26 10:52
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$0 10-21 13:54
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 +$1 10-21 12:52
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +100 $95 95¢ $95 +$0 10-26 19:10
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $80 79¢ $79 -$1 10-28 15:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +69 $68 100¢ $69 +$1 10-21 12:37
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +70 $56 78¢ $55 -$1 10-28 15:26
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +80 $52 66¢ $53 +$1 10-20 23:08
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +130 $69 37¢ $48 -$20 10-29 02:22
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $44 44¢ $44 +$1 10-29 20:41
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +100 $51 40¢ $40 -$10 10-28 10:21
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +50 $40 80¢ $40 $0 10-21 04:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $23 58¢ $29 +$6 10-30 06:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +30 $17 84¢ $25 +$8 10-25 16:02
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +50 $22 21¢ $11 -$11 10-29 17:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +30 $14 33¢ $10 -$4 10-01 11:26
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50 $8 16¢ $8 $0 10-24 03:47
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +100 $22 7¢ $7 -$15 10-09 08:15
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $10 22¢ $4 -$5 10-28 20:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +100 $74 4¢ $4 -$70 05-24 19:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +2 $0 99¢ $2 +$1 10-21 09:19
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +76 $20 1¢ $1 -$19 08-05 12:04
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $0 18¢ $1 +$1 10-30 00:04
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 07-09 09:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 -$4 82¢ $0 +$4 08-19 11:07