Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
open
Total volume
$24,466
$31 in 24h
Trades
301
Unique wallets
100
Liquidity
$12,732
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-30 05:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $19
vs crowd: 7% YES on $12.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $24 | $19 | +$5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $19 | $19 | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $32 | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 76 | $789 | $9.2K | $8.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $6 | $295 | $289 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $119 | $100 | +$19 |
| Median | 13 | $4 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| Below median | 10 | $32 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $31 | — | +$31 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $19 | $885 | $865 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| unranked | 51 | $638 | $6.7K | $6.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +258 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-25 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +158 | $8 | $13 | 2 | 07-12 14:57 |
| Luminous-Insectarium 0x34dc…d280 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-23 18:21 |
| Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | +101 | $7 | $56 | 28 | 07-30 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fb0…58b6 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-07 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d52…8467 | No | +49 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-25 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0887…fbfb | No | +49 | $47 | $59 | 2 | 07-30 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ed1…a7d0 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 07-25 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:08 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-17 06:59 |
| Oddball-Storyboard 0xc2f7…aef9 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-27 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 06-17 07:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e33…fe0b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 06:22 |
| Aggravating-Towel 0x61d3…6772 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 08:46 |
| Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-15 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8570…52b5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-25 09:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 05:48:29 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | SELL | 130 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x632a67… |
| 07-30 05:48:29 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x632a67… |
| 07-30 05:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x0887…fbfb | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x632a67… |
| 07-30 05:48:29 | (anonymous) 0xacb4…7343 | No | SELL | 74 | 96¢ | $71 | 0x632a67… |
| 07-25 09:02:45 | (anonymous) 0x6ed1…a7d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2ab1fb… |
| 07-25 09:02:45 | (anonymous) 0x1d52…8467 | No | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x2ab1fb… |
| 07-25 09:02:45 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x2ab1fb… |
| 07-25 09:02:45 | (anonymous) 0x8570…52b5 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2ab1fb… |
| 07-25 01:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x6ed1…a7d0 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x98bcd8… |
| 07-25 01:05:07 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 130 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x98bcd8… |
| 07-25 01:05:07 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 90 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x98bcd8… |
| 07-21 05:08:06 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x454445… |
| 07-21 05:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x454445… |
| 07-19 10:00:22 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d4418… |
| 07-19 10:00:22 | Fake-Inn 0x2783…8321 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x8d4418… |
| 07-15 05:02:47 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x65982b… |
| 07-15 05:02:47 | (anonymous) 0xacb4…7343 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x65982b… |
| 07-12 14:57:43 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 128 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x72a835… |
| 07-12 14:57:43 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x72a835… |
| 07-12 14:57:43 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 62 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x72a835… |
| 07-12 14:57:43 | (anonymous) 0x0887…fbfb | No | BUY | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0x72a835… |
| 07-12 11:25:44 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x19246b… |
| 07-12 11:25:44 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x19246b… |
| 07-12 11:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x200548… |
| 07-12 11:22:02 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x200548… |
| 07-12 11:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdbcc11… |
| 07-12 11:18:52 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdbcc11… |
| 07-12 01:41:58 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0a5ae9… |
| 07-12 01:41:58 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0a5ae9… |
| 07-07 13:05:23 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xa1492b… |
| 07-07 13:05:23 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 65 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xa1492b… |
| 07-07 10:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x4fb0…58b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xf85a24… |
| 07-07 10:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 220 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xf85a24… |
| 07-07 10:10:07 | (anonymous) 0xacb4…7343 | No | BUY | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0xf85a24… |
| 07-07 10:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 53 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf85a24… |
| 07-07 10:10:07 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 61 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xf85a24… |
| 06-30 00:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xe394…761c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x97f9c9… |
| 06-30 00:15:14 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x97f9c9… |
| 06-28 23:10:44 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | BUY | 130 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x1f3e61… |
| 06-28 23:10:44 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 130 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x1f3e61… |
| 06-27 14:58:55 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xea9d64… |
| 06-27 14:58:55 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xea9d64… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:13:01 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5f638e… |
| 06-27 08:13:01 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5f638e… |
| 06-27 08:13:01 | Oddball-Storyboard 0xc2f7…aef9 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x5f638e… |
| 06-26 21:12:47 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x14e923… |
| 06-26 21:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 61 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x14e923… |
| 06-26 21:12:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 161 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x14e923… |
| 06-26 07:03:29 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x408245… |
| 06-26 07:03:29 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x408245… |
| 06-26 07:03:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x1b4bc2… |
| 06-26 07:03:25 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x1b4bc2… |
| 06-26 07:03:25 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1b4bc2… |
| 06-26 07:03:25 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x1b4bc2… |
| 06-26 07:03:25 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1b4bc2… |
| 06-26 07:01:37 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 150 | 5¢ | $8 | 0xd6e22f… |
| 06-26 07:01:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 145 | 5¢ | $8 | 0xd6e22f… |
| 06-26 07:01:37 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd6e22f… |
| 06-26 06:24:02 | Joint-Tracksuit 0x53bd…8ab8 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdb958a… |
| 06-26 06:24:02 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdb958a… |
| 06-25 12:59:31 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x96f697… |
| 06-25 12:59:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x96f697… |
| 06-24 12:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x158c81… |
| 06-24 12:19:53 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x158c81… |
| 06-24 12:17:05 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf327ae… |
| 06-24 12:17:05 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf327ae… |
| 06-24 11:46:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xaa1c1c… |
| 06-24 11:46:53 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xaa1c1c… |
| 06-24 11:46:49 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb2c13a… |
| 06-24 11:46:49 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb2c13a… |
| 06-24 11:46:29 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x55579a… |
| 06-24 11:46:29 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x55579a… |
| 06-24 11:46:29 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | SELL | 134 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x55579a… |
| 06-24 11:46:29 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x55579a… |
| 06-23 18:21:32 | Luminous-Insectarium 0x34dc…d280 | No | BUY | 107 | 94¢ | $100 | 0xcf0270… |
| 06-23 18:21:32 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xcf0270… |
| 06-23 18:21:32 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcf0270… |
| 06-23 09:13:20 | (anonymous) 0xacb4…7343 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x528ed2… |
| 06-23 09:13:20 | (anonymous) 0xe61b…96b3 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x528ed2… |
| 06-23 09:13:07 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbef36c… |
| 06-23 09:13:07 | (anonymous) 0xe61b…96b3 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xbef36c… |
| 06-23 09:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd70cd2… |
| 06-23 09:05:49 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd70cd2… |
| 06-23 09:05:49 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd70cd2… |
| 06-23 07:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x3a4a…ed9c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xddedc5… |
| 06-23 07:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xddedc5… |
| 06-23 07:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x3a4a…ed9c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae0188… |
| 06-23 07:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae0188… |
| 06-18 01:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x23d8…ff1a | No | SELL | 64 | 93¢ | $59 | 0x8731ee… |
| 06-18 01:38:37 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x8731ee… |
| 06-18 01:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x8731ee… |
| 06-17 15:57:50 | Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x4773c8… |
| 06-17 15:57:50 | (anonymous) 0x23d8…ff1a | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x4773c8… |
| 06-17 10:46:59 | (anonymous) 0x60b3…19d2 | No | SELL | 480 | 93¢ | $447 | 0x62b4d1… |