Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
open
Total volume
$10,840,587
$1,513 in 24h
Trades
69,351
Unique wallets
3,165
Liquidity
$146,475
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-30 00:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.9¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $175.8K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $5.43M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 102 | $7.3K | $212.3K | $205.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 230 | $354.6K | $2.57M | $2.21M |
| 🐟 Fish | 449 | $3.2K | $2.24M | $2.24M |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,384 | $2.4K | $41.4K | $39.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 98 | $3.3K | $172.5K | $169.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 124 | $2.3K | $43.1K | $40.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 86 | $287.6K | $85.0K | +$202.6K |
| Median | 570 | $66.4K | $4.30M | $4.23M |
| Below median | 584 | $502 | $273.3K | $272.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 86 | $200 | $3.0K | $2.8K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 113 | $2.8K | $43.2K | $40.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 62 | $3.9K | $32.4K | $28.5K |
| unranked | 1,442 | $546 | $113.0K | $112.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +24,396 | $23,328 | $23,839 | 1,669 | 09-08 01:27 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +24,303 | $1,067 | $1,320 | 1,551 | 09-10 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xea43…7549 | Yes | +21,188 | $788 | $788 | 19 | 10-16 20:14 |
| Minty-Vane 0x8b71…8044 | No | +20,612 | $19,393 | $19,393 | 9 | 07-20 10:57 |
| Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | +12,500 | $12,074 | $22,786 | 315 | 10-29 19:13 |
| Real-Teaching 0x80a0…5708 | No | +9,995 | $9,675 | $9,675 | 71 | 10-16 20:12 |
| Prize-Torte 0x94e4…534a | Yes | +8,941 | $307 | $1,272 | 861 | 10-28 08:24 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +8,939 | $8,519 | $15,561 | 299 | 10-26 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | +8,768 | $8,379 | $8,379 | 5 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4369…317c | No | +8,334 | $8,151 | $8,151 | 1 | 10-29 15:24 |
| Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | +6,565 | $6,098 | $9,455 | 324 | 10-05 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x0210…4deb | No | +6,312 | $6,101 | $6,101 | 9 | 09-03 14:05 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +5,653 | $140 | $140 | 14 | 10-27 05:32 |
| Deficient-Ark 0x730d…d448 | No | +5,000 | $4,860 | $4,860 | 1 | 10-06 20:08 |
| Puzzling-Injoke 0x0978…00e6 | Yes | +5,000 | $215 | $215 | 26 | 07-31 21:08 |
| Dull-Dollar 0x9d54…c43d | No | +4,872 | $4,663 | $4,663 | 1 | 07-31 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x02e9…e4c9 | No | +4,665 | $4,257 | $4,257 | 7 | 05-23 13:38 |
| Puzzling-Injoke 0x0978…00e6 | No | +4,500 | $4,262 | $8,884 | 250 | 08-04 13:59 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +4,158 | $3,970 | $6,848 | 216 | 08-12 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6218…6b20 | Yes | +3,894 | $359 | $359 | 7 | 05-05 14:30 |
| Glorious-Mantua 0xd920…61a9 | No | +3,676 | $3,542 | $3,542 | 5 | 09-10 05:50 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +3,597 | $3,383 | $3,383 | 465 | 06-12 14:38 |
| Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | +3,210 | $3,141 | $3,141 | 8 | 10-30 00:21 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +3,096 | $2,994 | $2,994 | 1 | 08-13 01:46 |
| Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | +2,221 | $2,138 | $2,138 | 20 | 10-29 17:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e32…3408 | No | +2,000 | $1,824 | $1,824 | 1 | 05-18 10:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b9b…48f4 | Yes | +1,878 | $101 | $101 | 4 | 07-08 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf1d…0171 | Yes | +1,774 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 08-01 16:06 |
| Good-Natured-Mango 0x58c6…d759 | Yes | +1,639 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 09-10 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | +1,368 | $31 | $31 | 5 | 10-29 11:15 |
| Black-And-White-Sewer 0x5d4e…7a5f | Yes | +1,350 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 05-18 11:59 |
| Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | No | +1,293 | $1,252 | $1,252 | 5 | 10-12 17:38 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +999 | $933 | $933 | 94 | 05-30 04:03 |
| Cute-Oxford 0xb1df…28b7 | No | +982 | $950 | $950 | 4 | 09-19 06:23 |
| Nutty-Impostor 0x24fb…973e | No | +868 | $829 | $829 | 2 | 07-17 16:43 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +773 | $34 | $1,687 | 650 | 07-01 07:11 |
| Flimsy-Blinker 0x08d3…4d01 | Yes | +770 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-22 16:50 |
| Bountiful-Disposer 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | +649 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 10-23 02:56 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +564 | $526 | $526 | 3 | 06-01 21:43 |
