Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
open
Total volume
$68,286
Trades
619
Unique wallets
179
Liquidity
$10,233
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-10 09:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+65.8¢
(top1%: 72% YES on $189
vs crowd: 7% YES on $35.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $29 | $773 | $745 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $151 | $1.1K | $993 |
| 🐟 Fish | 19 | $6 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 139 | $2.1K | $29.0K | $26.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $137 | $52 | +$84 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $5 | $16 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $178 | $2.5K | $2.3K |
| Median | 19 | $80 | $4.5K | $4.5K |
| Below median | 17 | $122 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $42 | $727 | $685 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $28 | $357 | $329 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $0 | $390 | $389 |
| unranked | 111 | $1.7K | $21.9K | $20.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,541 | $110 | $163 | 61 | 07-10 09:40 |
| Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | +432 | $387 | $967 | 23 | 07-10 09:38 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +303 | $288 | $288 | 2 | 07-03 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x40a6…133c | No | +297 | $278 | $278 | 3 | 07-09 13:25 |
| Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | +250 | $232 | $232 | 2 | 07-08 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5886…d68f | Yes | +80 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-04 20:55 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +57 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-23 01:04 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +54 | $48 | $238 | 9 | 07-04 20:55 |
| Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 07-04 10:11 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-04 09:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 22:10 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $28 | $139 | 5 | 07-10 09:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 22:10 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +29 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-23 15:26 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +16 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-04 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $9 | $28 | 7 | 07-05 23:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-30 07:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x847e…8559 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-25 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-06 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 09:40 |
| Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-23 01:04 |
| Mean-Somewhere 0x4a3b…3149 | Yes | +2 | $-0 | $3 | 2 | 07-05 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x3298…68b1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x59a2…dc43 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 08:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 01:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 09:40:04 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x6c3c23… |
| 07-10 09:40:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x6c3c23… |
| 07-10 09:40:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x6c3c23… |
| 07-10 09:38:52 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | BUY | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0x5156a5… |
| 07-10 09:38:52 | (anonymous) 0xa415…6384 | No | SELL | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x5156a5… |
| 07-10 09:38:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x5156a5… |
| 07-09 13:25:05 | (anonymous) 0x40a6…133c | No | BUY | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0xd21777… |
| 07-09 13:25:05 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0xd21777… |
| 07-08 12:17:17 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 25 | 93¢ | $23 | 0x69131b… |
| 07-08 12:17:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x69131b… |
| 07-08 12:17:17 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x69131b… |
| 07-07 15:52:53 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x0551e6… |
| 07-07 15:52:53 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 59 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x0551e6… |
| 07-07 15:02:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x851d2e… |
| 07-07 15:02:25 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0x851d2e… |
| 07-07 15:02:25 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 75 | 93¢ | $70 | 0x851d2e… |
| 07-06 13:03:37 | Primary-Extremist 0xf316…c97f | No | SELL | 94 | 93¢ | $87 | 0x04fc81… |
| 07-06 13:03:37 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | SELL | 94 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x04fc81… |
| 07-06 13:02:41 | Safe-Amnesty 0x5c0f…dfa6 | No | SELL | 63 | 93¢ | $58 | 0xcd73e3… |
| 07-06 13:02:41 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xcd73e3… |
| 07-06 13:01:28 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xd33124… |
| 07-06 13:01:28 | Growling-Jade 0x316b…8d96 | No | SELL | 58 | 93¢ | $54 | 0xd33124… |
| 07-06 12:58:01 | Long-Term-Netbook 0x784c…dd05 | No | SELL | 86 | 93¢ | $79 | 0xb01f41… |
| 07-06 12:58:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 60 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xb01f41… |
| 07-06 12:58:01 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xb01f41… |
| 07-06 12:56:49 | Distinct-Suspect-Freak 0xd54b…ded3 | No | SELL | 91 | 93¢ | $84 | 0xdd4c30… |
| 07-06 12:56:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xdd4c30… |
| 07-06 12:55:17 | Bad-Surface 0x76fd…ab71 | No | SELL | 58 | 93¢ | $54 | 0x8552d4… |
| 07-06 12:55:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8552d4… |
| 07-06 12:53:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x33394b… |
| 07-06 12:53:58 | Able-Culvert 0x5605…5962 | No | SELL | 75 | 93¢ | $70 | 0x33394b… |
