Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
open
Total volume
$36,142
Trades
265
Unique wallets
101
Liquidity
$33,212
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-09 15:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+94.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $15
vs crowd: 6% YES on $18.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $18 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $27 | $228 | $202 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $52 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 71 | $938 | $14.2K | $13.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $51 | $548 | $497 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $10 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Median | 8 | $146 | $691 | $545 |
| Below median | 9 | $4 | $964 | $961 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $477 | $476 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $23 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 57 | $786 | $11.4K | $10.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +1,000 | $950 | $950 | 3 | 06-02 23:45 |
| Arctic-Wrinkle-Crest 0x517b…be02 | Yes | +750 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-28 00:45 |
| Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | +602 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-08 05:44 |
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +521 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-01 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc10…33cc | Yes | +150 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 17:26 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | +110 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-02 23:45 |
| Third-Cobweb 0xd60a…1bcd | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 06:22 |
| Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 06-08 05:44 |
| Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 06-08 05:43 |
| Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | +99 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-08 05:44 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +80 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 02:51 |
| Plain-Cursor 0x993e…b902 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-29 17:26 |
| Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-08 05:44 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +49 | $2 | $27 | 5 | 06-02 23:45 |
| Alarmed-Oyster 0x22bf…8642 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-28 10:44 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-02 23:43 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x639d…6e81 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-28 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-02 13:49 |
| Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 06:22 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 19:34 |
| Animated-Shirt 0xf6e1…0923 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-07 20:45 |
| Pretty-Bend 0x72bb…ef39 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-07 02:51 |
| Idle-Sick 0x3ecd…26b1 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-30 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $5 | 10 | 06-07 21:11 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 20:52 |
| Sour-Dungeon 0x8c11…1a93 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-31 14:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 15:59:10 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xf9a4c9… |
| 06-09 15:59:10 | (anonymous) 0xe647…f3b4 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf9a4c9… |
| 06-09 15:59:10 | (anonymous) 0x6043…0c7b | No | SELL | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xf9a4c9… |
| 06-08 05:44:48 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | BUY | 99 | 96¢ | $95 | 0xe68a98… |
| 06-08 05:44:48 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | BUY | 574 | 4¢ | $24 | 0xe68a98… |
| 06-08 05:44:48 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xe68a98… |
| 06-08 05:44:48 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | BUY | 99 | 96¢ | $94 | 0xe68a98… |
| 06-08 05:44:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 326 | 4¢ | $14 | 0xe68a98… |
| 06-08 05:43:04 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4ed75f… |
