Palatable-Avalanche — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$656

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,377

lifetime

Volume

$387.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$163

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 13:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% 93% +$707

Politics

28% 0% $-51

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	115	$39.3K	22,370	21,129	+1,240	open	—	02-28 15:23
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt252pt50 in march	311	$30.5K	26,417	30,913	-4,496	open	—	04-10 14:20
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	1	$20.0K	0	20,000	-20,000	open	—	01-05 00:39
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	115	$17.6K	19,553	13,688	+5,865	open	—	01-26 12:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	23	$16.8K	13,660	8,660	+5,000	open	—	08-07 19:59
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	22	$10.7K	8,309	8,015	+294	open	—	01-26 00:59
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$10.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	04-08 00:14
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	05-09 06:30
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	10	$10.0K	9,988	0	+9,988	No	+$10	05-11 14:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-08 00:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	24	$9.6K	5,882	5,702	+180	open	—	04-22 00:52
will superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025 845	1	$7.7K	0	7,740	-7,740	open	—	01-05 00:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	20	$7.7K	5,125	5,125	+0	open	—	03-04 02:33
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	11	$7.0K	7,271	171	+7,100	open	—	08-08 10:54
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	19	$6.9K	3,302	3,940	-637	open	—	01-26 15:02
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	18	$6.9K	5,051	4,040	+1,011	open	—	08-09 13:03
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt502pt75 in march	226	$6.7K	13,344	6,449	+6,895	open	—	04-10 14:40
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	17	$6.2K	4,034	4,034	+0	open	—	01-27 07:43
will lilo and stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025	6	$6.1K	333	5,732	-5,398	open	—	01-05 08:36
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	12	$5.8K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	01-27 08:01
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?	19	$5.1K	7,217	5,217	+2,000	open	—	01-25 22:32
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	26	$4.6K	3,488	3,988	-500	open	—	02-02 03:03
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt002pt25 in march	26	$4.3K	4,283	46	+4,237	open	—	04-10 12:31
will a dozen eggs cost 2pt00 in march	8	$4.3K	4,267	0	+4,267	open	—	04-10 14:57
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt753pt00 in march	51	$4.2K	5,188	0	+5,188	open	—	04-10 12:31
will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	28	$4.0K	2,098	2,635	-537	open	—	02-09 11:20
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	10	$3.8K	3,865	0	+3,865	Yes	+$23	05-08 17:25
will a dozen eggs cost between 3pt253pt50 in march	1	$3.8K	3,815	0	+3,815	open	—	04-10 12:31
will trump meet with jensen huang in january 2026	12	$3.6K	4,148	2,428	+1,720	open	—	01-22 01:40
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 13	10	$3.6K	4,361	1,963	+2,398	open	—	02-14 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 13:03:25	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x2cb5b0…
08-08 19:26:01	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xbb1dd5…
08-08 19:24:18	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x0c8b6c…
08-08 10:54:37	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	985	94¢	$931	0x7c9573…
08-08 10:51:18	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x72d0e7…
08-08 10:51:15	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$948	0x59c7d2…
08-07 19:59:43	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,960	77¢	$3,819	0x078d2e…
08-07 19:40:00	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xb5fcd9…
08-07 19:24:21	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x1d6b4a…
08-07 00:46:24	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	3,020	88¢	$2,658	0xd61e40…
08-06 16:04:48	USDS depeg by December 31?	No	BUY	229	95¢	$217	0xde57b2…
08-06 16:04:41	USDS depeg by December 31?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xce0d76…
08-06 16:04:20	USDS depeg by December 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x454f93…
08-06 16:04:12	USDS depeg by December 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x982b11…
08-06 16:03:44	USDE depeg by December 31?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0xe185ca…
08-06 16:03:38	DAI depeg by December 31?	No	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0xad21d1…
08-06 13:14:12	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,122	95¢	$1,069	0x19e829…
08-06 13:13:54	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	106	95¢	$101	0xad0967…
08-06 13:13:53	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,938	95¢	$1,847	0x100f9a…
08-03 20:39:33	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	1,228	84¢	$1,032	0x27db09…
08-03 20:18:38	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	772	84¢	$648	0xee9c0f…
08-01 15:22:20	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	171	97¢	$165	0x154d0b…
08-01 14:06:08	Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	459	92¢	$422	0x84cfe6…
08-01 14:05:42	Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x9a8fe7…
08-01 14:04:21	Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0x169f06…
08-01 13:42:56	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	418	85¢	$356	0xefd5a9…
08-01 13:42:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	883	74¢	$654	0x798c06…
08-01 13:32:18	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x6432e7…
08-01 12:41:59	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	431	85¢	$367	0x0f7931…
