Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$144,488
$875 in 24h
Trades
1,581
Unique wallets
393
Liquidity
$60,505
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-29 16:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.5¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $5.5K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $94.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $94 | $29.8K | $29.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 54 | $1.3K | $50.8K | $49.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 74 | $649 | $6.9K | $6.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 247 | $2.5K | $2.1K | +$386 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $238 | $5.2K | $5.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 28 | $97 | $18.2K | $18.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $3 | $8.1K | $8.1K |
| Median | 87 | $9 | $6.7K | $6.7K |
| Below median | 56 | $1.2K | $731 | +$425 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $90 | $204 | $114 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $76 | $16.4K | $16.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $174 | $1.9K | $1.7K |
| unranked | 170 | $2.7K | $32.1K | $29.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Aggradation 0x9812…644f | Yes | +14,286 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-01 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xa444…89e3 | Yes | +13,973 | $873 | $873 | 4 | 07-20 13:52 |
| Dearest-Operator 0xbfd0…616b | No | +13,480 | $12,806 | $12,806 | 11 | 07-15 09:36 |
| Grounded-Snug 0xbfb3…4b43 | No | +9,913 | $9,219 | $9,219 | 16 | 06-03 09:13 |
| Dull-Dollar 0x9d54…c43d | No | +7,480 | $7,106 | $7,106 | 14 | 07-22 01:09 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +5,051 | $4,717 | $4,717 | 4 | 07-20 13:52 |
| Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | +4,493 | $4,218 | $8,460 | 106 | 07-27 11:50 |
| Definitive-Mainland-Towel 0x0329…db42 | Yes | +3,739 | $233 | $367 | 4 | 07-20 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfb5…8bd4 | No | +2,840 | $2,657 | $5,811 | 21 | 07-22 01:09 |
| Notable-Tin 0xc315…fe18 | No | +2,000 | $1,840 | $5,640 | 16 | 07-18 18:36 |
| Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | +2,000 | $1,880 | $1,880 | 2 | 07-20 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x8811…5cf4 | Yes | +2,000 | $100 | $100 | 24 | 07-20 18:52 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,750 | $1,660 | $1,660 | 4 | 07-20 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6352…f719 | Yes | +1,667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-09 16:26 |
| Delirious-Toaster 0x6339…ad29 | Yes | +1,300 | $68 | $68 | 6 | 07-24 09:01 |
| Virtual-Execution 0x3d14…ee01 | Yes | +1,000 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-13 21:56 |
| Questionable-Bafflement 0x55b7…3775 | No | +1,000 | $940 | $940 | 3 | 07-13 21:28 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +899 | $13 | $463 | 43 | 07-26 05:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ef6…92e4 | Yes | +833 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-25 07:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +830 | $764 | $4,697 | 123 | 07-28 22:11 |
| Lasting-Route 0x61e2…4958 | Yes | +787 | $41 | $41 | 3 | 07-15 09:38 |
| Afraid-Batting 0x7a10…94bc | Yes | +667 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 07-13 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x51c1…9771 | Yes | +590 | $32 | $32 | 4 | 07-24 12:24 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +558 | $502 | $4,794 | 10 | 07-22 01:09 |
| Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | +550 | $517 | $517 | 6 | 07-09 12:52 |
| Striped-Employ 0x5768…08fd | No | +540 | $502 | $502 | 1 | 06-01 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x45bd…af96 | Yes | +516 | $30 | $52 | 4 | 06-24 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d4a…5887 | No | +400 | $378 | $378 | 2 | 07-24 09:01 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +388 | $220 | $23,906 | 71 | 07-24 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x18da…91c4 | Yes | +342 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-24 14:47 |
| Illustrious-Brass 0xa285…c85f | No | +300 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 07-20 13:50 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +300 | $281 | $281 | 2 | 06-28 09:45 |
| Keen-Spectacles 0x9fb7…cf03 | Yes | +286 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 16:04 |
| Unrealistic-Lighting 0xc19d…865e | Yes | +242 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 06-06 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdf7…65d9 | No | +211 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-16 10:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xcedd…3ddf | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-24 09:40 |
| Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | +200 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-28 22:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x683d…53ef | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 11:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a6…f638 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-04 05:57 |
| Jealous-Bat 0x52e0…89e4 | Yes | +200 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-10 13:49 |
| Inconsequential-Tambour 0x6026…ad50 | No | +200 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 07-22 01:09 |
