Realized P&L
+$271
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
269
Trades
59,758
lifetime
Volume
$30.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$15
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 17:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
88% 38% +$230
Crypto
5% 16% +$34
Sports
4% 19% +$2
Politics
2% 100% +$4
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 484 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -125 $-5 $-4 +$1 06-06 14:49
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -14 $-2 13¢ $-2 +$0 06-23 01:05
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -28 $-4 $-2 +$3 06-16 13:46
Will the San Diego Padres win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +13 $1 11¢ $1 +$1 06-05 23:18
Will the Baltimore Orioles win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +15 $1 $1 +$1 06-06 00:22
Will the Texas Rangers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +15 $1 $1 +$1 06-06 00:24
Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -11 $-0 10¢ $-1 $-1 06-01 06:59
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -22 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-11 21:08
Will the Chicago Cubs win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +4 $0 $0 +$0 06-08 01:30
Will the Minnesota Twins win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +8 $0 $0 +$0 06-28 16:14
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +3 $0 $0 $-0 06-11 12:10
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-06 17:13
Will the Detroit Tigers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +21 $0 $0 $-0 06-28 16:14
Will the San Francisco Giants win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +6 $0 $0 +$0 06-28 16:13
Will the Colorado Rockies win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes -16 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-27 16:35
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +19 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 16:31
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -1 $-0 11¢ $-0 $-0 06-24 15:35
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? Yes +11 $0 $0 $-0 05-30 20:59
Will the Los Angeles Angels win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +8 $0 $0 +$0 06-28 16:13
Will the New York Mets win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +9 $0 $0 +$0 06-07 21:49
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -89 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-16 01:52
Will the Athletics win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +23 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 16:32
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes +2 $-0 $0 +$0 05-29 16:53
Will the Cincinnati Reds win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-25 21:39