| 06-08 05:43:04 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4ed75f… |
| 06-08 05:43:04 | Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x4ed75f… |
| 06-08 03:57:49 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 107 | 96¢ | $102 | 0x270c51… |
| 06-08 03:57:49 | Ragged-Scope 0xc600…e634 | Yes | SELL | 107 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x270c51… |
| 06-07 21:11:13 | Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | BUY | 74 | 96¢ | $70 | 0x5e23e2… |
| 06-07 21:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5e23e2… |
| 06-07 21:11:13 | Ragged-Scope 0xc600…e634 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x5e23e2… |
| 06-07 20:45:51 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xd12db1… |
| 06-07 20:45:51 | Animated-Shirt 0xf6e1…0923 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xd12db1… |
| 06-07 19:32:30 | Aromatic-Effect 0xaa68…f690 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb51878… |
| 06-07 19:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb51878… |
| 06-07 19:20:30 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x405083… |
| 06-07 19:20:30 | Passionate-Havoc 0xf2c1…d8ee | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x405083… |
| 06-07 19:00:54 | Zealous-Thumb 0xee6b…8dac | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x5a7f8e… |
| 06-07 19:00:54 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5a7f8e… |
| 06-07 16:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x17e8d6… |
| 06-07 16:24:25 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x17e8d6… |
| 06-07 06:50:39 | Excited-Jicama 0xc402…586c | No | SELL | 445 | 95¢ | $425 | 0x2aeb2f… |
| 06-07 06:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x58f6…2ecd | Yes | SELL | 857 | 5¢ | $39 | 0x2aeb2f… |
| 06-07 06:50:39 | Attached-Moody 0xd3ee…6461 | No | SELL | 412 | 95¢ | $393 | 0x2aeb2f… |
| 06-07 06:50:37 | Harmful-Guerrilla 0x9321…d279 | No | SELL | 412 | 95¢ | $393 | 0x5d7458… |
| 06-07 06:50:37 | Attached-Moody 0xd3ee…6461 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x5d7458… |
| 06-07 06:50:37 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Run 0x2a76…8006 | Yes | SELL | 857 | 5¢ | $39 | 0x5d7458… |
| 06-07 06:50:37 | Slight-Departure 0xcd86…e658 | No | SELL | 433 | 95¢ | $413 | 0x5d7458… |
| 06-07 06:22:03 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x230e50… |
| 06-07 06:22:03 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x230e50… |
| 06-07 06:22:03 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x230e50… |
| 06-07 06:22:03 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x230e50… |
| 06-07 06:22:03 | Third-Cobweb 0xd60a…1bcd | No | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x230e50… |
| 06-07 04:36:43 | Harmful-Guerrilla 0x9321…d279 | No | BUY | 412 | 94¢ | $389 | 0x3deea7… |
| 06-07 04:36:43 | (anonymous) 0x58f6…2ecd | Yes | BUY | 412 | 6¢ | $23 | 0x3deea7… |
| 06-07 04:36:37 | (anonymous) 0x58f6…2ecd | Yes | BUY | 445 | 6¢ | $25 | 0xa30674… |
| 06-07 04:36:37 | Excited-Jicama 0xc402…586c | No | BUY | 445 | 94¢ | $420 | 0xa30674… |
| 06-07 04:35:00 | Attached-Moody 0xd3ee…6461 | No | BUY | 424 | 94¢ | $400 | 0xd9545b… |
| 06-07 04:35:00 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Run 0x2a76…8006 | Yes | BUY | 424 | 6¢ | $24 | 0xd9545b… |
| 06-07 04:34:58 | Slight-Departure 0xcd86…e658 | No | BUY | 433 | 94¢ | $408 | 0xfce77a… |
| 06-07 04:34:58 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Run 0x2a76…8006 | Yes | BUY | 433 | 6¢ | $25 | 0xfce77a… |
| 06-07 04:31:57 | Agreeable-Specification 0x9647…fa82 | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xe5f049… |
| 06-07 04:31:57 | (anonymous) 0xdf92…933c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe5f049… |
| 06-07 04:31:42 | (anonymous) 0xdf92…933c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x76f16e… |
| 06-07 04:31:42 | Agreeable-Specification 0x9647…fa82 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x76f16e… |
| 06-07 04:30:45 | Agreeable-Specification 0x9647…fa82 | No | SELL | 496 | 95¢ | $473 | 0x292b43… |
| 06-07 04:30:45 | Incomparable-Butterfly 0xa9d4…a3cb | Yes | SELL | 496 | 5¢ | $23 | 0x292b43… |
| 06-07 04:30:30 | Incomparable-Butterfly 0xa9d4…a3cb | Yes | SELL | 510 | 5¢ | $24 | 0x47c8d7… |
| 06-07 04:30:30 | Quixotic-Prosperity 0xb228…6840 | No | SELL | 510 | 95¢ | $486 | 0x47c8d7… |
