Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
open
Total volume
$10,813,148
$664 in 24h
Trades
69,260
Unique wallets
3,157
Liquidity
$142,056
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-27 03:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.7¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $162.0K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $5.42M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 100 | $7.2K | $206.7K | $199.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 230 | $354.6K | $2.56M | $2.20M |
| 🐟 Fish | 446 | $3.2K | $2.24M | $2.24M |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,381 | $2.4K | $41.4K | $39.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 97 | $3.3K | $158.7K | $155.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 120 | $2.3K | $41.9K | $39.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 86 | $287.6K | $86.1K | +$201.5K |
| Median | 569 | $66.4K | $4.30M | $4.23M |
| Below median | 585 | $502 | $273.2K | $272.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 87 | $188 | $3.1K | $2.9K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 118 | $2.8K | $45.5K | $42.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 55 | $3.9K | $30.1K | $26.2K |
| unranked | 1,440 | $546 | $113.0K | $112.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +24,396 | $23,328 | $23,839 | 1,669 | 09-08 01:27 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +24,303 | $1,067 | $1,320 | 1,551 | 09-10 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xea43…7549 | Yes | +21,188 | $788 | $788 | 19 | 10-16 20:14 |
| Minty-Vane 0x8b71…8044 | No | +20,612 | $19,393 | $19,393 | 9 | 07-20 10:57 |
| Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | +10,000 | $9,634 | $20,346 | 305 | 10-24 03:05 |
| Real-Teaching 0x80a0…5708 | No | +9,995 | $9,675 | $9,675 | 71 | 10-16 20:12 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +8,939 | $8,519 | $15,561 | 299 | 10-26 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | +8,768 | $8,379 | $8,379 | 5 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Prize-Torte 0x94e4…534a | Yes | +8,541 | $299 | $1,264 | 858 | 09-12 07:18 |
| Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | +6,565 | $6,098 | $9,455 | 324 | 10-05 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x0210…4deb | No | +6,312 | $6,101 | $6,101 | 9 | 09-03 14:05 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +5,608 | $139 | $139 | 13 | 10-27 03:39 |
| Deficient-Ark 0x730d…d448 | No | +5,000 | $4,860 | $4,860 | 1 | 10-06 20:08 |
| Puzzling-Injoke 0x0978…00e6 | Yes | +5,000 | $215 | $215 | 26 | 07-31 21:08 |
| Dull-Dollar 0x9d54…c43d | No | +4,872 | $4,663 | $4,663 | 1 | 07-31 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x02e9…e4c9 | No | +4,665 | $4,257 | $4,257 | 7 | 05-23 13:38 |
| Puzzling-Injoke 0x0978…00e6 | No | +4,500 | $4,262 | $8,884 | 250 | 08-04 13:59 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +4,158 | $3,970 | $6,848 | 216 | 08-12 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6218…6b20 | Yes | +3,894 | $359 | $359 | 7 | 05-05 14:30 |
| Glorious-Mantua 0xd920…61a9 | No | +3,676 | $3,542 | $3,542 | 5 | 09-10 05:50 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +3,597 | $3,383 | $3,383 | 465 | 06-12 14:38 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +3,096 | $2,994 | $2,994 | 1 | 08-13 01:46 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | +2,362 | $2,291 | $2,291 | 5 | 10-01 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e32…3408 | No | +2,000 | $1,824 | $1,824 | 1 | 05-18 10:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b9b…48f4 | Yes | +1,878 | $101 | $101 | 4 | 07-08 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf1d…0171 | Yes | +1,774 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 08-01 16:06 |
| Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | +1,640 | $1,571 | $1,571 | 10 | 09-26 08:03 |
| Good-Natured-Mango 0x58c6…d759 | Yes | +1,639 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 09-10 05:50 |
| Notable-Tin 0xc315…fe18 | No | +1,463 | $1,355 | $7,554 | 35 | 10-18 02:01 |
| Black-And-White-Sewer 0x5d4e…7a5f | Yes | +1,350 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 05-18 11:59 |
| Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | No | +1,293 | $1,252 | $1,252 | 5 | 10-12 17:38 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +1,001 | $912 | $2,840 | 6 | 09-17 00:47 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +999 | $933 | $933 | 94 | 05-30 04:03 |
| Cute-Oxford 0xb1df…28b7 | No | +982 | $950 | $950 | 4 | 09-19 06:23 |
| Nutty-Impostor 0x24fb…973e | No | +868 | $829 | $829 | 2 | 07-17 16:43 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +773 | $34 | $1,687 | 650 | 07-01 07:11 |
| Flimsy-Blinker 0x08d3…4d01 | Yes | +770 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-22 16:50 |
| Bountiful-Disposer 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | +649 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 10-23 02:56 |
