(anonymous) 0x0f38e6…5ce56c
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$91
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
470
Trades
12,032
lifetime
Volume
$294.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.73K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-27 19:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Politics
42% 43% -$119
Other
42% 57% -$1,225
Tech
9% 67% -$110
Crypto
8% 73% -$25
Sports
0% 23% -$219
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 822 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +622 $557 98¢ $609 +$52 10-24 00:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +343 $238 84¢ $287 +$49 10-23 20:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +217 $195 94¢ $203 +$8 10-25 08:08
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +212 $173 94¢ $200 +$28 10-20 23:31
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +200 $178 88¢ $177 -$1 10-23 23:51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +149 $31 88¢ $131 +$100 10-19 21:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $132 66¢ $131 -$1 10-25 07:50
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +121 $109 98¢ $119 +$10 10-24 07:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +200 $118 52¢ $105 -$13 10-11 23:13
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat? Yes +100 $94 97¢ $97 +$3 10-14 17:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +90 $84 96¢ $86 +$2 10-25 12:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +90 $71 94¢ $85 +$14 10-24 03:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +84 $68 84¢ $71 +$3 10-25 15:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +392 $102 16¢ $65 -$37 10-19 20:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $41 82¢ $41 +$0 10-26 22:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $34 70¢ $35 +$1 10-27 01:03
israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 Yes +50 $37 66¢ $33 -$4 10-14 16:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +65 $28 50¢ $32 +$5 10-24 17:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +65 $37 50¢ $32 -$4 10-19 21:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +30 $27 96¢ $29 +$3 10-24 02:03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +20 $11 98¢ $19 +$9 10-24 19:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +32 $20 56¢ $18 -$2 10-19 17:52
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +149 $153 12¢ $18 -$136 10-23 20:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +22 $17 76¢ $17 $0 10-23 21:54
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +25 $5 61¢ $16 +$10 08-14 01:00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +45 $19 34¢ $16 -$4 10-19 15:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +27 $14 56¢ $15 +$1 10-23 20:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +32 $18 44¢ $14 -$4 10-23 23:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +84 $12 16¢ $13 +$1 10-19 21:36
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +13 $13 97¢ $12 -$1 10-26 21:02