Playful-Circulation 0x92e530…1defee
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$923
Hit rate
60.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
4,855
lifetime
Volume
$1.32M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$273
Open exposure
$28.9K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-21 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
49% 29% +$5,602
Other
42% 50% $-280
Sports
6% 100% +$1,699
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +22,222 $21,333 99¢ $22.0K +$678 07-09 04:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,444 $3,289 72¢ $3.2K $-111 07-18 01:55
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +2,303 $1,303 62¢ $1.4K +$125 07-20 06:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,333 $453 34¢ $447 $-7 06-28 11:28
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +288 $259 92¢ $265 +$6 07-21 14:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,222 $200 11¢ $233 +$33 06-19 20:13
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +222 $195 88¢ $194 $-1 06-16 05:06
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +222 $194 83¢ $184 $-10 07-09 23:53
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +197 $139 88¢ $174 +$35 06-30 06:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +222 $166 66¢ $148 $-19 06-20 12:52
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +222 $107 64¢ $141 +$34 07-11 02:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +555 $117 24¢ $130 +$14 07-17 07:17
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +444 $151 22¢ $98 $-53 07-03 18:42
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +1,111 $178 8¢ $94 $-83 06-05 14:28
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +222 $158 38¢ $84 $-73 07-07 17:29
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +111 $43 58¢ $65 +$22 07-17 04:23
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +222 $40 16¢ $37 $-3 07-05 19:56
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +50 $26 30¢ $15 $-11 07-10 04:51
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +55 $15 21¢ $12 $-3 06-01 10:46
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? Yes -16 $-7 37¢ $-6 +$1 06-03 19:50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1,497 12¢ $0 $-1,497 07-01 03:02