Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
open
Total volume
$7,856
Trades
91
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$10,233
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-18 20:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+89.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $17
vs crowd: 10% YES on $4.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $13 | $160 | $147 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $25 | $82 | $58 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $357 | $356 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $377 | $3.0K | $2.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $16 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $75 | $374 | $299 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $27 | $26 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | $357 | $345 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $144 | $144 |
| unranked | 13 | $309 | $2.6K | $2.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +195 | $17 | $17 | 7 | 06-18 20:21 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +85 | $76 | $140 | 5 | 05-30 08:02 |
| Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-18 20:21 |
| Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-30 05:52 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 05:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-30 07:09 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +3 | $-2 | $17 | 6 | 05-30 07:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 20:21:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xfc6d80… |
| 06-18 20:21:52 | Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xfc6d80… |
| 06-18 17:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x6e58…bd51 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe573fd… |
| 06-18 17:42:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe573fd… |
| 06-17 08:55:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 73 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x9ff4b0… |
| 06-17 08:55:29 | Whole-Pork 0x09d2…a3ac | Yes | SELL | 73 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x9ff4b0… |
| 06-16 12:12:10 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfe546c… |
| 06-16 12:12:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfe546c… |
| 06-15 08:54:22 | Failing-Employment 0x45ca…729a | Yes | SELL | 47 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xc41bdf… |
| 06-15 08:54:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc41bdf… |
| 06-15 08:54:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 45 | 91¢ | $41 | 0xc41bdf… |
| 06-15 07:16:04 | Whole-Pork 0x09d2…a3ac | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x93f853… |
| 06-15 07:16:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x93f853… |
| 06-03 07:50:18 | Failing-Employment 0x45ca…729a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xaddd4f… |
| 06-03 07:50:18 | (anonymous) 0x8ee2…bb25 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xaddd4f… |
| 05-30 08:02:57 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x3f00d3… |
| 05-30 08:02:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x3f00d3… |
| 05-30 07:09:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x7b75f8… |
| 05-30 07:09:47 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x7b75f8… |
| 05-30 07:09:47 | Fixed-Country 0x8eb1…7c99 | No | SELL | 48 | 90¢ | $43 | 0x7b75f8… |
| 05-30 07:09:29 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xbcad66… |
| 05-30 07:09:29 | (anonymous) 0x35ee…202a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xbcad66… |
| 05-30 07:09:27 | Legal-Pouch 0x1179…33cd | No | SELL | 382 | 91¢ | $346 | 0x1a9ced… |
| 05-30 07:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x35ee…202a | Yes | SELL | 382 | 9¢ | $36 | 0x1a9ced… |
| 05-30 07:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x35ee…202a | Yes | SELL | 359 | 9¢ | $34 | 0x2ca661… |
| 05-30 07:09:22 | Grouchy-Waterwheel 0xc44d…97f2 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x2ca661… |
| 05-30 07:09:22 | Untimely-Hammer 0x234f…db15 | No | SELL | 391 | 91¢ | $354 | 0x2ca661… |
| 05-30 07:09:15 | Excited-Jicama 0xc402…586c | No | SELL | 360 | 91¢ | $326 | 0x7e429b… |
| 05-30 07:09:15 | Grouchy-Waterwheel 0xc44d…97f2 | Yes | SELL | 360 | 9¢ | $34 | 0x7e429b… |
| 05-30 07:09:13 | Grouchy-Waterwheel 0xc44d…97f2 | Yes | SELL | 350 | 9¢ | $33 | 0xe608be… |
| 05-30 07:09:13 | Fixed-Country 0x8eb1…7c99 | No | SELL | 350 | 91¢ | $317 | 0xe608be… |
| 05-30 07:09:01 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xdddb15… |
| 05-30 07:09:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xdddb15… |
| 05-30 07:08:59 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xa506e6… |
| 05-30 07:08:59 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa506e6… |
| 05-30 05:54:54 | Grouchy-Waterwheel 0xc44d…97f2 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x0c0e07… |
| 05-30 05:54:54 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 45 | 88¢ | $40 | 0x0c0e07… |
| 05-30 05:54:54 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0c0e07… |