| Sinful-Parsnip 0xe709…9d39 | No | +585 | $532 | $532 | 10 | 10-09 12:19 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +564 | $526 | $526 | 3 | 06-01 21:43 |
| Elementary-Layer 0x3ed9…2ea5 | No | +550 | $520 | $520 | 2 | 07-02 20:48 |
| Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | +525 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-16 22:26 |
| Strange-Mapping 0xcce9…9e9c | No | +517 | $482 | $482 | 2 | 05-25 10:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 03:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 526 | 2¢ | $13 | 0xbd70c5… |
| 10-27 03:39:41 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 526 | 2¢ | $13 | 0xbd70c5… |
| 10-27 03:34:53 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 2,400 | 2¢ | $60 | 0xa4e9f5… |
| 10-27 03:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 2,400 | 2¢ | $60 | 0xa4e9f5… |
| 10-27 02:59:11 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8435b8… |
| 10-27 02:59:11 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8435b8… |
| 10-27 02:26:24 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x616d40… |
| 10-27 02:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x8dde…5045 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x616d40… |
| 10-26 22:24:35 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x08c94e… |
| 10-26 22:24:35 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x08c94e… |
| 10-26 22:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x2976df… |
| 10-26 22:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2976df… |
| 10-26 22:15:36 | (anonymous) 0xc8d5…4c74 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x690d51… |
| 10-26 22:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x690d51… |
| 10-26 22:12:24 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 1,336 | 2¢ | $32 | 0xd90dc1… |
| 10-26 22:12:24 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 1,302 | 98¢ | $1,271 | 0xd90dc1… |
| 10-26 22:12:24 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 34 | 98¢ | $33 | 0xd90dc1… |
| 10-26 20:53:47 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0xc7914c… |
| 10-26 20:53:47 | Accomplished-Mood 0x7299…3288 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc7914c… |
| 10-26 12:21:12 | Spanish-Destroyer 0x28ac…a5ec | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x83fad7… |
| 10-26 12:21:12 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x83fad7… |
| 10-26 12:21:12 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x83fad7… |
| 10-26 08:21:38 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 262 | 2¢ | $6 | 0xa05a10… |
| 10-26 08:21:38 | Loving-Citron 0x84fd…2f81 | No | SELL | 394 | 98¢ | $385 | 0xa05a10… |
| 10-26 08:21:38 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 656 | 98¢ | $641 | 0xa05a10… |
| 10-25 22:42:18 | Junior-Gynaecology 0x4514…00c0 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2990e1… |
| 10-25 22:42:18 | Loving-Citron 0x84fd…2f81 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x2990e1… |
| 10-25 12:59:15 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xcd28c2… |
| 10-25 12:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x7143…fb33 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xcd28c2… |
| 10-24 18:06:41 | (anonymous) 0x8dde…5045 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x50f0cb… |
| 10-24 18:06:41 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x50f0cb… |
| 10-24 03:05:14 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x2110b9… |
| 10-24 03:05:14 | (anonymous) 0x931e…8547 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2110b9… |
| 10-24 03:05:14 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $488 | 0x2110b9… |
| 10-24 03:05:14 | (anonymous) 0xf72c…eeb7 | No | SELL | 655 | 97¢ | $638 | 0x2110b9… |
| 10-24 03:05:14 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 143 | 97¢ | $139 | 0x2110b9… |
| 10-24 01:29:15 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 248 | 2¢ | $6 | 0xefd5dd… |
| 10-24 01:29:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 247 | 2¢ | $6 | 0xefd5dd… |
| 10-24 01:29:15 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xefd5dd… |
| 10-24 01:28:39 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x241b50… |
| 10-24 01:28:39 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x241b50… |
| 10-24 01:27:48 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | BUY | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xde55c8… |
| 10-24 01:27:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 247 | 2¢ | $6 | 0xde55c8… |
| 10-24 01:27:48 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 346 | 2¢ | $8 | 0xde55c8… |
| 10-23 14:46:08 | (anonymous) 0x931e…8547 | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x86aff4… |
| 10-23 14:46:08 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 353 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x86aff4… |
| 10-23 14:46:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 301 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x86aff4… |
| 10-23 10:56:36 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 301 | 2¢ | $7 | 0x5d8b5f… |
