Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
open
Total volume
$112,703
Trades
956
Unique wallets
334
Liquidity
$33,212
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-14 16:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+95.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $51
vs crowd: 5% YES on $57.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $68 | $4.7K | $4.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $83 | $527 | $443 |
| 🐟 Fish | 91 | $416 | $26.9K | $26.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 213 | $2.3K | $22.7K | $20.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $51 | — | +$51 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $77 | $952 | $875 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $50 | $4.2K | $4.2K |
| Median | 30 | $391 | $2.4K | $2.1K |
| Below median | 30 | $171 | $7.1K | $6.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $44 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $39 | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $11 | $76 | $65 |
| unranked | 220 | $2.0K | $36.0K | $34.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5af7…31ad | Yes | +2,326 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-05 18:48 |
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +1,100 | $1,060 | $4,207 | 43 | 08-14 16:56 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +1,000 | $950 | $950 | 3 | 06-02 23:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ae0…1472 | No | +814 | $776 | $776 | 2 | 07-05 18:48 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +777 | $26 | $71 | 10 | 07-05 18:48 |
| Arctic-Wrinkle-Crest 0x517b…be02 | Yes | +750 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-28 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6459…48a7 | Yes | +674 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-15 04:53 |
| Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | +522 | $22 | $23 | 9 | 07-05 23:21 |
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +521 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-01 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x041f…62c2 | Yes | +480 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-15 08:38 |
| Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | +471 | $17 | $58 | 6 | 06-15 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e76…6ce5 | Yes | +471 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-15 04:35 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +444 | $431 | $431 | 4 | 08-02 02:49 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +360 | $13 | $49 | 16 | 07-22 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e8e…4fad | No | +346 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 06-15 04:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6987…5d49 | No | +328 | $313 | $313 | 1 | 06-15 04:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +250 | $244 | $244 | 3 | 08-01 04:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d02…1eee | No | +250 | $237 | $237 | 1 | 06-15 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x22b9…8b2a | No | +245 | $234 | $234 | 1 | 06-15 08:39 |
| Upbeat-Shoehorn 0xa45d…9b0d | No | +238 | $226 | $226 | 1 | 06-15 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e2c…e999 | No | +235 | $224 | $224 | 1 | 06-15 08:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b71…de06 | Yes | +230 | $12 | $37 | 3 | 06-15 07:39 |
| Astonishing-Error 0xf321…10c6 | No | +230 | $218 | $218 | 1 | 06-15 06:21 |
| Frayed-Macrofauna 0x3a23…fb71 | Yes | +229 | $11 | $36 | 3 | 06-15 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1970…7894 | Yes | +220 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-15 04:03 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +220 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-12 17:44 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +163 | $158 | $158 | 4 | 07-31 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc10…33cc | Yes | +150 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 17:26 |
| Third-Cobweb 0xd60a…1bcd | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 06:22 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +80 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 02:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +80 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-15 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf91b…fd85 | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 07-21 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf269…8a3d | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-24 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x58f6…9077 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-22 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb36d…7a97 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-22 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9ea…5108 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 4 | 07-05 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e05…b9e1 | No | +48 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 07-24 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x881c…25fd | No | +40 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 07-31 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9afb…7c14 | Yes | +34 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-26 18:35 |
| Alarmed-Oyster 0x22bf…8642 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-28 10:44 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x639d…6e81 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-28 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xedae…81b0 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 23:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf6f…4de7 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-08 13:39 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 19:34 |
| Animated-Shirt 0xf6e1…0923 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-07 20:45 |
| Klutzy-Commitment 0x2998…b425 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-25 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5924…2e9c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-07 10:02 |
| Some-Sheath 0xdb9c…14d2 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $48 | 4 | 06-15 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x69da…ceea | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-21 05:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x30de…7f4d | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 07-31 00:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 16:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 209 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xdc8e1b… |
| 08-14 16:56:24 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 58 | 98¢ | $56 | 0xdc8e1b… |
| 08-14 16:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x48ed…f7d4 | Yes | SELL | 267 | 2¢ | $6 | 0xdc8e1b… |
| 08-12 17:44:13 | (anonymous) 0xa9fb…1d77 | No | SELL | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x3b4033… |
| 08-12 17:44:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 196 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x3b4033… |
| 08-12 17:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x286e…7d04 | Yes | SELL | 286 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x3b4033… |
| 08-12 17:44:13 | (anonymous) 0xa070…c260 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x3b4033… |
| 08-10 19:42:51 | Empty-Subprime 0x0452…cd6c | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x394df2… |
| 08-10 19:42:51 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x394df2… |
| 08-07 20:29:37 | (anonymous) 0x9dbf…9cfa | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xaef187… |
| 08-07 20:29:37 | (anonymous) 0x207f…91b7 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xaef187… |
| 08-07 17:26:03 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 96 | 97¢ | $93 | 0x07a7eb… |
| 08-07 17:26:03 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 96 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x07a7eb… |
| 08-07 15:37:48 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd236ca… |
