Realized P&L
-$1.14K
Unrealized P&L
-$82
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
34
Trades
61,219
lifetime
Volume
$1.66M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$197
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
49% 34% $-1,076
Politics
36% 0% $-64
Sports
10%
Crypto
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 1531 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +117 $172 100¢ $117 $-55 06-18 00:11
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -156 $-22 14¢ $-21 +$1 06-07 08:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -234 $-23 $-15 +$8 07-16 19:11
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +299 $27 $13 $-13 06-12 09:35
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -182 $-11 $-10 +$1 07-07 20:12
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -514 $-30 $-8 +$21 06-29 18:35
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -210 $-31 $-4 +$27 06-30 05:35
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No -82 $-4 $-3 +$1 06-08 11:40
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes +79 $10 $2 $-8 06-03 01:41
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +42 $1 $1 +$0 06-29 21:07
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +1 $0 93¢ $1 +$0 07-16 07:19
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +181 $77 $0 $-76 06-17 23:15
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -0 $-3 80¢ $-0 +$3 06-18 08:35
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes +0 $-7 $0 +$7 07-07 15:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -0 $-0 11¢ $-0 +$0 07-05 19:02