Jubilant-Aggradation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$151

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$199.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$592

Open exposure

$4.55K

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-16 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

85% 45% -$15,700

Other

13% 36% -$1,412

Sports

3% 30% +$711

Crypto

0% 20% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+21,077	$3,700	18¢	$3.9K	+$199	06-13 11:44
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+14,286	$1,000	5¢	$650	-$350	06-01 19:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	28	$26.5K	17,902	17,902	+0	No	+$1,646	05-29 01:52
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$22.2K	11,368	11,368	+0	No	+$546	06-01 06:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	22	$14.9K	10,079	10,079	+0	No	+$457	05-28 17:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	17	$14.5K	12,809	14,533	-1,724	Yes	+$74	06-12 16:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	23	$12.7K	8,652	8,652	+0	No	+$498	06-23 19:28
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	4	$7.7K	6,331	6,331	+0	Yes	-$2,261	06-13 11:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	18	$6.9K	10,387	6,954	+3,433	Yes	-$2,594	06-11 02:20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$6.5K	4,491	4,491	+0	No	+$2,124	04-25 19:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	10	$6.4K	5,926	5,926	+0	No	-$1,440	06-13 16:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$5.3K	2,918	2,918	+0	No	+$292	06-10 22:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$5.1K	4,870	4,870	+0	No	+$253	05-11 15:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	12	$4.8K	3,262	3,261	+0	Yes	-$412	06-02 20:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$4.5K	10,202	10,202	+0	Yes	-$3,215	05-01 20:59
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	2	$4.5K	2,554	2,554	+0	No	+$467	06-06 02:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$4.4K	13,154	0	+13,154	Yes	-$4,393	04-09 22:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	8	$4.4K	7,232	7,232	+0	Yes	-$423	05-28 16:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	15	$4.4K	4,307	4,307	+0	No	+$127	05-11 15:39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	5	$4.4K	9,329	9,329	+0	Yes	-$3,460	05-01 20:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$4.1K	2,477	2,477	+0	No	+$740	04-26 21:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	7	$3.7K	3,591	3,591	+0	Yes	-$450	05-28 16:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$3.7K	21,077	0	+21,077	open	—	06-13 11:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	5	$3.2K	2,275	2,275	+0	No	-$16	06-11 02:20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$2.8K	4,846	4,846	+0	No	+$1,236	07-16 18:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$2.8K	7,664	0	+7,664	Yes	-$2,795	04-10 13:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$2.7K	3,226	3,226	+0	No	+$109	05-15 17:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	2	$2.2K	1,218	1,218	+0	No	+$202	06-04 20:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,223	1,223	+0	No	+$180	04-29 20:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,274	1,274	+0	No	+$19	05-01 20:39
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$2.0K	2,977	0	+2,977	Yes	-$2,000	06-01 19:20
James Comey arrested by April 29?	9	$1.8K	1,047	1,047	+0	Yes	+$227	04-29 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 18:01:11	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	715	58¢	$417	0x3661cb…
07-16 18:00:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,846	42¢	$2,016	0xa8f744…
07-01 19:47:50	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,717	18¢	$500	0x716ca6…
07-01 19:44:35	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,033	8¢	$173	0xa3c3d2…
07-01 17:00:37	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb30ec4…
07-01 17:00:19	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xaa2d53…
06-30 21:49:44	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	423	7¢	$30	0x8e9609…
06-30 21:49:11	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,429	2¢	$31	0x3d4205…
06-29 17:47:26	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	344	32¢	$110	0xcdbf28…
06-29 17:47:13	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	517	22¢	$114	0x56678d…
06-28 08:50:41	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,429	2¢	$30	0xf2559a…
06-28 07:57:17	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1,053	19¢	$200	0xbaa7b6…
06-28 07:56:19	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0xd4eb3a…
06-25 03:34:17	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0x8257ad…
06-25 03:33:26	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,980	1¢	$12	0xae0abc…
06-23 19:30:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,361	15¢	$200	0xa4de4e…
06-23 19:30:43	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	518	19¢	$100	0x8012d0…
06-23 19:28:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,668	97¢	$1,616	0x44f6cc…
06-21 21:30:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	424	12¢	$50	0xcb529f…
06-21 21:30:34	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,228	6¢	$70	0x8f6472…
06-21 21:29:59	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,381	2¢	$50	0xc61d9f…
06-21 21:29:38	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,429	2¢	$30	0x1d57b4…
06-19 16:07:26	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$30	0x8d6ce4…
06-19 16:06:08	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	259	6¢	$15	0x866561…
06-19 16:05:44	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,228	7¢	$81	0x857d6e…
06-19 16:04:38	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	715	14¢	$97	0xb4567c…
06-13 17:49:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,668	78¢	$1,301	0xe4880d…
06-13 17:49:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	436	22¢	$96	0x148d7f…
06-13 16:59:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	436	27¢	$118	0xbc9de9…
