Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
open
Total volume
$118,530
Trades
910
Unique wallets
269
Liquidity
$10,233
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-02 12:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+57.1¢
(top1%: 64% YES on $314
vs crowd: 7% YES on $60.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $33 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $215 | $2.2K | $2.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 43 | $11 | $9.1K | $9.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 204 | $3.9K | $43.6K | $39.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $201 | $113 | +$87 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $5 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $180 | $3.8K | $3.6K |
| Median | 20 | $81 | $4.5K | $4.4K |
| Below median | 22 | $256 | $2.2K | $2.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $42 | $727 | $685 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $28 | $373 | $345 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $1 | $427 | $425 |
| unranked | 188 | $3.3K | $43.2K | $39.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,554 | $109 | $292 | 109 | 08-02 12:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x40a6…133c | No | +1,435 | $1,334 | $1,334 | 7 | 07-23 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x51ae…d57c | Yes | +1,094 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 07-23 00:13 |
| Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | +935 | $868 | $868 | 11 | 08-02 12:38 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +325 | $309 | $309 | 3 | 07-17 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb8e…3dc3 | Yes | +67 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-01 07:02 |
| siick 0xf9b7…60a4 | No | +66 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 07-22 03:47 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +57 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-23 01:04 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +54 | $48 | $238 | 9 | 07-04 20:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x21d9…c423 | Yes | +41 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-25 14:46 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +39 | $36 | $261 | 13 | 08-02 12:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +39 | $3 | $4 | 4 | 07-23 05:03 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +39 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-16 07:19 |
| Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 07-04 10:11 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-04 09:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 22:10 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 22:10 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +29 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-23 15:26 |
| Linear-Leaver 0x2811…6818 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-11 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x06fd…c340 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-01 14:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $9 | $28 | 7 | 07-05 23:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-30 07:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x847e…8559 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-25 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xa87f…864d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-22 03:49 |
