Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
open
Total volume
$106,922
Trades
823
Unique wallets
301
Liquidity
$33,212
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-07 06:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+94.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $49
vs crowd: 5% YES on $54.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $47 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $84 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $64 | $5.4K | $5.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 249 | $2.6K | $43.5K | $40.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $49 | — | +$49 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $66 | $952 | $886 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $50 | $4.2K | $4.2K |
| Median | 28 | $386 | $2.4K | $2.0K |
| Below median | 31 | $172 | $6.7K | $6.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $37 | $477 | $440 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $34 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $15 | $77 | $62 |
| unranked | 197 | $2.0K | $35.4K | $33.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5af7…31ad | Yes | +2,326 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-05 18:48 |
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +1,090 | $1,050 | $1,050 | 7 | 07-03 02:57 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +1,000 | $950 | $950 | 3 | 06-02 23:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ae0…1472 | No | +814 | $776 | $776 | 2 | 07-05 18:48 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +777 | $26 | $71 | 10 | 07-05 18:48 |
| Arctic-Wrinkle-Crest 0x517b…be02 | Yes | +750 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-28 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6459…48a7 | Yes | +674 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-15 04:53 |
| Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | +522 | $22 | $23 | 9 | 07-05 23:21 |
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +521 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-01 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x041f…62c2 | Yes | +480 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-15 08:38 |
| Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | +471 | $17 | $58 | 6 | 06-15 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e76…6ce5 | Yes | +471 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-15 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e8e…4fad | No | +346 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 06-15 04:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6987…5d49 | No | +328 | $313 | $313 | 1 | 06-15 04:52 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +259 | $11 | $47 | 15 | 07-05 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d02…1eee | No | +250 | $237 | $237 | 1 | 06-15 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x22b9…8b2a | No | +245 | $234 | $234 | 1 | 06-15 08:39 |
| Upbeat-Shoehorn 0xa45d…9b0d | No | +238 | $226 | $226 | 1 | 06-15 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e2c…e999 | No | +235 | $224 | $224 | 1 | 06-15 08:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b71…de06 | Yes | +230 | $12 | $37 | 3 | 06-15 07:39 |
| Astonishing-Error 0xf321…10c6 | No | +230 | $218 | $218 | 1 | 06-15 06:21 |
| Frayed-Macrofauna 0x3a23…fb71 | Yes | +229 | $11 | $36 | 3 | 06-15 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1970…7894 | Yes | +220 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-15 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc10…33cc | Yes | +150 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 17:26 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | +110 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-02 23:45 |
| Third-Cobweb 0xd60a…1bcd | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 06:22 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +80 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 02:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +80 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-15 04:35 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +73 | $71 | $71 | 3 | 07-05 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c94…9543 | No | +56 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 07-05 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x63c7…04d7 | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-25 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x12c6…e328 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-05 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9ea…5108 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 4 | 07-05 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8618…4386 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-25 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9afb…7c14 | Yes | +34 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-26 18:35 |
| Alarmed-Oyster 0x22bf…8642 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-28 10:44 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x639d…6e81 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-28 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc713…fff9 | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xedae…81b0 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 23:44 |
| Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-05 18:56 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 19:34 |
| Animated-Shirt 0xf6e1…0923 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-07 20:45 |
| Klutzy-Commitment 0x2998…b425 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-25 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 21:41 |
| Some-Sheath 0xdb9c…14d2 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $48 | 4 | 06-15 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +8 | $8 | $38 | 4 | 07-05 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-05 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-06 13:15 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 21:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 06:43:31 | (anonymous) 0x56ce…73af | Yes | SELL | 474 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x751940… |
| 07-07 06:43:31 | (anonymous) 0xc82a…9234 | No | SELL | 474 | 96¢ | $457 | 0x751940… |
| 07-07 06:43:23 | (anonymous) 0xc1b8…2c09 | No | SELL | 470 | 96¢ | $453 | 0x9a87b2… |
| 07-07 06:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x56ce…73af | Yes | SELL | 470 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x9a87b2… |
| 07-07 06:43:07 | (anonymous) 0xd738…c189 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8c861f… |
| 07-07 06:43:07 | (anonymous) 0x56ce…73af | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8c861f… |
| 07-07 06:42:50 | (anonymous) 0x24e4…e545 | Yes | SELL | 470 | 3¢ | $16 | 0xbe9dbe… |
| 07-07 06:42:50 | (anonymous) 0xd738…c189 | No | SELL | 470 | 96¢ | $454 | 0xbe9dbe… |
| 07-07 06:42:38 | (anonymous) 0x24e4…e545 | Yes | SELL | 460 | 4¢ | $16 | 0xe1e6ea… |
| 07-07 06:42:38 | (anonymous) 0x0c9a…8d51 | No | SELL | 460 | 96¢ | $444 | 0xe1e6ea… |
| 07-07 05:46:22 | Periodic-Pub 0x8fdd…f2cb | No | SELL | 425 | 96¢ | $409 | 0xaea5e2… |
| 07-07 05:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x0f5d…77af | Yes | SELL | 425 | 4¢ | $16 | 0xaea5e2… |
| 07-07 05:46:13 | Calculating-Coaster 0x93b0…39dc | No | SELL | 435 | 96¢ | $418 | 0x542de9… |
| 07-07 05:46:13 | (anonymous) 0x0f5d…77af | Yes | SELL | 435 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x542de9… |
| 07-07 05:46:01 | Meek-Revenge 0x8acd…4d84 | No | SELL | 445 | 96¢ | $428 | 0x311b99… |
| 07-07 05:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x6582…a10a | Yes | SELL | 445 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x311b99… |
| 07-07 05:45:50 | Vast-Brotherinlaw 0x279d…77f8 | No | SELL | 415 | 96¢ | $399 | 0x099d98… |
| 07-07 05:45:50 | (anonymous) 0x6582…a10a | Yes | SELL | 415 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x099d98… |
| 07-07 05:27:08 | (anonymous) 0x56ce…73af | Yes | BUY | 474 | 4¢ | $18 | 0x883e35… |
| 07-07 05:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xc82a…9234 | No | BUY | 474 | 96¢ | $456 | 0x883e35… |
| 07-07 05:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x56ce…73af | Yes | BUY | 476 | 4¢ | $18 | 0xbcbd53… |
| 07-07 05:26:43 | (anonymous) 0xd738…c189 | No | BUY | 476 | 96¢ | $458 | 0xbcbd53… |
| 07-07 05:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x24e4…e545 | Yes | BUY | 470 | 4¢ | $18 | 0x6e684c… |
| 07-07 05:24:08 | (anonymous) 0xc1b8…2c09 | No | BUY | 470 | 96¢ | $452 | 0x6e684c… |
| 07-07 05:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x0c9a…8d51 | No | BUY | 460 | 96¢ | $443 | 0x696e58… |
| 07-07 05:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x24e4…e545 | Yes | BUY | 460 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x696e58… |
| 07-07 03:11:44 | Periodic-Pub 0x8fdd…f2cb | No | BUY | 425 | 96¢ | $409 | 0xf5ae7c… |
| 07-07 03:11:44 | (anonymous) 0x6582…a10a | Yes | BUY | 425 | 4¢ | $16 | 0xf5ae7c… |
| 07-07 03:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x6582…a10a | Yes | BUY | 435 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x5028d8… |
| 07-07 03:11:35 | Calculating-Coaster 0x93b0…39dc | No | BUY | 435 | 96¢ | $418 | 0x5028d8… |
| 07-07 03:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x0f5d…77af | Yes | BUY | 445 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x3165c2… |
| 07-07 03:11:26 | Meek-Revenge 0x8acd…4d84 | No | BUY | 445 | 96¢ | $428 | 0x3165c2… |
| 07-07 03:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x0f5d…77af | Yes | BUY | 415 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x999e86… |
| 07-07 03:11:13 | Vast-Brotherinlaw 0x279d…77f8 | No | BUY | 415 | 96¢ | $399 | 0x999e86… |
| 07-07 02:57:14 | (anonymous) 0xe0cd…30db | No | SELL | 425 | 96¢ | $409 | 0x91f48b… |
| 07-07 02:57:14 | Speedy-Exhibit 0x2b76…6943 | Yes | SELL | 425 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x91f48b… |
| 07-07 02:56:41 | Speedy-Exhibit 0x2b76…6943 | Yes | SELL | 435 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x59fd00… |
| 07-07 02:56:41 | Waterlogged-Stupidity 0xf2eb…7d85 | No | SELL | 435 | 96¢ | $418 | 0x59fd00… |