| Conscious-Car 0xf623…bb2c | No | +200 | $189 | $189 | 4 | 07-13 18:15 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +187 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-19 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb794…080f | Yes | +180 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-23 00:41 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +168 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-15 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d55…67ea | Yes | +160 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-21 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xc797…0d48 | Yes | +133 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-14 08:12 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +129 | $121 | $121 | 4 | 07-09 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x30e5…3ad1 | Yes | +129 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-01 17:42 |
| Weekly-Exocrine 0x4641…f6fb | Yes | +124 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-11 02:22 |
| Woozy-Blessing 0x7dde…30b1 | No | +120 | $114 | $114 | 2 | 07-20 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ccf…61a1 | No | +120 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +116 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 07-09 02:57 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | +115 | $109 | $435 | 11 | 07-24 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x70b5…6216 | Yes | +114 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f51…097e | No | +110 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| Yummy-Winter 0xb17d…59ae | No | +108 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-15 12:45 |
| Yummy-Stumbling 0x749d…1fb3 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-10 01:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1565…e6b0 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| Miniature-Triumph 0x1463…ce78 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-21 08:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 16:23:12 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | SELL | 39 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x735a52… |
| 07-29 16:23:12 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 39 | 95¢ | $37 | 0x735a52… |
| 07-29 14:46:06 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xd811df… |
| 07-29 14:46:06 | Apt-Urgency 0x061e…8f24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd811df… |
| 07-29 12:02:06 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x05439e… |
| 07-29 12:02:06 | (anonymous) 0xf5bc…9b43 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x05439e… |
| 07-28 22:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 1,255 | 96¢ | $1,204 | 0x63e0f7… |
| 07-28 22:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x88f6…dfd6 | Yes | SELL | 1,732 | 4¢ | $69 | 0x63e0f7… |
| 07-28 22:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x7527…d880 | No | SELL | 47 | 96¢ | $45 | 0x63e0f7… |
| 07-28 22:11:25 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x63e0f7… |
| 07-28 22:11:25 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x63e0f7… |
| 07-28 12:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…35a4 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x86a123… |
| 07-28 12:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xe005…a6dd | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x86a123… |
| 07-27 11:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 41 | 95¢ | $39 | 0xb9baa1… |
| 07-27 11:50:07 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 345 | 95¢ | $328 | 0xb9baa1… |
| 07-27 11:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xf1b5…fe69 | No | SELL | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xb9baa1… |
| 07-26 16:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 167 | 95¢ | $158 | 0x3e1e33… |
| 07-26 16:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xe56e…dc0c | Yes | SELL | 167 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x3e1e33… |
| 07-26 15:04:01 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x6446ab… |
| 07-26 15:04:01 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x6446ab… |
| 07-26 12:40:24 | Apt-Urgency 0x061e…8f24 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xc23650… |
| 07-26 12:40:24 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0xc23650… |
| 07-26 11:50:48 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | SELL | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x0a7615… |
| 07-26 11:50:48 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 41 | 95¢ | $39 | 0x0a7615… |
| 07-26 05:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 292 | 95¢ | $278 | 0x40ca97… |
| 07-26 05:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x4b56…07d8 | Yes | SELL | 683 | 5¢ | $34 | 0x40ca97… |
| 07-26 05:56:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 391 | 5¢ | $20 | 0x40ca97… |
| 07-26 05:00:51 | Filthy-Parachute 0x5adb…4c7a | No | SELL | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0x36e802… |
| 07-26 05:00:51 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0x36e802… |
| 07-25 17:32:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x385f28… |
| 07-25 17:32:06 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | SELL | 38 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x385f28… |
| 07-25 08:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x06d3f3… |
| 07-25 08:55:22 | Taut-Familiar 0xdec8…4eec | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x06d3f3… |
| 07-25 08:55:19 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf08804… |
| 07-25 08:55:19 | Impeccable-Vine 0x9539…da53 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf08804… |
| 07-25 08:55:18 | Virtual-Cormorant 0x5131…ab2f | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xda0623… |
| 07-25 08:55:18 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xda0623… |
| 07-25 08:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xec5315… |
| 07-25 08:55:16 | Rectangular-Diesel 0x14e9…80c0 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xec5315… |
| 07-25 08:55:15 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xa1adb3… |