| Mean-Somewhere 0x4a3b…3149 | Yes | +2 | $-0 | $3 | 2 | 07-05 23:33 |
| Useful-Kangaroo 0x596d…781a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-01 20:28 |
| Well-Worn-Flanker 0x64f3…782f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-01 20:48 |
| Threadbare-Windage 0x50a5…1af8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 13:56 |
| Far-Off-Ghost 0xe59b…baac | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-01 21:37 |
| Granular-Discovery 0x5880…f092 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-01 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xdef5…fa02 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-12 13:47 |
| Expensive-Timbale 0xe0e8…34b6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-01 21:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x59a2…dc43 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 08:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 01:04 |
| Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 07-30 20:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-01 21:14 |
| Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | No | +1 | $0 | $31 | 4 | 07-16 07:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:38:12 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xad5bfd… |
| 08-02 12:38:12 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 120 | 93¢ | $111 | 0xad5bfd… |
| 08-02 12:38:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 80 | 7¢ | $6 | 0xad5bfd… |
| 08-02 12:38:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xad5bfd… |
| 08-01 21:37:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x587731… |
| 08-01 21:37:59 | Far-Off-Ghost 0xe59b…baac | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x587731… |
| 08-01 21:14:53 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6d4aec… |
| 08-01 21:14:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6d4aec… |
| 08-01 21:14:53 | Expensive-Timbale 0xe0e8…34b6 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6d4aec… |
| 08-01 21:01:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd96c56… |
| 08-01 21:01:20 | Granular-Discovery 0x5880…f092 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xd96c56… |
| 08-01 20:48:29 | Well-Worn-Flanker 0x64f3…782f | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6bbef0… |
| 08-01 20:48:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6bbef0… |
| 08-01 20:28:17 | Useful-Kangaroo 0x596d…781a | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x862538… |
| 08-01 20:28:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x862538… |
| 08-01 14:56:36 | (anonymous) 0x06fd…c340 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xad5b7a… |
| 08-01 14:56:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xad5b7a… |
| 08-01 12:59:33 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 85 | 93¢ | $79 | 0x2f2812… |
| 08-01 12:59:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2f2812… |
| 08-01 07:30:30 | Short-Term-Herring 0xe169…715e | No | SELL | 460 | 93¢ | $426 | 0xb8e8d7… |
| 08-01 07:30:30 | (anonymous) 0x56c7…3f94 | No | SELL | 450 | 93¢ | $417 | 0xb8e8d7… |
| 08-01 07:30:30 | (anonymous) 0x1be9…4139 | Yes | SELL | 910 | 7¢ | $67 | 0xb8e8d7… |
| 08-01 07:29:51 | (anonymous) 0x30c3…110f | No | SELL | 470 | 93¢ | $435 | 0x65f106… |
| 08-01 07:29:51 | Gruesome-Force 0x7851…1bcf | Yes | SELL | 470 | 7¢ | $35 | 0x65f106… |
| 08-01 07:29:39 | (anonymous) 0xed0a…9524 | No | SELL | 440 | 93¢ | $407 | 0x78c32b… |
