Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
open
Total volume
$24,201
$31 in 24h
Trades
272
Unique wallets
92
Liquidity
$12,732
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-07 13:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $19
vs crowd: 7% YES on $12.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $24 | $19 | +$5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $19 | $19 | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $26 | $363 | $338 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 74 | $778 | $11.0K | $10.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $6 | $295 | $289 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $119 | $100 | +$19 |
| Median | 10 | $3 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| Below median | 10 | $26 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $31 | — | +$31 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $19 | $885 | $865 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| unranked | 47 | $628 | $6.6K | $6.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +220 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 10:10 |
| Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | +130 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-28 23:10 |
| Luminous-Insectarium 0x34dc…d280 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-23 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xacb4…7343 | No | +76 | $72 | $72 | 2 | 07-07 10:10 |
| Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | +65 | $6 | $45 | 19 | 07-07 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fb0…58b6 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-07 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-27 08:38 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-17 06:59 |
| Oddball-Storyboard 0xc2f7…aef9 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-27 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 06-17 07:25 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $8 | 7 | 07-07 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-27 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-27 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-27 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e33…fe0b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 06:22 |
| Aggravating-Towel 0x61d3…6772 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 08:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 13:05:23 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xa1492b… |
| 07-07 13:05:23 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 65 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xa1492b… |
| 07-07 10:10:07 | (anonymous) 0xacb4…7343 | No | BUY | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0xf85a24… |
| 07-07 10:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 220 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xf85a24… |
| 07-07 10:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 53 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf85a24… |
| 07-07 10:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x4fb0…58b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xf85a24… |
| 07-07 10:10:07 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 61 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xf85a24… |
| 06-30 00:15:14 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x97f9c9… |
| 06-30 00:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xe394…761c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x97f9c9… |
| 06-28 23:10:44 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 130 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x1f3e61… |
| 06-28 23:10:44 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | BUY | 130 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x1f3e61… |
| 06-27 14:58:55 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xea9d64… |
| 06-27 14:58:55 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xea9d64… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:38:10 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x13d262… |
| 06-27 08:13:01 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5f638e… |
| 06-27 08:13:01 | Oddball-Storyboard 0xc2f7…aef9 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x5f638e… |
| 06-27 08:13:01 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5f638e… |
| 06-26 21:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 61 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x14e923… |
| 06-26 21:12:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 161 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x14e923… |
| 06-26 21:12:47 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x14e923… |
| 06-26 07:03:29 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x408245… |
| 06-26 07:03:29 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x408245… |
| 06-26 07:03:25 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x1b4bc2… |
| 06-26 07:03:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x1b4bc2… |
| 06-26 07:03:25 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x1b4bc2… |
| 06-26 07:03:25 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1b4bc2… |
| 06-26 07:03:25 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1b4bc2… |
| 06-26 07:01:37 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 150 | 5¢ | $8 | 0xd6e22f… |
| 06-26 07:01:37 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd6e22f… |
| 06-26 07:01:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 145 | 5¢ | $8 | 0xd6e22f… |
| 06-26 06:24:02 | Joint-Tracksuit 0x53bd…8ab8 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdb958a… |