| 07-25 08:55:15 | Gleaming-Reporter 0xdcca…5d53 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xa1adb3… |
| 07-25 08:38:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x899457… |
| 07-25 08:38:58 | Taut-Familiar 0xdec8…4eec | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x899457… |
| 07-25 08:38:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7c408c… |
| 07-25 08:38:54 | Impeccable-Vine 0x9539…da53 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x7c408c… |
| 07-25 08:38:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe2ad7b… |
| 07-25 08:38:52 | Virtual-Cormorant 0x5131…ab2f | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe2ad7b… |
| 07-25 08:38:42 | Rectangular-Diesel 0x14e9…80c0 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0c9bc4… |
| 07-25 08:38:42 | Gleaming-Reporter 0xdcca…5d53 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x46904b… |
| 07-25 08:38:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x46904b… |
| 07-25 08:38:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0c9bc4… |
| 07-25 07:40:25 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0xe57b56… |
| 07-25 07:40:25 | Small-Narrative 0xbe6d…9aca | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0xe57b56… |
| 07-25 07:30:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x40fa81… |
| 07-25 07:30:03 | Small-Narrative 0xbe6d…9aca | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x40fa81… |
| 07-25 07:13:12 | (anonymous) 0x6ef6…92e4 | Yes | BUY | 833 | 6¢ | $50 | 0xbcd186… |
| 07-25 07:13:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 449 | 6¢ | $27 | 0xbcd186… |
| 07-25 07:13:12 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 384 | 94¢ | $361 | 0xbcd186… |
| 07-24 14:47:34 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 288 | 94¢ | $271 | 0x19a269… |
| 07-24 14:47:34 | (anonymous) 0x18da…91c4 | Yes | BUY | 342 | 6¢ | $20 | 0x19a269… |
| 07-24 14:47:34 | (anonymous) 0x3818…aacd | No | BUY | 55 | 95¢ | $52 | 0x19a269… |
| 07-24 12:24:42 | (anonymous) 0x51c1…9771 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x32b235… |
| 07-24 12:24:42 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x32b235… |
| 07-24 12:24:42 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | BUY | 89 | 95¢ | $84 | 0x32b235… |
| 07-24 09:40:24 | (anonymous) 0xcedd…3ddf | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x244f08… |
| 07-24 09:40:24 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | BUY | 75 | 95¢ | $72 | 0x244f08… |
| 07-24 09:40:24 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x244f08… |
| 07-24 09:01:22 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 277 | 5¢ | $14 | 0x5eba61… |
| 07-24 09:01:22 | Delirious-Toaster 0x6339…ad29 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 5¢ | $25 | 0x5eba61… |
| 07-24 09:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x9d4a…5887 | No | BUY | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0x5eba61… |
| 07-23 16:18:15 | (anonymous) 0xd2cb…43ee | Yes | SELL | 333 | 4¢ | $13 | 0x2bd90d… |
| 07-23 16:18:15 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 333 | 96¢ | $320 | 0x2bd90d… |
| 07-23 12:56:54 | (anonymous) 0xb1ea…3d00 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf7391f… |
| 07-23 12:56:54 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0xf7391f… |
| 07-23 03:39:09 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9fc81f… |
| 07-23 03:39:09 | Extraneous-Walkway 0x8842…e4fd | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9fc81f… |
| 07-23 03:39:03 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9c2440… |
| 07-23 03:39:03 | Grimy-Farm 0xa0d8…dfd3 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9c2440… |
| 07-23 03:39:01 | French-Curl 0xfcdb…641c | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x70a273… |
| 07-23 03:39:01 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x70a273… |
| 07-23 03:38:57 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6ce16b… |
| 07-23 03:38:57 | New-Front 0x986b…1fdd | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6ce16b… |
| 07-23 03:38:55 | Glorious-Noodle 0xa02b…5928 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xdf215c… |
| 07-23 03:38:55 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xdf215c… |
| 07-23 03:19:46 | Grimy-Farm 0xa0d8…dfd3 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3b9879… |
| 07-23 03:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3b9879… |
| 07-23 03:19:43 | French-Curl 0xfcdb…641c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x799cda… |
| 07-23 03:19:43 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x799cda… |
| 07-23 03:19:42 | Extraneous-Walkway 0x8842…e4fd | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3508b0… |
| 07-23 03:19:42 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3508b0… |
| 07-23 03:19:39 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x152c1c… |
| 07-23 03:19:39 | New-Front 0x986b…1fdd | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x152c1c… |
| 07-23 03:19:33 | Glorious-Noodle 0xa02b…5928 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x66073d… |
| 07-23 03:19:33 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x66073d… |
| 07-23 00:41:21 | (anonymous) 0xb794…080f | Yes | BUY | 180 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xc64e8c… |
| 07-23 00:41:21 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 180 | 95¢ | $171 | 0xc64e8c… |
| 07-22 21:56:55 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 600 | 95¢ | $570 | 0x23558b… |
| 07-22 21:56:55 | (anonymous) 0x4b56…07d8 | Yes | BUY | 600 | 5¢ | $30 | 0x23558b… |
| 07-22 21:31:34 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 83 | 94¢ | $78 | 0xfbd0c6… |
| 07-22 21:31:34 | (anonymous) 0x51c1…9771 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xfbd0c6… |