Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
open
Total volume
$523,330
$801 in 24h
Trades
58,089
Unique wallets
2,009
Liquidity
$106,333
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-09 20:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+11.2¢
(top1%: 13% YES on $16.2K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $258.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 53 | $661 | $43.2K | $42.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 69 | $3.2K | $115.3K | $112.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 104 | $718 | $70.3K | $69.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,783 | $367 | $24.5K | $24.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 17 | $2.1K | $14.0K | $11.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 30 | $1.1K | $29.9K | $28.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | — | $7.2K | $7.2K |
| Median | 103 | $4 | $37.0K | $37.0K |
| Below median | 92 | $20 | $4.7K | $4.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 20 | $12 | $3.0K | $3.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 20 | $59 | $8.2K | $8.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 18 | $5 | $9.6K | $9.6K |
| unranked | 1,692 | $1.6K | $139.5K | $137.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +20,043 | $911 | $911 | 1,447 | 08-08 17:09 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +17,331 | $16,521 | $17,032 | 1,587 | 08-09 09:05 |
| Minty-Vane 0x8b71…8044 | No | +14,945 | $14,161 | $14,161 | 6 | 07-20 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | +8,768 | $8,379 | $8,379 | 5 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | +5,000 | $4,780 | $4,780 | 282 | 07-16 18:31 |
| Puzzling-Injoke 0x0978…00e6 | Yes | +5,000 | $215 | $215 | 26 | 07-31 21:08 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +4,944 | $214 | $3,589 | 7,308 | 08-09 20:26 |
| Dull-Dollar 0x9d54…c43d | No | +4,872 | $4,663 | $4,663 | 1 | 07-31 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xea43…7549 | Yes | +4,602 | $257 | $257 | 3 | 07-10 23:17 |
| Serious-Shoemaker 0x997d…5d15 | No | +4,376 | $4,144 | $4,144 | 4 | 06-14 01:08 |
| Prize-Torte 0x94e4…534a | Yes | +4,243 | $176 | $514 | 532 | 08-08 01:31 |
| Puzzling-Injoke 0x0978…00e6 | No | +4,000 | $3,812 | $8,434 | 247 | 08-04 13:59 |
| Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | +3,693 | $3,535 | $4,303 | 295 | 08-09 09:05 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +2,882 | $2,716 | $2,716 | 396 | 06-12 14:38 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +2,558 | $2,423 | $5,301 | 215 | 08-08 01:31 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +2,441 | $2,329 | $3,391 | 259 | 07-08 10:57 |
| Whole-Ceremony 0x25a7…8b7c | No | +2,087 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 08-04 13:59 |
| Real-Teaching 0x80a0…5708 | No | +2,000 | $1,904 | $1,904 | 68 | 07-21 21:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf1d…0171 | Yes | +1,774 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 08-01 16:06 |
| Glorious-Mantua 0xd920…61a9 | No | +1,567 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 1 | 07-01 07:11 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +1,376 | $1,316 | $11,900 | 274 | 07-21 21:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b9b…48f4 | Yes | +1,373 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 07-08 10:57 |
| Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | +1,200 | $1,149 | $1,149 | 149 | 07-08 10:57 |
| Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | +1,000 | $955 | $955 | 2 | 08-01 16:06 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +883 | $825 | $825 | 79 | 05-30 04:03 |
| Nutty-Impostor 0x24fb…973e | No | +868 | $829 | $829 | 2 | 07-17 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a7e…9dc6 | No | +729 | $697 | $732 | 55 | 07-31 18:48 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +575 | $23 | $361 | 436 | 07-01 07:11 |
| Sleepy-Disconnection 0xc96a…702c | No | +525 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-16 22:26 |
| Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd331…733c | No | +504 | $477 | $477 | 7 | 06-04 17:50 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +500 | $478 | $478 | 1 | 07-30 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +471 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-02 20:56 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +418 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 08-02 02:08 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +364 | $341 | $341 | 1 | 06-01 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0561…5174 | No | +356 | $334 | $334 | 1 | 05-28 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2826…0c6a | No | +318 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-06 17:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b64…015b | No | +300 | $286 | $1,362 | 82 | 07-18 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf51…0f7c | Yes | +269 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 07-29 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x942d…1c9c | No | +262 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 07-31 18:48 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | +256 | $233 | $732 | 31 | 07-06 11:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 20:26:30 | Prestigious-Package 0xc7ee…fa6b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x05522d… |
| 08-09 20:26:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x05522d… |
| 08-09 19:47:12 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe9cc06… |
| 08-09 19:47:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe9cc06… |
| 08-09 19:47:04 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x928334… |
| 08-09 19:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x928334… |
| 08-09 19:47:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x928334… |
| 08-09 19:09:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9bdcf9… |
| 08-09 19:09:24 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9bdcf9… |
| 08-09 19:09:15 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x96493f… |
| 08-09 19:09:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x96493f… |
| 08-09 18:35:49 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7920f9… |
| 08-09 18:35:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7920f9… |
| 08-09 18:35:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd1f8ad… |
| 08-09 18:35:42 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd1f8ad… |
| 08-09 18:23:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf9fd00… |
| 08-09 18:23:52 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf9fd00… |
