Lasting-Integral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.08K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

22,436

Trades

74,674

lifetime

Volume

$36.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 304 days

Categories

Other

86% 20% +$7,562

Crypto

5% 31% +$384

Sports

5% 24% +$532

Politics

3% 48% +$349

Pop-Culture

1% 32% +$249

Tech

0% 36% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes		+7	-$1	5¢	$0	+$1	10-12 11:13
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes		-6	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	10-26 05:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
val raad vib 2026 01 18	11	$283	324	334	-9	Team RA'AD	+$246	01-24 11:07
val yfp m80 2026 02 12 map handicap home 1pt5	14	$122	176	122	+53	M80	+$141	02-12 02:41
FCI Levadia to score first vs. Caernarfon Town FC?	3	$110	112	112	+0	Yes	+$108	07-09 19:34
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game3 kill over 41pt5	6	$110	153	110	+43	Under	+$74	02-11 10:08
val th1 navi1 2026 01 22 total rounds over under 54pt5	5	$100	138	100	+38	Over	+$98	01-22 19:08
will spy dip to 730 by june 1 2026	9	$97	7	102	-95	No	+$3	06-05 19:49
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	8	$96	165	122	+43	Yes	+$66	05-07 11:00
2026 masters tournament top20 sami valimaki	5	$95	150	94	+55	No	+$87	04-10 19:42
lol fox1 dnf 2026 04 12 game1 kill over 25pt5	2	$94	100	100	+0	Over	+$92	04-12 08:37
will chet holmgren be on the cover of nba 2k27	11	$94	210	93	+116	No	+$91	07-22 13:22
dota2 amaru heroic 2026 01 20 kill handicap home 24pt5	2	$92	100	92	+8	Heroic	+$90	01-20 19:08
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC leading at halftime?	7	$91	156	90	+66	No	+$118	05-30 12:48
lol omg lgd 2026 01 23 drake handicap home 1pt5	2	$88	30	95	-65	LGD Gaming	+$87	01-23 12:15
will trump be said at the oscars	26	$84	121	124	-3	No	+$84	03-16 00:45
cs2 ww eliten 2026 02 17 total games 2pt5	4	$77	104	76	+28	Under	+$89	02-17 20:47
nba por sas 2026 04 21 assists deaaron fox 1pt5	7	$74	546	79	+467	Yes	+$38	04-22 01:06
dota2 tundra ty 2026 02 04 game1 kill over 44pt5	3	$74	53	82	-30	Over	+$73	02-04 10:38
HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 12:00 UTC	13	$72	72	72	+0	Down	+$71	07-09 16:00
lol drx ns 2026 02 08 game1 kill over 29pt5	7	$71	299	70	+229	Over	+$114	02-08 09:38
lol blg wb 2026 02 02 game1 kill over 28pt5	7	$71	98	97	+1	Under	+$16	02-02 17:36
lol edg tt 2026 01 23 drake handicap away 2pt5	5	$71	59	73	-13	ThunderTalk Gaming	+$103	01-23 12:59
val flyr blue 2026 03 01 map handicap away 2pt5	4	$69	163	73	+90	Blue Otter GC	+$67	03-02 03:27
lol broc drxc 2026 02 03 game handicap home 1pt5	7	$66	106	72	+34	DRX Challengers	+$40	02-03 09:48
codmw riyf g2m 2026 02 28 total games 4pt5	5	$64	57	64	-7	Over	+$30	02-28 21:02
lol vit lr 2026 02 08 game1 kill over 35pt5	4	$64	131	63	+68	Under	+$50	02-08 16:29
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on August 26?	4	$63	65	65	+0	No	+$62	08-24 17:19
wta ruzic timofee 2026 01 01 first set total 10pt5	3	$62	3,672	26	+3,645	Over	-$11	01-02 01:10
lol dk drx 2026 02 13 game2 kill over 44pt5	4	$61	89	61	+29	Under	+$49	02-13 09:47
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15 game4 kill over 37pt5	3	$60	84	61	+23	Under	+$49	02-15 11:17
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game3 kill over 39pt5	2	$60	35	60	-25	Over	+$59	02-11 08:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:50:21	Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb3fbb8…
11-01 08:21:27	Shanghai Sharks vs. Nanjing Monkey King	Nanjing Monkey King	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xc7f191…
11-01 07:26:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x734b54…
11-01 05:44:19	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x619bb8…
11-01 04:48:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xcb7cd5…
11-01 04:41:00	Shanghai Sharks vs. Nanjing Monkey King	Nanjing Monkey King	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9bd8e0…
11-01 04:40:58	Shanghai Sharks vs. Nanjing Monkey King	Nanjing Monkey King	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x0e56b1…
11-01 04:13:36	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in November?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5ec098…
11-01 03:29:15	Will Vox win the most seats in Cádiz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xafb2ef…
11-01 02:04:15	Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc74392…
11-01 02:04:15	Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7a173c…
11-01 02:04:15	Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	246	0¢	$0	0x4f7f1a…
11-01 02:03:43	Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	261	0¢	$1	0xe4afd0…
11-01 02:03:40	Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xac2c8b…
11-01 01:57:46	Shanghai Sharks vs. Nanjing Monkey King	Nanjing Monkey King	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xed9aff…
11-01 01:44:40	Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	Bucks	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x70db0a…
11-01 01:44:40	Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	Bucks	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x4d61db…
11-01 01:00:49	Cavaliers vs. Bucks: Team to Score First	Cavaliers	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x566309…
11-01 00:59:45	Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xdbe534…
11-01 00:59:45	Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x099c57…
11-01 00:58:13	Cavaliers vs. Bucks: Team to Score First	Cavaliers	SELL	8	89¢	$8	0x32a751…
11-01 00:55:15	Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H Moneyline	Bucks	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x514bfc…
11-01 00:53:31	Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2fa83d…
11-01 00:24:12	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xc426c3…
11-01 00:13:18	Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7cde79…
11-01 00:11:24	Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc4d325…
11-01 00:11:19	Cavaliers vs. Bucks: Team to Score First	Cavaliers	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xd84397…
11-01 00:11:19	Cavaliers vs. Bucks: Team to Score First	Cavaliers	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x711488…
11-01 00:01:03	Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x89a043…
10-31 23:36:54	Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcb9450…
10-31 23:29:13	Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x073128…