| 05-30 05:54:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x0c0e07… |
| 05-30 05:54:30 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x91f6a3… |
| 05-30 05:54:30 | Grouchy-Waterwheel 0xc44d…97f2 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x91f6a3… |
| 05-30 05:54:30 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x91f6a3… |
| 05-30 05:54:16 | Grouchy-Waterwheel 0xc44d…97f2 | Yes | BUY | 391 | 9¢ | $34 | 0xef31a6… |
| 05-30 05:54:16 | Untimely-Hammer 0x234f…db15 | No | BUY | 391 | 91¢ | $357 | 0xef31a6… |
| 05-30 05:53:39 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 9¢ | $12 | 0x1e189e… |
| 05-30 05:53:39 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1e189e… |
| 05-30 05:53:39 | Fixed-Country 0x8eb1…7c99 | No | BUY | 398 | 91¢ | $363 | 0x1e189e… |
| 05-30 05:53:39 | Grouchy-Waterwheel 0xc44d…97f2 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 9¢ | $22 | 0x1e189e… |
| 05-30 05:53:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 73 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x36418e… |
| 05-30 05:53:02 | (anonymous) 0x35ee…202a | Yes | SELL | 139 | 9¢ | $12 | 0x36418e… |
| 05-30 05:53:02 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x36418e… |
| 05-30 05:53:02 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x36418e… |
| 05-30 05:53:02 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x36418e… |
| 05-30 05:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x35ee…202a | Yes | BUY | 139 | 11¢ | $15 | 0x0eed72… |
| 05-30 05:52:15 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x0eed72… |
| 05-30 05:52:15 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0eed72… |
| 05-30 05:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x0eed72… |
| 05-30 05:52:15 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 32 | 88¢ | $29 | 0x0eed72… |
| 05-30 05:52:15 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x0eed72… |
| 05-30 05:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x0eed72… |
| 05-30 05:51:16 | Legal-Pouch 0x1179…33cd | No | BUY | 139 | 91¢ | $127 | 0x139177… |
| 05-30 05:51:16 | (anonymous) 0x35ee…202a | Yes | BUY | 139 | 9¢ | $12 | 0x139177… |
| 05-30 05:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x35ee…202a | Yes | SELL | 34 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xb8e1b5… |
| 05-30 05:48:45 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 34 | 91¢ | $31 | 0xb8e1b5… |
| 05-30 05:48:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 60 | 91¢ | $55 | 0x9c1e95… |
| 05-30 05:48:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x9c1e95… |
| 05-30 05:48:43 | (anonymous) 0x35ee…202a | Yes | SELL | 105 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x9c1e95… |
| 05-30 05:47:21 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 139 | 9¢ | $12 | 0xcc1b70… |
| 05-30 05:47:21 | Legal-Pouch 0x1179…33cd | No | BUY | 243 | 91¢ | $221 | 0xcc1b70… |
| 05-30 05:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x35ee…202a | Yes | BUY | 742 | 9¢ | $67 | 0xcc1b70… |
| 05-30 05:47:21 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x457481… |
| 05-30 05:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x3b81…1210 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x457481… |
| 05-30 05:47:21 | Excited-Jicama 0xc402…586c | No | BUY | 360 | 91¢ | $328 | 0xcc1b70… |
| 05-30 04:39:24 | Beloved-Leave 0xfd5c…e3c5 | No | SELL | 530 | 90¢ | $477 | 0x3a76a0… |
| 05-30 04:39:24 | Alive-Brother 0x847c…496b | Yes | SELL | 530 | 10¢ | $53 | 0x3a76a0… |
| 05-30 04:39:13 | Glum-Excitement 0x0048…24f8 | No | SELL | 520 | 90¢ | $468 | 0xde6895… |
| 05-30 04:39:13 | Alive-Brother 0x847c…496b | Yes | SELL | 520 | 10¢ | $52 | 0xde6895… |
| 05-30 04:38:59 | (anonymous) 0x6dea…faf4 | No | SELL | 510 | 90¢ | $459 | 0x3c6c9a… |
| 05-30 04:38:59 | (anonymous) 0x961d…bb6b | Yes | SELL | 510 | 10¢ | $51 | 0x3c6c9a… |
| 05-30 04:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x961d…bb6b | Yes | SELL | 540 | 10¢ | $54 | 0x4a9560… |
| 05-30 04:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xa6aa…0fb1 | No | SELL | 540 | 90¢ | $486 | 0x4a9560… |
| 05-30 02:42:10 | (anonymous) 0x961d…bb6b | Yes | BUY | 530 | 10¢ | $53 | 0x281669… |
| 05-30 02:42:10 | Beloved-Leave 0xfd5c…e3c5 | No | BUY | 530 | 90¢ | $477 | 0x281669… |
| 05-30 02:42:00 | (anonymous) 0x961d…bb6b | Yes | BUY | 520 | 10¢ | $52 | 0xaf9377… |
| 05-30 02:42:00 | Glum-Excitement 0x0048…24f8 | No | BUY | 520 | 90¢ | $468 | 0xaf9377… |
| 05-30 02:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x6dea…faf4 | No | BUY | 510 | 90¢ | $459 | 0x3d4d60… |
| 05-30 02:41:46 | Alive-Brother 0x847c…496b | Yes | BUY | 510 | 10¢ | $51 | 0x3d4d60… |
| 05-30 02:41:32 | Alive-Brother 0x847c…496b | Yes | BUY | 540 | 10¢ | $54 | 0xb1f811… |
| 05-30 02:41:32 | (anonymous) 0xa6aa…0fb1 | No | BUY | 540 | 90¢ | $486 | 0xb1f811… |
| 05-28 11:08:21 | Failing-Employment 0x45ca…729a | Yes | BUY | 48 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x07bb7d… |
| 05-28 11:08:21 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 48 | 90¢ | $43 | 0x07bb7d… |