Realized P&L
+$271
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
269
Trades
58,069
lifetime
Volume
$29.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$16
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
89% 38% +$230
Crypto
5% 16% +$34
Sports
3% 19% +$2
Politics
2% 100% +$4
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 726 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -125 $-5 $-4 +$1 06-06 14:49
Will the San Diego Padres win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +13 $1 18¢ $2 +$2 06-05 23:18
Will the Baltimore Orioles win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +15 $1 $1 +$1 06-06 00:22
Will the Texas Rangers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +15 $1 $1 +$1 06-06 00:24
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -23 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-09 21:45
Will the Athletics win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +10 $0 11¢ $1 +$1 06-06 00:23
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +13 $1 $1 +$0 06-05 23:18
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -44 $-7 $-1 +$6 06-09 22:46
Will the Cincinnati Reds win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +11 $0 $1 +$0 06-09 18:24
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? Yes +11 $0 $0 +$0 05-30 20:59
Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -11 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-01 06:59
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +7 $0 $0 $-0 06-08 02:32
Will the Chicago Cubs win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +4 $0 $0 +$0 06-08 01:30
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-06 17:13
Will the New York Mets win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +9 $0 $0 +$0 06-07 21:49
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-07 12:55
Will the Detroit Tigers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +7 $0 $0 +$0 06-07 21:48
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes +2 $-0 $0 +$0 05-29 16:53