08-01 12:37:17	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x39d23d…
08-01 12:08:44	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf9c575…
08-01 10:58:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x76feb2…
08-01 09:55:54	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xe672a4…
08-01 08:51:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xa7aa87…
08-01 06:38:02	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	74¢	$81	0xa2d396…
07-31 13:32:21	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x208061…
07-31 10:23:11	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	998	80¢	$799	0x789976…
07-31 09:53:56	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0xda4d7c…
07-30 16:56:15	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$889	0xf2f039…
07-30 08:22:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	446	70¢	$312	0x92998b…
07-30 08:21:39	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	344	82¢	$282	0xa027a4…
07-30 08:21:27	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	312	82¢	$256	0xa881c3…
07-30 08:00:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,554	70¢	$1,788	0xa3afe3…
07-30 05:35:48	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	344	82¢	$282	0x8f7135…
07-30 01:39:48	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xbd56ec…
07-27 06:31:10	USD0 depeg by December 31?	No	SELL	437	94¢	$411	0xca42dd…
07-27 01:57:45	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8a0999…
07-27 01:56:33	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x65c3df…
07-26 17:30:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2,905	75¢	$2,179	0x9a3671…
07-26 14:00:13	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	199	73¢	$145	0xdfe262…
07-26 07:55:58	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	75¢	$3,750	0x414914…
07-25 05:37:18	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x32a78e…
07-25 05:23:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	382	80¢	$305	0x9b2391…
07-24 18:12:10	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,078	79¢	$1,642	0xd5b39a…
07-24 16:55:04	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x8db1ea…
07-24 10:49:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0x00794d…
07-24 10:23:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x553970…
07-23 21:26:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	41	45¢	$19	0x379cd3…
07-23 21:02:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0xa61cf2…
07-23 20:29:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	74	49¢	$36	0xe01d48…
07-23 20:15:33	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xb8695e…
07-23 18:30:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	182	9¢	$16	0x057307…
07-23 18:20:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xfd5e2f…
07-23 18:09:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0xa0bb4e…
07-23 18:06:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	93	92¢	$86	0x9fdc38…
07-23 18:04:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xcad940…
07-23 18:01:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xa31402…
07-23 18:01:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	558	6¢	$33	0x4c8cf5…
07-23 11:46:04	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	750	95¢	$713	0x69fa9b…
07-23 11:44:45	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0x91be96…
07-23 11:43:12	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xaf6ebd…
07-23 11:41:37	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	165	95¢	$157	0x89c0c7…
07-23 10:25:42	ai data center in space by december 31 2027	No	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0xac68c3…
07-23 10:04:01	will the ornn b200 index hit 7pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709171530827	No	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x19ee6e…
07-22 20:48:30	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	118	95¢	$112	0xcfe45e…
07-22 20:48:15	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	123	96¢	$118	0x0302db…
07-22 16:15:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	286	78¢	$223	0x5f4c56…
07-22 15:10:01	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	210	78¢	$164	0xa3bf66…
07-22 13:44:33	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xd17a1e…
07-22 13:43:45	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xce7d56…
07-22 12:43:21	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x5f0f6e…
07-22 12:42:09	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xca2ec6…
07-22 06:58:09	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x90adf6…
07-22 02:42:45	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x77d5ec…
07-22 02:16:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7c967d…
07-22 02:07:03	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe221d0…
07-21 21:02:31	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5d6111…
07-21 19:15:03	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x02fe89…
07-21 11:32:21	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x93cc39…
07-21 03:18:36	Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	84¢	$64	0xf00d7d…
07-21 03:18:07	Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x1763a4…
07-21 03:16:54	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	90¢	$103	0x3ea023…
07-21 03:16:30	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	216	94¢	$203	0xcaca4e…
07-21 03:16:09	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	329	96¢	$315	0xe503fe…
07-21 03:15:42	Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xbdf8c5…
07-21 03:15:12	Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	184	97¢	$177	0x6a1560…
07-18 10:21:16	ai data center in space by december 31 2027	No	BUY	345	74¢	$255	0x936609…
07-17 02:09:13	will the ornn b200 index hit 4pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709171530833	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd2f5a0…
07-17 00:27:01	MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x95a5df…
07-17 00:18:56	MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0x5ccb90…