Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
open
Total volume
$330,219
$801 in 24h
Trades
36,244
Unique wallets
1,799
Liquidity
$106,333
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-30 13:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+12.7¢
(top1%: 15% YES on $11.3K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $149.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 35 | $535 | $16.6K | $16.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $2.0K | $58.2K | $56.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 85 | $458 | $46.6K | $46.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,639 | $137 | $25.4K | $25.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $1.7K | $9.6K | $8.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 25 | $687 | $15.6K | $14.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 16 | — | $616 | $616 |
| Median | 66 | $2 | $22.0K | $22.0K |
| Below median | 66 | $8 | $4.3K | $4.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | — | $4.1K | $4.1K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $64 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | — | $4.8K | $4.8K |
| unranked | 1,581 | $702 | $84.0K | $83.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +7,923 | $388 | $388 | 672 | 06-30 12:03 |
| Minty-Vane 0x8b71…8044 | No | +7,726 | $7,243 | $7,243 | 1 | 05-31 17:15 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +6,737 | $6,401 | $6,912 | 666 | 06-30 13:00 |
| Serious-Shoemaker 0x997d…5d15 | No | +4,376 | $4,144 | $4,144 | 4 | 06-14 01:08 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +4,292 | $4,093 | $4,093 | 7 | 06-23 09:18 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +3,744 | $177 | $2,695 | 5,079 | 06-30 11:56 |
| Prize-Torte 0x94e4…534a | Yes | +3,114 | $144 | $399 | 507 | 06-24 01:13 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +3,057 | $2,904 | $2,904 | 2 | 06-18 13:38 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +2,882 | $2,716 | $2,716 | 396 | 06-12 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xea43…7549 | Yes | +2,721 | $176 | $176 | 2 | 05-27 21:26 |
| Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | +1,514 | $1,432 | $1,432 | 59 | 06-18 19:53 |
| siick 0xf9b7…60a4 | No | +1,248 | $1,183 | $1,183 | 1 | 06-17 07:29 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +883 | $825 | $825 | 79 | 05-30 04:03 |
| Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | +800 | $764 | $1,146 | 156 | 06-30 03:41 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | +516 | $483 | $483 | 30 | 06-02 23:01 |
| Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd331…733c | No | +504 | $477 | $477 | 7 | 06-04 17:50 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +441 | $414 | $1,476 | 46 | 06-17 20:40 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +364 | $341 | $341 | 1 | 06-01 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0561…5174 | No | +356 | $334 | $334 | 1 | 05-28 13:31 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +352 | $13 | $351 | 410 | 06-30 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x2826…0c6a | No | +318 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-06 17:01 |
| Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | +284 | $18 | $20 | 3 | 06-05 23:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +230 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-23 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8df…41e1 | No | +225 | $214 | $214 | 1 | 06-20 23:34 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +214 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-29 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xbde7…cf8a | No | +213 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-02 07:31 |
| Petty-Wild 0x1ab6…6c70 | Yes | +175 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 11:03 |
| Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | +160 | $152 | $471 | 45 | 06-24 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb97…606b | No | +141 | $132 | $2,144 | 265 | 06-29 09:02 |
| Rectangular-Span 0xe9b1…f287 | Yes | +114 | $5 | $25 | 5 | 06-27 11:39 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +105 | $96 | $2,987 | 342 | 06-26 18:39 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 14 | 06-14 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x44be…0557 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 7 | 06-28 12:42 |
| Distorted-Grief 0xd98d…6162 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-26 10:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 13:08:28 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x969487… |
| 06-30 13:08:28 | Decimal-Globe 0xce3c…7df3 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x969487… |
| 06-30 13:00:38 | (anonymous) 0x11c9…f5aa | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x76ec66… |
| 06-30 13:00:38 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x76ec66… |
| 06-30 13:00:02 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x96c815… |
| 06-30 13:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x11c9…f5aa | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x96c815… |
| 06-30 12:53:46 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe0d41e… |
| 06-30 12:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe0d41e… |
| 06-30 12:53:38 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x26c506… |
| 06-30 12:53:38 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x26c506… |
| 06-30 12:45:56 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x56f799… |
| 06-30 12:45:56 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x56f799… |
| 06-30 12:45:46 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe228bd… |
| 06-30 12:45:46 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe228bd… |
| 06-30 12:38:11 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xea5930… |
| 06-30 12:38:11 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xea5930… |
| 06-30 12:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0c74bc… |
| 06-30 12:38:01 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0c74bc… |
| 06-30 12:30:22 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x142e0a… |
| 06-30 12:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x142e0a… |
| 06-30 12:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xff79af… |
| 06-30 12:30:11 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xff79af… |
