Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
open
Total volume
$330,392
$801 in 24h
Trades
36,289
Unique wallets
1,799
Liquidity
$106,333
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-30 13:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+27.3¢
(top1%: 29% YES on $5.7K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $150.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 35 | $537 | $16.6K | $16.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $2.0K | $58.3K | $56.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 85 | $458 | $46.7K | $46.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,639 | $137 | $25.4K | $25.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $1.7K | $4.0K | $2.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 28 | $689 | $21.2K | $20.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 16 | — | $616 | $616 |
| Median | 66 | $2 | $22.0K | $22.0K |
| Below median | 66 | $8 | $4.3K | $4.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | — | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $59 | $3.6K | $3.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $5 | $4.9K | $4.9K |
| unranked | 1,581 | $702 | $84.1K | $83.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +7,923 | $388 | $388 | 672 | 06-30 12:03 |
| Minty-Vane 0x8b71…8044 | No | +7,726 | $7,243 | $7,243 | 1 | 05-31 17:15 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +6,796 | $6,458 | $6,968 | 677 | 06-30 13:55 |
| Serious-Shoemaker 0x997d…5d15 | No | +4,376 | $4,144 | $4,144 | 4 | 06-14 01:08 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +4,292 | $4,093 | $4,093 | 7 | 06-23 09:18 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +3,765 | $178 | $2,696 | 5,084 | 06-30 13:55 |
| Prize-Torte 0x94e4…534a | Yes | +3,114 | $144 | $399 | 507 | 06-24 01:13 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +3,057 | $2,904 | $2,904 | 2 | 06-18 13:38 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +2,882 | $2,716 | $2,716 | 396 | 06-12 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xea43…7549 | Yes | +2,721 | $176 | $176 | 2 | 05-27 21:26 |
| Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | +1,514 | $1,432 | $1,432 | 59 | 06-18 19:53 |
| siick 0xf9b7…60a4 | No | +1,248 | $1,183 | $1,183 | 1 | 06-17 07:29 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +883 | $825 | $825 | 79 | 05-30 04:03 |
| Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | +800 | $764 | $1,146 | 156 | 06-30 03:41 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | +516 | $483 | $483 | 30 | 06-02 23:01 |
| Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd331…733c | No | +504 | $477 | $477 | 7 | 06-04 17:50 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +441 | $414 | $1,476 | 46 | 06-17 20:40 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +390 | $15 | $353 | 417 | 06-30 13:35 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +364 | $341 | $341 | 1 | 06-01 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0561…5174 | No | +356 | $334 | $334 | 1 | 05-28 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2826…0c6a | No | +318 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-06 17:01 |
| Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | +284 | $18 | $20 | 3 | 06-05 23:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +230 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-23 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8df…41e1 | No | +225 | $214 | $214 | 1 | 06-20 23:34 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +214 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-29 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xbde7…cf8a | No | +213 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-02 07:31 |
| Petty-Wild 0x1ab6…6c70 | Yes | +175 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 11:03 |
| Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | +160 | $152 | $471 | 45 | 06-24 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb97…606b | No | +141 | $132 | $2,144 | 265 | 06-29 09:02 |
| Rectangular-Span 0xe9b1…f287 | Yes | +114 | $5 | $25 | 5 | 06-27 11:39 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +105 | $96 | $2,987 | 342 | 06-26 18:39 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 14 | 06-14 01:15 |
| Distorted-Grief 0xd98d…6162 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-26 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x44be…0557 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 7 | 06-28 12:42 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 06-15 04:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 13:55:37 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x07c06a… |
| 06-30 13:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x07c06a… |
| 06-30 13:55:28 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2d0544… |
| 06-30 13:55:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2d0544… |
| 06-30 13:50:49 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x92af2c… |
| 06-30 13:50:49 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x92af2c… |
| 06-30 13:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc6d656… |
| 06-30 13:50:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc6d656… |
| 06-30 13:42:08 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5371ff… |
| 06-30 13:42:08 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5371ff… |
| 06-30 13:41:59 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x865b70… |
| 06-30 13:41:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x865b70… |
| 06-30 13:36:28 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x32bee0… |
| 06-30 13:36:28 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x32bee0… |
| 06-30 13:36:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5dd8b0… |
| 06-30 13:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5dd8b0… |
| 06-30 13:35:37 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7ff8f3… |
| 06-30 13:35:37 | (anonymous) 0xc03d…ca87 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7ff8f3… |
| 06-30 13:35:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x165407… |
| 06-30 13:35:25 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x165407… |
| 06-30 13:35:25 | (anonymous) 0xc03d…ca87 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x165407… |
| 06-30 13:28:50 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x04287a… |
| 06-30 13:28:50 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x04287a… |
