Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
open
Total volume
$25,584
$31 in 24h
Trades
393
Unique wallets
120
Liquidity
$12,732
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-21 10:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $19
vs crowd: 7% YES on $13.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $25 | $19 | +$7 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $33 | $154 | $121 |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $115 | $4.7K | $4.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 76 | $740 | $7.2K | $6.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $18 | $382 | $363 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $119 | $100 | +$19 |
| Median | 13 | $4 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| Below median | 14 | $48 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $31 | — | +$31 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $19 | $885 | $865 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| unranked | 65 | $657 | $7.0K | $6.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +362 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 08-11 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf22…df0f | Yes | +182 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-05 13:10 |
| Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | +111 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-21 10:45 |
| Luminous-Insectarium 0x34dc…d280 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-23 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca9…0962 | No | +57 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 08-21 10:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x7efd…585d | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 08-11 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb17…abeb | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 08-11 09:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bc1…10b7 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-11 09:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x8570…52b5 | No | +39 | $37 | $57 | 5 | 08-20 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b08…b33b | No | +35 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 08-11 09:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:08 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-17 06:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 06-17 07:25 |
| Oddball-Storyboard 0xc2f7…aef9 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-27 08:13 |
| Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | +18 | $1 | $10 | 8 | 08-21 10:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e33…fe0b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 06:22 |
| Aggravating-Towel 0x61d3…6772 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 08:46 |
| Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-17 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc27…1178 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-20 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +3 | $-1 | $19 | 33 | 08-11 07:23 |
| Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 07-30 20:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 10:45:33 | (anonymous) 0xeca9…0962 | No | BUY | 57 | 96¢ | $55 | 0xbf46f6… |
| 08-21 10:45:33 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 54 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xbf46f6… |
| 08-21 10:45:33 | Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xbf46f6… |
| 08-20 01:14:24 | (anonymous) 0x8570…52b5 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa26218… |
| 08-20 01:14:24 | (anonymous) 0xcc27…1178 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa26218… |
| 08-17 11:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x8570…52b5 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0760e5… |
| 08-17 11:10:55 | Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0760e5… |
| 08-11 09:37:18 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x13b4e3… |
| 08-11 09:37:18 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x13b4e3… |
| 08-11 09:37:15 | (anonymous) 0x0bc1…10b7 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x3a8dec… |
| 08-11 09:37:15 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 110 | 96¢ | $106 | 0x3a8dec… |
| 08-11 09:37:15 | (anonymous) 0x3b08…b33b | No | BUY | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x3a8dec… |
| 08-11 09:37:15 | (anonymous) 0xfb17…abeb | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x3a8dec… |
| 08-11 09:37:15 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3a8dec… |
| 08-11 09:37:07 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x864ab1… |
| 08-11 09:37:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 90 | 96¢ | $87 | 0x864ab1… |
| 08-11 09:37:07 | (anonymous) 0xfb17…abeb | No | BUY | 37 | 96¢ | $36 | 0x864ab1… |
| 08-11 09:37:04 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf9d156… |
| 08-11 09:37:04 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf9d156… |
| 08-11 09:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x7efd…585d | No | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0xb0575c… |
| 08-11 09:35:07 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 262 | 3¢ | $9 | 0xb0575c… |
| 08-11 09:35:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 90 | 96¢ | $87 | 0xb0575c… |
| 08-11 09:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xb0575c… |
| 08-11 09:35:07 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xb0575c… |
| 08-11 09:35:07 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $58 | 0xb0575c… |
| 08-11 07:23:06 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcbdf82… |
| 08-11 07:23:06 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcbdf82… |
| 08-11 07:20:33 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x09d27e… |
| 08-11 07:20:33 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x09d27e… |
| 08-11 07:16:25 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 16 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb1cc1d… |
| 08-11 07:16:25 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb1cc1d… |
| 08-07 10:31:33 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 106 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xd4eb86… |
