USD1 depeg by December 31?
open
Total volume
$285
Trades
84
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$3,873
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-06
last 08-01 05:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $7 | $70 | $62 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $1 | $15 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $15 | $5 | +$11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $50 | — | +$50 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $11 | $4 | +$7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Median | 6 | $3 | $39 | $36 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 8 | $53 | $5 | +$48 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5c6d…bc29 | Yes | +169 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 07-10 06:46 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +90 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 07-27 06:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +56 | $3 | $8 | 16 | 07-30 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +40 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 07-27 06:30 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +31 | $28 | $28 | 4 | 07-18 06:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b9b…7a9f | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-27 06:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-01 05:19 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +6 | $5 | $23 | 5 | 07-27 06:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f38…e56c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $4 | 3 | 07-27 06:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-27 06:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 05:19:32 | (anonymous) 0x206b…80c2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf8a80d… |
| 08-01 05:19:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf8a80d… |
| 07-30 09:29:05 | (anonymous) 0xa11a…9e42 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x0012d0… |
| 07-30 09:29:05 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x0012d0… |
| 07-27 06:57:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x48cb70… |
| 07-27 06:57:48 | (anonymous) 0x0f38…e56c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x48cb70… |
| 07-27 06:40:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa123b9… |
| 07-27 06:40:13 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa123b9… |
| 07-27 06:36:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4f3223… |
| 07-27 06:36:52 | (anonymous) 0x0f38…e56c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x4f3223… |
| 07-27 06:36:52 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4f3223… |
| 07-27 06:36:48 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x0d5720… |
| 07-27 06:36:48 | (anonymous) 0x4b9b…7a9f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0d5720… |
| 07-27 06:36:48 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x0d5720… |
| 07-27 06:36:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x196730… |
| 07-27 06:36:43 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x196730… |
| 07-27 06:35:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x506a56… |
| 07-27 06:35:48 | (anonymous) 0x0f38…e56c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x506a56… |
| 07-27 06:30:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3398dd… |
| 07-27 06:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x4b9b…7a9f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3398dd… |
| 07-27 06:30:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe1bd58… |
| 07-27 06:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xe1bd58… |
| 07-21 19:45:00 | Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb40990… |
| 07-21 19:45:00 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb40990… |
| 07-18 06:51:48 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x646701… |
| 07-18 06:51:48 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x646701… |
| 07-18 06:51:48 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x646701… |
| 07-11 09:25:49 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0x581670… |
| 07-11 09:25:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x581670… |
| 07-11 09:25:49 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x581670… |
| 07-10 06:46:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x445100… |
| 07-10 06:46:11 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x445100… |
| 07-10 06:46:11 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x445100… |
| 07-10 06:46:11 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x445100… |
| 07-10 06:46:11 | (anonymous) 0x5c6d…bc29 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x445100… |
| 07-09 21:17:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa36840… |
| 07-09 21:17:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa36840… |
| 07-09 21:17:46 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xa36840… |
| 07-09 21:17:46 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 12¢ | $15 | 0xa36840… |
| 07-09 21:17:46 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xa36840… |
| 07-09 21:17:46 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xa36840… |
| 07-09 21:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd72f5c… |
| 07-09 21:17:17 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd72f5c… |
| 07-09 21:17:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd72f5c… |
| 07-09 21:00:20 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x7ad5ba… |
| 07-09 21:00:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x7ad5ba… |
| 07-09 21:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x7ad5ba… |
| 07-09 21:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x5c6d…bc29 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xbd54d6… |
| 07-09 21:00:07 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xbd54d6… |
| 07-09 21:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbd54d6… |
| 07-09 21:00:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xbd54d6… |
| 07-09 21:00:07 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbd54d6… |
| 07-09 21:00:07 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | SELL | 133 | 6¢ | $8 | 0xbd54d6… |
| 07-09 21:00:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xbd54d6… |
| 07-09 20:49:07 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x42f741… |
| 07-09 20:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x42f741… |
| 07-09 20:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x42f741… |
| 07-09 20:47:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xf25473… |
| 07-09 20:47:32 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xf25473… |
| 07-09 20:47:32 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xf25473… |
| 07-09 20:47:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf25473… |
| 07-09 20:47:32 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xf25473… |
| 07-09 20:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x5c6d…bc29 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfda93f… |
| 07-09 20:43:43 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfda93f… |
| 07-09 20:43:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe07f68… |
| 07-09 20:43:17 | (anonymous) 0xce60…d504 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe07f68… |
| 07-09 20:43:17 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xe07f68… |
| 07-09 20:43:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe07f68… |
| 07-07 19:12:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xfa488f… |
| 07-07 19:12:10 | (anonymous) 0xc7bf…cbef | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xfa488f… |
| 06-30 08:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x5c6d…bc29 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1fca36… |
| 06-30 08:02:38 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1fca36… |
| 06-10 22:10:16 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xcaa31e… |
| 06-10 22:10:16 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xcaa31e… |
| 06-10 22:10:16 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xcaa31e… |
| 06-08 13:22:28 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc0ca8c… |
| 06-08 13:22:28 | Ordinary-Hire-Mover 0x6ad8…637b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc0ca8c… |
| 06-07 16:58:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x36dbd2… |
| 06-07 16:58:40 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x36dbd2… |
| 06-07 16:57:03 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc6c11f… |
| 06-07 16:57:03 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc6c11f… |
| 06-06 14:39:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x4842e7… |
| 06-06 14:39:22 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x4842e7… |
| 06-06 14:39:22 | Ordinary-Hire-Mover 0x6ad8…637b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x4842e7… |