| 06-30 12:29:04 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3d4289… |
| 06-30 12:29:04 | Acidic-Architecture 0xf8dd…ab18 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3d4289… |
| 06-30 12:25:23 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3941d1… |
| 06-30 12:25:23 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3941d1… |
| 06-30 12:25:13 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7fac38… |
| 06-30 12:25:13 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7fac38… |
| 06-30 12:24:32 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x76c1c1… |
| 06-30 12:24:32 | Granular-Pantsuit 0x15b8…495b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x76c1c1… |
| 06-30 12:19:35 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x131b11… |
| 06-30 12:19:35 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x131b11… |
| 06-30 12:19:28 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6e141a… |
| 06-30 12:19:28 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6e141a… |
| 06-30 12:13:38 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x251579… |
| 06-30 12:13:38 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x251579… |
| 06-30 12:13:31 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x2d96a4… |
| 06-30 12:13:31 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2d96a4… |
| 06-30 12:13:07 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6bc6a3… |
| 06-30 12:13:07 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6bc6a3… |
| 06-30 12:12:58 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x25c9dd… |
| 06-30 12:12:58 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x25c9dd… |
| 06-30 12:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x82a828… |
| 06-30 12:10:58 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x82a828… |
| 06-30 12:10:49 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x295ce4… |
| 06-30 12:10:49 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x295ce4… |
| 06-30 12:07:23 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8c756b… |
| 06-30 12:07:23 | Silky-Museum 0x009a…9ce1 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8c756b… |
| 06-30 12:07:14 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x87e0a6… |
| 06-30 12:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x87e0a6… |
| 06-30 12:07:07 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4c7688… |
| 06-30 12:07:07 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4c7688… |
| 06-30 12:05:10 | Fickle-Feather 0x15ad…4fc4 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6f3981… |
| 06-30 12:05:10 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6f3981… |
| 06-30 12:04:01 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2f186f… |
| 06-30 12:04:01 | (anonymous) 0xc03d…ca87 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2f186f… |
| 06-30 12:03:53 | (anonymous) 0xc03d…ca87 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1a50d7… |
| 06-30 12:03:53 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1a50d7… |
| 06-30 12:03:25 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x48823f… |
| 06-30 12:03:25 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x48823f… |
| 06-30 12:03:14 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd8c5ca… |
| 06-30 12:03:14 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd8c5ca… |
| 06-30 12:01:46 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x80fa1a… |
| 06-30 12:01:46 | Gullible-Shower 0x5703…6091 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x80fa1a… |
| 06-30 12:01:17 | Hungry-Flan 0xb25f…4724 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x940cf5… |
| 06-30 12:01:17 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x940cf5… |
| 06-30 11:59:58 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x871688… |
| 06-30 11:59:58 | Young-Crocus 0xd3ff…9fbb | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x871688… |
| 06-30 11:59:14 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x51e230… |
| 06-30 11:59:14 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x51e230… |
| 06-30 11:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc3f361… |
| 06-30 11:59:05 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc3f361… |
| 06-30 11:56:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0639f2… |
| 06-30 11:56:58 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x0639f2… |
| 06-30 11:56:58 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0639f2… |
| 06-30 11:56:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdad265… |
| 06-30 11:56:55 | Glass-Asparagus-Advance 0x3566…10fe | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xdad265… |
| 06-30 11:56:50 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x11ab62… |
| 06-30 11:56:50 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x11ab62… |
| 06-30 11:50:26 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x480132… |
| 06-30 11:50:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x480132… |
| 06-30 11:50:17 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xf87532… |
| 06-30 11:50:17 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf87532… |
| 06-30 11:34:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x038086… |
| 06-30 11:34:47 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x038086… |
| 06-30 11:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3faeda… |
| 06-30 11:34:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3faeda… |
| 06-30 11:30:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcc10de… |
| 06-30 11:30:14 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcc10de… |
| 06-30 11:29:59 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd2581a… |
| 06-30 11:29:59 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd2581a… |
| 06-30 11:29:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xafb9b3… |
| 06-30 11:29:55 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xafb9b3… |
| 06-30 11:29:46 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9c6d4d… |
| 06-30 11:29:46 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9c6d4d… |
| 06-30 11:22:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x53ab94… |
| 06-30 11:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x53ab94… |
| 06-30 11:22:10 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb574a4… |
| 06-30 11:22:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb574a4… |
| 06-30 11:22:10 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x727ba3… |