Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$771

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$93

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 07-05 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$0

Crypto

33% — —

Politics

6% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	No	-48	$-45	95¢	$-45	$-0	06-26 06:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+42	$40	96¢	$41	+$1	06-30 16:54
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	-11	$-11	61¢	$-7	+$4	05-31 01:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	06-10 13:13
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	05-25 10:49
Epstein client list released by June 30?	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	06-18 01:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	06-22 02:08
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	5	$80	42	42	+0	open	—	07-05 19:17
will pushpa kamal dahal prachanda be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	03-23 06:24
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	0	52	-52	open	—	05-28 07:50
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	1	$45	0	48	-48	open	—	06-26 06:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	06-30 16:54
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-24 13:55
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-23 08:20
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-13 11:59
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-13 21:18
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	04-13 11:26
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	1	$11	0	11	-11	open	—	05-31 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 19:17:17	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf9cf04…
07-02 00:39:47	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x5e0745…
07-02 00:39:16	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x56bb3d…
07-01 23:52:19	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x371f37…
06-30 16:54:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xc24523…
06-26 06:26:22	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0x7c4b0d…
06-22 02:08:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xafbe75…
06-21 22:43:43	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x1582f7…
06-19 17:35:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x188d74…
06-18 01:21:49	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x455f0d…
06-10 17:42:43	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xdf963b…
06-10 13:13:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xf973b7…
05-31 01:44:30	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xdc6cf4…
05-28 18:26:11	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x964ad1…
05-28 07:50:43	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xb3af1c…
05-25 10:49:41	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x02e71c…
05-25 10:38:08	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd0a9b4…
05-23 10:47:38	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xe32a6e…
04-13 21:18:17	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x971501…
04-13 11:59:29	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0a2368…
04-13 11:26:25	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x98d00a…
03-24 13:55:07	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6ffd3c…
03-23 08:20:51	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc575e6…
03-23 06:24:21	will pushpa kamal dahal prachanda be the next prime minister of nepal	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xbc403a…
03-18 12:58:25	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4eb6c6…
03-18 08:59:17	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa5792d…
03-05 19:38:49	will pushpa kamal dahal prachanda be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x76c8e7…