10-31 23:27:40	Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x3d34b4…
10-31 23:26:31	Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x16ca05…
10-31 23:24:30	Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xd01127…
10-31 23:24:19	Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x970d26…
10-31 23:21:45	Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xe9b597…
10-31 23:02:48	James Harden: Assists O/U 1.5	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x588d34…
10-31 22:57:30	Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x09f7b3…
10-31 22:57:12	Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x66ae33…
10-31 22:56:43	Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfae17c…
10-31 22:17:06	Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0x7bb87f…
10-31 20:30:30	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.75% at the end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x834c78…
10-31 20:30:28	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥6.0% at the end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2e1543…
10-31 20:16:12	Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xabbb36…
10-31 18:06:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x855fb0…
10-31 18:06:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x790b22…
10-31 17:25:00	Will XRP reach $1.40 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3b21b3…
10-31 16:44:15	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Cádiz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x91f7a2…
10-31 16:05:40	Shanghai Sharks vs. Nanjing Monkey King	Nanjing Monkey King	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x5b6c34…
10-31 16:03:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x359b53…
10-31 15:33:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8876ec…
10-31 14:31:16	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $615 in November?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x6dace2…
10-31 12:48:00	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x080f4f…
10-31 12:16:27	Will Vox win the most seats in Cádiz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe70738…
10-31 12:14:24	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Cádiz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x878c64…
10-31 11:58:16	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $615 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb2d692…
10-31 11:57:43	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $615 in November?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xdfe68c…
10-31 09:43:21	Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xae15ad…
10-31 09:43:21	Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x334bea…
10-31 08:27:37	Exact Margin: Other	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x31f818…
10-31 08:12:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xca6b9f…
10-31 07:31:46	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x2995b5…
10-31 07:30:15	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x490b87…
10-31 07:20:51	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x0ce679…
10-31 06:35:18	Will AP call US House control by December 31, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xee3eb4…
10-31 06:17:40	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x4bc728…
10-31 03:31:22	Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x4f1ace…
10-31 03:07:09	nba cle mil 2026 10 31 spread home 19pt5	Bucks	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe5486f…
10-31 03:06:46	nba cle mil 2026 10 31 spread home 19pt5	Bucks	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xeed09b…
10-31 03:06:45	nba cle mil 2026 10 31 spread home 19pt5	Bucks	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x9f02f3…
10-31 03:03:31	Will the Republican Party hold below 170 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf1be0b…
10-31 03:02:24	Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9b4a41…
10-31 02:49:57	Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xae24cc…
10-31 01:41:01	Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xebf5a9…
10-31 01:41:01	Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc5652e…
10-31 00:58:40	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xc2d2a3…
10-31 00:42:04	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xc5db1a…
10-31 00:22:46	Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x883cf8…
10-31 00:22:37	Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x2f5c4b…
10-31 00:22:13	Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x1a5d8e…
10-31 00:21:27	Will St Patrick's Athletic finish 3rd in the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?	No	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x5682c5…
10-31 00:21:25	Will Bohemians finish 3rd in the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x58dfa5…
10-31 00:09:28	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x4ca9a6…
10-31 00:00:09	Exact Margin: Other	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdebc24…
10-30 23:58:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9bef48…
10-30 23:40:13	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x34fab3…
10-30 20:56:52	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xfc05b5…
10-30 20:56:52	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x9520a6…
10-30 20:56:52	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x514885…
10-30 20:56:52	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x3d6164…
10-30 20:05:03	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xa8a676…
10-30 19:34:39	Spread: CA San Isidro (-8.5)	Jujuy Basquet	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xbbd070…
10-30 18:44:57	Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x0ab23a…
10-30 17:57:07	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x1acfbc…
10-30 17:49:01	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the January interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xeb6431…
10-30 17:30:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xc3326e…
10-30 16:39:13	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	ILLYRIANS	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x826c50…
10-30 16:27:22	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0d6fdc…
10-30 16:13:58	Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x59ea6b…
10-30 16:08:33	Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xb9d8cd…