| 08-07 10:31:33 | (anonymous) 0x5434…654b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd4eb86… |
| 08-07 10:31:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd4eb86… |
| 08-07 10:31:33 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd4eb86… |
| 08-07 09:35:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd221a8… |
| 08-07 09:35:24 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 80 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd221a8… |
| 08-07 09:35:24 | (anonymous) 0x5434…654b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd221a8… |
| 08-07 09:35:24 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd221a8… |
| 08-07 01:49:28 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfbcac2… |
| 08-07 01:49:28 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfbcac2… |
| 08-07 01:48:55 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbd8651… |
| 08-07 01:48:55 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbd8651… |
| 08-07 01:48:55 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbd8651… |
| 08-07 01:37:07 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6b9887… |
| 08-07 01:37:07 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x6b9887… |
| 08-07 01:34:19 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x4a5f14… |
| 08-07 01:34:19 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4a5f14… |
| 08-07 01:34:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4a5f14… |
| 08-06 23:30:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc6802f… |
| 08-06 23:30:45 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc6802f… |
| 08-06 23:23:59 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe40bcc… |
| 08-06 23:23:59 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe40bcc… |
| 08-06 23:16:57 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa50fd5… |
| 08-06 23:16:57 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa50fd5… |
| 08-06 22:03:32 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x48980e… |
| 08-06 22:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x48980e… |
| 08-06 22:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb9ec32… |
| 08-06 22:00:45 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb9ec32… |
| 08-05 20:23:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf575bc… |
| 08-05 20:23:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 39 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf575bc… |
| 08-05 20:23:23 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf575bc… |
| 08-05 13:10:39 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 182 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x289d2d… |
| 08-05 13:10:39 | (anonymous) 0xdf22…df0f | Yes | BUY | 182 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x289d2d… |
| 08-04 18:38:08 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 58 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x3204c8… |
| 08-04 18:38:08 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3204c8… |
| 08-04 18:38:08 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x3204c8… |
| 08-04 18:37:48 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 62 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4cbb5d… |
| 08-04 18:37:48 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4cbb5d… |
| 08-04 14:46:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x01b649… |
| 08-04 14:46:59 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x01b649… |
| 08-04 14:46:59 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x01b649… |
| 08-04 14:46:53 | (anonymous) 0x4fb0…58b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x363426… |
| 08-04 14:46:53 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 258 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x363426… |
| 08-04 14:46:53 | (anonymous) 0x6ed1…a7d0 | No | SELL | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x363426… |
| 08-04 14:46:53 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x363426… |
| 08-04 14:46:53 | (anonymous) 0x1d52…8467 | No | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x363426… |
| 08-04 14:46:53 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x363426… |
| 08-04 14:46:53 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x363426… |
| 08-04 14:09:30 | (anonymous) 0x6ed1…a7d0 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd59714… |
| 08-04 14:09:30 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 147 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xd59714… |
| 08-04 14:09:30 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 158 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xd59714… |
| 08-04 08:35:12 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe02743… |
| 08-04 08:35:12 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe02743… |
| 08-04 08:29:11 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe62bfe… |
| 08-04 08:29:11 | (anonymous) 0x0887…fbfb | No | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0xe62bfe… |
| 08-04 08:29:11 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe62bfe… |
| 08-04 00:14:47 | (anonymous) 0xfb17…abeb | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xb79269… |
| 08-04 00:14:47 | (anonymous) 0x8570…52b5 | No | BUY | 48 | 96¢ | $46 | 0xb79269… |
| 08-04 00:14:47 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb79269… |
| 07-30 20:49:50 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x119231… |
| 07-30 20:49:50 | (anonymous) 0x8570…52b5 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x119231… |
| 07-30 05:48:29 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x632a67… |
| 07-30 05:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x0887…fbfb | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x632a67… |
| 07-30 05:48:29 | (anonymous) 0xacb4…7343 | No | SELL | 74 | 96¢ | $71 | 0x632a67… |
| 07-30 05:48:29 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | SELL | 130 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x632a67… |
| 07-25 09:02:45 | (anonymous) 0x6ed1…a7d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2ab1fb… |
| 07-25 09:02:45 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x2ab1fb… |
| 07-25 09:02:45 | (anonymous) 0x1d52…8467 | No | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x2ab1fb… |
| 07-25 09:02:45 | (anonymous) 0x8570…52b5 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2ab1fb… |