| 08-01 07:29:39 | Gruesome-Force 0x7851…1bcf | Yes | SELL | 440 | 7¢ | $33 | 0x78c32b… |
| 08-01 07:19:24 | (anonymous) 0x8727…1409 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xea8d04… |
| 08-01 07:19:24 | (anonymous) 0xc4bd…c475 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xea8d04… |
| 08-01 07:19:23 | (anonymous) 0xe68f…4e83 | Yes | SELL | 470 | 7¢ | $35 | 0xf32170… |
| 08-01 07:19:23 | (anonymous) 0x8727…1409 | No | SELL | 470 | 93¢ | $435 | 0xf32170… |
| 08-01 07:19:12 | (anonymous) 0x9a2b…4aea | No | SELL | 480 | 93¢ | $444 | 0xc14b11… |
| 08-01 07:19:12 | (anonymous) 0xe68f…4e83 | Yes | SELL | 480 | 7¢ | $36 | 0xc14b11… |
| 08-01 07:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xa917…85c1 | No | SELL | 470 | 93¢ | $435 | 0xa1ee68… |
| 08-01 07:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xc4bd…c475 | Yes | SELL | 470 | 7¢ | $35 | 0xa1ee68… |
| 08-01 07:18:39 | (anonymous) 0xc4bd…c475 | Yes | SELL | 460 | 7¢ | $34 | 0x90f528… |
| 08-01 07:18:39 | (anonymous) 0xb38b…eb30 | No | SELL | 460 | 93¢ | $426 | 0x90f528… |
| 08-01 07:14:39 | Short-Term-Herring 0xe169…715e | No | BUY | 460 | 93¢ | $426 | 0xa04eff… |
| 08-01 07:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x1be9…4139 | Yes | BUY | 460 | 7¢ | $34 | 0xa04eff… |
| 08-01 07:14:24 | (anonymous) 0x56c7…3f94 | No | BUY | 450 | 93¢ | $417 | 0x1df225… |
| 08-01 07:14:24 | (anonymous) 0x1be9…4139 | Yes | BUY | 450 | 7¢ | $33 | 0x1df225… |
| 08-01 07:14:11 | (anonymous) 0x30c3…110f | No | BUY | 470 | 93¢ | $435 | 0x6387af… |
| 08-01 07:14:11 | Gruesome-Force 0x7851…1bcf | Yes | BUY | 470 | 7¢ | $35 | 0x6387af… |
| 08-01 07:13:33 | Exotic-Supreme 0x3b53…00f5 | Yes | SELL | 1,004 | 7¢ | $74 | 0x389b35… |
| 08-01 07:13:33 | (anonymous) 0xd18f…d12f | No | SELL | 669 | 93¢ | $619 | 0x389b35… |
| 08-01 07:13:33 | Lawful-Blend 0x8d43…a94b | No | SELL | 335 | 93¢ | $310 | 0x389b35… |
| 08-01 07:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xed0a…9524 | No | BUY | 440 | 93¢ | $407 | 0x4467d5… |
| 08-01 07:13:21 | Gruesome-Force 0x7851…1bcf | Yes | BUY | 440 | 7¢ | $33 | 0x4467d5… |
| 08-01 07:13:14 | (anonymous) 0xa8b2…9ddf | Yes | SELL | 1,004 | 7¢ | $74 | 0xc4c896… |
| 08-01 07:13:14 | Polite-Whirlpool 0x9227…4922 | No | SELL | 508 | 93¢ | $470 | 0xc4c896… |
| 08-01 07:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x29bd…0ecd | No | SELL | 496 | 93¢ | $459 | 0xc4c896… |
| 08-01 07:12:20 | Vivid-Linguistics 0xbfdf…e8e7 | Yes | SELL | 992 | 7¢ | $73 | 0x7002f4… |
| 08-01 07:12:20 | (anonymous) 0x3b94…b1fa | No | SELL | 442 | 93¢ | $409 | 0x7002f4… |
| 08-01 07:12:20 | (anonymous) 0x3e15…b808 | No | SELL | 550 | 93¢ | $509 | 0x7002f4… |
| 08-01 07:11:51 | (anonymous) 0xec0c…8081 | No | SELL | 658 | 93¢ | $609 | 0x736b41… |
| 08-01 07:11:51 | (anonymous) 0x4e14…8d97 | Yes | SELL | 992 | 7¢ | $73 | 0x736b41… |
| 08-01 07:11:51 | Robust-Ketchup 0x7e43…5396 | No | SELL | 334 | 93¢ | $309 | 0x736b41… |
| 08-01 07:02:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x8dad6e… |
| 08-01 07:02:41 | (anonymous) 0xfb8e…3dc3 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x8dad6e… |
| 08-01 07:02:41 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x8dad6e… |
| 08-01 07:01:15 | (anonymous) 0xc4bd…c475 | Yes | BUY | 480 | 7¢ | $35 | 0x0b6636… |
| 08-01 07:01:15 | (anonymous) 0x9a2b…4aea | No | BUY | 480 | 93¢ | $445 | 0x0b6636… |
| 08-01 07:00:57 | (anonymous) 0xc4bd…c475 | Yes | BUY | 470 | 7¢ | $34 | 0x1e0954… |
| 08-01 07:00:57 | (anonymous) 0xa917…85c1 | No | BUY | 470 | 93¢ | $436 | 0x1e0954… |