| Elementary-Layer 0x3ed9…2ea5 | No | +550 | $520 | $520 | 2 | 07-02 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fb5…4c04 | Yes | +545 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-28 13:50 |
| Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | +525 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-16 22:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 00:21:09 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd5a5fc… |
| 10-30 00:21:09 | Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd5a5fc… |
| 10-29 19:14:40 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 2¢ | $25 | 0x674613… |
| 10-29 19:14:40 | Notable-Tin 0xc315…fe18 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 98¢ | $975 | 0x674613… |
| 10-29 19:13:07 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 454 | 98¢ | $443 | 0xbf8b03… |
| 10-29 19:13:07 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbf8b03… |
| 10-29 19:13:07 | Notable-Tin 0xc315…fe18 | No | SELL | 459 | 98¢ | $448 | 0xbf8b03… |
| 10-29 17:20:40 | Fluffy-Classmate 0x95c2…485b | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe492f1… |
| 10-29 17:20:40 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe492f1… |
| 10-29 17:17:38 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xabbfa3… |
| 10-29 17:17:38 | Humongous-Maybe 0xc5bd…ceaa | No | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xabbfa3… |
| 10-29 17:17:34 | Affectionate-Solitaire 0xca97…5409 | No | SELL | 32 | 98¢ | $31 | 0xbb74ea… |
| 10-29 17:17:34 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 32 | 98¢ | $31 | 0xbb74ea… |
| 10-29 17:17:29 | Red-Girlfriend 0x7b64…8440 | No | SELL | 19 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xba4d0a… |
| 10-29 17:17:29 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 19 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xba4d0a… |
| 10-29 17:17:16 | (anonymous) 0xb6ce…895d | No | SELL | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x795a48… |
| 10-29 17:17:16 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x795a48… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x3be5…f7fe | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6dd109… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 179 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x196475… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x76229f… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 235 | 98¢ | $230 | 0x196475… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 1,902 | 98¢ | $1,857 | 0x196475… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | Clean-Repeat 0xe9ce…711f | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x89a4a7… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | SELL | 2,362 | 98¢ | $2,306 | 0x196475… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x92c7…89f5 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x76229f… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x89a4a7… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x196475… |
| 10-29 17:17:14 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6dd109… |
| 10-29 17:11:47 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 62 | 98¢ | $60 | 0xe74870… |
| 10-29 17:11:47 | Dismal-Moustache 0xa99c…08b4 | No | SELL | 62 | 98¢ | $60 | 0xe74870… |
| 10-29 17:10:04 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x8ee75d… |
| 10-29 17:10:04 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x8ee75d… |
| 10-29 17:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x47a863… |
| 10-29 17:09:25 | Sinful-Parsnip 0xe709…9d39 | No | SELL | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x47a863… |
| 10-29 16:42:11 | (anonymous) 0x4dfe…a910 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x5f951e… |
| 10-29 16:42:11 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x5f951e… |
| 10-29 16:41:31 | (anonymous) 0x4dfe…a910 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8cb817… |
| 10-29 16:41:31 | Sinful-Parsnip 0xe709…9d39 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8cb817… |
| 10-29 16:26:46 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x531abd… |
| 10-29 16:26:46 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x531abd… |
| 10-29 16:26:35 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdfe664… |
| 10-29 16:26:35 | Sinful-Parsnip 0xe709…9d39 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdfe664… |
| 10-29 16:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x866c…f36c | No | SELL | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xedc4e7… |
| 10-29 16:01:31 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xedc4e7… |
| 10-29 16:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x866c…f36c | No | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xb2be65… |
| 10-29 16:00:44 | Sinful-Parsnip 0xe709…9d39 | No | SELL | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xb2be65… |
| 10-29 15:24:50 | Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | SELL | 8,150 | 98¢ | $7,971 | 0x453c0b… |
| 10-29 15:24:50 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x453c0b… |
| 10-29 15:24:50 | (anonymous) 0x4369…317c | No | BUY | 8,334 | 98¢ | $8,151 | 0x453c0b… |
