Realized P&L
+$19.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
3,534
Trades
76,580
lifetime
Volume
$2.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$3.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 07:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 259 days
Categories
Other
54% 38% +$11,181
Politics
33% 54% +$12,142
Sports
9% 39% -$6,050
Crypto
4% 36% +$1,986
Tech
0% 33% -$44
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$372
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 514 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -605 -$411 94¢ $-569 -$157 05-08 14:09
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -499 -$160 71¢ $-354 -$194 05-25 06:52
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,119 $140 24¢ $274 +$134 10-07 16:35
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +443 $186 56¢ $250 +$64 10-20 18:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +530 $122 46¢ $247 +$125 10-21 01:15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -215 -$129 96¢ $-206 -$77 10-19 13:20
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +204 $192 97¢ $197 +$5 10-20 18:35
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -218 -$153 84¢ $-183 -$30 06-18 08:35
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +177 $161 99¢ $176 +$15 08-23 19:15
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -1,033 -$121 13¢ $-134 -$14 08-08 17:19
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-100 -$1 08-28 06:59
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +114 $152 70¢ $79 -$73 09-29 12:43
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -422 -$86 18¢ $-78 +$8 10-08 20:50
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -464 -$46 14¢ $-66 -$20 10-05 22:10
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +300 $66 16¢ $48 -$18 10-26 12:31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -795 -$140 6¢ $-44 +$96 10-10 17:05
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -335 -$41 11¢ $-35 +$6 07-08 14:39
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 Yes +299 $101 10¢ $30 -$71 08-03 11:12
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes -126 -$26 10¢ $-13 +$13 05-01 09:05
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,247 -$5 1¢ $-13 -$8 10-18 18:41
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes +143 $11 8¢ $11 $0 10-24 14:29
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 -$82 44¢ $11 +$93 10-18 16:54
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -298 -$21 3¢ $-10 +$12 10-05 18:41
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -514 -$30 2¢ $-9 +$21 06-29 18:35
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes +79 $10 8¢ $7 -$4 06-03 01:41
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -298 -$31 2¢ $-5 +$26 10-19 14:40
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -590 -$9 1¢ $-4 +$6 06-15 02:48
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +85 -$8 4¢ $3 +$12 09-29 15:54
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +463 $25 1¢ $3 -$22 10-10 16:33
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -298 -$15 1¢ $-3 +$13 10-02 13:33