Realized P&L
+$19.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
3,534
Trades
76,580
lifetime
Volume
$2.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$3.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 07:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 259 days
Categories
Other
54%
38%
+$11,181
Politics
33%
54%
+$12,142
Sports
9%
39%
-$6,050
Crypto
4%
36%
+$1,986
Tech
0%
33%
-$44
Pop-Culture
0%
56%
+$372
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 514 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 482 | $44.6K | 45,443 | 44,366 | +1,076 | Yes | +$1,409 | 02-19 14:34 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | 796 | $42.8K | 51,903 | 51,902 | +1 | No | +$270 | 05-31 20:34 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 429 | $34.3K | 37,826 | 37,811 | +15 | Yes | +$409 | 02-19 15:36 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 408 | $31.6K | 44,268 | 40,601 | +3,667 | No | +$1,391 | 01-25 16:28 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 509 | $30.2K | 65,702 | 62,984 | +2,718 | No | +$186 | 01-24 02:57 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 366 | $28.0K | 35,035 | 31,394 | +3,641 | Yes | +$764 | 02-28 06:18 |
| will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic | 646 | $26.3K | 28,198 | 27,904 | +293 | No | +$850 | 03-18 02:50 |
| nothing ever happens microstrategy | 562 | $24.2K | 36,620 | 35,123 | +1,496 | No | +$415 | 03-14 18:53 |
| will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded | 592 | $23.7K | 24,688 | 23,673 | +1,015 | Yes | +$696 | 02-05 15:12 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 504 | $23.3K | 26,311 | 26,440 | -130 | open | — | 10-19 13:20 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 395 | $22.2K | 37,616 | 36,697 | +920 | No | -$111 | 02-12 13:15 |
| us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294 | 527 | $21.9K | 57,595 | 56,250 | +1,345 | No | +$126 | 02-05 04:19 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 504 | $21.5K | 76,252 | 74,013 | +2,239 | No | +$640 | 02-28 07:11 |
| si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269 | 466 | $21.4K | 28,853 | 29,125 | -272 | No | +$984 | 01-30 15:36 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | 357 | $17.9K | 18,126 | 17,659 | +467 | open | — | 10-20 18:05 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | 338 | $17.3K | 19,965 | 19,955 | +10 | No | +$163 | 05-31 04:25 |
| will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors | 828 | $15.9K | 19,724 | 19,742 | -18 | No | +$86 | 02-05 13:40 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 399 | $15.1K | 50,545 | 50,618 | -74 | No | +$53 | 02-20 21:02 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 292 | $14.9K | 30,250 | 28,401 | +1,849 | No | +$293 | 01-16 10:21 |
| us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625 | 271 | $14.6K | 28,710 | 28,218 | +492 | No | +$355 | 01-17 19:55 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping? | 260 | $13.2K | 9,787 | 9,786 | +1 | No | +$116 | 05-15 06:08 |
| us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991 | 313 | $13.1K | 37,383 | 36,019 | +1,364 | No | -$194 | 01-19 02:37 |
| will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to minnesota timberwolves | 595 | $12.2K | 13,495 | 12,899 | +595 | No | +$308 | 02-05 14:41 |
| will japan win the 2026 world baseball classic | 257 | $12.2K | 18,765 | 17,762 | +1,002 | No | +$213 | 03-15 02:58 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 132 | $11.6K | 13,332 | 12,328 | +1,003 | Yes | +$1,109 | 02-19 15:56 |
| si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453 | 296 | $11.1K | 14,555 | 12,199 | +2,356 | Yes | -$218 | 01-24 06:19 |
| will dominican republic win the 2026 world baseball classic | 363 | $11.1K | 13,690 | 14,001 | -311 | No | +$471 | 03-16 02:57 |
| will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat | 773 | $11.0K | 15,189 | 14,949 | +241 | No | +$393 | 02-05 17:10 |
| us strikes iran by february 25 2026 | 418 | $10.7K | 51,348 | 52,589 | -1,242 | No | +$150 | 02-24 23:03 |
| spx opens up or down on february 17 2026 | 196 | $10.1K | 10,595 | 10,273 | +322 | Down | +$557 | 02-17 13:57 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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