Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
5.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
869
lifetime
Volume
$2.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$296
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-19 07:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
68% 33% $-2
Other
31% 0% $-16
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +80 $79 95¢ $76 $-3 07-07 16:27
China coup attempt before 2027? No +38 $37 96¢ $37 $-0 06-15 07:34
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 +$0 06-16 11:58
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +14 $14 97¢ $14 $-0 06-16 11:53
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $-0 06-16 11:52
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +15 $13 90¢ $13 +$0 07-16 13:31
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? No +14 $13 75¢ $10 $-3 07-19 06:51
Will Alberta join the US? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-05 18:34
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? No +9 $8 91¢ $8 +$0 06-19 19:51
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 89¢ $7 +$0 07-19 06:46
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? No +8 $7 84¢ $7 $-0 06-16 11:53
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year? No +7 $7 88¢ $7 $-0 07-19 06:47
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 06-16 11:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:03
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 06-05 18:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-05 18:32
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 06-05 18:42
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +4 $4 97¢ $4 +$0 07-01 12:32
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 95¢ $4 +$0 06-26 12:37
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? No +4 $4 95¢ $4 +$0 06-18 11:26
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 07-01 12:33
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 07-01 12:13
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? No +4 $4 74¢ $3 $-1 07-19 06:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 06-10 07:20
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-19 19:53
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 $-0 07-19 06:49
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 $-0 06-07 16:42
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +4 $3 76¢ $3 $-0 07-19 06:47
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +3 $3 87¢ $3 $-0 07-01 11:48
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +34 $4 $2 $-2 07-01 12:45