| 07-07 02:56:31 | Open-Peen 0xd0cb…c986 | No | SELL | 445 | 96¢ | $428 | 0xe83bca… |
| 07-07 02:56:31 | Cool-Sunshine 0xec76…7a2c | Yes | SELL | 445 | 4¢ | $17 | 0xe83bca… |
| 07-07 02:56:07 | Grubby-Bit 0x8575…2ce4 | No | SELL | 415 | 96¢ | $399 | 0xb6abf0… |
| 07-07 02:56:07 | Cool-Sunshine 0xec76…7a2c | Yes | SELL | 415 | 4¢ | $16 | 0xb6abf0… |
| 07-07 01:44:53 | Cool-Sunshine 0xec76…7a2c | Yes | BUY | 425 | 4¢ | $17 | 0xb76a25… |
| 07-07 01:44:53 | (anonymous) 0xe0cd…30db | No | BUY | 425 | 96¢ | $408 | 0xb76a25… |
| 07-07 01:44:41 | Waterlogged-Stupidity 0xf2eb…7d85 | No | BUY | 435 | 96¢ | $418 | 0x5a1b8e… |
| 07-07 01:44:41 | Cool-Sunshine 0xec76…7a2c | Yes | BUY | 435 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x5a1b8e… |
| 07-07 01:44:32 | Open-Peen 0xd0cb…c986 | No | BUY | 445 | 96¢ | $428 | 0x393472… |
| 07-07 01:44:32 | Speedy-Exhibit 0x2b76…6943 | Yes | BUY | 445 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x393472… |
| 07-07 01:44:19 | Speedy-Exhibit 0x2b76…6943 | Yes | BUY | 415 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x25ba75… |
| 07-07 01:44:19 | Grubby-Bit 0x8575…2ce4 | No | BUY | 415 | 96¢ | $399 | 0x25ba75… |
| 07-06 13:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x242320… |
| 07-06 13:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x1bd7…22f6 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x242320… |
| 07-06 13:15:04 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x242320… |
| 07-05 23:21:59 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x34dfef… |
| 07-05 23:21:59 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x34dfef… |
| 07-05 19:29:37 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xda674b… |
| 07-05 19:29:37 | (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xda674b… |
| 07-05 19:29:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xae7768… |
| 07-05 19:29:34 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xae7768… |
| 07-05 19:05:29 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6de8d6… |
| 07-05 19:05:29 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6de8d6… |
| 07-05 18:56:49 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xba5317… |
| 07-05 18:56:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xba5317… |
| 07-05 18:56:47 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbcc792… |
| 07-05 18:56:47 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xbcc792… |
| 07-05 18:53:59 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x884f8e… |
| 07-05 18:53:59 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x884f8e… |
| 07-05 18:53:59 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x884f8e… |
| 07-05 18:48:05 | (anonymous) 0xac0d…cdfa | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0636d1… |
| 07-05 18:48:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0636d1… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 151 | 96¢ | $145 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5c7286… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 230 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 250 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x6ae0…1472 | No | BUY | 806 | 95¢ | $768 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x5af7…31ad | Yes | BUY | 2,326 | 4¢ | $100 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa13d40… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x1bd7…22f6 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa13d40… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x1bd7…22f6 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x5c7286… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x6c94…9543 | No | BUY | 56 | 96¢ | $53 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0xc9ea…5108 | No | BUY | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x12c6…e328 | No | BUY | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-05 18:48:02 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 333 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x69287b… |
| 07-04 23:02:59 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xd4ece8… |
| 07-04 23:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd4ece8… |
| 07-04 12:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x626b81… |
| 07-04 12:09:23 | Wavy-Intelligence 0xc2f7…ea4c | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x626b81… |
| 07-03 18:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x79f216… |
| 07-03 18:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x79f216… |
| 07-03 18:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x79f216… |
| 07-03 18:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x57cf45… |
| 07-03 18:56:32 | Pretty-Bend 0x72bb…ef39 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x57cf45… |
| 07-03 02:57:44 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xf1fa64… |
| 07-03 02:57:44 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 489 | 97¢ | $475 | 0xf1fa64… |
| 07-03 02:57:44 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 250 | 3¢ | $8 | 0xf1fa64… |
| 07-03 02:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x208c8e… |
| 07-03 02:55:20 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x208c8e… |