Realized P&L
-$90
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
506
Trades
1,304
lifetime
Volume
$4.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.49K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-28 15:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Politics
73% 74% -$90
Other
27% 75% -$1
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,083 $1,002 92¢ $1.0K +$0 10-28 15:10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +158 $106 66¢ $105 -$1 10-28 15:11
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +86 $84 98¢ $84 +$0 07-26 04:52
China coup attempt before 2027? No +38 $37 97¢ $37 $0 06-15 07:34
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +22 $21 93¢ $20 -$1 09-10 16:32
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$2 08-23 05:00
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +15 $13 98¢ $15 +$2 06-10 07:18
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 06-21 07:21
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +14 $14 96¢ $14 $0 06-16 11:53
russia coup attempt in 2026 No +14 $13 97¢ $14 +$1 06-15 07:32
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 No +14 $13 92¢ $13 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +12 $10 92¢ $12 +$2 05-14 05:07
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-21 07:20
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +11 $8 97¢ $10 +$2 06-02 19:40
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-02 19:38
Will Alberta join the US? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-05 18:34
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-21 07:22
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 07-25 14:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 10-04 16:43
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 95¢ $8 +$1 07-19 06:46
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +8 $8 96¢ $8 $0 09-10 16:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +8 $7 88¢ $7 +$0 10-12 15:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 10-04 15:51
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 +$0 06-21 07:22
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-04 16:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 06-01 18:03
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 05-06 12:00
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $6 57¢ $6 $0 10-27 15:16
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 06-05 18:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-05 18:32