| 08-01 07:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x8727…1409 | No | BUY | 490 | 93¢ | $454 | 0x17a31a… |
| 08-01 07:00:41 | (anonymous) 0xe68f…4e83 | Yes | BUY | 490 | 7¢ | $36 | 0x17a31a… |
| 08-01 07:00:24 | (anonymous) 0xb38b…eb30 | No | BUY | 460 | 93¢ | $426 | 0x78b93c… |
| 08-01 07:00:24 | (anonymous) 0xe68f…4e83 | Yes | BUY | 460 | 7¢ | $34 | 0x78b93c… |
| 08-01 06:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x2d5d…16fe | Yes | SELL | 455 | 7¢ | $33 | 0x9a629a… |
| 08-01 06:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x6330…6ff0 | No | SELL | 455 | 93¢ | $422 | 0x9a629a… |
| 08-01 06:49:56 | Unwitting-Rheumatism 0x2218…aa98 | No | SELL | 465 | 93¢ | $431 | 0x78e6b4… |
| 08-01 06:49:56 | (anonymous) 0x2d5d…16fe | Yes | SELL | 465 | 7¢ | $34 | 0x78e6b4… |
| 08-01 06:49:17 | Palatable-Dam 0xdb82…13d8 | Yes | SELL | 465 | 7¢ | $34 | 0xbd6a5b… |
| 08-01 06:49:17 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…7e61 | No | SELL | 465 | 93¢ | $431 | 0xbd6a5b… |
| 08-01 06:48:42 | Afraid-Hardcover 0x4dc8…cc5f | No | SELL | 455 | 93¢ | $422 | 0xfb0f9a… |
| 08-01 06:48:42 | Palatable-Dam 0xdb82…13d8 | Yes | SELL | 455 | 7¢ | $33 | 0xfb0f9a… |
| 08-01 06:36:30 | (anonymous) 0xa8b2…9ddf | Yes | BUY | 669 | 7¢ | $49 | 0xa90bcf… |
| 08-01 06:36:30 | (anonymous) 0xd18f…d12f | No | BUY | 669 | 93¢ | $620 | 0xa90bcf… |
| 08-01 06:36:29 | Lawful-Blend 0x8d43…a94b | No | BUY | 335 | 93¢ | $311 | 0xc525c3… |
| 08-01 06:36:29 | (anonymous) 0xa8b2…9ddf | Yes | BUY | 335 | 7¢ | $24 | 0xc525c3… |
| 08-01 06:36:17 | Exotic-Supreme 0x3b53…00f5 | Yes | BUY | 508 | 7¢ | $37 | 0xb958dd… |
| 08-01 06:36:17 | Polite-Whirlpool 0x9227…4922 | No | BUY | 508 | 93¢ | $471 | 0xb958dd… |
| 08-01 06:36:15 | Exotic-Supreme 0x3b53…00f5 | Yes | BUY | 496 | 7¢ | $36 | 0x6131f4… |
| 08-01 06:36:15 | (anonymous) 0x29bd…0ecd | No | BUY | 496 | 93¢ | $460 | 0x6131f4… |
| 08-01 06:31:51 | (anonymous) 0x4e14…8d97 | Yes | BUY | 442 | 7¢ | $32 | 0x68c98a… |
| 08-01 06:31:51 | (anonymous) 0x3b94…b1fa | No | BUY | 442 | 93¢ | $410 | 0x68c98a… |
| 08-01 06:31:50 | (anonymous) 0x3e15…b808 | No | BUY | 550 | 93¢ | $510 | 0x528d05… |
| 08-01 06:31:50 | (anonymous) 0x4e14…8d97 | Yes | BUY | 550 | 7¢ | $40 | 0x528d05… |
| 08-01 06:30:30 | Robust-Ketchup 0x7e43…5396 | No | BUY | 334 | 93¢ | $310 | 0x987ed4… |
| 08-01 06:30:30 | Vivid-Linguistics 0xbfdf…e8e7 | Yes | BUY | 334 | 7¢ | $24 | 0x987ed4… |
| 08-01 06:30:30 | Vivid-Linguistics 0xbfdf…e8e7 | Yes | BUY | 658 | 7¢ | $48 | 0xa3ac95… |
| 08-01 06:30:30 | (anonymous) 0xec0c…8081 | No | BUY | 658 | 93¢ | $610 | 0xa3ac95… |
| 08-01 06:27:36 | (anonymous) 0x2d5d…16fe | Yes | BUY | 465 | 7¢ | $34 | 0x6fcf8d… |
| 08-01 06:27:36 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…7e61 | No | BUY | 465 | 93¢ | $431 | 0x6fcf8d… |
| 08-01 06:27:24 | Afraid-Hardcover 0x4dc8…cc5f | No | BUY | 455 | 93¢ | $422 | 0xfcfaab… |
| 08-01 06:27:24 | (anonymous) 0x2d5d…16fe | Yes | BUY | 455 | 7¢ | $33 | 0xfcfaab… |
| 08-01 06:26:57 | Palatable-Dam 0xdb82…13d8 | Yes | BUY | 465 | 7¢ | $34 | 0x3497dd… |
| 08-01 06:26:57 | Unwitting-Rheumatism 0x2218…aa98 | No | BUY | 465 | 93¢ | $431 | 0x3497dd… |
| 08-01 06:26:42 | Palatable-Dam 0xdb82…13d8 | Yes | BUY | 455 | 7¢ | $33 | 0x742ce3… |
| 08-01 06:26:42 | (anonymous) 0x6330…6ff0 | No | BUY | 455 | 93¢ | $422 | 0x742ce3… |
| 08-01 03:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x92c2…6ecd | Yes | SELL | 455 | 7¢ | $33 | 0x2515fa… |