| 07-06 12:53:58 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x33394b… |
| 07-06 12:53:58 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x33394b… |
| 07-06 12:53:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 44 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x33394b… |
| 07-06 12:50:32 | Hairy-Clef 0x967d…ddd4 | No | SELL | 70 | 93¢ | $65 | 0x223655… |
| 07-06 12:50:32 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x223655… |
| 07-05 23:35:50 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 44 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xdb15a4… |
| 07-05 23:35:50 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xdb15a4… |
| 07-05 23:35:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xdb15a4… |
| 07-05 23:35:50 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xdb15a4… |
| 07-05 23:35:01 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x502994… |
| 07-05 23:35:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x502994… |
| 07-05 23:33:40 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x36ae97… |
| 07-05 23:33:40 | Mean-Somewhere 0x4a3b…3149 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x36ae97… |
| 07-05 23:33:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x36ae97… |
| 07-05 23:33:40 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x36ae97… |
| 07-05 23:33:40 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x36ae97… |
| 07-05 23:31:29 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0xbedf66… |
| 07-05 23:31:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xbedf66… |
| 07-05 23:31:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbedf66… |
| 07-05 23:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb0b5f5… |
| 07-05 23:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x41eb…39db | Yes | SELL | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb0b5f5… |
| 07-05 23:29:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xb0b5f5… |
| 07-05 23:27:11 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3b2529… |
| 07-05 23:27:11 | (anonymous) 0xa415…6384 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x3b2529… |
| 07-05 23:27:11 | (anonymous) 0x41eb…39db | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x3b2529… |
| 07-05 23:27:11 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x3b2529… |
| 07-04 20:55:43 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf315cd… |
| 07-04 20:55:43 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf315cd… |
| 07-04 20:55:43 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xf315cd… |
| 07-04 20:55:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf315cd… |
| 07-04 20:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x5886…d68f | Yes | BUY | 80 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xf315cd… |
| 07-04 20:14:11 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0e7068… |
| 07-04 20:14:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0e7068… |
| 07-04 20:13:56 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x23f552… |
| 07-04 20:13:56 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x23f552… |
| 07-04 15:48:31 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0eda04… |
| 07-04 15:48:31 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0eda04… |
| 07-04 15:48:31 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0eda04… |
| 07-04 15:42:11 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4167dd… |
| 07-04 15:42:11 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4167dd… |
| 07-04 14:45:11 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8cbcd3… |
| 07-04 14:45:11 | (anonymous) 0x41eb…39db | Yes | BUY | 29 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8cbcd3… |
| 07-04 14:31:02 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf69863… |
| 07-04 14:31:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf69863… |
| 07-04 14:31:02 | Primary-Extremist 0xf316…c97f | No | BUY | 94 | 98¢ | $92 | 0xf69863… |
| 07-04 14:25:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x990453… |
| 07-04 14:25:14 | Safe-Amnesty 0x5c0f…dfa6 | No | BUY | 63 | 98¢ | $61 | 0x990453… |
| 07-04 14:25:14 | (anonymous) 0x41eb…39db | Yes | BUY | 33 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x990453… |
| 07-04 14:22:02 | Mean-Somewhere 0x4a3b…3149 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1aa2e4… |
| 07-04 14:22:02 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1aa2e4… |
| 07-04 14:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1aa2e4… |
| 07-04 14:22:02 | Growling-Jade 0x316b…8d96 | No | BUY | 58 | 96¢ | $56 | 0x1aa2e4… |
| 07-04 14:10:47 | Bad-Surface 0x76fd…ab71 | No | BUY | 58 | 96¢ | $56 | 0x0bd246… |
| 07-04 14:10:47 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x0bd246… |
| 07-04 14:06:17 | Long-Term-Netbook 0x784c…dd05 | No | BUY | 86 | 96¢ | $82 | 0x32a460… |
| 07-04 14:06:17 | (anonymous) 0x41eb…39db | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x32a460… |
| 07-04 14:06:17 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x32a460… |
| 07-04 14:03:19 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc6e8e0… |
| 07-04 14:03:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 54 | 95¢ | $52 | 0xc6e8e0… |
| 07-04 14:03:19 | Distinct-Suspect-Freak 0xd54b…ded3 | No | BUY | 91 | 95¢ | $87 | 0xc6e8e0… |
| 07-04 14:03:19 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xc6e8e0… |
| 07-04 14:03:19 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc6e8e0… |
| 07-04 13:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x41eb…39db | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcf7f26… |
| 07-04 13:59:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0xcf7f26… |
| 07-04 13:58:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 75 | 94¢ | $71 | 0x06f2fd… |
| 07-04 13:58:23 | Able-Culvert 0x5605…5962 | No | BUY | 75 | 94¢ | $71 | 0x06f2fd… |
| 07-04 13:45:58 | Hairy-Clef 0x967d…ddd4 | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x6096ab… |
| 07-04 13:45:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x6096ab… |
| 07-04 10:21:59 | (anonymous) 0x41eb…39db | Yes | BUY | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc07d30… |