Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$113
Hit rate
13.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,901
lifetime
Volume
$184.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$1.69K
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 06-30 16:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
49% 86% $-5
Other
45% 75% +$6
Crypto
2%
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -500 $-500 100¢ $-499 +$1 06-30 16:13
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +468 $467 100¢ $467 +$0 06-29 23:36
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -340 $-340 100¢ $-340 +$0 05-28 19:19
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No +200 $199 100¢ $200 +$0 06-08 03:16
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +200 $90 46¢ $91 +$1 06-09 22:12
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +100 $51 74¢ $74 +$22 06-22 13:44
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No -20 $-104 81¢ $-16 +$88 06-30 13:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -20 $1 $-0 $-1 06-20 00:28