| 10-29 15:24:50 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | BUY | 179 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x453c0b… |
| 10-29 14:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x0caf28… |
| 10-29 14:53:01 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x0caf28… |
| 10-29 14:52:05 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x8d36fd… |
| 10-29 14:52:05 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8d36fd… |
| 10-29 14:18:11 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | BUY | 166 | 98¢ | $162 | 0xab45f9… |
| 10-29 14:18:11 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7fc630… |
| 10-29 14:18:11 | (anonymous) 0xab7e…1a5f | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7fc630… |
| 10-29 14:18:11 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 243 | 98¢ | $238 | 0xab45f9… |
| 10-29 14:18:11 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 78 | 98¢ | $76 | 0xab45f9… |
| 10-29 11:15:37 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | BUY | 812 | 98¢ | $794 | 0x86ab42… |
| 10-29 11:15:37 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 812 | 2¢ | $18 | 0x86ab42… |
| 10-28 13:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 248 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xe10d57… |
| 10-28 13:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xbb39…be82 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe10d57… |
| 10-28 13:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x0fb5…4c04 | Yes | BUY | 513 | 2¢ | $11 | 0xe10d57… |
| 10-28 13:50:46 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | BUY | 222 | 98¢ | $217 | 0xe10d57… |
| 10-28 11:16:53 | (anonymous) 0x0fb5…4c04 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc539fe… |
| 10-28 11:16:53 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | BUY | 1,000 | 98¢ | $980 | 0xc539fe… |
| 10-28 11:16:53 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | SELL | 968 | 98¢ | $949 | 0xc539fe… |
| 10-28 08:24:20 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | SELL | 32 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x782a7a… |
| 10-28 08:24:20 | (anonymous) 0x30dd…c632 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x782a7a… |
| 10-28 08:24:20 | Frequent-Basis 0xdf43…1330 | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x782a7a… |
| 10-28 08:24:20 | Prize-Torte 0x94e4…534a | Yes | BUY | 85 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x782a7a… |
| 10-28 07:36:04 | (anonymous) 0x3d10…ac47 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0bf1b0… |
| 10-28 07:36:04 | Prize-Torte 0x94e4…534a | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0bf1b0… |
| 10-28 07:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x32f2b8… |
| 10-28 07:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x3d10…ac47 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x32f2b8… |
| 10-28 05:46:05 | Traumatic-Pig 0x0963…a13e | No | SELL | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xf0dd8c… |
| 10-28 05:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf0dd8c… |
| 10-28 00:07:06 | Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa33cec… |
| 10-28 00:07:06 | Prize-Torte 0x94e4…534a | Yes | BUY | 268 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xa33cec… |
| 10-28 00:07:06 | (anonymous) 0x3612…aa51 | Yes | SELL | 278 | 2¢ | $6 | 0xa33cec… |
| 10-27 21:07:47 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf1413f… |
| 10-27 21:07:47 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | BUY | 300 | 98¢ | $294 | 0xf1413f… |
| 10-27 21:07:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 289 | 2¢ | $6 | 0xf1413f… |
| 10-27 19:17:26 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x523680… |
| 10-27 19:17:26 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x523680… |
| 10-27 19:17:26 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 80 | 98¢ | $79 | 0x523680… |
| 10-27 12:06:42 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xfcb69d… |
| 10-27 12:06:42 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0xfcb69d… |
| 10-27 05:32:53 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbb22e2… |
| 10-27 05:32:53 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbb22e2… |
| 10-27 03:39:41 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 526 | 2¢ | $13 | 0xbd70c5… |
| 10-27 03:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 526 | 2¢ | $13 | 0xbd70c5… |
| 10-27 03:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 2,400 | 2¢ | $60 | 0xa4e9f5… |
| 10-27 03:34:53 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 2,400 | 2¢ | $60 | 0xa4e9f5… |
| 10-27 02:59:11 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8435b8… |
| 10-27 02:59:11 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8435b8… |
| 10-27 02:26:24 | (anonymous) 0xcb53…e5d9 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x616d40… |
| 10-27 02:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x8dde…5045 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x616d40… |
| 10-26 22:24:35 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x08c94e… |