Realized P&L
+$656
Unrealized P&L
+$183
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
29
Trades
2,082
lifetime
Volume
$338.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$162
Open exposure
$1.97K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-07 01:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
70% 93% +$707
Politics
22% 0% $-51
Crypto
6%
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 431 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
DAI depeg by December 31? No +630 $491 92¢ $577 +$86 06-06 09:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +538 $519 97¢ $524 +$5 06-02 12:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -398 $-376 94¢ $-373 +$3 06-06 21:58
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +200 $174 86¢ $172 $-2 05-31 22:17
USDS depeg by December 31? No +157 $130 92¢ $144 +$14 06-05 22:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -250 $-108 40¢ $-99 +$9 06-07 01:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +76 $28 38¢ $29 +$1 06-05 08:19
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? No -248 $-63 11¢ $-27 +$36 06-04 12:00
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +22 $3 47¢ $10 +$8 06-02 23:53
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? No -54 $-7 11¢ $-6 +$1 06-04 13:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +230 $4 $4 $-0 06-02 12:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$1 06-02 23:40
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-1 37¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 23:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +1 $-22 22¢ $0 +$22 06-02 23:38