Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
open
Total volume
$471,070
$801 in 24h
Trades
53,825
Unique wallets
1,926
Liquidity
$106,333
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-20 17:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+24.6¢
(top1%: 26% YES on $7.2K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $225.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 44 | $608 | $34.6K | $34.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 55 | $2.4K | $84.2K | $81.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 101 | $556 | $80.0K | $79.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,726 | $237 | $23.2K | $23.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $1.9K | $5.3K | $3.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 29 | $768 | $34.4K | $33.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | — | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| Median | 97 | $4 | $35.1K | $35.1K |
| Below median | 79 | $20 | $4.3K | $4.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $2 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $64 | $5.7K | $5.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | — | $8.1K | $8.1K |
| unranked | 1,647 | $1.1K | $124.0K | $122.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minty-Vane 0x8b71…8044 | No | +14,945 | $14,161 | $14,161 | 6 | 07-20 10:57 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +12,989 | $610 | $610 | 1,108 | 07-20 13:12 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +11,476 | $10,927 | $11,438 | 1,197 | 07-20 17:29 |
| Puzzling-Injoke 0x0978…00e6 | No | +5,352 | $5,108 | $7,023 | 233 | 07-16 22:27 |
| Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | +5,000 | $4,780 | $4,780 | 282 | 07-16 18:31 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +4,603 | $4,390 | $8,826 | 270 | 07-18 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xea43…7549 | Yes | +4,602 | $257 | $257 | 3 | 07-10 23:17 |
| Serious-Shoemaker 0x997d…5d15 | No | +4,376 | $4,144 | $4,144 | 4 | 06-14 01:08 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +4,041 | $185 | $3,146 | 6,357 | 07-20 17:36 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +3,558 | $3,383 | $4,341 | 214 | 07-07 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | +3,216 | $3,074 | $3,074 | 2 | 07-19 17:02 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +2,882 | $2,716 | $2,716 | 396 | 06-12 14:38 |
| Prize-Torte 0x94e4…534a | Yes | +2,443 | $111 | $449 | 524 | 07-16 18:31 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +2,441 | $2,329 | $3,391 | 259 | 07-08 10:57 |
| Glorious-Mantua 0xd920…61a9 | No | +1,567 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 1 | 07-01 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b9b…48f4 | Yes | +1,373 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 07-08 10:57 |
| Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | +1,300 | $1,242 | $1,625 | 246 | 07-13 21:07 |
| siick 0xf9b7…60a4 | No | +1,248 | $1,183 | $1,183 | 1 | 06-17 07:29 |
| Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | +1,200 | $1,149 | $1,149 | 149 | 07-08 10:57 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +883 | $825 | $825 | 79 | 05-30 04:03 |
| Nutty-Impostor 0x24fb…973e | No | +868 | $829 | $829 | 2 | 07-17 16:43 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +575 | $23 | $361 | 436 | 07-01 07:11 |
| Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | +525 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-16 22:26 |
| Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd331…733c | No | +504 | $477 | $477 | 7 | 06-04 17:50 |
| Real-Teaching 0x80a0…5708 | No | +478 | $455 | $455 | 67 | 07-17 14:23 |
| Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | No | +474 | $451 | $3,003 | 205 | 07-16 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +471 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-02 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a7e…9dc6 | No | +444 | $425 | $425 | 50 | 07-20 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +401 | $384 | $384 | 213 | 07-08 10:57 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +364 | $341 | $341 | 1 | 06-01 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0561…5174 | No | +356 | $334 | $334 | 1 | 05-28 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2826…0c6a | No | +318 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-06 17:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b64…015b | No | +300 | $286 | $1,362 | 82 | 07-18 22:18 |
| Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | +284 | $18 | $20 | 3 | 06-05 23:38 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | +256 | $233 | $732 | 31 | 07-06 11:29 |
| Elementary-Layer 0x3ed9…2ea5 | No | +250 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 07-02 20:48 |
| Showy-Illusion 0xa93c…2082 | No | +240 | $230 | $230 | 3 | 07-07 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8df…41e1 | No | +225 | $214 | $214 | 1 | 06-20 23:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x01ea…ffba | Yes | +222 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-17 22:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 17:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc92f1a… |
| 07-20 17:36:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc92f1a… |
| 07-20 17:36:27 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfd87e2… |
| 07-20 17:36:27 | Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095d…52cf | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfd87e2… |
| 07-20 17:29:42 | Blank-Language 0x9826…e7fe | No | SELL | 314 | 96¢ | $300 | 0x02c044… |
| 07-20 17:29:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 114 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x02c044… |
| 07-20 17:29:42 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $191 | 0x02c044… |
| 07-20 17:29:06 | (anonymous) 0x2a7e…9dc6 | No | BUY | 92 | 96¢ | $88 | 0x54d9f7… |
| 07-20 17:29:06 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0x54d9f7… |
| 07-20 17:29:06 | Blank-Language 0x9826…e7fe | No | SELL | 386 | 96¢ | $370 | 0x54d9f7… |
| 07-20 17:29:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 232 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x54d9f7… |
| 07-20 17:11:58 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd1bcee… |
| 07-20 17:11:58 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd1bcee… |
| 07-20 17:11:51 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc3f6bd… |
| 07-20 17:11:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc3f6bd… |
| 07-20 16:34:34 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x106529… |
