Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
open
Total volume
$21,494
$136,678 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$74,062
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $84 | $5.9K | $5.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $5 | $2 |
| unranked | 25 | $81 | $5.9K | $5.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x3fd0…0022 | No | +5,222 | $4,804 | $4,804 | 1 | 05-05 06:00 |
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | +1,000 | $920 | $920 | 1 | 05-05 04:49 |
| Weekly-Cephalopod 0x5e54…80ea | Yes | +650 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-04 23:49 |
| Mortified-Vernacular 0x1477…17e4 | No | +215 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-05 19:14 |
| General-Thunderbolt 0xdc1e…08f0 | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 12:31 |
| Gleaming-Conga 0x344f…3305 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 10:56 |
| Entire-Frame 0x417b…18d3 | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 08:41 |
| Yearly-Rate 0xf88a…dfd6 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-06 00:24 |
| Big-Record 0x8581…474d | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 15:37 |
| Bright-Shark 0xc203…8bee | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-05 04:49 |
| Ethical-Criticism 0x1ad8…b8ff | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 02:19 |
| Drab-Darkness 0x4193…521f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 00:23 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 04:49 |
| Optimistic-Grammar 0x6584…d1c6 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 20:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 00:24:46 | Yearly-Rate 0xf88a…dfd6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xec37fa… |
| 05-06 00:24:44 | Yearly-Rate 0xf88a…dfd6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8de81d… |
| 05-06 00:23:32 | Drab-Darkness 0x4193…521f | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x335f27… |
| 05-05 23:25:18 | Blushing-Fishnet 0x2930…1419 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x15efd2… |
| 05-05 22:35:20 | Austere-Crewmen 0x391f…b017 | No | SELL | 150 | 93¢ | $140 | 0x3cd200… |
| 05-05 20:07:42 | Optimistic-Grammar 0x6584…d1c6 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xcd294b… |
| 05-05 19:14:40 | Mortified-Vernacular 0x1477…17e4 | No | BUY | 215 | 93¢ | $200 | 0x9515e6… |
| 05-05 18:36:12 | Untried-Porch 0x36b9…e05c | Yes | SELL | 42 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xadaca2… |
| 05-05 18:36:10 | Live-Yolk 0x3102…9ba8 | Yes | SELL | 135 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x224e1f… |
| 05-05 18:36:10 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | SELL | 90 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x0bbb74… |
| 05-05 18:36:10 | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19…6402 | No | SELL | 15,000 | 92¢ | $13,800 | 0x044f48… |
| 05-05 15:37:34 | Untried-Porch 0x36b9…e05c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x455612… |
| 05-05 15:37:32 | Big-Record 0x8581…474d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x00479e… |
| 05-05 12:31:58 | Untried-Porch 0x36b9…e05c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x90083a… |
| 05-05 12:31:56 | General-Thunderbolt 0xdc1e…08f0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x73133a… |
| 05-05 10:56:40 | Gleaming-Conga 0x344f…3305 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x280dff… |
| 05-05 10:51:50 | Flippant-Modernist 0xd757…5147 | No | SELL | 132 | 92¢ | $121 | 0x691575… |
| 05-05 10:36:42 | Ill-Fated-Coyote 0x8314…885f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xeb6aab… |
| 05-05 08:41:12 | Entire-Frame 0x417b…18d3 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xeb02a9… |
| 05-05 07:15:18 | Determined-Polyp 0x8192…48c9 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x80614b… |
| 05-05 06:50:38 | Scented-Sociology 0xc7f5…3f92 | No | SELL | 1,295 | 92¢ | $1,191 | 0xbb3c28… |
| 05-05 06:00:10 | (anonymous) 0x3fd0…0022 | No | BUY | 5,222 | 92¢ | $4,804 | 0x4bc999… |
| 05-05 04:49:52 | Blushing-Fishnet 0x2930…1419 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb03c1c… |
| 05-05 04:49:52 | Bright-Shark 0xc203…8bee | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x6babdb… |
| 05-05 04:49:48 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 92¢ | $920 | 0xb1a15e… |
| 05-05 04:49:48 | Bright-Shark 0xc203…8bee | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x8fd9a3… |
| 05-05 04:49:46 | Muddy-Hobby 0x8295…f68b | Yes | SELL | 75 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x08d8d2… |
| 05-05 04:49:44 | Bright-Shark 0xc203…8bee | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xbf9cee… |
| 05-05 04:49:44 | (anonymous) 0xa07c…8133 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9a1bc6… |
| 05-05 04:49:44 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xed152d… |
| 05-05 04:49:44 | (anonymous) 0xab3c…1eb2 | No | SELL | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x255ede… |
| 05-05 04:20:24 | Quaint-Moose 0xf7cd…8b0a | No | SELL | 115 | 90¢ | $103 | 0x31aad7… |
| 05-05 03:30:16 | Cultivated-Railway 0x0670…9b51 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xe88a16… |
| 05-05 02:19:38 | Ethical-Criticism 0x1ad8…b8ff | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xfb826d… |
| 05-04 23:49:50 | Weekly-Cephalopod 0x5e54…80ea | Yes | BUY | 650 | 10¢ | $65 | 0xaea7f6… |
| 05-04 22:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xd14f…fa29 | No | SELL | 80 | 89¢ | $71 | 0xe6e86e… |