06-13 16:58:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3,227	41¢	$1,323	0x16a66c…
06-13 11:44:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15,195	18¢	$2,700	0x4017e8…
06-13 11:19:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	6,331	43¢	$2,709	0x40f880…
06-12 19:24:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	1,606	62¢	$1,000	0x122a77…
06-12 16:30:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,974	52¢	$1,027	0x814a0b…
06-11 02:22:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3,227	75¢	$2,420	0x0b886f…
06-11 02:22:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,593	93¢	$2,411	0x97e8bd…
06-11 02:20:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,233	73¢	$900	0x9599c4…
06-11 02:20:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	941	96¢	$903	0xee698c…
06-10 22:47:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	3,148	88¢	$2,770	0x1b9a78…
06-10 22:46:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	2,918	95¢	$2,772	0x0b3d89…
06-06 02:37:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xf803b8…
06-06 02:33:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	2,918	85¢	$2,480	0x46d383…
06-06 02:33:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	2,554	97¢	$2,467	0x13d47c…
06-04 20:31:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	1,577	76¢	$1,200	0x7ec528…
06-04 20:30:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1,218	99¢	$1,202	0xa97b5b…
06-03 17:31:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	941	85¢	$800	0x9ca918…
06-03 17:31:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,200	50¢	$1,100	0x25b1c6…
06-03 17:26:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x191b0b…
06-02 20:31:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,974	76¢	$1,500	0x0848d5…
06-02 20:05:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xa53da3…
06-02 20:05:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x3a43b1…
06-01 19:26:07	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,286	7¢	$1,000	0xe6dd20…
06-01 19:25:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,882	17¢	$1,000	0xf8e9b9…
06-01 19:20:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2,977	67¢	$2,000	0xe6447e…
06-01 19:11:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,593	81¢	$2,100	0xdefef4…
06-01 19:10:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xea4d62…
06-01 18:41:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	2,554	78¢	$2,000	0x958a0c…
06-01 18:03:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x6d335f…
06-01 06:23:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	11,368	100¢	$11,356	0x4b87c7…
05-29 23:20:01	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	11,368	95¢	$10,810	0x20d8c8…
05-29 01:52:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x6459ac…
05-29 01:48:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,218	82¢	$1,000	0x163cb0…
05-28 17:03:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcc827b…
05-28 17:03:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x73f1db…
05-28 17:02:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd89e89…
05-28 17:01:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,798	23¢	$407	0x9651c5…
05-28 17:01:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,743	10¢	$181	0x5e63ad…
05-28 17:01:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,334	51¢	$680	0x7a8310…
05-28 17:01:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,734	90¢	$1,561	0x7d5685…
05-28 17:00:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,154	15¢	$175	0xa0685b…
05-28 17:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,000	39¢	$780	0x354efb…
05-28 17:00:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,765	61¢	$1,072	0x31723c…
05-28 16:59:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x69a536…
05-28 16:59:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc11df5…
05-28 16:59:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe5cda5…
05-28 16:53:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,500	19¢	$475	0x59bfbd…
05-28 16:53:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,115	38¢	$813	0xa99612…
05-28 16:53:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,090	56¢	$1,170	0x69e947…
05-28 16:53:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,078	61¢	$1,271	0x721d63…
05-28 16:51:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x13dab7…
05-28 16:49:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,017	84¢	$3,374	0x4bfc52…
05-25 21:11:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	394	66¢	$260	0x32c063…
05-25 21:04:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,344	64¢	$1,500	0x73c29c…
05-25 21:04:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,734	84¢	$1,455	0x3fc25a…
05-25 21:02:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,329	86¢	$2,000	0xbd7e28…
05-25 21:00:42	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	961	10¢	$100	0x491436…
05-19 02:46:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0xd70ea7…
05-19 02:45:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x289134…
05-19 02:45:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0xc5ca6d…
05-19 02:45:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0xdd7d83…
05-19 02:44:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	759	79¢	$600	0x1eabab…
05-19 02:44:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	545	55¢	$300	0x4c4f83…
05-19 02:44:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0xbd7486…
05-19 02:44:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	727	55¢	$400	0xa7b2d4…
05-19 02:43:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x76d294…
05-19 02:43:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	32¢	$400	0xbdee39…
05-19 02:43:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	769	52¢	$400	0xa9d76d…
05-19 02:43:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0xdd2fa3…
05-19 02:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0x62d402…
05-19 02:43:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	519	77¢	$400	0xd76bf6…