| 08-07 15:37:48 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd236ca… |
| 08-07 10:02:43 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x12b396… |
| 08-07 10:02:43 | (anonymous) 0x5924…2e9c | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x12b396… |
| 08-04 19:38:06 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x19fc6d… |
| 08-04 19:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x0f0f…2144 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x19fc6d… |
| 08-04 19:29:05 | (anonymous) 0x0f0f…2144 | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xa8cf87… |
| 08-04 19:29:05 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xa8cf87… |
| 08-04 19:28:08 | (anonymous) 0x0f0f…2144 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0fd1cc… |
| 08-04 19:28:08 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0fd1cc… |
| 08-02 23:41:33 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 625 | 97¢ | $608 | 0xbf802f… |
| 08-02 23:41:33 | Frilly-Difference 0x2e6a…7155 | Yes | SELL | 625 | 3¢ | $18 | 0xbf802f… |
| 08-02 02:49:59 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 103 | 97¢ | $100 | 0x4f1ae5… |
| 08-02 02:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 96 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x4f1ae5… |
| 08-02 02:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4f1ae5… |
| 08-02 02:49:59 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x4f1ae5… |
| 08-01 04:55:24 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xf26259… |
| 08-01 04:55:24 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xf26259… |
| 07-31 22:12:14 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 89 | 97¢ | $87 | 0xdbb8f8… |
| 07-31 22:12:14 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 89 | 97¢ | $87 | 0xdbb8f8… |
| 07-31 21:42:18 | (anonymous) 0x48ed…f7d4 | Yes | BUY | 267 | 3¢ | $8 | 0xa65465… |
| 07-31 21:42:18 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 267 | 97¢ | $259 | 0xa65465… |
| 07-31 16:43:11 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x365245… |
| 07-31 16:43:11 | Buttery-Cranberry 0x2b17…972a | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x365245… |
| 07-31 00:39:11 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0x225a40… |
| 07-31 00:39:11 | (anonymous) 0x30de…7f4d | Yes | SELL | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x225a40… |
| 07-31 00:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x30de…7f4d | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xab054c… |
| 07-31 00:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x881c…25fd | No | BUY | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0xab054c… |
| 07-30 01:13:03 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xd0536d… |
| 07-30 01:13:03 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xd0536d… |
| 07-29 21:45:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf22d1f… |
| 07-29 21:45:08 | Linear-Leaver 0x2811…6818 | No | SELL | 105 | 97¢ | $102 | 0xf22d1f… |
| 07-29 21:45:08 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 73 | 97¢ | $71 | 0xf22d1f… |
| 07-29 18:59:15 | Orderly-Poster 0x6cb9…4f81 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x10f1ac… |
| 07-29 18:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x10f1ac… |
| 07-29 18:59:06 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xe5b50e… |
| 07-29 18:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xe5b50e… |
| 07-29 18:07:45 | Harsh-Scissors 0x921d…f171 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5adeb0… |
| 07-29 18:07:45 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5adeb0… |
| 07-28 04:03:45 | (anonymous) 0x9dbf…9cfa | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3debe1… |
| 07-28 04:03:45 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3debe1… |
| 07-28 03:42:31 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x3a8b35… |
| 07-28 03:42:31 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x3a8b35… |
| 07-27 07:22:57 | (anonymous) 0xa070…c260 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x9db364… |
| 07-27 07:22:57 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 90 | 98¢ | $88 | 0x9db364… |
| 07-27 07:22:57 | (anonymous) 0xa9fb…1d77 | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x9db364… |
| 07-26 03:31:15 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3585ed… |
| 07-26 03:31:15 | Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3585ed… |
| 07-25 18:55:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 173 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xbde1f5… |
| 07-25 18:55:16 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 173 | 97¢ | $168 | 0xbde1f5… |
| 07-24 22:53:04 | (anonymous) 0xf269…8a3d | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xd0d6df… |
| 07-24 22:53:04 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xd0d6df… |
| 07-24 18:40:51 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 136 | 98¢ | $134 | 0xa23673… |
| 07-24 18:40:51 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 91 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa23673… |
| 07-24 18:40:51 | (anonymous) 0x5e05…b9e1 | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xa23673… |
| 07-23 17:20:54 | Large-Angle 0x239d…daeb | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x499c07… |
| 07-23 17:20:54 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x499c07… |
| 07-22 20:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x58f6…9077 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x3ba74b… |
| 07-22 20:00:09 | (anonymous) 0xb36d…7a97 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x3ba74b… |
| 07-22 20:00:09 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3ba74b… |
| 07-21 21:28:22 | (anonymous) 0xf618…1cf7 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe1e170… |
| 07-21 21:28:22 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 53 | 99¢ | $52 | 0xe1e170… |
| 07-21 20:54:49 | (anonymous) 0xf618…1cf7 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc70ff4… |
| 07-21 20:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x5e05…b9e1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xc70ff4… |
| 07-21 20:54:49 | (anonymous) 0xf91b…fd85 | No | BUY | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0xc70ff4… |
| 07-21 05:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac4072… |
| 07-21 05:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x69da…ceea | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xac4072… |
| 07-21 05:25:58 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0b82aa… |
| 07-21 05:25:58 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0b82aa… |
| 07-20 17:26:15 | (anonymous) 0xc713…fff9 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3da9d6… |
| 07-20 17:26:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3da9d6… |
| 07-20 12:55:51 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x5cddba… |
| 07-20 12:55:51 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 111 | 98¢ | $109 | 0x5cddba… |
| 07-18 18:23:39 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 500 | 98¢ | $488 | 0x3a074d… |
| 07-18 18:23:39 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $488 | 0x3a074d… |
| 07-18 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2de188… |
| 07-18 16:35:58 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 236 | 97¢ | $231 | 0x2de188… |
| 07-18 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x2de188… |
| 07-18 16:27:34 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x2c45ff… |
| 07-18 16:27:34 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x2c45ff… |
| 07-18 16:20:49 | (anonymous) 0xfdbc…81f8 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf8680c… |
| 07-18 16:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf8680c… |
| 07-18 11:32:18 | (anonymous) 0xf91b…fd85 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xcfdf0a… |
| 07-18 11:32:18 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xcfdf0a… |
| 07-18 11:22:40 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x77939e… |
| 07-18 11:22:40 | (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x77939e… |
| 07-18 11:03:33 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf90a11… |