| 06-26 06:24:02 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdb958a… |
| 06-25 12:59:31 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x96f697… |
| 06-25 12:59:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x96f697… |
| 06-24 12:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x158c81… |
| 06-24 12:19:53 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x158c81… |
| 06-24 12:17:05 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf327ae… |
| 06-24 12:17:05 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf327ae… |
| 06-24 11:46:53 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xaa1c1c… |
| 06-24 11:46:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xaa1c1c… |
| 06-24 11:46:49 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb2c13a… |
| 06-24 11:46:49 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb2c13a… |
| 06-24 11:46:29 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x55579a… |
| 06-24 11:46:29 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | SELL | 134 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x55579a… |
| 06-24 11:46:29 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x55579a… |
| 06-24 11:46:29 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x55579a… |
| 06-23 18:21:32 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcf0270… |
| 06-23 18:21:32 | Luminous-Insectarium 0x34dc…d280 | No | BUY | 107 | 94¢ | $100 | 0xcf0270… |
| 06-23 18:21:32 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xcf0270… |
| 06-23 09:13:20 | (anonymous) 0xe61b…96b3 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x528ed2… |
| 06-23 09:13:20 | (anonymous) 0xacb4…7343 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x528ed2… |
| 06-23 09:13:07 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbef36c… |
| 06-23 09:13:07 | (anonymous) 0xe61b…96b3 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xbef36c… |
| 06-23 09:05:49 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd70cd2… |
| 06-23 09:05:49 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd70cd2… |
| 06-23 09:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd70cd2… |
| 06-23 07:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x3a4a…ed9c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xddedc5… |
| 06-23 07:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xddedc5… |
| 06-23 07:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x3a4a…ed9c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae0188… |
| 06-23 07:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae0188… |
| 06-18 01:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x8731ee… |
| 06-18 01:38:37 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x8731ee… |
| 06-18 01:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x23d8…ff1a | No | SELL | 64 | 93¢ | $59 | 0x8731ee… |
| 06-17 15:57:50 | Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x4773c8… |
| 06-17 15:57:50 | (anonymous) 0x23d8…ff1a | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x4773c8… |
| 06-17 10:46:59 | (anonymous) 0x60b3…19d2 | No | SELL | 480 | 93¢ | $447 | 0x62b4d1… |
| 06-17 10:46:59 | (anonymous) 0xab23…29bd | Yes | SELL | 970 | 7¢ | $66 | 0x62b4d1… |
| 06-17 10:46:59 | (anonymous) 0x2b6c…b437 | No | SELL | 490 | 93¢ | $457 | 0x62b4d1… |
| 06-17 10:45:22 | (anonymous) 0xc6a6…ee93 | No | SELL | 500 | 93¢ | $466 | 0x2dea06… |
| 06-17 10:45:22 | (anonymous) 0xcd78…4512 | Yes | SELL | 980 | 7¢ | $67 | 0x2dea06… |
| 06-17 10:45:22 | (anonymous) 0xe040…7935 | No | SELL | 480 | 93¢ | $447 | 0x2dea06… |
| 06-17 10:43:59 | (anonymous) 0x0bb5…2f1e | No | SELL | 530 | 93¢ | $494 | 0x61156f… |
| 06-17 10:43:59 | (anonymous) 0x19e2…74b3 | No | SELL | 450 | 93¢ | $419 | 0x61156f… |
| 06-17 10:43:59 | (anonymous) 0x9778…3a0a | Yes | SELL | 980 | 7¢ | $67 | 0x61156f… |
| 06-17 10:30:56 | (anonymous) 0xc3ff…937b | Yes | SELL | 245 | 7¢ | $16 | 0x8447ba… |
| 06-17 10:30:56 | (anonymous) 0xfda4…b416 | No | SELL | 245 | 93¢ | $229 | 0x8447ba… |
| 06-17 10:30:31 | (anonymous) 0xf77b…acc7 | No | SELL | 255 | 93¢ | $238 | 0xa87e9a… |
| 06-17 10:30:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3ff…937b | Yes | SELL | 255 | 7¢ | $17 | 0xa87e9a… |
| 06-17 10:30:07 | (anonymous) 0xeb40…46fb | Yes | SELL | 245 | 7¢ | $16 | 0xb67301… |
| 06-17 10:30:07 | Infamous-Glass 0x4c73…8df5 | No | SELL | 245 | 93¢ | $229 | 0xb67301… |
| 06-17 10:29:43 | Upset-Worker 0x9f01…48e0 | No | SELL | 255 | 93¢ | $238 | 0xbca9ad… |
| 06-17 10:29:43 | (anonymous) 0xeb40…46fb | Yes | SELL | 255 | 7¢ | $17 | 0xbca9ad… |
| 06-17 10:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xb65e…be59 | Yes | SELL | 255 | 7¢ | $17 | 0xb2a4e4… |
| 06-17 10:21:49 | Drafty-Birdcage 0x37e3…7dd9 | No | SELL | 255 | 93¢ | $238 | 0xb2a4e4… |
| 06-17 10:21:29 | (anonymous) 0xb65e…be59 | Yes | SELL | 245 | 7¢ | $16 | 0x6ef134… |
| 06-17 10:21:29 | (anonymous) 0xbac5…21d1 | No | SELL | 245 | 93¢ | $229 | 0x6ef134… |
| 06-17 10:21:04 | (anonymous) 0xd307…baac | Yes | SELL | 255 | 7¢ | $17 | 0xa2edc7… |
| 06-17 10:21:04 | (anonymous) 0x2c4e…b0dd | No | SELL | 255 | 93¢ | $238 | 0xa2edc7… |
| 06-17 10:20:46 | (anonymous) 0xd307…baac | Yes | SELL | 245 | 7¢ | $16 | 0x1f0216… |
| 06-17 10:20:46 | (anonymous) 0x6555…c4f9 | No | SELL | 245 | 93¢ | $229 | 0x1f0216… |
| 06-17 09:56:22 | (anonymous) 0xab23…29bd | Yes | BUY | 490 | 7¢ | $33 | 0x7f3dd3… |
| 06-17 09:56:22 | (anonymous) 0x2b6c…b437 | No | BUY | 490 | 93¢ | $457 | 0x7f3dd3… |
| 06-17 09:56:04 | (anonymous) 0xab23…29bd | Yes | BUY | 480 | 7¢ | $33 | 0x8979f0… |
| 06-17 09:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x60b3…19d2 | No | BUY | 480 | 93¢ | $447 | 0x8979f0… |
| 06-17 09:53:17 | (anonymous) 0xe040…7935 | No | BUY | 480 | 93¢ | $447 | 0x65678e… |