Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$73,516
$875 in 24h
Trades
1,035
Unique wallets
244
Liquidity
$60,505
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-09 02:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.5¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $2.3K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $39.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $25 | $9.0K | $9.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 39 | $1.2K | $24.6K | $23.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 48 | $268 | $2.0K | $1.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 144 | $734 | $1.3K | $566 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $121 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 25 | $90 | $11.1K | $11.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $3 | $38 | $35 |
| Median | 40 | $2 | $5.6K | $5.6K |
| Below median | 39 | $1.1K | $668 | +$388 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $5 | $9 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $6 | $10.2K | $10.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $106 | — | +$106 |
| unranked | 103 | $839 | $7.0K | $6.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Aggradation 0x9812…644f | Yes | +14,286 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-01 19:26 |
| Grounded-Snug 0xbfb3…4b43 | No | +9,913 | $9,219 | $9,219 | 16 | 06-03 09:13 |
| Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | +3,322 | $3,105 | $7,348 | 97 | 07-08 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +2,085 | $1,975 | $1,975 | 109 | 07-09 02:57 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +2,000 | $1,880 | $1,880 | 3 | 07-09 02:57 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +1,300 | $1,222 | $1,222 | 2 | 07-09 02:57 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,250 | $1,190 | $1,190 | 3 | 07-09 02:57 |
| Notable-Tin 0xc315…fe18 | No | +1,000 | $910 | $2,810 | 11 | 06-11 05:05 |
| Cluttered-Con 0x797a…9cf2 | Yes | +1,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | +1,000 | $945 | $945 | 4 | 07-09 02:57 |
| Striped-Employ 0x5768…08fd | No | +540 | $502 | $502 | 1 | 06-01 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x45bd…af96 | Yes | +516 | $30 | $52 | 4 | 06-24 03:00 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +449 | $9 | $234 | 26 | 07-09 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x51c1…9771 | Yes | +407 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-29 18:29 |
| Delirious-Toaster 0x6339…ad29 | Yes | +400 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 06-28 09:27 |
| Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | +350 | $329 | $329 | 5 | 07-09 02:57 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +300 | $281 | $281 | 2 | 06-28 09:45 |
| Keen-Spectacles 0x9fb7…cf03 | Yes | +286 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 16:04 |
| Unrealistic-Lighting 0xc19d…865e | Yes | +242 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 06-06 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdf7…65d9 | No | +211 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-16 10:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a6…f638 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-04 05:57 |
| Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | +200 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 07-09 02:57 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +187 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-19 00:52 |
| Afraid-Batting 0x7a10…94bc | Yes | +167 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-18 07:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | +140 | $93 | $7,332 | 46 | 07-09 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x30e5…3ad1 | Yes | +129 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-01 17:42 |
| Weekly-Exocrine 0x4641…f6fb | Yes | +124 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-11 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ccf…61a1 | No | +120 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +116 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 07-09 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x70b5…6216 | Yes | +114 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f51…097e | No | +110 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbd6…a014 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x1565…e6b0 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-08 19:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a3c…7c1e | No | +90 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| Comfortable-Chromolithograph 0x633e…9a04 | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 14:15 |
| Deadly-Cofactor 0x4e23…d084 | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 21:34 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +73 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 07-05 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b33…391e | No | +60 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x078c…a68a | No | +55 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | No | +55 | $42 | $1,748 | 9 | 07-09 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x19bb…e7b1 | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-06 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1b5…fe69 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-09 02:57 |
