Playful-Circulation 0x92e530…1defee
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.69K
Hit rate
60.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
3,897
lifetime
Volume
$922.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$237
Open exposure
$3.11K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
56% 29% +$5,602
Other
37% 50% $-280
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
3% 100% +$1,699
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +1,111 $1,000 90¢ $1.0K +$6 06-08 15:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +2,222 $722 40¢ $878 +$156 06-10 00:45
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +800 $540 88¢ $704 +$163 06-01 07:27
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +1,111 $178 16¢ $183 +$6 06-05 14:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,111 $311 10¢ $106 $-206 06-01 01:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,111 $122 10¢ $106 $-17 06-05 14:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +222 $89 20¢ $46 $-43 05-31 23:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +555 $33 6¢ $31 $-3 06-02 10:40
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +222 $33 6¢ $14 $-19 05-28 07:13
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? Yes -16 $-7 68¢ $-11 $-3 06-03 19:50
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +55 $15 18¢ $10 $-5 06-01 10:46
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +7,734 $1,382 0¢ $8 $-1,375 06-04 21:10
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +6,213 $1,352 0¢ $6 $-1,346 06-03 04:42