Playful-Circulation 0x92e530…1defee
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.83K
Hit rate
60.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
4,541
lifetime
Volume
$1.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$268
Open exposure
$10.1K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-01 03:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
53% 29% +$5,602
Other
42% 50% $-280
Crypto
2% — —
Sports
2% 100% +$1,699
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +8,097 $6,721 86¢ $7.0K +$283 06-22 22:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +1,111 $1,000 100¢ $1.1K +$109 06-08 15:34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,333 $453 34¢ $460 +$7 06-28 11:28
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +444 $320 98¢ $433 +$113 06-30 03:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,222 $200 10¢ $211 +$11 06-19 20:13
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +222 $195 85¢ $189 $-7 06-16 05:06
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +1,111 $178 16¢ $178 $-0 06-05 14:28
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +197 $139 79¢ $155 +$16 06-30 06:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +21,999 $4,809 1¢ $154 $-4,655 06-19 05:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +222 $166 66¢ $145 $-21 06-20 12:52
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? Yes -16 $-7 72¢ $-12 $-4 06-03 19:50
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +444 $69 2¢ $11 $-59 06-30 21:58
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +55 $15 13¢ $7 $-8 06-01 10:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,111 $122 0¢ $2 $-120 06-05 14:22
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1,497 28¢ $0 $-1,497 07-01 03:02