| 08-09 18:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3f7b6b… |
| 08-09 18:23:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3f7b6b… |
| 08-09 16:38:13 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8cc2ef… |
| 08-09 16:38:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8cc2ef… |
| 08-09 16:38:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8f3918… |
| 08-09 16:38:01 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8f3918… |
| 08-09 16:29:33 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa86c6d… |
| 08-09 16:29:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa86c6d… |
| 08-09 16:29:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x980460… |
| 08-09 16:29:25 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x980460… |
| 08-09 16:17:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7a700f… |
| 08-09 16:17:46 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7a700f… |
| 08-09 16:17:39 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x444e9d… |
| 08-09 16:17:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x444e9d… |
| 08-09 16:07:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3ba5f1… |
| 08-09 16:07:46 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3ba5f1… |
| 08-09 16:07:39 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf08daf… |
| 08-09 16:07:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf08daf… |
| 08-09 15:55:48 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x80ccf5… |
| 08-09 15:55:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x80ccf5… |
| 08-09 15:55:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x628637… |
| 08-09 15:55:39 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x628637… |
| 08-09 14:58:34 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2943cc… |
| 08-09 14:58:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2943cc… |
| 08-09 14:58:27 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x860076… |
| 08-09 14:58:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x860076… |
| 08-09 14:04:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2cdebc… |
| 08-09 14:04:52 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2cdebc… |
| 08-09 14:04:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc9d18f… |
| 08-09 14:04:43 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc9d18f… |
| 08-09 13:43:33 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd57ead… |
| 08-09 13:43:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd57ead… |
| 08-09 13:43:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe40e76… |
| 08-09 13:43:24 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe40e76… |
| 08-09 12:54:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x05a85c… |
| 08-09 12:54:58 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x05a85c… |
| 08-09 12:54:51 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x98c0dd… |
| 08-09 12:54:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x98c0dd… |
| 08-09 12:40:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfa9352… |
| 08-09 12:40:51 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfa9352… |
| 08-09 12:40:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd143fa… |
| 08-09 12:40:42 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd143fa… |
| 08-09 09:59:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x61fd83… |
| 08-09 09:59:33 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x61fd83… |
| 08-09 09:59:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcd5043… |
| 08-09 09:59:24 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcd5043… |
| 08-09 09:05:39 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 96¢ | $964 | 0xdb3dd9… |
| 08-09 09:05:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 211 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xdb3dd9… |
| 08-09 09:05:39 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $193 | 0xdb3dd9… |
| 08-09 09:05:39 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 578 | 96¢ | $558 | 0xdb3dd9… |
| 08-09 09:05:39 | (anonymous) 0xd44e…2f1e | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdb3dd9… |
| 08-09 08:07:49 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x702d1c… |
| 08-09 08:07:49 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x702d1c… |
| 08-09 08:07:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7e6f8b… |
| 08-09 08:07:42 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7e6f8b… |
| 08-09 06:02:54 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcff678… |
| 08-09 06:02:54 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcff678… |
| 08-09 06:02:46 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xde16db… |
| 08-09 06:02:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xde16db… |
| 08-09 05:35:54 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2dbe4f… |
| 08-09 05:35:54 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2dbe4f… |
| 08-09 05:35:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x24f89c… |
| 08-09 05:35:46 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x24f89c… |
| 08-09 05:15:00 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa37179… |
| 08-09 05:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa37179… |
| 08-09 05:14:52 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9991cc… |
| 08-09 05:14:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9991cc… |
| 08-09 04:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2a21df… |
| 08-09 04:01:40 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2a21df… |
| 08-09 04:01:33 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7ffb9c… |
| 08-09 04:01:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7ffb9c… |
| 08-09 02:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdb0c0d… |
| 08-09 02:49:31 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdb0c0d… |
| 08-09 02:49:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x517396… |
| 08-09 02:49:22 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x517396… |
| 08-09 01:25:45 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3b3c49… |
| 08-09 01:25:45 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3b3c49… |
| 08-09 01:25:37 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa41f0a… |
| 08-09 01:25:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa41f0a… |
| 08-09 01:03:10 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1b3d09… |
| 08-09 01:03:10 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1b3d09… |
| 08-09 01:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5f4f60… |
| 08-09 01:03:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5f4f60… |