Realized P&L
+$656
Unrealized P&L
+$254
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
29
Trades
2,204
lifetime
Volume
$344.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$156
Open exposure
$4.05K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 15:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
70% 93% +$707
Politics
22% 0% $-51
Crypto
6%
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 431 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -917 $-862 96¢ $-875 $-14 06-13 06:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,000 $720 74¢ $745 +$25 06-19 16:38
DAI depeg by December 31? No +630 $491 94¢ $593 +$101 06-06 09:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -398 $-376 96¢ $-382 $-6 06-06 21:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes -377 $-371 98¢ $-371 +$0 06-19 08:20
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -419 $-209 50¢ $-207 +$2 06-28 09:02
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -193 $-192 99¢ $-192 +$0 06-14 22:02
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +200 $174 94¢ $189 +$15 05-31 22:17
USDS depeg by December 31? No +157 $130 94¢ $147 +$17 06-05 22:35
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +248 $124 52¢ $128 +$4 06-30 09:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -250 $-108 36¢ $-89 +$19 06-07 01:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -50 $-79 98¢ $-49 +$30 06-16 15:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +40 $27 87¢ $35 +$7 06-26 23:16
Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +10,000 $10 $25 +$15 06-30 06:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes -15 $-15 99¢ $-15 +$0 06-30 14:19
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$1 06-02 23:40
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +3,003 $-0 $3 +$3 06-30 15:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes -17 $-18 13¢ $-2 +$16 06-26 02:00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -21 $-5 $-2 +$3 06-22 11:50
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-1 32¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 23:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +230 $4 $0 $-4 06-02 12:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +1 $-22 18¢ $0 +$22 06-02 23:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -90 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-26 01:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +10 $2 $0 $-2 06-27 00:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +0 $3 99¢ $0 $-3 06-26 22:52