USDC depeg by December 31?
open
Total volume
$1,661
$45 in 24h
Trades
79
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$14,075
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-05
last 07-20 17:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $76 | $76 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $9 | $506 | $497 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 3 | — | $174 | $174 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 22 | $7 | $407 | $401 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +365 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-20 17:06 |
| Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-18 00:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa20…0549 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x34bd…f43e | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-20 17:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2c2…8ffd | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 3 | 07-20 17:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +77 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 07-20 17:05 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | +60 | $0 | $2 | 5 | 07-20 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0d8…4e4f | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-20 17:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +46 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 07-20 17:06 |
| Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-18 00:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 17:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x5197…636a | No | SELL | 41 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x265871… |
| 07-20 17:06:01 | Mixed-Entity 0x1e0f…9556 | Yes | SELL | 513 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x265871… |
| 07-20 17:06:01 | (anonymous) 0xe25f…4d2b | No | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x265871… |
| 07-20 17:06:01 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x265871… |
| 07-20 17:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x0abf…e18b | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x265871… |
| 07-20 17:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x23d7…17fc | No | SELL | 52 | 99¢ | $51 | 0x265871… |
| 07-20 17:06:01 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x265871… |
| 07-20 17:06:01 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 148 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x265871… |
| 07-20 17:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x12c6…e328 | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x265871… |
| 07-20 17:05:45 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa06ec0… |
| 07-20 17:05:45 | (anonymous) 0xc2c2…8ffd | No | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0xa06ec0… |
| 07-20 17:05:45 | Mixed-Entity 0x1e0f…9556 | Yes | BUY | 513 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xa06ec0… |
| 07-20 17:05:45 | (anonymous) 0x34bd…f43e | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xa06ec0… |
| 07-20 17:05:45 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa06ec0… |
| 07-20 17:05:45 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa06ec0… |
| 07-20 17:05:45 | (anonymous) 0xd0d8…4e4f | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xa06ec0… |
| 07-20 17:05:45 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xa06ec0… |
| 07-18 09:27:37 | Exalted-Cabin-Rescue 0xfa6c…a67d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d7c0e… |
| 07-18 09:27:37 | (anonymous) 0xe25f…4d2b | No | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x9d7c0e… |
| 07-18 00:28:45 | (anonymous) 0xe25f…4d2b | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2c5b9b… |
| 07-18 00:28:45 | Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2c5b9b… |
| 07-18 00:28:45 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2c5b9b… |
| 07-11 05:57:55 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | BUY | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x095339… |
| 07-11 05:57:55 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x095339… |
| 07-05 12:51:58 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | BUY | 64 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9d6465… |
| 07-05 12:51:58 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d6465… |
| 07-05 12:51:58 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d6465… |
| 07-05 12:51:58 | (anonymous) 0x12c6…e328 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x9d6465… |
| 06-29 05:22:16 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2b09cc… |
| 06-29 05:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2b09cc… |
| 06-29 05:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x6372…8544 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2b09cc… |
| 06-29 05:22:16 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2b09cc… |
| 06-28 10:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x6372…8544 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xafffce… |
| 06-28 10:11:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xafffce… |
| 06-28 10:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xafffce… |
| 06-26 23:59:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x82630d… |
| 06-26 23:59:35 | (anonymous) 0x193b…ed6e | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x82630d… |
| 06-26 13:20:33 | Spotless-Handmaiden 0x9262…bcb8 | No | SELL | 111 | 98¢ | $108 | 0xf3c30d… |
| 06-26 13:20:33 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf3c30d… |
| 06-26 13:20:33 | (anonymous) 0xeed4…7363 | Yes | SELL | 215 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xf3c30d… |
| 06-26 13:19:15 | (anonymous) 0xc2c2…8ffd | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe436d5… |
| 06-26 13:19:15 | (anonymous) 0xeed4…7363 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe436d5… |
| 06-26 13:17:58 | (anonymous) 0xeed4…7363 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x780349… |
| 06-26 13:17:58 | Spotless-Handmaiden 0x9262…bcb8 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x780349… |
| 06-26 13:17:37 | (anonymous) 0xc2c2…8ffd | No | BUY | 34 | 98¢ | $33 | 0xbc58e8… |
| 06-26 13:17:37 | (anonymous) 0x0abf…e18b | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xbc58e8… |
| 06-26 13:17:37 | (anonymous) 0x23d7…17fc | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0xbc58e8… |
| 06-26 13:17:37 | (anonymous) 0xeed4…7363 | Yes | BUY | 215 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xbc58e8… |
| 06-26 13:17:37 | (anonymous) 0x5197…636a | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xbc58e8… |
| 06-26 13:17:37 | (anonymous) 0xe25f…4d2b | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xbc58e8… |
| 06-25 14:51:43 | Spotless-Handmaiden 0x9262…bcb8 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xb0f0db… |
| 06-25 14:51:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb0f0db… |
| 06-25 10:16:17 | (anonymous) 0x480d…6611 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf1792d… |
| 06-25 10:16:17 | (anonymous) 0x23d7…17fc | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf1792d… |
| 06-25 10:15:43 | (anonymous) 0x480d…6611 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x7d82fd… |
| 06-25 10:15:43 | Spotless-Handmaiden 0x9262…bcb8 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x7d82fd… |
| 06-24 13:31:37 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x61560d… |
| 06-24 13:31:37 | Spotless-Handmaiden 0x9262…bcb8 | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x61560d… |
| 06-22 08:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x23d7…17fc | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x477657… |
| 06-22 08:11:23 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x477657… |
| 06-22 08:08:20 | Spotless-Handmaiden 0x9262…bcb8 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xaf9e11… |
| 06-22 08:08:20 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xaf9e11… |
| 06-17 06:22:07 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4b36fa… |
| 06-17 06:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x23d7…17fc | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4b36fa… |
| 06-17 06:21:50 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x55f9a6… |
| 06-17 06:21:50 | Spotless-Handmaiden 0x9262…bcb8 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x55f9a6… |
| 06-15 20:45:12 | (anonymous) 0xd384…8f91 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1ed2e5… |
| 06-15 20:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x23d7…17fc | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1ed2e5… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x386e…44ab | No | SELL | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0x3a9865… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x20e0…8416 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x3a9865… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x9992…69ef | No | SELL | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x3a9865… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3a9865… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0xecf2…c477 | No | SELL | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0x3a9865… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0xd6ab…e432 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x3a9865… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x49aa…c3da | Yes | SELL | 836 | 2¢ | $18 | 0x3a9865… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x290b…56c8 | No | SELL | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0x3a9865… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x1fc9…e985 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x3a9865… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | Spotless-Handmaiden 0x9262…bcb8 | No | SELL | 256 | 98¢ | $251 | 0x3a9865… |
| 06-05 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0xaa20…0549 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3a9865… |