| 06-07 04:29:58 | (anonymous) 0xdf92…933c | Yes | SELL | 508 | 5¢ | $24 | 0x30031a… |
| 06-07 04:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x3c05…c1c2 | No | SELL | 508 | 95¢ | $484 | 0x30031a… |
| 06-07 04:29:42 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xdb1a83… |
| 06-07 04:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xde6d…b135 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xdb1a83… |
| 06-07 04:29:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdb1a83… |
| 06-07 04:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x53e2d2… |
| 06-07 04:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xde6d…b135 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x53e2d2… |
| 06-07 04:29:39 | (anonymous) 0xdf92…933c | Yes | SELL | 498 | 5¢ | $23 | 0x99f2e8… |
| 06-07 04:29:39 | Kindly-Indigence 0x7bd6…03da | No | SELL | 498 | 95¢ | $475 | 0x99f2e8… |
| 06-07 03:45:01 | (anonymous) 0xde6d…b135 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x98669f… |
| 06-07 03:45:01 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x98669f… |
| 06-07 03:45:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x98669f… |
| 06-07 03:45:00 | (anonymous) 0xde6d…b135 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4ffe2a… |
| 06-07 03:45:00 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4ffe2a… |
| 06-07 03:44:57 | (anonymous) 0xdf92…933c | Yes | BUY | 500 | 5¢ | $24 | 0x772952… |
| 06-07 03:44:57 | Agreeable-Specification 0x9647…fa82 | No | BUY | 500 | 95¢ | $476 | 0x772952… |
| 06-07 03:44:19 | (anonymous) 0xdf92…933c | Yes | BUY | 510 | 5¢ | $24 | 0x0d3afe… |
| 06-07 03:44:19 | Quixotic-Prosperity 0xb228…6840 | No | BUY | 510 | 95¢ | $486 | 0x0d3afe… |
| 06-07 03:43:19 | Incomparable-Butterfly 0xa9d4…a3cb | Yes | BUY | 508 | 5¢ | $24 | 0xea05d9… |
| 06-07 03:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x3c05…c1c2 | No | BUY | 508 | 95¢ | $484 | 0xea05d9… |
| 06-07 03:42:33 | Kindly-Indigence 0x7bd6…03da | No | BUY | 498 | 95¢ | $475 | 0xb87b34… |
| 06-07 03:42:33 | Incomparable-Butterfly 0xa9d4…a3cb | Yes | BUY | 498 | 5¢ | $23 | 0xb87b34… |
| 06-07 03:15:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0xdb6c77… |
| 06-07 03:15:19 | Corrupt-Benefit 0x3e1e…61e3 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdb6c77… |
| 06-07 03:14:15 | (anonymous) 0x3e2b…ccc7 | No | SELL | 472 | 95¢ | $447 | 0x527e21… |
| 06-07 03:14:15 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x86eddf… |
| 06-07 03:14:15 | Corrupt-Benefit 0x3e1e…61e3 | Yes | SELL | 472 | 5¢ | $25 | 0x527e21… |
| 06-07 03:14:15 | (anonymous) 0x3e2b…ccc7 | No | SELL | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x86eddf… |
| 06-07 03:14:04 | Fumbling-Tenth 0xb829…bb6c | No | SELL | 510 | 95¢ | $483 | 0x27baf0… |
| 06-07 03:14:04 | Corrupt-Benefit 0x3e1e…61e3 | Yes | SELL | 510 | 5¢ | $27 | 0x27baf0… |
| 06-07 03:13:42 | (anonymous) 0xbb14…2980 | No | SELL | 520 | 95¢ | $492 | 0xb4c73b… |
| 06-07 03:13:42 | (anonymous) 0x9b64…a955 | Yes | SELL | 520 | 5¢ | $28 | 0xb4c73b… |
| 06-07 03:13:28 | Glossy-Empowerment 0x9fde…4320 | No | SELL | 480 | 95¢ | $455 | 0x7c8de1… |
| 06-07 03:13:28 | (anonymous) 0x9b64…a955 | Yes | SELL | 480 | 5¢ | $25 | 0x7c8de1… |
| 06-07 03:11:03 | (anonymous) 0xbc05…afd0 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 5¢ | $27 | 0xda4fc9… |
| 06-07 03:11:03 | (anonymous) 0xb836…e7b5 | No | SELL | 500 | 95¢ | $473 | 0xda4fc9… |
| 06-07 03:10:34 | (anonymous) 0x3260…affd | No | SELL | 477 | 94¢ | $451 | 0xd5ee5b… |
| 06-07 03:10:34 | (anonymous) 0xbc05…afd0 | Yes | SELL | 477 | 6¢ | $26 | 0xd5ee5b… |
| 06-07 03:10:13 | (anonymous) 0xe136…1415 | No | SELL | 490 | 94¢ | $463 | 0xf65c1d… |
| 06-07 03:10:13 | (anonymous) 0xeb51…800f | Yes | SELL | 490 | 6¢ | $27 | 0xf65c1d… |
| 06-07 03:09:55 | Revolving-Quotation 0xba7f…323a | No | SELL | 498 | 94¢ | $471 | 0x9b71ee… |
| 06-07 03:09:55 | (anonymous) 0xeb51…800f | Yes | SELL | 498 | 6¢ | $27 | 0x9b71ee… |
| 06-07 03:07:00 | (anonymous) 0x72f9…6f64 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6da7e2… |
| 06-07 03:07:00 | Dearest-Cloves 0xfd8e…f064 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x6da7e2… |
| 06-07 03:06:54 | Dearest-Cloves 0xfd8e…f064 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xb0aaa3… |
| 06-07 03:06:54 | (anonymous) 0x7439…ac28 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb0aaa3… |