| High-Level-Angstrom 0xfd52…f84d | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x511a…dd4d | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-25 23:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 02:58:01 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x103924… |
| 07-09 02:58:01 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x103924… |
| 07-09 02:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xf1b5…fe69 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0xebb552… |
| 07-09 02:57:49 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0xebb552… |
| 07-09 02:57:49 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xebb552… |
| 07-09 02:57:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 449 | 6¢ | $27 | 0xebb552… |
| 07-09 02:57:49 | siick 0xf9b7…60a4 | No | SELL | 1,407 | 94¢ | $1,323 | 0xebb552… |
| 07-09 02:57:49 | (anonymous) 0x067a…3821 | Yes | SELL | 182 | 6¢ | $11 | 0xebb552… |
| 07-09 02:57:49 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | No | BUY | 55 | 94¢ | $52 | 0xebb552… |
| 07-09 02:57:49 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 463 | 94¢ | $435 | 0xebb552… |
| 07-09 02:57:40 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x521640… |
| 07-09 02:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x521640… |
| 07-09 02:57:38 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd38e6e… |
| 07-09 02:57:38 | (anonymous) 0xb7c2…5fbf | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd38e6e… |
| 07-09 02:57:38 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x80a1cf… |
| 07-09 02:57:38 | (anonymous) 0x4f27…1f31 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x80a1cf… |
| 07-09 02:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xc8abce… |
| 07-09 02:57:37 | Woozy-Blessing 0x7dde…30b1 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xfdd64e… |
| 07-09 02:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xfdd64e… |
| 07-09 02:57:37 | (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | BUY | 116 | 95¢ | $111 | 0x3935f6… |
| 07-09 02:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 116 | 95¢ | $111 | 0x3935f6… |
| 07-09 02:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xc8abce… |
| 07-09 02:57:35 | siick 0xf9b7…60a4 | No | SELL | 4,221 | 94¢ | $3,968 | 0x281f9f… |
| 07-09 02:57:35 | (anonymous) 0x173c…5db5 | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x281f9f… |
| 07-09 02:57:35 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 250 | 94¢ | $235 | 0x281f9f… |
| 07-09 02:57:35 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0x281f9f… |
| 07-09 02:57:35 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1,942 | 94¢ | $1,825 | 0x281f9f… |
| 07-09 02:57:35 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 500 | 94¢ | $470 | 0x281f9f… |
| 07-09 02:57:35 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 837 | 94¢ | $787 | 0x281f9f… |
| 07-09 02:57:35 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0x281f9f… |
| 07-08 19:20:05 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3dd8c6… |
| 07-08 19:20:05 | (anonymous) 0xb7c2…5fbf | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3dd8c6… |
| 07-08 19:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x4f27…1f31 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3ae1c7… |
| 07-08 19:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3ae1c7… |
| 07-08 19:20:02 | (anonymous) 0xe152…9976 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbc4997… |
| 07-08 19:20:02 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xa3f4a4… |
| 07-08 19:20:02 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xa3f4a4… |
| 07-08 19:20:02 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbc4997… |
| 07-08 19:18:55 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xff398c… |
| 07-08 19:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xff398c… |
| 07-08 19:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf2e5dc… |
| 07-08 19:18:52 | (anonymous) 0xb7c2…5fbf | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf2e5dc… |
| 07-08 19:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xe152…9976 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb9394f… |
| 07-08 19:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb9394f… |
| 07-08 19:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xef014d… |
| 07-08 19:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xb7f0…6920 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xef014d… |
| 07-08 19:18:49 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xef1843… |
| 07-08 19:18:49 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $39 | 0xef1843… |
| 07-08 19:18:49 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xef1843… |
| 07-08 18:53:19 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 167 | 95¢ | $158 | 0x4401c6… |
