Realized P&L
+$656
Unrealized P&L
+$212
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
29
Trades
2,281
lifetime
Volume
$350.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
$7.99K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-18 10:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
69% 93% +$707
Politics
22% 0% $-51
Crypto
6%
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3,613 $2,882 84¢ $3.0K +$134 07-03 14:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -917 $-862 95¢ $-875 $-13 06-13 06:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,000 $720 78¢ $785 +$65 06-19 16:38
DAI depeg by December 31? No +630 $491 91¢ $574 +$82 06-06 09:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -398 $-376 97¢ $-387 $-11 06-06 21:58
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? No +329 $315 94¢ $310 $-5 07-21 03:16
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No +331 $306 94¢ $309 +$3 07-21 03:16
Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? No +277 $248 88¢ $245 $-4 07-21 03:18
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -419 $-209 50¢ $-207 +$2 06-28 09:02
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +200 $174 99¢ $198 +$24 05-31 22:17
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $192 96¢ $192 +$0 07-21 03:15
Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026? No +184 $177 97¢ $178 +$0 07-21 03:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -250 $-108 68¢ $-171 $-63 06-07 01:16
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +308 $154 50¢ $155 +$2 07-08 18:44
USDS depeg by December 31? No +157 $130 94¢ $149 +$19 06-05 22:35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -223 $-73 54¢ $-122 $-49 07-04 17:58
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes +92 $73 69¢ $63 $-10 07-17 00:27
USDTb depeg by December 31? No +52 $38 94¢ $48 +$10 07-04 23:29
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$1 06-02 23:40
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +5 $2 47¢ $2 +$0 07-07 21:34
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-1 24¢ $-1 +$1 06-01 23:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +1 $-22 18¢ $0 +$22 06-02 23:38