Realized P&L
-$11.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.82K
Hit rate
36.7%
Resolved
71
Trades
338
lifetime
Volume
$45.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$1.32K
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 10-27 05:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
67% 24% -$1,912
Other
31% 5% -$9,276
Sports
1% 0% -$503
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,429 $500 35¢ $500 +$0 10-27 05:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +1,415 $500 27¢ $382 -$118 10-27 05:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,041 $491 18¢ $193 -$298 09-26 10:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +3,414 $2,460 4¢ $120 -$2,341 10-27 05:05
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +1,639 $50 2¢ $34 -$16 09-10 05:50
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +636 $55 5¢ $32 -$23 10-27 05:08
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +369 $20 4¢ $17 -$3 09-10 05:51
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +105 $15 12¢ $13 -$2 09-10 05:49
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Yes +340 $15 3¢ $9 -$6 09-10 12:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +143 $10 6¢ $8 -$2 08-08 13:55
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +71 $5 5¢ $3 -$2 09-10 12:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +69 $13 2¢ $2 -$12 09-05 13:18
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 09-28 14:24
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-02 06:27
Iran coup attempt by December 31? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 $0 09-28 14:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +23 $1 3¢ $1 $0 09-28 14:22
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +8 $1 8¢ $1 $0 09-28 14:23