| 07-08 18:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3e0…fc2d | Yes | SELL | 167 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x4401c6… |
| 07-08 15:18:47 | (anonymous) 0xd512…af31 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x358b2c… |
| 07-08 15:18:47 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x358b2c… |
| 07-08 13:19:14 | Spectacular-Spell-Journey 0x55b8…bda4 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x675167… |
| 07-08 13:19:14 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x675167… |
| 07-08 13:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x067a…3821 | Yes | BUY | 182 | 6¢ | $11 | 0x8736de… |
| 07-08 13:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 107 | 94¢ | $101 | 0x8736de… |
| 07-08 13:09:50 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 75 | 94¢ | $70 | 0x8736de… |
| 07-08 11:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xd2fce4… |
| 07-08 11:00:52 | Junior-Mister 0x69ac…7b99 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xd2fce4… |
| 07-08 10:35:35 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xbb819d… |
| 07-08 10:35:35 | Plain-Knot 0xac4e…e799 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbb819d… |
| 07-08 10:24:01 | Quiet-Eavesdropper 0x62e8…c0c3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x703804… |
| 07-08 10:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x703804… |
| 07-08 09:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 65 | 94¢ | $61 | 0xe4846e… |
| 07-08 09:16:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3e0…fc2d | Yes | BUY | 167 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xe4846e… |
| 07-08 09:16:02 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 102 | 94¢ | $96 | 0xe4846e… |
| 07-08 08:53:41 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x389a2b… |
| 07-08 08:53:41 | Hearty-Look 0x3f0d…bea7 | No | SELL | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x389a2b… |
| 07-08 06:42:04 | Natural-Subtitle 0xbfbe…151f | No | BUY | 17 | 95¢ | $16 | 0x085ace… |
| 07-08 06:42:04 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 17 | 95¢ | $16 | 0x085ace… |
| 07-07 22:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 612 | 95¢ | $581 | 0x6a9c39… |
| 07-07 22:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x1b4c…d6a2 | Yes | SELL | 612 | 5¢ | $31 | 0x6a9c39… |
| 07-07 22:42:05 | (anonymous) 0x9d7d…4f6d | No | SELL | 248 | 95¢ | $236 | 0xf7f584… |
| 07-07 22:42:05 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | No | SELL | 214 | 95¢ | $203 | 0xf7f584… |
| 07-07 22:42:05 | (anonymous) 0x1b4c…d6a2 | Yes | SELL | 462 | 5¢ | $23 | 0xf7f584… |
| 07-07 21:50:43 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 612 | 94¢ | $575 | 0x0bbc1a… |
| 07-07 21:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x1b4c…d6a2 | Yes | BUY | 612 | 6¢ | $37 | 0x0bbc1a… |
| 07-07 21:42:02 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 462 | 94¢ | $434 | 0x01b0e6… |
| 07-07 21:42:02 | (anonymous) 0x1b4c…d6a2 | Yes | BUY | 462 | 6¢ | $28 | 0x01b0e6… |
| 07-07 18:16:22 | Boring-Pincenez 0x6f0f…5f89 | No | SELL | 38 | 95¢ | $36 | 0x710d22… |
| 07-07 18:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x62a1…7c43 | Yes | SELL | 124 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x710d22… |
| 07-07 18:16:22 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | No | SELL | 86 | 95¢ | $82 | 0x710d22… |
| 07-07 13:37:31 | (anonymous) 0xfce2…aa18 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xf2db06… |
| 07-07 13:37:31 | (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xf2db06… |
| 07-07 13:37:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 37 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf2db06… |
| 07-07 13:37:31 | Boring-Pincenez 0x6f0f…5f89 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xf2db06… |
| 07-07 13:37:31 | (anonymous) 0x8c63…2706 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xf2db06… |
| 07-07 13:27:20 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6e4c8f… |
| 07-07 13:27:20 | (anonymous) 0xd078…0090 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6e4c8f… |
| 07-06 19:32:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x257c07… |
| 07-06 19:32:10 | Muddy-Sled 0x58c8…b1a2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x257c07… |
| 07-06 19:31:16 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x21072f… |
| 07-06 19:31:16 | (anonymous) 0x853b…24a0 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x21072f… |
| 07-06 18:11:46 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | BUY | 32 | 95¢ | $30 | 0x438fa4… |
| 07-06 18:11:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 32 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x438fa4… |
| 07-06 14:52:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x489dfb… |
| 07-06 14:52:13 | Adventurous-Familiarity 0xf1a4…527c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x489dfb… |
| 07-06 14:30:26 | (anonymous) 0xda5b…1510 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x27aac8… |
| 07-06 14:30:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x27aac8… |