Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
5.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
738
lifetime
Volume
$1.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$264
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 06-29 08:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
71% 33% $-2
Other
29% 0% $-16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +78 $77 95¢ $74 $-3 06-16 11:59
China coup attempt before 2027? No +38 $37 97¢ $37 $-0 06-15 07:34
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? No +25 $24 95¢ $24 $-0 06-16 11:58
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +14 $14 97¢ $14 $-0 06-16 11:53
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $-0 06-16 11:52
Will Alberta join the US? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-05 18:34
Another Canada election called by June 30? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 06-05 18:36
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? No +9 $8 89¢ $8 +$0 06-19 19:51
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 +$0 06-16 11:53
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? No +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 06-16 11:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-15 07:03
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 06-05 18:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-05 18:32
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? No +4 $4 93¢ $4 +$0 06-05 18:42
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 06-26 12:37
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $-0 06-18 11:26
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-07 16:42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +4 $3 74¢ $3 +$0 06-10 07:20
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $-0 06-19 19:53
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +24 $3 10¢ $2 $-1 06-16 12:03
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-01 18:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-01 18:07
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 06-26 12:35
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-18 11:38
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $-0 06-26 12:40
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 $-0 06-18 11:27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $-0 05-28 14:41
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 $-0 06-08 16:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-02 19:32