Realized P&L (24h)
+$77
Unrealized P&L
+$162
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved (24h)
13
Trades (24h)
226
77,471 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$7.16K
$2.03M lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$4.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 19:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 263 days
Categories
Other
54% 38% +$10,974
Politics
33% 53% +$12,077
Sports
9% 39% -$6,050
Crypto
4% 36% +$1,986
Tech
0% 33% -$44
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$372
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -605 -$411 94¢ $-566 -$154 05-08 14:09
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -499 -$160 81¢ $-404 -$244 05-25 06:52
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,185 $153 24¢ $278 +$126 10-28 01:25
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +261 $254 98¢ $255 +$1 10-31 09:39
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +256 $248 98¢ $251 +$3 10-30 22:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +377 $30 66¢ $247 +$217 10-31 18:04
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +287 $229 76¢ $219 -$10 10-31 18:08
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +229 $209 94¢ $216 +$8 10-31 17:11
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -218 -$156 90¢ $-196 -$40 10-29 16:09
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +177 $161 99¢ $175 +$13 08-23 19:15
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +170 $163 99¢ $169 +$6 10-31 06:31
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) LOS — +159 $80 99¢ $157 +$77 10-31 18:56
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +299 $123 47¢ $141 +$18 10-30 11:57
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -1,033 -$121 13¢ $-134 -$14 08-08 17:19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $30 41¢ $122 +$92 10-30 21:37
Hawks vs. Pelicans Pelicans +317 $117 38¢ $119 +$2 10-31 05:03
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-100 -$1 08-28 06:59
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +95 $76 91¢ $86 +$11 10-30 08:18
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +84 $157 97¢ $82 -$75 10-31 10:10
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -422 -$83 14¢ $-57 +$26 10-31 09:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -795 -$140 6¢ $-52 +$88 10-10 17:05
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? No +392 $30 10¢ $39 +$10 10-31 13:32
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -335 -$41 12¢ $-38 +$2 07-08 14:39
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 Yes +219 $87 18¢ $38 -$48 10-31 02:50
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -165 -$12 17¢ $-28 -$16 10-31 15:43
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +49 $34 54¢ $26 -$8 10-31 11:13
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No +212 $23 9¢ $20 -$3 10-30 17:28
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? No +42 $3 36¢ $15 +$12 10-31 17:24
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +161 $13 9¢ $15 +$2 10-31 18:08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No -22 -$76 59¢ $-13 +$62 10-30 21:06