Realized P&L
+$19.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$148
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
3,537
Trades
76,645
lifetime
Volume
$2.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$2.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 01:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 261 days
Categories
Other
54% 38% +$11,119
Politics
33% 54% +$12,142
Sports
9% 39% -$6,050
Crypto
4% 36% +$1,986
Tech
0% 33% -$44
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$372
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 514 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -605 -$411 94¢ $-569 -$157 05-08 14:09
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -499 -$160 73¢ $-364 -$204 05-25 06:52
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,185 $153 21¢ $249 +$96 10-28 01:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +530 $122 44¢ $231 +$109 10-21 01:15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -215 -$129 96¢ $-206 -$77 10-19 13:20
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -218 -$153 86¢ $-189 -$35 06-18 08:35
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +177 $161 99¢ $176 +$15 08-23 19:15
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +205 $235 85¢ $174 -$61 10-28 01:01
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -1,033 -$121 13¢ $-134 -$14 08-08 17:19
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-100 -$1 08-28 06:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -422 -$86 18¢ $-74 +$12 10-08 20:50
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -464 -$49 15¢ $-72 -$22 10-28 00:34
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +300 $98 21¢ $62 -$36 10-27 21:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -795 -$140 6¢ $-44 +$96 10-10 17:05
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +300 $66 14¢ $40 -$26 10-26 12:31
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -335 -$41 12¢ $-38 +$2 07-08 14:39
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 Yes +299 $101 10¢ $30 -$71 08-03 11:12
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes -126 -$26 10¢ $-13 +$14 05-01 09:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No -21 -$71 57¢ $-12 +$59 10-27 18:52
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,247 -$5 1¢ $-12 -$6 10-18 18:41
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes +143 $11 8¢ $11 $0 10-24 14:29
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 -$82 43¢ $11 +$92 10-18 16:54
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -514 -$30 2¢ $-8 +$22 06-29 18:35
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -298 -$21 2¢ $-7 +$14 10-05 18:41
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes +79 $10 9¢ $7 -$3 06-03 01:41
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -298 -$31 2¢ $-5 +$26 10-19 14:40
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -590 -$9 1¢ $-4 +$6 06-15 02:48
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +85 -$8 4¢ $3 +$12 09-29 15:54
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -298 -$15 1¢ $-3 +$12 10-02 13:33
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +463 $25 1¢ $3 -$22 10-10 16:33