| 10-23 10:56:36 | Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | SELL | 3,076 | 98¢ | $3,002 | 0x5d8b5f… |
| 10-23 10:56:36 | Hateful-Southeast 0x413f…47f3 | Yes | SELL | 5,421 | 2¢ | $130 | 0x5d8b5f… |
| 10-23 10:56:36 | Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | SELL | 2,045 | 98¢ | $1,996 | 0x5d8b5f… |
| 10-23 10:42:32 | (anonymous) 0x48c9…4b19 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd796f9… |
| 10-23 10:42:32 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd796f9… |
| 10-23 08:35:36 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x3622a0… |
| 10-23 08:35:36 | Entire-Frame 0x417b…18d3 | No | SELL | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x3622a0… |
| 10-23 05:42:33 | Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | SELL | 58 | 98¢ | $57 | 0xec267b… |
| 10-23 05:42:33 | (anonymous) 0xecef…75fa | No | BUY | 58 | 98¢ | $57 | 0xec267b… |
| 10-23 02:58:35 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0x46de61… |
| 10-23 02:58:35 | Torn-Shred 0x544b…8d7b | No | SELL | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0x46de61… |
| 10-23 02:56:45 | Torn-Shred 0x544b…8d7b | No | BUY | 65 | 98¢ | $63 | 0xfcab75… |
| 10-23 02:56:45 | Bountiful-Disposer 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | BUY | 65 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xfcab75… |
| 10-22 19:10:30 | Bountiful-Disposer 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x17a9a9… |
| 10-22 19:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x73a2…ad03 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x17a9a9… |
| 10-22 02:31:23 | Bountiful-Disposer 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcf644c… |
| 10-22 02:31:23 | Early-Camera 0x05db…c718 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xcf644c… |
| 10-21 23:00:54 | Bountiful-Disposer 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | BUY | 500 | 3¢ | $13 | 0x13de00… |
| 10-21 23:00:54 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 500 | 97¢ | $487 | 0x13de00… |
| 10-21 23:00:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe3740e… |
| 10-21 23:00:18 | Bountiful-Disposer 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe3740e… |
| 10-21 17:35:23 | Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | SELL | 85 | 98¢ | $83 | 0x9917db… |
| 10-21 17:35:23 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | SELL | 85 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x9917db… |
| 10-21 15:05:30 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 332 | 97¢ | $323 | 0x105466… |
| 10-21 15:05:30 | (anonymous) 0x836e…603e | Yes | BUY | 387 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x105466… |
| 10-21 15:05:30 | (anonymous) 0x9f2a…1756 | No | BUY | 55 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x105466… |
| 10-21 08:30:50 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a7f7 | No | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0xc68d09… |
| 10-21 08:30:50 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc68d09… |
| 10-20 23:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x77bbe3… |
| 10-20 23:33:54 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x77bbe3… |
| 10-20 23:32:44 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa76d1c… |
| 10-20 23:32:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa76d1c… |
| 10-20 23:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x22aff6… |
| 10-20 23:18:17 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x22aff6… |
| 10-20 23:15:57 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x927112… |
| 10-20 23:15:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x927112… |
| 10-20 23:14:30 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3d1254… |
| 10-20 23:14:30 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3d1254… |
| 10-20 23:09:51 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2d6376… |
| 10-20 23:09:51 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2d6376… |
| 10-20 18:59:48 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x49d7ae… |
| 10-20 18:59:48 | (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x49d7ae… |
| 10-20 18:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x49d7ae… |
| 10-20 17:13:39 | Monstrous-Festival 0x09e4…93aa | No | BUY | 512 | 98¢ | $500 | 0xba63f4… |
| 10-20 17:13:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 512 | 2¢ | $12 | 0xba63f4… |
| 10-20 15:57:21 | (anonymous) 0x1188…f5e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfb4f3c… |
| 10-20 15:57:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb4f3c… |
| 10-20 13:40:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 436 | 2¢ | $11 | 0x3f769a… |
| 10-20 13:40:29 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 436 | 98¢ | $425 | 0x3f769a… |
| 10-19 10:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | BUY | 92 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xc2c450… |
| 10-19 10:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 72 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xc2c450… |
| 10-19 10:18:12 | (anonymous) 0xb6bf…c1c1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc2c450… |