| 06-30 13:28:43 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3bc90e… |
| 06-30 13:28:43 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3bc90e… |
| 06-30 13:26:56 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd58049… |
| 06-30 13:26:56 | (anonymous) 0x8b3c…5513 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd58049… |
| 06-30 13:26:49 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc6305d… |
| 06-30 13:26:49 | (anonymous) 0x8b3c…5513 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc6305d… |
| 06-30 13:24:19 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x367f92… |
| 06-30 13:24:19 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x367f92… |
| 06-30 13:24:11 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x673a05… |
| 06-30 13:24:11 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x673a05… |
| 06-30 13:23:19 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5afe99… |
| 06-30 13:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5afe99… |
| 06-30 13:23:13 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x77519e… |
| 06-30 13:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x77519e… |
| 06-30 13:21:38 | (anonymous) 0x4d66…54c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4d39e1… |
| 06-30 13:21:38 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4d39e1… |
| 06-30 13:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x4d66…54c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x01d899… |
| 06-30 13:21:31 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x01d899… |
| 06-30 13:12:56 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x83875c… |
| 06-30 13:12:56 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x83875c… |
| 06-30 13:12:47 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x93daeb… |
| 06-30 13:12:47 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x93daeb… |
| 06-30 13:08:28 | Decimal-Globe 0xce3c…7df3 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x969487… |
| 06-30 13:08:28 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x969487… |
| 06-30 13:00:38 | (anonymous) 0x11c9…f5aa | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x76ec66… |
| 06-30 13:00:38 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x76ec66… |
| 06-30 13:00:02 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x96c815… |
| 06-30 13:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x11c9…f5aa | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x96c815… |
| 06-30 12:53:46 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe0d41e… |
| 06-30 12:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe0d41e… |
| 06-30 12:53:38 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x26c506… |
| 06-30 12:53:38 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x26c506… |
| 06-30 12:45:56 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x56f799… |
| 06-30 12:45:56 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x56f799… |
| 06-30 12:45:46 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe228bd… |
| 06-30 12:45:46 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe228bd… |
| 06-30 12:38:11 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xea5930… |
| 06-30 12:38:11 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xea5930… |
| 06-30 12:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0c74bc… |
| 06-30 12:38:01 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0c74bc… |
| 06-30 12:30:22 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x142e0a… |
| 06-30 12:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x142e0a… |
| 06-30 12:30:11 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xff79af… |
| 06-30 12:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xff79af… |
| 06-30 12:29:04 | Acidic-Architecture 0xf8dd…ab18 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3d4289… |
| 06-30 12:29:04 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3d4289… |
| 06-30 12:25:23 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3941d1… |
| 06-30 12:25:23 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3941d1… |
| 06-30 12:25:13 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7fac38… |
| 06-30 12:25:13 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7fac38… |
| 06-30 12:24:32 | Granular-Pantsuit 0x15b8…495b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x76c1c1… |
| 06-30 12:24:32 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x76c1c1… |
| 06-30 12:19:35 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x131b11… |
| 06-30 12:19:35 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x131b11… |
| 06-30 12:19:28 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6e141a… |
| 06-30 12:19:28 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6e141a… |
| 06-30 12:13:38 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x251579… |
| 06-30 12:13:38 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x251579… |
| 06-30 12:13:31 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x2d96a4… |
| 06-30 12:13:31 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2d96a4… |
| 06-30 12:13:07 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6bc6a3… |
| 06-30 12:13:07 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6bc6a3… |
| 06-30 12:12:58 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x25c9dd… |
| 06-30 12:12:58 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x25c9dd… |
| 06-30 12:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x82a828… |
| 06-30 12:10:58 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x82a828… |
| 06-30 12:10:49 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x295ce4… |
| 06-30 12:10:49 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x295ce4… |
| 06-30 12:07:23 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8c756b… |
| 06-30 12:07:23 | Silky-Museum 0x009a…9ce1 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8c756b… |
| 06-30 12:07:14 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x87e0a6… |
| 06-30 12:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x87e0a6… |
| 06-30 12:07:07 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4c7688… |
| 06-30 12:07:07 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4c7688… |
| 06-30 12:05:10 | Fickle-Feather 0x15ad…4fc4 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6f3981… |
| 06-30 12:05:10 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6f3981… |
| 06-30 12:04:01 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2f186f… |