Realized P&L
+$271
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
269
Trades
61,211
lifetime
Volume
$31.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$14
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 19:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
87% 38% +$230
Crypto
5% 16% +$34
Sports
4% 19% +$2
Politics
2% 100% +$4
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -125 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-06 14:49
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -28 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-16 13:46
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -14 $-2 13¢ $-2 +$0 06-23 01:05
Will the Baltimore Orioles win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +15 $1 $1 +$1 06-06 00:22
Will the Texas Rangers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +15 $1 $1 +$1 06-06 00:24
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -22 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-11 21:08
Will the Chicago Cubs win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +19 $0 $1 +$1 07-08 03:44
Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -11 $-0 $-1 $-0 06-01 06:59
Will the Detroit Tigers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +21 $0 $0 +$0 06-28 16:14
Will the Minnesota Twins win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +8 $0 $0 +$0 06-28 16:14
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +3 $0 $0 $-0 06-11 12:10
Will the San Diego Padres win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +3 $-1 $0 +$1 07-01 18:32
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-06 17:13
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? Yes +11 $0 $0 $-0 05-30 20:59
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 15:35
Will the New York Mets win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +9 $0 $0 +$0 06-07 21:49
Will the Colorado Rockies win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes -16 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-27 16:35
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-11 01:21
Will the Athletics win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +23 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 16:32
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +19 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 16:31
Will the Cincinnati Reds win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-25 21:39
Will the Los Angeles Angels win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +8 $0 $0 $-0 06-28 16:13
Will the San Francisco Giants win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +6 $0 $0 $-0 06-28 16:13