| 07-20 16:34:34 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x106529… |
| 07-20 16:34:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe48f77… |
| 07-20 16:34:27 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe48f77… |
| 07-20 16:26:28 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf8aa8e… |
| 07-20 16:26:28 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf8aa8e… |
| 07-20 16:26:18 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x460964… |
| 07-20 16:26:18 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x460964… |
| 07-20 16:13:54 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x81ea8c… |
| 07-20 16:13:54 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x81ea8c… |
| 07-20 16:13:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x888214… |
| 07-20 16:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x888214… |
| 07-20 16:03:12 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4f9e03… |
| 07-20 16:03:12 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4f9e03… |
| 07-20 16:03:04 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcac275… |
| 07-20 16:03:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcac275… |
| 07-20 15:44:18 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3d88e3… |
| 07-20 15:44:18 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3d88e3… |
| 07-20 15:44:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5fc173… |
| 07-20 15:44:10 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5fc173… |
| 07-20 15:43:00 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8c8b50… |
| 07-20 15:43:00 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8c8b50… |
| 07-20 15:42:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9e451c… |
| 07-20 15:42:51 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9e451c… |
| 07-20 15:41:07 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x832847… |
| 07-20 15:41:07 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x832847… |
| 07-20 15:41:00 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9d2b04… |
| 07-20 15:41:00 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x9d2b04… |
| 07-20 15:36:18 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa9c313… |
| 07-20 15:36:18 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa9c313… |
| 07-20 15:36:07 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc1b024… |
| 07-20 15:36:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc1b024… |
| 07-20 15:30:48 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8771a6… |
| 07-20 15:30:48 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8771a6… |
| 07-20 15:30:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfe6f1b… |
| 07-20 15:30:40 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xfe6f1b… |
| 07-20 15:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x43de60… |
| 07-20 15:02:01 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x43de60… |
| 07-20 15:01:55 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfffb57… |
| 07-20 15:01:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfffb57… |
| 07-20 14:58:55 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x31a3fa… |
| 07-20 14:58:55 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x31a3fa… |
| 07-20 14:58:48 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3eb823… |
| 07-20 14:58:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3eb823… |
| 07-20 14:52:18 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xcb95af… |
| 07-20 14:52:18 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xcb95af… |
| 07-20 14:52:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0a9906… |
| 07-20 14:52:09 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x0a9906… |
| 07-20 14:30:15 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x569c0e… |
| 07-20 14:30:15 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x569c0e… |
| 07-20 14:30:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa818a4… |
| 07-20 14:30:03 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa818a4… |
| 07-20 14:28:37 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6715b3… |
| 07-20 14:28:37 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6715b3… |
| 07-20 14:28:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7aa985… |
| 07-20 14:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7aa985… |
| 07-20 14:13:54 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x531cba… |
| 07-20 14:13:54 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x531cba… |
| 07-20 14:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa03f7e… |
| 07-20 14:13:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa03f7e… |
| 07-20 14:13:43 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd7cfe9… |
| 07-20 14:13:43 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd7cfe9… |
| 07-20 14:13:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd358d2… |
| 07-20 14:13:34 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd358d2… |
| 07-20 13:52:57 | Frosty-Jam 0x36ef…3c3a | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7ee809… |
| 07-20 13:52:57 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7ee809… |
| 07-20 13:46:36 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb1e984… |
| 07-20 13:46:36 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb1e984… |
| 07-20 13:46:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1ed053… |
| 07-20 13:46:30 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1ed053… |
| 07-20 13:42:12 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa650a8… |
| 07-20 13:42:12 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa650a8… |
| 07-20 13:42:03 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9b875b… |
| 07-20 13:42:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9b875b… |
| 07-20 13:41:57 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0f3666… |
| 07-20 13:41:57 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0f3666… |
| 07-20 13:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xadee66… |
| 07-20 13:41:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xadee66… |
| 07-20 13:30:18 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3d4ee2… |
| 07-20 13:30:18 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3d4ee2… |
| 07-20 13:30:04 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc85880… |
| 07-20 13:30:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc85880… |
| 07-20 13:12:22 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x81ceda… |
| 07-20 13:12:22 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x81ceda… |
| 07-20 13:12:15 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5f47e8… |